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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Webb

QPR 4–0 Derby

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.05 fair 2.10
Draw 3.20 fair 3.86
Away 4.00 fair 3.77
Under 2.5 1.50 fair 1.88
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.63 fair 2.14

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

QPR Derby
12 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 1
2 Corners 3
9 Fouls 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (380 league matches this season so far).
Result QPR to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.50 – 1.05
Home / Draw / Away
QPRDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 11.8% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

QPR before this match, all matches
1.28points / match
1.09scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 35:41
Derby before this match, all matches
0.91points / match
1.03scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 33:42
QPR all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.09 Goals scored 1.03
1.28 Goals conceded 1.31
2.38 Total goals 2.34
12.06 Shots 10.69
3.91 Shots on target 3.44
12.13 Shots faced 11.63
5.66 Corners 5.34
6.06 Corners against 5.47
10.16 Fouls 11.97
1.94 Yellow cards 1.84
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.66 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

31% Wins 22%
34% Draws 25%
34% Losses 53%
91% Over 0.5 goals 94%
84% Over 1.5 goals 72%
44% Over 2.5 goals 41%
16% Over 3.5 goals 13%
3% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
59% Both teams scored 53%
22% Clean sheets 22%
28% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

16% Wins 22%
53% Draws 44%
31% Losses 34%
63% Over 0.5 goals 66%
38% Over 1.5 goals 19%
9% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR all matches
Derby all matches
QPR before this match, at home
1.44points / match
1.38scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 22:22
Derby before this match, away
0.50points / match
0.88scored / match
1.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 14:27
QPR at home away Derby

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 0.88
1.38 Goals conceded 1.69
2.75 Total goals 2.56
14.81 Shots 8.44
5.19 Shots on target 2.88
9.88 Shots faced 13.19
6.38 Corners 5.31
4.75 Corners against 5.75
9.94 Fouls 11.81
1.75 Yellow cards 2.06
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.19
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

38% Wins 6%
31% Draws 31%
31% Losses 63%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
94% Over 1.5 goals 81%
56% Over 2.5 goals 44%
25% Over 3.5 goals 13%
6% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
75% Both teams scored 69%
19% Clean sheets 6%
13% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 6%
50% Draws 50%
31% Losses 44%
81% Over 0.5 goals 63%
56% Over 1.5 goals 19%
6% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.25 Coventry – QPR 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.404.33 2.00 1.85
04.02.25 QPR – Blackburn 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.102.80 2.30 1.62
01.02.25 Millwall – QPR 2–1 (2–1) 2.203.103.50 2.75 1.44
25.01.25 QPR – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–0) 2.503.202.90 2.10 1.73
21.01.25 Hull – QPR 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.253.70 2.15 1.62
18.01.25 Plymouth – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.252.40 2.05 1.80
06.01.25 QPR – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 2.403.252.90 2.20 1.67
01.01.25 QPR – Watford 3–1 (2–0) 2.553.402.70 2.00 1.80
29.12.24 Norwich – QPR 1–1 (0–1) 1.753.704.33 1.88 1.98
26.12.24 Swansea – QPR 3–0 (3–0) 1.853.404.33 2.10 1.73

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.25 Derby – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.003.60 2.75 1.44
08.02.25 Norwich – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.98 1.88
01.02.25 Derby – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.102.15 2.20 1.67
25.01.25 Cardiff – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.40 2.50 1.53
21.01.25 Derby – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.302.10 2.20 1.67
18.01.25 Derby – Watford 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.73
04.01.25 Bristol City – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.304.20 2.30 1.62
01.01.25 Sheffield Weds – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.003.403.80 2.10 1.73
29.12.24 Derby – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.201.60 2.10 1.73
26.12.24 Derby – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.202.70 2.38 1.57

