Watford 1–0 Swansea – England Championship, 12 Mar 2025

Match facts

Watford Swansea

9 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 3

1 Corners 6

16 Fouls 3

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (439 league matches this season so far).

Result Watford to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.97

Expected goals 1.51 – 1.00

Home / Draw / Away

49% 26% 25%

WatfordDrawSwansea

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 46%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

51% 49%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

26% 2

21% 3

14% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.3% 1–0 12.2% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches

1.36points / match

1.28scored / match

1.39conceded / match

14 7 15

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 46:50

Swansea before this match, all matches

1.22points / match

1.06scored / match

1.28conceded / match

12 8 16

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 38:46

Watford all matches all matches Swansea

Per match

1.28 Goals scored 1.06

1.39 Goals conceded 1.28

2.67 Total goals 2.33

11.28 Shots 10.47

3.83 Shots on target 3.61

13.17 Shots faced 11.50

5.19 Corners 4.94

5.28 Corners against 5.00

12.31 Fouls 10.28

2.08 Yellow cards 1.58

0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.69

0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

39% Wins 33%

19% Draws 22%

42% Losses 44%

94% Over 0.5 goals 92%

75% Over 1.5 goals 61%

61% Over 2.5 goals 47%

19% Over 3.5 goals 17%

8% Over 4.5 goals 8%

3% Over 5.5 goals 6%

58% Both teams scored 44%

25% Clean sheets 28%

22% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 42%

39% Draws 33%

39% Losses 25%

72% Over 0.5 goals 72%

31% Over 1.5 goals 31%

11% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches

2

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

L

2

D

4

L

1

W

2

W

D

1

2

L

Swansea all matches

3

L

1

2

L

1

5

L

2

L

1

W

1

L

1

3

L

3

W

D

1

W

Watford before this match, at home

1.78points / match

1.28scored / match

1.06conceded / match

10 2 6

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 23:19

Swansea before this match, away

1.00points / match

0.72scored / match

1.50conceded / match

5 3 10

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 13:27

Watford at home away Swansea

Per match

1.28 Goals scored 0.72

1.06 Goals conceded 1.50

2.33 Total goals 2.22

12.11 Shots 9.56

4.28 Shots on target 2.83

12.22 Shots faced 13.33

5.72 Corners 5.28

4.56 Corners against 5.28

11.61 Fouls 9.44

2.06 Yellow cards 1.78

0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.39

0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

56% Wins 28%

11% Draws 17%

33% Losses 56%

94% Over 0.5 goals 89%

72% Over 1.5 goals 56%

61% Over 2.5 goals 50%

6% Over 3.5 goals 17%

0% Over 4.5 goals 6%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

56% Both teams scored 44%

33% Clean sheets 17%

17% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 22%

44% Draws 39%

33% Losses 39%

67% Over 0.5 goals 67%

28% Over 1.5 goals 22%

11% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

L

4

L

2

W

1

2

L

Swansea away

2

1

W

1

D

2

1

W

1

2

L

4

L

3

L

1

5

L

1

W

1

3

L

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Watford – Millwall	1–2 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.45	1.49
01.03.25	Stoke – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.30	2.88	1.95	1.90
23.02.25	Watford – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	2.35	3.50	2.88	2.20	1.67
15.02.25	Middlesbrough – Watford	0–1 (0–1)	1.60	3.90	5.50	1.62	2.30
11.02.25	Watford – Leeds	0–4 (0–3)	10.00	4.75	1.33	1.73	2.10
08.02.25	Sunderland – Watford	2–2 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	5.75	1.83	2.03
01.02.25	Watford – Norwich	0–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.30	2.63	1.88	1.98
25.01.25	Coventry – Watford	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	1.83	2.03
21.01.25	Watford – Preston	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.20	1.67
18.01.25	Derby – Watford	0–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.73

Swansea all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Swansea – Middlesbrough	1–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.40	2.50	1.93	1.93
04.03.25	Preston – Swansea	0–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.20	3.10	2.30	1.62
22.02.25	Swansea – Blackburn	3–0 (2–0)	2.50	3.30	2.75	2.20	1.67
15.02.25	Stoke – Swansea	3–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.40	2.88	2.10	1.73
12.02.25	Swansea – Sheffield Weds	0–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.40	2.70	2.10	1.73
09.02.25	Bristol City – Swansea	0–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.10	2.10	1.73
01.02.25	Swansea – Coventry	0–2 (0–2)	2.55	3.40	2.70	2.00	1.85
25.01.25	Norwich – Swansea	5–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.20	3.60	1.95	1.90
21.01.25	Swansea – Sheffield United	1–2 (1–0)	2.88	3.20	2.50	2.10	1.73
18.01.25	Cardiff – Swansea	3–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.25	2.63	2.10	1.73

