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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: F Hallam

Derby 1–1 Portsmouth

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.96 fair 2.11
Draw ✓ 3.20 fair 3.94
Away 4.00 fair 3.68
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.98
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 2.02

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Portsmouth
12 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 1
6 Corners 4
7 Fouls 4
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (254 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.11
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawPortsmouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 10.9% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.43scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 30:29
Portsmouth before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.85scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 17:27
Derby all matches all matches Portsmouth

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 0.85
1.38 Goals conceded 1.35
2.81 Total goals 2.20
9.57 Shots 12.30
3.19 Shots on target 3.65
12.38 Shots faced 13.35
5.05 Corners 5.25
5.81 Corners against 5.30
12.24 Fouls 10.05
2.43 Yellow cards 2.20
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.35
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

38% Wins 25%
29% Draws 25%
33% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
76% Over 1.5 goals 60%
52% Over 2.5 goals 45%
29% Over 3.5 goals 20%
10% Over 4.5 goals 5%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
71% Both teams scored 45%
19% Clean sheets 25%
10% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 25%
33% Draws 25%
29% Losses 50%
76% Over 0.5 goals 80%
19% Over 1.5 goals 15%
10% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Portsmouth all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.18points / match
1.27scored / match
1.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 14:17
Portsmouth before this match, away
0.67points / match
0.67scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 6:15
Derby at home away Portsmouth

Per match

1.27 Goals scored 0.67
1.55 Goals conceded 1.67
2.82 Total goals 2.33
11.00 Shots 8.33
3.36 Shots on target 2.89
11.55 Shots faced 15.00
5.73 Corners 4.22
4.91 Corners against 6.89
11.64 Fouls 11.44
2.27 Yellow cards 2.44
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.82 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

27% Wins 11%
36% Draws 33%
36% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
73% Over 1.5 goals 67%
36% Over 2.5 goals 44%
27% Over 3.5 goals 22%
18% Over 4.5 goals 11%
9% Over 5.5 goals 0%
73% Both teams scored 44%
18% Clean sheets 22%
9% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 11%
36% Draws 33%
36% Losses 56%
82% Over 0.5 goals 78%
27% Over 1.5 goals 22%
18% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Portsmouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.12.25 Sheffield Weds – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.203.202.20 2.10 1.73
10.12.25 Derby – Millwall 1–1 (0–0) 2.502.952.95 2.50 1.53
06.12.25 Derby – Leicester 1–3 (0–3) 2.703.202.57 2.30 1.62
29.11.25 Middlesbrough – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.605.00 2.20 1.67
25.11.25 Swansea – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.053.60 2.50 1.53
22.11.25 Derby – Watford 2–3 (1–0) 2.453.202.82 2.30 1.62
08.11.25 Blackburn – Derby 1–2 (0–2) 1.913.303.90 2.38 1.57
04.11.25 Derby – Hull 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.253.30 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Sheffield United – Derby 1–3 (0–1) 1.763.504.33 2.20 1.67
25.10.25 Derby – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.252.65 2.10 1.73

Portsmouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 Portsmouth – Blackburn 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.252.50 2.10 1.73
09.12.25 Swansea – Portsmouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.50 2.00 1.80
29.11.25 Portsmouth – Bristol City 0–1 (0–1) 2.853.402.35 2.00 1.80
26.11.25 Sheffield United – Portsmouth 3–0 (1–0) 1.763.604.50 2.00 1.85
22.11.25 Portsmouth – Millwall 3–1 (1–0) 2.573.052.70 2.30 1.62
08.11.25 Hull – Portsmouth 3–2 (2–2) 2.053.503.25 1.90 1.95
05.11.25 Portsmouth – Wrexham 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.052.82 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Birmingham – Portsmouth 4–0 (1–0) 1.763.604.50 2.10 1.73
25.10.25 Portsmouth – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.052.57 2.00 1.80
21.10.25 Portsmouth – Coventry 1–2 (0–1) 4.003.601.79 1.80 2.00

