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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Kirk

Blackburn 1–2 Derby

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.91 fair 2.75
Draw 3.30 fair 3.79
Away ✓ 3.90 fair 2.69
Under 2.5 1.57 fair 1.93
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.38 fair 2.07

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Blackburn Derby
8 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 4
13 Corners 3
6 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (168 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.29 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
BlackburnDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 0–1 9.7% 1–0 9.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Blackburn before this match, all matches
1.23points / match
1.00scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 13:17
Derby before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.29scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 18:18
Blackburn all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.29
1.31 Goals conceded 1.29
2.31 Total goals 2.57
12.85 Shots 8.64
3.77 Shots on target 2.79
11.77 Shots faced 13.43
4.85 Corners 4.43
4.69 Corners against 5.86
12.00 Fouls 12.64
1.85 Yellow cards 2.57
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

38% Wins 36%
8% Draws 36%
54% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
77% Over 1.5 goals 64%
46% Over 2.5 goals 36%
8% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
38% Both teams scored 64%
31% Clean sheets 21%
31% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 21%
38% Draws 43%
31% Losses 36%
69% Over 0.5 goals 71%
8% Over 1.5 goals 14%
0% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Blackburn all matches
Derby all matches
Blackburn before this match, at home
0.67points / match
1.00scored / match
1.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:11
Derby before this match, away
1.33points / match
1.33scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:8
Blackburn at home away Derby

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.33
1.83 Goals conceded 1.33
2.83 Total goals 2.67
13.00 Shots 6.67
3.67 Shots on target 2.17
10.67 Shots faced 15.33
5.17 Corners 4.17
5.50 Corners against 6.83
10.33 Fouls 12.83
1.83 Yellow cards 3.00
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.17
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

17% Wins 33%
17% Draws 33%
67% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
17% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
83% Both teams scored 67%
0% Clean sheets 17%
17% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 17%
50% Draws 50%
33% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 50%
17% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Blackburn at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Blackburn all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.25 Bristol City – Blackburn 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.253.50 2.03 1.83
01.11.25 Leicester – Blackburn 0–2 (0–1) 1.763.904.00 2.00 1.85
25.10.25 Blackburn – Southampton 2–1 (0–1) 2.953.252.30 2.00 1.80
21.10.25 Blackburn – Sheffield United 1–3 (1–0) 2.303.302.95 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 Coventry – Blackburn 2–0 (0–0) 1.534.005.75 1.67 2.20
04.10.25 Blackburn – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.70 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Blackburn – Swansea 1–2 (1–1) 2.573.102.65 2.20 1.67
27.09.25 Charlton – Blackburn 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.253.10 2.30 1.62
13.09.25 Watford – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.503.10 2.20 1.67
30.08.25 Blackburn – Norwich 0–2 (0–1) 2.253.403.00 2.10 1.73

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.25 Derby – Hull 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.253.30 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Sheffield United – Derby 1–3 (0–1) 1.763.504.33 2.20 1.67
25.10.25 Derby – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.252.65 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Derby – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.052.82 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 Oxford – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.052.95 2.50 1.53
04.10.25 Derby – Southampton 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.302.05 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Derby – Charlton 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.65 2.63 1.50
27.09.25 Wrexham – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.303.50 2.38 1.57
20.09.25 Derby – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.103.10 2.75 1.44
13.09.25 West Brom – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.713.504.75 2.30 1.62

Blackburn at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25 Blackburn – Southampton 2–1 (0–1) 2.953.252.30 2.00 1.80
21.10.25 Blackburn – Sheffield United 1–3 (1–0) 2.303.302.95 2.20 1.67
04.10.25 Blackburn – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.70 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Blackburn – Swansea 1–2 (1–1) 2.573.102.65 2.20 1.67
30.08.25 Blackburn – Norwich 0–2 (0–1) 2.253.403.00 2.10 1.73
16.08.25 Blackburn – Birmingham 1–2 (0–0) 3.103.252.30 2.30 1.62
26.04.25 Blackburn – Watford 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.605.00 2.00 1.85
18.04.25 Blackburn – Millwall 4–1 (2–1) 2.353.103.20 2.63 1.50
08.04.25 Blackburn – Sheffield Weds 2–2 (0–2) 2.603.202.70 2.30 1.62
04.04.25 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–2) 2.803.402.40 1.98 1.88