Watford at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Watford – Millwall	1–2 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.45	1.49
23.02.25	Watford – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	2.35	3.50	2.88	2.20	1.67
11.02.25	Watford – Leeds	0–4 (0–3)	10.00	4.75	1.33	1.73	2.10
01.02.25	Watford – Norwich	0–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.30	2.63	1.88	1.98
21.01.25	Watford – Preston	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.20	1.67
04.01.25	Watford – Sheffield United	1–2 (1–1)	2.75	3.50	2.40	2.10	1.73
29.12.24	Watford – Cardiff	1–2 (1–2)	1.95	3.40	3.90	1.88	1.98
26.12.24	Watford – Portsmouth	2–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.33	1.85	2.00
15.12.24	Watford – West Brom	2–1 (1–0)	2.75	3.25	2.55	2.10	1.73
30.11.24	Watford – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.60	4.00	1.93	1.93

Swansea away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.25	Preston – Swansea	0–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.20	3.10	2.30	1.62
15.02.25	Stoke – Swansea	3–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.40	2.88	2.10	1.73
09.02.25	Bristol City – Swansea	0–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.10	2.10	1.73
25.01.25	Norwich – Swansea	5–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.20	3.60	1.95	1.90
18.01.25	Cardiff – Swansea	3–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.25	2.63	2.10	1.73
01.01.25	Portsmouth – Swansea	4–0 (2–0)	2.88	3.40	2.38	1.95	1.90
21.12.24	Hull – Swansea	2–1 (1–1)	2.50	3.40	2.75	1.98	1.88
10.12.24	Plymouth – Swansea	1–2 (0–1)	4.50	3.90	1.70	1.73	2.10
07.12.24	Luton – Swansea	1–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.25	3.25	2.03	1.83
27.11.24	Derby – Swansea	1–2 (0–2)	2.40	3.40	2.80	2.20	1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1 3

Watford winsDrawsSwansea wins

5matches

2.20goals / match

40%over 2.5

40%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.11.24E1	Swansea – Watford	1–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	3.90	1.83	2.03
06.03.24E1	Watford – Swansea	1–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.50	3.25	1.93	1.93
24.10.23E1	Swansea – Watford	0–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.30	3.10	2.05	1.75
30.12.22E1	Swansea – Watford	4–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	3.25	2.10	1.73
05.10.22E1	Watford – Swansea	1–2 (1–0)	1.90	3.40	4.20	2.02	1.83

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	37	24	7	6	52	28	+24	79
2	Leeds	36	22	10	4	72	23	+49	76
3	Burnley	37	20	15	2	50	11	+39	75
4	Sunderland	37	19	12	6	55	34	+21	69
5	West Brom	37	13	17	7	47	33	+14	56
6	Coventry	37	16	8	13	52	48	+4	56
7	Bristol City	37	13	15	9	47	40	+7	54
8	Middlesbrough	37	15	8	14	57	48	+9	53
9	Blackburn	36	15	7	14	41	37	+4	52
10	Sheffield Weds	37	14	9	14	53	58	-5	51
11	Norwich	37	12	13	12	59	52	+7	49
12	Watford	36	14	7	15	46	50	-4	49
13	Millwall	36	12	12	12	36	37	-1	48
14	QPR	37	11	11	15	42	48	-6	44
15	Preston	37	9	17	11	37	43	-6	44
16	Swansea	36	12	8	16	38	46	-8	44
17	Portsmouth	36	11	9	16	44	57	-13	42
18	Oxford	36	9	12	15	37	53	-16	39
19	Hull	36	9	10	17	36	45	-9	37
20	Stoke	36	8	12	16	36	50	-14	36
21	Cardiff	37	8	12	17	40	61	-21	36
22	Derby	37	9	8	20	37	49	-12	35
23	Luton	37	9	7	21	34	60	-26	34
24	Plymouth	36	6	12	18	36	73	-37	30