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.25 Derby – Millwall 1–1 (0–0) 2.502.952.95 2.50 1.53
06.12.25 Derby – Leicester 1–3 (0–3) 2.703.202.57 2.30 1.62
22.11.25 Derby – Watford 2–3 (1–0) 2.453.202.82 2.30 1.62
04.11.25 Derby – Hull 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.253.30 2.10 1.73
25.10.25 Derby – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.252.65 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Derby – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.052.82 2.20 1.67
04.10.25 Derby – Southampton 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.302.05 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Derby – Charlton 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.65 2.63 1.50
20.09.25 Derby – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.103.10 2.75 1.44
22.08.25 Derby – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.202.38 2.38 1.57

Portsmouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.25 Swansea – Portsmouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.50 2.00 1.80
26.11.25 Sheffield United – Portsmouth 3–0 (1–0) 1.763.604.50 2.00 1.85
08.11.25 Hull – Portsmouth 3–2 (2–2) 2.053.503.25 1.90 1.95
01.11.25 Birmingham – Portsmouth 4–0 (1–0) 1.763.604.50 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 Leicester – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–0) 1.623.755.00 1.98 1.88
27.09.25 Ipswich – Portsmouth 2–1 (2–0) 1.493.906.25 1.80 2.00
14.09.25 Southampton – Portsmouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.904.50 1.85 2.00
23.08.25 West Brom – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.604.50 2.03 1.83
09.08.25 Oxford – Portsmouth 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.70 2.10 1.73
26.04.25 Sheffield Weds – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.903.25 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsPortsmouth wins
6matches
2.67goals / match
50%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.25E1 Portsmouth – Derby 2–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.63 1.50
13.12.24E1 Derby – Portsmouth 4–0 (3–0) 2.053.203.75 2.30 1.62
02.04.24E2 Portsmouth – Derby 2–2 (1–2) 2.253.303.30 2.08 1.73
16.09.23E2 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
29.04.23E2 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–1) 1.534.206.50 1.88 1.98
18.11.22E2 Portsmouth – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.373.402.90 1.95 1.90