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Sheffield United – Derby 1–3 (0–1) 1.763.504.33 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 Oxford – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.052.95 2.50 1.53
27.09.25 Wrexham – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.303.50 2.38 1.57
13.09.25 West Brom – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.713.504.75 2.30 1.62
30.08.25 Ipswich – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 1.493.906.50 2.00 1.80
09.08.25 Stoke – Derby 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.50 1.53
26.04.25 Hull – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.003.25 2.63 1.50
21.04.25 West Brom – Derby 1–3 (0–2) 1.913.503.80 2.38 1.57
12.04.25 Portsmouth – Derby 2–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.63 1.50
05.04.25 Swansea – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.75 2.38 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Blackburn winsDrawsDerby wins
4matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.25E1 Derby – Blackburn 2–1 (2–1) 2.703.002.75 2.38 1.57
09.08.24E1 Blackburn – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.10 2.03 1.83
15.03.22E1 Blackburn – Derby 3–1 (0–1) 1.833.304.75 2.50 1.53
30.10.21E1 Derby – Blackburn 1–2 (0–2) 2.803.252.55 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 14 9 4 1 39 13 +26 31
2 Stoke 14 8 3 3 21 9 +12 27
3 Middlesbrough 14 7 5 2 17 12 +5 26
4 Preston 14 7 4 3 19 13 +6 25
5 Millwall 14 7 3 4 16 19 -3 24
6 Charlton 14 6 5 3 16 11 +5 23
7 Bristol City 15 6 5 4 22 18 +4 23
8 Hull 14 6 4 4 23 22 +1 22
9 Birmingham 14 6 3 5 19 15 +4 21
10 Ipswich 13 5 5 3 22 15 +7 20
11 Watford 15 5 5 5 19 18 +1 20
12 Derby 14 5 5 4 18 18 0 20
13 Leicester 14 4 6 4 16 15 +1 18
14 Wrexham 14 4 6 4 19 19 0 18
15 West Brom 14 5 3 6 12 15 -3 18
16 QPR 14 5 3 6 17 23 -6 18
17 Swansea 14 4 5 5 14 15 -1 17
18 Blackburn 13 5 1 7 13 17 -4 16
19 Southampton 14 3 6 5 15 20 -5 15
20 Portsmouth 14 3 5 6 10 17 -7 14
21 Oxford 14 3 4 7 15 20 -5 13
22 Norwich 14 2 3 9 13 21 -8 9
23 Sheffield United 14 3 0 11 11 26 -15 9
24 Sheffield Weds 14 1 5 8 11 26 -15 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 7 5 2 0 19 4 +15 17
2 Watford 8 5 2 1 14 8 +6 17
3 Preston 8 5 2 1 12 7 +5 17
4 Ipswich 8 4 3 1 15 9 +6 15
5 Birmingham 7 4 2 1 15 6 +9 14
6 Charlton 7 4 2 1 9 4 +5 14
7 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 0 7 3 +4 14
8 Hull 7 4 2 1 12 10 +2 14
9 Stoke 6 4 1 1 11 4 +7 13
10 Derby 8 3 3 2 10 10 0 12
11 Millwall 7 4 0 3 7 9 -2 12
12 Bristol City 8 3 2 3 11 10 +1 11
13 Leicester 7 2 4 1 7 6 +1 10
14 West Brom 6 2 3 1 5 4 +1 9
15 Wrexham 7 2 3 2 11 12 -1 9
16 Swansea 7 2 3 2 8 9 -1 9
17 QPR 7 2 2 3 8 10 -2 8
18 Portsmouth 8 2 2 4 6 9 -3 8
19 Southampton 6 1 3 2 4 6 -2 6
20 Oxford 7 1 3 3 7 11 -4 6
21 Blackburn 6 1 1 4 6 11 -5 4
22 Sheffield United 6 1 0 5 4 11 -7 3
23 Sheffield Weds 8 0 2 6 3 18 -15 2
24 Norwich 6 0 0 6 4 11 -7 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 7 4 2 1 20 9 +11 14
2 Stoke 8 4 2 2 10 5 +5 14
3 Bristol City 7 3 3 1 11 8 +3 12
4 Middlesbrough 8 3 3 2 10 9 +1 12
5 Blackburn 7 4 0 3 7 6 +1 12
6 Millwall 7 3 3 1 9 10 -1 12
7 QPR 7 3 1 3 9 13 -4 10
8 Wrexham 7 2 3 2 8 7 +1 9
9 Charlton 7 2 3 2 7 7 0 9
10 Norwich 8 2 3 3 9 10 -1 9
11 Southampton 8 2 3 3 11 14 -3 9
12 West Brom 8 3 0 5 7 11 -4 9
13 Preston 6 2 2 2 7 6 +1 8
14 Leicester 7 2 2 3 9 9 0 8
15 Derby 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8
16 Swansea 7 2 2 3 6 6 0 8
17 Hull 7 2 2 3 11 12 -1 8
18 Oxford 7 2 1 4 8 9 -1 7
19 Birmingham 7 2 1 4 4 9 -5 7
20 Sheffield Weds 6 1 3 2 8 8 0 6
21 Portsmouth 6 1 3 2 4 8 -4 6
22 Sheffield United 8 2 0 6 7 15 -8 6
23 Ipswich 5 1 2 2 7 6 +1 5
24 Watford 7 0 3 4 5 10 -5 3