QPR at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.25 QPR – Blackburn 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.102.80 2.30 1.62
25.01.25 QPR – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–0) 2.503.202.90 2.10 1.73
06.01.25 QPR – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 2.403.252.90 2.20 1.67
01.01.25 QPR – Watford 3–1 (2–0) 2.553.402.70 2.00 1.80
21.12.24 QPR – Preston 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.102.90 2.50 1.53
11.12.24 QPR – Oxford 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 2.10 1.73
07.12.24 QPR – Norwich 3–0 (2–0) 3.003.302.35 1.93 1.93
23.11.24 QPR – Stoke 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 2.00 1.85
05.11.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–2) 3.503.601.95 1.88 1.98
02.11.24 QPR – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.05 2.20 1.67

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.25 Norwich – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.98 1.88
25.01.25 Cardiff – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.40 2.50 1.53
04.01.25 Bristol City – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.304.20 2.30 1.62
01.01.25 Sheffield Weds – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.003.403.80 2.10 1.73
20.12.24 Luton – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.203.50 2.30 1.62
10.12.24 Burnley – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.505.25 2.63 1.50
07.12.24 Leeds – Derby 2–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.88 1.98
23.11.24 Preston – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.40 2.20 1.67
06.11.24 Coventry – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 1.753.704.50 1.90 1.95
02.11.24 Stoke – Derby 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.03 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

QPR winsDrawsDerby wins
3matches
2.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24E1 Derby – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 2.10 1.73
18.04.22E1 QPR – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 2.10 1.72
29.11.21E1 Derby – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.402.40 2.00 1.80

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 32 20 9 3 66 19 +47 69
2 Sheffield United 32 21 6 5 46 23 +23 69
3 Burnley 32 17 13 2 39 9 +30 64
4 Sunderland 32 17 11 4 49 28 +21 62
5 Blackburn 32 14 6 12 37 31 +6 48
6 West Brom 32 11 14 7 41 30 +11 47
7 Bristol City 32 11 12 9 40 36 +4 45
8 Sheffield Weds 32 12 9 11 45 48 -3 45
9 Middlesbrough 31 12 8 11 50 42 +8 44
10 Coventry 32 12 8 12 42 40 +2 44
11 Norwich 32 11 10 11 50 44 +6 43
12 Watford 32 12 6 14 42 48 -6 42
13 QPR 32 10 11 11 35 41 -6 41
14 Millwall 31 10 10 11 31 32 -1 40
15 Preston 31 9 13 9 34 38 -4 40
16 Oxford 32 9 11 12 34 45 -11 38
17 Swansea 32 10 7 15 33 43 -10 37
18 Portsmouth 32 8 9 15 39 55 -16 33
19 Stoke 31 7 11 13 28 39 -11 32
20 Cardiff 31 7 10 14 34 53 -19 31
21 Derby 32 7 8 17 33 42 -9 29
22 Hull 31 7 8 16 31 42 -11 29
23 Plymouth 31 6 10 15 34 64 -30 28
24 Luton 31 7 6 18 30 51 -21 27
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 16 13 2 1 42 7 +35 41
2 Sheffield United 16 12 2 2 24 10 +14 38
3 Sunderland 16 10 6 0 28 12 +16 36
4 Burnley 16 8 8 0 18 4 +14 32
5 Bristol City 16 8 5 3 23 12 +11 29
6 Blackburn 16 9 2 5 22 14 +8 29
7 Oxford 16 8 5 3 24 20 +4 29
8 Watford 16 9 2 5 20 17 +3 29
9 West Brom 16 7 7 2 21 11 +10 28
10 Norwich 16 7 6 3 37 21 +16 27
11 Coventry 16 8 3 5 26 19 +7 27
12 Portsmouth 16 7 5 4 24 15 +9 26
13 Middlesbrough 16 7 5 4 24 18 +6 26
14 Preston 15 6 7 2 18 13 +5 25
15 Millwall 16 7 3 6 18 14 +4 24
16 Plymouth 16 6 6 4 29 27 +2 24
17 QPR 16 6 5 5 22 22 0 23
18 Sheffield Weds 16 5 7 4 25 23 +2 22
19 Luton 15 6 4 5 18 17 +1 22
20 Derby 16 6 3 7 19 15 +4 21
21 Swansea 16 5 5 6 21 19 +2 20
22 Cardiff 15 6 2 7 18 19 -1 20
23 Stoke 15 4 7 4 18 17 +1 19
24 Hull 16 2 6 8 16 22 -6 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 16 9 5 2 21 5 +16 32
2 Sheffield United 16 9 4 3 22 13 +9 31
3 Leeds 16 7 7 2 24 12 +12 28
4 Sunderland 16 7 5 4 21 16 +5 26
5 Sheffield Weds 16 7 2 7 20 25 -5 23
6 West Brom 16 4 7 5 20 19 +1 19
7 Blackburn 16 5 4 7 15 17 -2 19
8 Middlesbrough 15 5 3 7 26 24 +2 18
9 QPR 16 4 6 6 13 19 -6 18
10 Coventry 16 4 5 7 16 21 -5 17
11 Hull 15 5 2 8 15 20 -5 17
12 Swansea 16 5 2 9 12 24 -12 17
13 Millwall 15 3 7 5 13 18 -5 16
14 Bristol City 16 3 7 6 17 24 -7 16
15 Norwich 16 4 4 8 13 23 -10 16
16 Preston 16 3 6 7 16 25 -9 15
17 Watford 16 3 4 9 22 31 -9 13
18 Stoke 16 3 4 9 10 22 -12 13
19 Cardiff 16 1 8 7 16 34 -18 11
20 Oxford 16 1 6 9 10 25 -15 9
21 Derby 16 1 5 10 14 27 -13 8
22 Portsmouth 16 1 4 11 15 40 -25 7
23 Luton 16 1 2 13 12 34 -22 5
24 Plymouth 15 0 4 11 5 37 -32 4

