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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Herczeg

Middlesbrough 4–3 Norwich

Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.79 fair 2.11
Draw 3.90 fair 4.15
Away 3.80 fair 3.51
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.26
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.79

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Norwich
17 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
2.07 Expected goals (xG) 1.62
3 Corners 5
13 Fouls 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (73 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.67 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawNorwich
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 9%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.60scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:5
Norwich before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.67scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 10:9
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Norwich

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.67
1.00 Goals conceded 1.50
2.60 Total goals 3.17
1.98 xG created 1.86
0.91 xG allowed 1.35
17.20 Shots 16.17
4.80 Shots on target 5.83
11.00 Shots faced 12.50
5.20 Corners 4.83
6.00 Corners against 5.33
10.60 Fouls 11.67
1.00 Yellow cards 3.00
0.60 1st-half goals scored 1.17
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

60% Wins 50%
20% Draws 0%
20% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 83%
60% Over 2.5 goals 83%
20% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
80% Both teams scored 67%
20% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 50%
20% Draws 17%
20% Losses 33%
80% Over 0.5 goals 83%
0% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Norwich all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 5:2
Norwich before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:5
Middlesbrough at home away Norwich

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 1.67
3.50 Total goals 2.67
2.34 xG created 1.75
0.98 xG allowed 1.23
19.00 Shots 14.00
6.50 Shots on target 5.33
11.00 Shots faced 12.00
6.00 Corners 4.00
5.50 Corners against 6.00
13.50 Fouls 10.33
0.00 Yellow cards 2.67
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 33%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
100% Over 2.5 goals 67%
50% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 33%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 33%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 67%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Norwich away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.402.15 1.73 2.10
02.09.26 Burnley – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.402.32 1.80 2.00
29.08.26 Middlesbrough – West Brom 3–1 (0–0) 1.713.804.50 1.88 1.98
22.08.26 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 3.503.402.01 2.00 1.85
15.08.26 Middlesbrough – Lincoln 2–1 (0–1) 1.305.508.00 1.67 2.20
02.05.26 Wrexham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–2) 2.573.752.35 1.67 2.20
25.04.26 Middlesbrough – Watford 5–1 (2–0) 1.394.756.50 1.57 2.38
22.04.26 Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (1–0) 1.156.5015.00 1.36 3.20
19.04.26 Ipswich – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.203.503.00 1.80 2.00
11.04.26 Middlesbrough – Portsmouth 0–1 (0–0) 1.494.006.25 1.73 2.10

Norwich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.09.26 Norwich – Birmingham 2–1 (2–0) 1.863.503.90 1.80 2.00
05.09.26 Sheffield United – Norwich 1–3 (1–2) 2.553.302.57 1.80 2.00
01.09.26 Stoke – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 3.403.602.01 1.80 2.00
29.08.26 Norwich – Burnley 4–1 (3–1) 2.203.603.00 1.80 2.00
22.08.26 Millwall – Norwich 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.403.10 2.00 1.85
15.08.26 Norwich – West Brom 1–2 (0–0) 1.913.503.80 1.98 1.88
02.05.26 Hull – Norwich 2–1 (1–1) 1.813.903.80 1.62 2.30
25.04.26 Norwich – Swansea 1–1 (0–0) 1.624.004.75 1.67 2.20
21.04.26 Norwich – Derby 2–1 (1–0) 1.963.503.60 1.83 2.03
18.04.26 Bristol City – Norwich 2–4 (1–0) 2.573.402.50 1.91 1.91

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.26 Middlesbrough – West Brom 3–1 (0–0) 1.713.804.50 1.88 1.98
15.08.26 Middlesbrough – Lincoln 2–1 (0–1) 1.305.508.00 1.67 2.20
25.04.26 Middlesbrough – Watford 5–1 (2–0) 1.394.756.50 1.57 2.38
22.04.26 Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (1–0) 1.156.5015.00 1.36 3.20
11.04.26 Middlesbrough – Portsmouth 0–1 (0–0) 1.494.006.25 1.73 2.10
03.04.26 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–2 (1–0) 1.663.904.50 1.73 2.10
14.03.26 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 1.454.336.50 1.67 2.20
11.03.26 Middlesbrough – Charlton 0–1 (0–0) 1.354.757.50 1.83 2.03
24.02.26 Middlesbrough – Leicester 1–1 (1–1) 1.464.336.00 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 Middlesbrough – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 1.394.337.50 1.80 2.00