Blackburn   Derby

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 14 4 10 2.8 0.9 9 4 1 39 13 31
2 8 Hull 14 4 10 1.6 1.6 6 4 4 23 22 22
3 11 Watford 15 7 8 1.3 1.2 5 5 5 19 18 20
4 16 QPR 14 6 8 1.2 1.6 5 3 6 17 23 18
5 19 Southampton 14 6 8 1.1 1.4 3 6 5 15 20 15
6 21 Oxford 14 6 8 1.1 1.4 3 4 7 15 20 13
7 24 Sheffield Weds 14 6 8 0.8 1.9 1 5 8 11 26 8
8 5 Millwall 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 7 3 4 16 19 24
9 7 Bristol City 15 8 7 1.5 1.2 6 5 4 22 18 23
10 10 Ipswich 13 6 7 1.7 1.2 5 5 3 22 15 20
11 23 Sheffield United 14 7 7 0.8 1.9 3 0 11 11 26 9
12 3 Middlesbrough 14 8 6 1.2 0.9 7 5 2 17 12 26
13 4 Preston 14 8 6 1.4 0.9 7 4 3 19 13 25
14 9 Birmingham 14 8 6 1.4 1.1 6 3 5 19 15 21
15 14 Wrexham 14 8 6 1.4 1.4 4 6 4 19 19 18
16 18 Blackburn 13 7 6 1.0 1.3 5 1 7 13 17 16
17 22 Norwich 14 8 6 0.9 1.5 2 3 9 13 21 9
18 2 Stoke 14 9 5 1.5 0.6 8 3 3 21 9 27
19 12 Derby 14 9 5 1.3 1.3 5 5 4 18 18 20
20 13 Leicester 14 9 5 1.1 1.1 4 6 4 16 15 18
21 15 West Brom 14 9 5 0.9 1.1 5 3 6 12 15 18
22 17 Swansea 14 9 5 1.0 1.1 4 5 5 14 15 17
23 20 Portsmouth 14 9 5 0.7 1.2 3 5 6 10 17 14
24 6 Charlton 14 10 4 1.1 0.8 6 5 3 16 11 23
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Watford 8 2 6 1.8 1.0 5 2 1 14 8 17
2 8 Hull 7 2 5 1.7 1.4 4 2 1 12 10 14
3 10 Ipswich 8 3 5 1.9 1.1 4 3 1 15 9 15
4 1 Coventry 7 3 4 2.7 0.6 5 2 0 19 4 17
5 4 Preston 8 4 4 1.5 0.9 5 2 1 12 7 17
6 7 Bristol City 8 4 4 1.4 1.2 3 2 3 11 10 11
7 9 Birmingham 7 3 4 2.1 0.9 4 2 1 15 6 14
8 14 Wrexham 7 3 4 1.6 1.7 2 3 2 11 12 9
9 16 QPR 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 2 2 3 8 10 8
10 18 Blackburn 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 1 1 4 6 11 4
11 21 Oxford 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 1 3 3 7 11 6
12 24 Sheffield Weds 8 4 4 0.4 2.2 0 2 6 3 18 2
13 5 Millwall 7 4 3 1.0 1.3 4 0 3 7 9 12
14 17 Swansea 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 2 3 2 8 9 9