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	18	14	3	1	45	9	+36	45
2	Sheffield United	19	13	3	3	27	14	+13	42
3	Sunderland	19	11	7	1	31	15	+16	40
4	Burnley	19	10	9	0	27	5	+22	39
5	West Brom	18	9	7	2	24	11	+13	34
6	Bristol City	18	9	6	3	26	14	+12	33
7	Blackburn	18	10	3	5	25	15	+10	33
8	Coventry	18	10	3	5	31	22	+9	33
9	Portsmouth	18	9	5	4	27	16	+11	32
10	Middlesbrough	19	9	5	5	27	20	+7	32
11	Watford	18	10	2	6	23	19	+4	32
12	Norwich	19	8	7	4	44	27	+17	31
13	Oxford	18	8	5	5	26	25	+1	29
14	Preston	18	6	10	2	19	14	+5	28
15	Derby	19	8	3	8	23	17	+6	27
16	Swansea	18	7	5	6	25	19	+6	26
17	QPR	18	7	5	6	27	24	+3	26
18	Luton	18	7	5	6	20	19	+1	26
19	Millwall	18	7	4	7	19	17	+2	25
20	Plymouth	18	6	7	5	30	31	-1	25
21	Cardiff	19	7	3	9	22	24	-2	24
22	Stoke	18	5	8	5	22	21	+1	23
23	Sheffield Weds	18	5	7	6	27	27	0	22
24	Hull	18	3	7	8	19	23	-4	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	18	11	4	3	25	14	+11	37
2	Burnley	18	10	6	2	23	6	+17	36
3	Leeds	18	8	7	3	27	14	+13	31
4	Sunderland	18	8	5	5	24	19	+5	29
5	Sheffield Weds	19	9	2	8	26	31	-5	29
6	Millwall	18	5	8	5	17	20	-3	23
7	Coventry	19	6	5	8	21	26	-5	23
8	West Brom	19	4	10	5	23	22	+1	22
9	Middlesbrough	18	6	3	9	30	28	+2	21
10	Bristol City	19	4	9	6	21	26	-5	21
11	Hull	18	6	3	9	17	22	-5	21
12	Blackburn	18	5	4	9	16	22	-6	19
13	QPR	19	4	6	9	15	24	-9	18
14	Norwich	18	4	6	8	15	25	-10	18
15	Swansea	18	5	3	10	13	27	-14	18
16	Watford	18	4	5	9	23	31	-8	17
17	Preston	19	3	7	9	18	29	-11	16
18	Stoke	18	3	4	11	14	29	-15	13
19	Cardiff	18	1	9	8	18	37	-19	12
20	Oxford	18	1	7	10	11	28	-17	10
21	Portsmouth	18	2	4	12	17	41	-24	10
22	Derby	18	1	5	12	14	32	-18	8
23	Luton	19	2	2	15	14	41	-27	8
24	Plymouth	18	0	5	13	6	42	-36	5

Watford Swansea

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Portsmouth	36	13	23	1.2	1.6	11	9	16	44	57	42
2	10	Sheffield Weds	37	15	22	1.4	1.6	14	9	14	53	58	51
3	12	Watford	36	14	22	1.3	1.4	14	7	15	46	50	49
4	6	Coventry	37	17	20	1.4	1.3	16	8	13	52	48	56
5	24	Plymouth	36	17	19	1.0	2.0	6	12	18	36	73	30
6	4	Sunderland	37	19	18	1.5	0.9	19	12	6	55	34	69
7	8	Middlesbrough	37	19	18	1.5	1.3	15	8	14	57	48	53
8	11	Norwich	37	19	18	1.6	1.4	12	13	12	59	52	49
9	14	QPR	37	19	18	1.1	1.3	11	11	15	42	48	44
10	23	Luton	37	19	18	0.9	1.6	9	7	21	34	60	34
11	16	Swansea	36	19	17	1.1	1.3	12	8	16	38	46	44
12	21	Cardiff	37	20	17	1.1	1.6	8	12	17	40	61	36
13	2	Leeds	36	21	15	2.0	0.6	22	10	4	72	23	76
14	15	Preston	37	22	15	1.0	1.2	9	17	11	37	43	44
15	20	Stoke	36	21	15	1.0	1.4	8	12	16	36	50	36
16	22	Derby	37	22	15	1.0	1.3	9	8	20	37	49	35
17	7	Bristol City	37	23	14	1.3	1.1	13	15	9	47	40	54
18	9	Blackburn	36	22	14	1.1	1.0	15	7	14	41	37	52
19	1	Sheffield United	37	24	13	1.4	0.8	24	7	6	52	28	79
20	5	West Brom	37	24	13	1.3	0.9	13	17	7	47	33	56
21	18	Oxford	36	23	13	1.0	1.5	9	12	15	37	53	39
22	19	Hull	36	24	12	1.0	1.2	9	10	17	36	45	37
23	13	Millwall	36	26	10	1.0	1.0	12	12	12	36	37	48
24	3	Burnley	37	28	9	1.4	0.3	20	15	2	50	11	75