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 22 14 6 2 53 23 +30 48
2 Middlesbrough 21 12 6 3 33 22 +11 42
3 Preston 22 9 9 4 30 23 +7 36
4 Millwall 22 10 5 7 25 31 -6 35
5 Ipswich 21 9 7 5 35 22 +13 34
6 Hull 21 10 4 7 36 35 +1 34
7 Stoke 21 10 3 8 28 20 +8 33
8 Southampton 22 8 7 7 36 31 +5 31
9 Leicester 21 8 7 6 30 27 +3 31
10 QPR 21 9 4 8 28 33 -5 31
11 Bristol City 21 8 6 7 28 24 +4 30
12 Derby 21 8 6 7 30 29 +1 30
13 Birmingham 21 8 5 8 30 26 +4 29
14 Watford 21 7 8 6 30 28 +2 29
15 Wrexham 22 6 10 6 27 27 0 28
16 West Brom 21 8 4 9 25 28 -3 28
17 Swansea 22 7 5 10 24 30 -6 26
18 Blackburn 21 7 4 10 22 26 -4 25
19 Charlton 20 6 6 8 20 26 -6 24
20 Sheffield United 21 7 2 12 25 31 -6 23
21 Portsmouth 20 5 5 10 17 27 -10 20
22 Oxford 21 4 7 10 22 30 -8 19
23 Norwich 22 4 6 12 25 35 -10 18
24 Sheffield Weds 20 1 6 13 15 40 -25 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 10 8 2 0 26 7 +19 26
2 Middlesbrough 10 7 2 1 16 10 +6 23
3 Ipswich 11 6 4 1 19 9 +10 22
4 Watford 11 6 4 1 19 12 +7 22
5 Birmingham 10 6 3 1 22 9 +13 21
6 Preston 12 5 5 2 16 12 +4 20
7 Hull 11 6 2 3 18 18 0 20
8 Stoke 10 6 1 3 17 8 +9 19
9 Southampton 11 5 4 2 17 11 +6 19
10 West Brom 10 5 4 1 13 8 +5 19
11 Millwall 11 6 1 4 13 15 -2 19
12 Swansea 12 5 3 4 15 16 -1 18
13 Wrexham 11 4 5 2 17 15 +2 17
14 QPR 10 5 2 3 16 14 +2 17
15 Leicester 10 4 4 2 14 11 +3 16
16 Bristol City 11 4 3 4 16 13 +3 15
17 Charlton 9 4 2 3 11 11 0 14
18 Portsmouth 11 4 2 5 11 12 -1 14
19 Derby 11 3 4 4 14 17 -3 13
20 Sheffield United 10 3 2 5 12 12 0 11
21 Oxford 10 2 4 4 11 15 -4 10
22 Blackburn 11 2 3 6 11 16 -5 9
23 Norwich 10 2 1 7 11 16 -5 7
24 Sheffield Weds 11 0 2 9 5 27 -22 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 12 6 4 2 27 16 +11 22
2 Middlesbrough 11 5 4 2 17 12 +5 19
3 Derby 10 5 2 3 16 12 +4 17
4 Preston 10 4 4 2 14 11 +3 16
5 Blackburn 10 5 1 4 11 10 +1 16
6 Millwall 11 4 4 3 12 16 -4 16
7 Bristol City 10 4 3 3 12 11 +1 15
8 Leicester 11 4 3 4 16 16 0 15
9 Hull 10 4 2 4 18 17 +1 14
10 Stoke 11 4 2 5 11 12 -1 14
11 QPR 11 4 2 5 12 19 -7 14
12 Ipswich 10 3 3 4 16 13 +3 12
13 Southampton 11 3 3 5 19 20 -1 12
14 Sheffield United 11 4 0 7 13 19 -6 12
15 Wrexham 11 2 5 4 10 12 -2 11
16 Norwich 12 2 5 5 14 19 -5 11
17 Charlton 11 2 4 5 9 15 -6 10
18 Oxford 11 2 3 6 11 15 -4 9
19 West Brom 11 3 0 8 12 20 -8 9
20 Swansea 10 2 2 6 9 14 -5 8
21 Birmingham 11 2 2 7 8 17 -9 8
22 Sheffield Weds 9 1 4 4 10 13 -3 7
23 Watford 10 1 4 5 11 16 -5 7
24 Portsmouth 9 1 3 5 6 15 -9 6