Norwich away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Sheffield United – Norwich 1–3 (1–2) 2.553.302.57 1.80 2.00
01.09.26 Stoke – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 3.403.602.01 1.80 2.00
22.08.26 Millwall – Norwich 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.403.10 2.00 1.85
02.05.26 Hull – Norwich 2–1 (1–1) 1.813.903.80 1.62 2.30
18.04.26 Bristol City – Norwich 2–4 (1–0) 2.573.402.50 1.91 1.91
06.04.26 Millwall – Norwich 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.303.25 1.88 1.98
21.03.26 Charlton – Norwich 0–1 (0–1) 3.403.302.10 2.00 1.80
18.03.26 Southampton – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.503.75 1.73 2.10
28.02.26 Leicester – Norwich 0–2 (0–0) 2.403.402.70 1.80 2.00
10.02.26 Oxford – Norwich 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.202.30 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsNorwich wins
8matches
3.25goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26E1 Middlesbrough – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.904.50 1.73 2.10
23.08.25E1 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 2.253.403.10 1.93 1.93
26.04.25E1 Middlesbrough – Norwich 0–0 (0–0) 1.554.335.25 1.53 2.50
27.10.24E1 Norwich – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–3) 2.753.302.50 1.73 2.10
06.03.24E1 Middlesbrough – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.08
24.10.23E1 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.15
14.04.23E1 Middlesbrough – Norwich 5–1 (4–1) 1.913.753.80 1.80 2.00
12.11.22E1 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 1.95 1.90

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Ham 7 4 2 1 20 9 +11 14
2 West Brom 7 4 2 1 10 7 +3 14
3 QPR 7 3 3 1 8 5 +3 12
4 Southampton 6 3 2 1 14 7 +7 11
5 Swansea 6 3 2 1 8 4 +4 11
6 Charlton 6 3 2 1 6 7 -1 11
7 Middlesbrough 5 3 1 1 8 5 +3 10
8 Bristol City 5 3 1 1 9 7 +2 10
9 Birmingham 7 2 4 1 10 9 +1 10
10 Millwall 5 3 0 2 10 8 +2 9
11 Norwich 6 3 0 3 10 9 +1 9
12 Sheffield United 6 2 3 1 8 8 0 9
13 Wolves 5 2 2 1 13 10 +3 8
14 Watford 6 2 2 2 6 7 -1 8
15 Stoke 6 2 1 3 9 10 -1 7
16 Wrexham 7 1 4 2 7 11 -4 7
17 Bolton 7 2 1 4 7 12 -5 7
18 Portsmouth 5 2 0 3 7 8 -1 6
19 Blackburn 6 1 2 3 7 9 -2 5
20 Lincoln 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5
21 Cardiff 7 0 4 3 7 11 -4 4
22 Derby 7 1 1 5 6 13 -7 4
23 Burnley 6 0 3 3 7 13 -6 3
24 Preston 6 1 0 5 6 12 -6 3
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Ham 4 3 0 1 14 4 +10 9
2 Southampton 3 3 0 0 11 3 +8 9
3 West Brom 4 2 2 0 6 3 +3 8
4 Watford 3 2 1 0 5 3 +2 7
5 Charlton 3 2 1 0 3 1 +2 7
6 Millwall 3 2 0 1 7 3 +4 6
7 Stoke 3 2 0 1 6 2 +4 6
8 Norwich 3 2 0 1 7 4 +3 6
9 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
10 Bolton 4 2 0 2 5 5 0 6
11 Swansea 3 1 2 0 2 0 +2 5
12 Wolves 2 1 1 0 6 3 +3 4
13 QPR 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
14 Sheffield United 3 1 1 1 4 5 -1 4
15 Birmingham 3 0 3 0 5 5 0 3
16 Cardiff 3 0 3 0 4 4 0 3
17 Blackburn 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
18 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
19 Portsmouth 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
20 Preston 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
21 Burnley 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
22 Wrexham 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
23 Lincoln 3 0 2 1 2 4 -2 2
24 Derby 4 0 1 3 3 8 -5 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 QPR 4 2 2 0 6 3 +3 8
2 Bristol City 3 2 1 0 7 4 +3 7
3 Birmingham 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
4 Swansea 3 2 0 1 6 4 +2 6
5 West Brom 3 2 0 1 4 4 0 6
6 West Ham 3 1 2 0 6 5 +1 5
7 Sheffield United 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
8 Wrexham 4 1 2 1 4 7 -3 5
9 Wolves 3 1 1 1 7 7 0 4
10 Middlesbrough 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
11 Charlton 3 1 1 1 3 6 -3 4
12 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
13 Lincoln 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
14 Derby 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
15 Millwall 2 1 0 1 3 5 -2 3
16 Norwich 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
17 Blackburn 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
18 Southampton 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
19 Watford 3 0 1 2 1 4 -3 1
20 Cardiff 4 0 1 3 3 7 -4 1
21 Burnley 3 0 1 2 3 8 -5 1
22 Stoke 3 0 1 2 3 8 -5 1
23 Bolton 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 1
24 Preston 3 0 0 3 2 5 -3 0