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Coventry	18	5	13	1.7	1.2	10	3	5	31	22	33
2	11	Norwich	19	7	12	2.3	1.4	8	7	4	44	27	31
3	24	Plymouth	18	6	12	1.7	1.7	6	7	5	30	31	25
4	12	Watford	18	7	11	1.3	1.1	10	2	6	23	19	32
5	14	QPR	18	7	11	1.5	1.3	7	5	6	27	24	26
6	17	Portsmouth	18	7	11	1.5	0.9	9	5	4	27	16	32
7	2	Leeds	18	8	10	2.5	0.5	14	3	1	45	9	45
8	4	Sunderland	19	10	9	1.6	0.8	11	7	1	31	15	40
9	10	Sheffield Weds	18	10	8	1.5	1.5	5	7	6	27	27	22
10	16	Swansea	18	10	8	1.4	1.1	7	5	6	25	19	26
11	20	Stoke	18	10	8	1.2	1.2	5	8	5	22	21	23
12	23	Luton	18	10	8	1.1	1.1	7	5	6	20	19	26
13	7	Bristol City	18	11	7	1.4	0.8	9	6	3	26	14	33
14	8	Middlesbrough	19	12	7	1.4	1.1	9	5	5	27	20	32
15	18	Oxford	18	11	7	1.4	1.4	8	5	5	26	25	29
16	21	Cardiff	19	12	7	1.2	1.3	7	3	9	22	24	24
17	22	Derby	19	12	7	1.2	0.9	8	3	8	23	17	27
18	1	Sheffield United	19	13	6	1.4	0.7	13	3	3	27	14	42
19	9	Blackburn	18	12	6	1.4	0.8	10	3	5	25	15	33
20	19	Hull	18	12	6	1.1	1.3	3	7	8	19	23	16
21	3	Burnley	19	14	5	1.4	0.3	10	9	0	27	5	39
22	5	West Brom	18	13	5	1.3	0.6	9	7	2	24	11	34
23	13	Millwall	18	13	5	1.1	0.9	7	4	7	19	17	25
24	15	Preston	18	13	5	1.1	0.8	6	10	2	19	14	28

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Sheffield Weds	19	5	14	1.4	1.6	9	2	8	26	31	29
2	17	Portsmouth	18	6	12	0.9	2.3	2	4	12	17	41	10
3	8	Middlesbrough	18	7	11	1.7	1.6	6	3	9	30	28	21
4	12	Watford	18	7	11	1.3	1.7	4	5	9	23	31	17
5	15	Preston	19	9	10	0.9	1.5	3	7	9	18	29	16
6	21	Cardiff	18	8	10	1.0	2.1	1	9	8	18	37	12
7	23	Luton	19	9	10	0.7	2.2	2	2	15	14	41	8
8	4	Sunderland	18	9	9	1.3	1.1	8	5	5	24	19	29
9	16	Swansea	18	9	9	0.7	1.5	5	3	10	13	27	18
10	5	West Brom	19	11	8	1.2	1.2	4	10	5	23	22	22
11	9	Blackburn	18	10	8	0.9	1.2	5	4	9	16	22	19
12	22	Derby	18	10	8	0.8	1.8	1	5	12	14	32	8
13	1	Sheffield United	18	11	7	1.4	0.8	11	4	3	25	14	37
14	6	Coventry	19	12	7	1.1	1.4	6	5	8	21	26	23
15	7	Bristol City	19	12	7	1.1	1.4	4	9	6	21	26	21
16	14	QPR	19	12	7	0.8	1.3	4	6	9	15	24	18
17	20	Stoke	18	11	7	0.8	1.6	3	4	11	14	29	13
18	24	Plymouth	18	11	7	0.3	2.3	0	5	13	6	42	5
19	11	Norwich	18	12	6	0.8	1.4	4	6	8	15	25	18
20	18	Oxford	18	12	6	0.6	1.6	1	7	10	11	28	10
21	19	Hull	18	12	6	0.9	1.2	6	3	9	17	22	21
22	2	Leeds	18	13	5	1.5	0.8	8	7	3	27	14	31
23	13	Millwall	18	13	5	0.9	1.1	5	8	5	17	20	23
24	3	Burnley	18	14	4	1.3	0.3	10	6	2	23	6	36

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.