Derby   Portsmouth

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Hull 21 6 15 1.7 1.7 10 4 7 36 35 34
2 8 Southampton 22 7 15 1.6 1.4 8 7 7 36 31 31
3 1 Coventry 22 8 14 2.4 1.0 14 6 2 53 23 48
4 10 QPR 21 8 13 1.3 1.6 9 4 8 28 33 31
5 2 Middlesbrough 21 9 12 1.6 1.0 12 6 3 33 22 42
6 9 Leicester 21 9 12 1.4 1.3 8 7 6 30 27 31
7 14 Watford 21 9 12 1.4 1.3 7 8 6 30 28 29
8 24 Sheffield Weds 20 8 12 0.8 2.0 1 6 13 15 40 9
9 5 Ipswich 21 10 11 1.7 1.0 9 7 5 35 22 34
10 12 Derby 21 10 11 1.4 1.4 8 6 7 30 29 30
11 13 Birmingham 21 10 11 1.4 1.2 8 5 8 30 26 29
12 17 Swansea 22 11 11 1.1 1.4 7 5 10 24 30 26
13 20 Sheffield United 21 10 11 1.2 1.5 7 2 12 25 31 23
14 22 Oxford 21 10 11 1.0 1.4 4 7 10 22 30 19
15 23 Norwich 22 11 11 1.1 1.6 4 6 12 25 35 18
16 4 Millwall 22 12 10 1.1 1.4 10 5 7 25 31 35
17 7 Stoke 21 11 10 1.3 1.0 10 3 8 28 20 33
18 16 West Brom 21 11 10 1.2 1.3 8 4 9 25 28 28
19 3 Preston 22 13 9 1.4 1.0 9 9 4 30 23 36
20 11 Bristol City 21 12 9 1.3 1.1 8 6 7 28 24 30
21 18 Blackburn 21 12 9 1.0 1.2 7 4 10 22 26 25
22 21 Portsmouth 20 11 9 0.8 1.4 5 5 10 17 27 20
23 15 Wrexham 22 14 8 1.2 1.2 6 10 6 27 27 28
24 19 Charlton 20 12 8 1.0 1.3 6 6 8 20 26 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Hull 11 4 7 1.6 1.6 6 2 3 18 18 20
2 10 QPR 10 3 7 1.6 1.4 5 2 3 16 14 17
3 14 Watford 11 4 7 1.7 1.1 6 4 1 19 12 22
4 24 Sheffield Weds 11 4 7 0.5 2.5 0 2 9 5 27 2
5 1 Coventry 10 4 6 2.6 0.7 8 2 0 26 7 26
6 2 Middlesbrough 10 4 6 1.6 1.0 7 2 1 16 10 23
7 5 Ipswich 11 5 6 1.7 0.8 6 4 1 19 9 22
8 8 Southampton 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 5 4 2 17 11 19
9 11 Bristol City 11 5 6 1.5 1.2 4 3 4 16 13 15
10 13 Birmingham 10 4 6 2.2 0.9 6 3 1 22 9 21
11 17 Swansea 12 6 6 1.2 1.3 5 3 4 15 16 18
12 22 Oxford 10 4 6 1.1 1.5 2 4 4 11 15 10
13 23 Norwich 10 4 6 1.1 1.6 2 1 7 11 16 7
14 3 Preston 12 7 5 1.3 1.0 5 5 2 16 12 20
15 4 Millwall 11 6 5 1.2 1.4 6 1 4 13 15 19
16 7 Stoke 10 5 5 1.7 0.8 6 1 3 17 8 19
17 15 Wrexham 11 6 5 1.5 1.4 4 5 2 17 15 17
18 18 Blackburn 11 6 5 1.0 1.5 2 3 6 11 16 9
19 20 Sheffield United 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 3 2 5 12 12 11
20 21 Portsmouth 11 6 5 1.0 1.1 4 2 5 11 12 14
21 9 Leicester 10 6 4 1.4 1.1 4 4 2 14 11 16
22 12 Derby 11 7 4 1.3 1.5 3 4 4 14 17 13
23 19 Charlton 9 5 4 1.2 1.2 4 2 3 11 11 14
24 16 West Brom 10 7 3 1.3 0.8 5 4 1 13 8 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Southampton 11 2 9 1.7 1.8 3 3 5 19 20 12
2 1 Coventry 12 4 8 2.2 1.3 6 4 2 27 16 22
3 6 Hull 10 2 8 1.8 1.7 4 2 4 18 17 14
4 9 Leicester 11 3 8 1.5 1.5 4 3 4 16 16 15
5 12 Derby 10 3 7 1.6 1.2 5 2 3 16 12 17
6 16 West Brom 11 4 7 1.1 1.8 3 0 8 12 20 9
7 2 Middlesbrough 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 5 4 2 17 12 19
8 10 QPR 11 5 6 1.1 1.7 4 2 5 12 19 14
9 20 Sheffield United 11 5 6 1.2 1.7 4 0 7 13 19 12
10 4 Millwall 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 4 4 3 12 16 16
11 5 Ipswich 10 5 5 1.6 1.3 3 3 4 16 13 12
12 7 Stoke 11 6 5 1.0 1.1 4 2 5 11 12 14
13 13 Birmingham 11 6 5 0.7 1.5 2 2 7 8 17 8
14 14 Watford 10 5 5 1.1 1.6 1 4 5 11 16 7
15 17 Swansea 10 5 5 0.9 1.4 2 2 6 9 14 8
16 22 Oxford 11 6 5 1.0 1.4 2 3 6 11 15 9
17 23 Norwich 12 7 5 1.2 1.6 2 5 5 14 19 11
18 24 Sheffield Weds 9 4 5 1.1 1.4 1 4 4 10 13 7
19 3 Preston 10 6 4 1.4 1.1 4 4 2 14 11 16
20 18 Blackburn 10 6 4 1.1 1.0 5 1 4 11 10 16
21 19 Charlton 11 7 4 0.8 1.4 2 4 5 9 15 10
22 21 Portsmouth 9 5 4 0.7 1.7 1 3 5 6 15 6
23 11 Bristol City 10 7 3 1.2 1.1 4 3 3 12 11 15
24 15 Wrexham 11 8 3 0.9 1.1 2 5 4 10 12 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51