QPR   Derby

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Portsmouth 32 10 22 1.2 1.7 8 9 15 39 55 33
2 12 Watford 32 11 21 1.3 1.5 12 6 14 42 48 42
3 23 Plymouth 31 13 18 1.1 2.1 6 10 15 34 64 28
4 8 Sheffield Weds 32 15 17 1.4 1.5 12 9 11 45 48 45
5 10 Coventry 32 16 16 1.3 1.2 12 8 12 42 40 44
6 11 Norwich 32 16 16 1.6 1.4 11 10 11 50 44 43
7 24 Luton 31 15 16 1.0 1.6 7 6 18 30 51 27
8 4 Sunderland 32 17 15 1.5 0.9 17 11 4 49 28 62
9 9 Middlesbrough 31 16 15 1.6 1.4 12 8 11 50 42 44
10 17 Swansea 32 17 15 1.0 1.3 10 7 15 33 43 37
11 13 QPR 32 18 14 1.1 1.3 10 11 11 35 41 41
12 15 Preston 31 17 14 1.1 1.2 9 13 9 34 38 40
13 20 Cardiff 31 17 14 1.1 1.7 7 10 14 34 53 31
14 1 Leeds 32 19 13 2.1 0.6 20 9 3 66 19 69
15 6 West Brom 32 19 13 1.3 0.9 11 14 7 41 30 47
16 7 Bristol City 32 19 13 1.2 1.1 11 12 9 40 36 45
17 21 Derby 32 19 13 1.0 1.3 7 8 17 33 42 29
18 5 Blackburn 32 20 12 1.2 1.0 14 6 12 37 31 48
19 16 Oxford 32 20 12 1.1 1.4 9 11 12 34 45 38
20 22 Hull 31 19 12 1.0 1.4 7 8 16 31 42 29
21 2 Sheffield United 32 21 11 1.4 0.7 21 6 5 46 23 69
22 19 Stoke 31 20 11 0.9 1.3 7 11 13 28 39 32
23 14 Millwall 31 22 9 1.0 1.0 10 10 11 31 32 40
24 3 Burnley 32 26 6 1.2 0.3 17 13 2 39 9 64
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Coventry 16 5 11 1.6 1.2 8 3 5 26 19 27
2 23 Plymouth 16 5 11 1.8 1.7 6 6 4 29 27 24
3 11 Norwich 16 6 10 2.3 1.3 7 6 3 37 21 27
4 12 Watford 16 6 10 1.2 1.1 9 2 5 20 17 29
5 18 Portsmouth 16 6 10 1.5 0.9 7 5 4 24 15 26
6 1 Leeds 16 7 9 2.6 0.4 13 2 1 42 7 41
7 13 QPR 16 7 9 1.4 1.4 6 5 5 22 22 23
8 4 Sunderland 16 8 8 1.8 0.8 10 6 0 28 12 36
9 24 Luton 15 7 8 1.2 1.1 6 4 5 18 17 22
10 17 Swansea 16 9 7 1.3 1.2 5 5 6 21 19 20
11 5 Blackburn 16 10 6 1.4 0.9 9 2 5 22 14 29