Middlesbrough   Norwich

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 West Ham 7 1 6 2.9 1.3 4 2 1 20 9 14
2 9 Birmingham 7 2 5 1.4 1.3 2 4 1 10 9 10
3 11 Norwich 6 1 5 1.7 1.5 3 0 3 10 9 9
4 13 Wolves 5 0 5 2.6 2.0 2 2 1 13 10 8
5 19 Blackburn 6 1 5 1.2 1.5 1 2 3 7 9 5
6 22 Derby 7 2 5 0.9 1.9 1 1 5 6 13 4
7 24 Preston 6 1 5 1.0 2.0 1 0 5 6 12 3
8 4 Southampton 6 2 4 2.3 1.2 3 2 1 14 7 11
9 8 Bristol City 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 3 1 1 9 7 10
10 10 Millwall 5 1 4 2.0 1.6 3 0 2 10 8 9
11 12 Sheffield United 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 2 3 1 8 8 9
12 15 Stoke 6 2 4 1.5 1.7 2 1 3 9 10 7
13 17 Bolton 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 2 1 4 7 12 7
14 23 Burnley 6 2 4 1.2 2.2 0 3 3 7 13 3
15 2 West Brom 7 4 3 1.4 1.0 4 2 1 10 7 14
16 3 QPR 7 4 3 1.1 0.7 3 3 1 8 5 12
17 5 Swansea 6 3 3 1.3 0.7 3 2 1 8 4 11
18 6 Charlton 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 3 2 1 6 7 11
19 7 Middlesbrough 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 3 1 1 8 5 10
20 16 Wrexham 7 4 3 1.0 1.6 1 4 2 7 11 7
21 18 Portsmouth 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 2 0 3 7 8 6
22 21 Cardiff 7 4 3 1.0 1.6 0 4 3 7 11 4
23 14 Watford 6 4 2 1.0 1.2 2 2 2 6 7 8
24 20 Lincoln 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 2 4 6 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 West Ham 4 0 4 3.5 1.0 3 0 1 14 4 9
2 4 Southampton 3 0 3 3.7 1.0 3 0 0 11 3 9
3 10 Millwall 3 0 3 2.3 1.0 2 0 1 7 3 6
4 11 Norwich 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 2 0 1 7 4 6
5 19 Blackburn 3 0 3 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
6 22 Derby 4 1 3 0.8 2.0 0 1 3 3 8 1
7 24 Preston 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
8 7 Middlesbrough 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
9 9 Birmingham 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 0 3 0 5 5 3
10 12 Sheffield United 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 1 1 4 5 4
11 13 Wolves 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 1 1 0 6 3 4
12 14 Watford 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 1 0 5 3 7
13 15 Stoke 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 0 1 6 2 6
14 17 Bolton 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 0 2 5 5 6
15 23 Burnley 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
16 2 West Brom 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 2 2 0 6 3 8
17 3 QPR 3 2 1 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
18 6 Charlton 3 2 1 1.0 0.3 2 1 0 3 1 7
19 8 Bristol City 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
20 16 Wrexham 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
21 18 Portsmouth 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
22 20 Lincoln 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 2 1 2 4 2
23 21 Cardiff 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 0 3 0 4 4 3
24 5 Swansea 3 3 0 0.7 0.0 1 2 0 2 0 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Swansea 3 0 3 2.0 1.3 2 0 1 6 4 6
2 8 Bristol City 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 2 1 0 7 4 7
3 9 Birmingham 4 1 3 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
4 13 Wolves 3 0 3 2.3 2.3 1 1 1 7 7 4
5 1 West Ham 3 1 2 2.0 1.7 1 2 0 6 5 5
6 2 West Brom 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 2 0 1 4 4 6
7 3 QPR 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 2 2 0 6 3 8
8 6 Charlton 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 1 3 6 4
9 11 Norwich 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
10 12 Sheffield United 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
11 15 Stoke 3 1 2 1.0 2.7 0 1 2 3 8 1
12 16 Wrexham 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 1 4 7 5
13 17 Bolton 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 1 2 2 7 1
14 18 Portsmouth 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
15 19 Blackburn 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
16 21 Cardiff 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 1 3 3 7 1
17 22 Derby 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
18 23 Burnley 3 1 2 1.0 2.7 0 1 2 3 8 1
19 24 Preston 3 1 2 0.7 1.7 0 0 3 2 5 0
20 4 Southampton 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
21 7 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
22 10 Millwall 2 1 1 1.5 2.5 1 0 1 3 5 3
23 20 Lincoln 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
24 14 Watford 3 3 0 0.3 1.3 0 1 2 1 4 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40