15 20 Portsmouth 8 5 3 0.8 1.1 2 2 4 6 9 8
16 22 Norwich 6 3 3 0.7 1.8 0 0 6 4 11 0
17 23 Sheffield United 6 3 3 0.7 1.8 1 0 5 4 11 3
18 2 Stoke 6 4 2 1.8 0.7 4 1 1 11 4 13
19 3 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 1.2 0.5 4 2 0 7 3 14
20 6 Charlton 7 5 2 1.3 0.6 4 2 1 9 4 14
21 12 Derby 8 6 2 1.2 1.2 3 3 2 10 10 12
22 19 Southampton 6 4 2 0.7 1.0 1 3 2 4 6 6
23 13 Leicester 7 6 1 1.0 0.9 2 4 1 7 6 10
24 15 West Brom 6 5 1 0.8 0.7 2 3 1 5 4 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 7 1 6 2.9 1.3 4 2 1 20 9 14
2 19 Southampton 8 2 6 1.4 1.8 2 3 3 11 14 9
3 8 Hull 7 2 5 1.6 1.7 2 2 3 11 12 8
4 3 Middlesbrough 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 3 3 2 10 9 12
5 5 Millwall 7 3 4 1.3 1.4 3 3 1 9 10 12
6 13 Leicester 7 3 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 3 9 9 8
7 15 West Brom 8 4 4 0.9 1.4 3 0 5 7 11 9
8 16 QPR 7 3 4 1.3 1.9 3 1 3 9 13 10
9 21 Oxford 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 2 1 4 8 9 7
10 23 Sheffield United 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 2 0 6 7 15 6
11 24 Sheffield Weds 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 1 3 2 8 8 6
12 2 Stoke 8 5 3 1.2 0.6 4 2 2 10 5 14
13 7 Bristol City 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 3 3 1 11 8 12
14 12 Derby 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 2 2 2 8 8 8
15 22 Norwich 8 5 3 1.1 1.2 2 3 3 9 10 9
16 4 Preston 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 2 2 2 7 6 8
17 6 Charlton 7 5 2 1.0 1.0 2 3 2 7 7 9
18 9 Birmingham 7 5 2 0.6 1.3 2 1 4 4 9 7
19 10 Ipswich 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 1 2 2 7 6 5
20 11 Watford 7 5 2 0.7 1.4 0 3 4 5 10 3
21 14 Wrexham 7 5 2 1.1 1.0 2 3 2 8 7 9
22 17 Swansea 7 5 2 0.9 0.9 2 2 3 6 6 8
23 18 Blackburn 7 5 2 1.0 0.9 4 0 3 7 6 12
24 20 Portsmouth 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 1 3 2 4 8 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40