12 7 Bristol City 16 10 6 1.4 0.8 8 5 3 23 12 29
13 8 Sheffield Weds 16 10 6 1.6 1.4 5 7 4 25 23 22
14 9 Middlesbrough 16 10 6 1.5 1.1 7 5 4 24 18 26
15 16 Oxford 16 10 6 1.5 1.2 8 5 3 24 20 29
16 19 Stoke 15 9 6 1.2 1.1 4 7 4 18 17 19
17 21 Derby 16 10 6 1.2 0.9 6 3 7 19 15 21
18 22 Hull 16 10 6 1.0 1.4 2 6 8 16 22 12
19 2 Sheffield United 16 11 5 1.5 0.6 12 2 2 24 10 38
20 6 West Brom 16 11 5 1.3 0.7 7 7 2 21 11 28
21 14 Millwall 16 11 5 1.1 0.9 7 3 6 18 14 24
22 15 Preston 15 10 5 1.2 0.9 6 7 2 18 13 25
23 20 Cardiff 15 10 5 1.2 1.3 6 2 7 18 19 20
24 3 Burnley 16 13 3 1.1 0.2 8 8 0 18 4 32
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Portsmouth 16 4 12 0.9 2.5 1 4 11 15 40 7
2 8 Sheffield Weds 16 5 11 1.2 1.6 7 2 7 20 25 23
3 12 Watford 16 5 11 1.4 1.9 3 4 9 22 31 13
4 9 Middlesbrough 15 6 9 1.7 1.6 5 3 7 26 24 18
5 15 Preston 16 7 9 1.0 1.6 3 6 7 16 25 15
6 20 Cardiff 16 7 9 1.0 2.1 1 8 7 16 34 11
7 6 West Brom 16 8 8 1.2 1.2 4 7 5 20 19 19
8 17 Swansea 16 8 8 0.8 1.5 5 2 9 12 24 17
9 24 Luton 16 8 8 0.8 2.1 1 2 13 12 34 5
10 4 Sunderland 16 9 7 1.3 1.0 7 5 4 21 16 26
11 7 Bristol City 16 9 7 1.1 1.5 3 7 6 17 24 16
12 21 Derby 16 9 7 0.9 1.7 1 5 10 14 27 8
13 23 Plymouth 15 8 7 0.3 2.5 0 4 11 5 37 4
14 2 Sheffield United 16 10 6 1.4 0.8 9 4 3 22 13 31
15 5 Blackburn 16 10 6 0.9 1.1 5 4 7 15 17 19
16 11 Norwich 16 10 6 0.8 1.4 4 4 8 13 23 16
17 16 Oxford 16 10 6 0.6 1.6 1 6 9 10 25 9
18 22 Hull 15 9 6 1.0 1.3 5 2 8 15 20 17
19 10 Coventry 16 11 5 1.0 1.3 4 5 7 16 21 17
20 13 QPR 16 11 5 0.8 1.2 4 6 6 13 19 18
21 19 Stoke 16 11 5 0.6 1.4 3 4 9 10 22 13
22 1 Leeds 16 12 4 1.5 0.8 7 7 2 24 12 28
23 14 Millwall 15 11 4 0.9 1.2 3 7 5 13 18 16
24 3 Burnley 16 13 3 1.3 0.3 9 5 2 21 5 32

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51