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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Martin

Middlesbrough 1–1 Bristol City

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.45 fair 2.01
Draw ✓ 4.33 fair 3.93
Away 6.50 fair 4.04
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 1.90
Over 2.5 1.67 fair 2.12

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Bristol City
19 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 1
9 Corners 4
10 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (442 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.99
Expected goals 1.55 – 1.01
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 11.9% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.86points / match
1.57scored / match
0.97conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 58:36
Bristol City before this match, all matches
1.35points / match
1.30scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 48:48
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Bristol City

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 1.30
0.97 Goals conceded 1.30
2.54 Total goals 2.59
15.32 Shots 12.92
4.68 Shots on target 4.14
10.19 Shots faced 12.70
6.27 Corners 5.22
4.38 Corners against 4.49
9.49 Fouls 9.73
1.51 Yellow cards 1.70
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.76

How often Full Time

54% Wins 38%
24% Draws 22%
22% Losses 41%
92% Over 0.5 goals 92%
70% Over 1.5 goals 73%
54% Over 2.5 goals 46%
27% Over 3.5 goals 27%
8% Over 4.5 goals 16%
3% Over 5.5 goals 5%
54% Both teams scored 43%
30% Clean sheets 30%
24% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 38%
30% Draws 27%
32% Losses 35%
73% Over 0.5 goals 81%
30% Over 1.5 goals 46%
11% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Bristol City all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
1.94points / match
1.44scored / match
0.72conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 26:13
Bristol City before this match, away
1.39points / match
1.11scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 20:22
Middlesbrough at home away Bristol City

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.11
0.72 Goals conceded 1.22
2.17 Total goals 2.33
15.78 Shots 12.00
4.78 Shots on target 4.11
10.72 Shots faced 12.33
6.72 Corners 5.28
4.78 Corners against 4.89
9.72 Fouls 10.44
1.00 Yellow cards 1.78
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.39 1st-half goals conceded 0.72

How often Full Time

56% Wins 39%
28% Draws 22%
17% Losses 39%
83% Over 0.5 goals 89%
56% Over 1.5 goals 67%
44% Over 2.5 goals 39%
22% Over 3.5 goals 17%
6% Over 4.5 goals 17%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
44% Both teams scored 44%
44% Clean sheets 28%
28% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 39%
44% Draws 28%
22% Losses 33%
61% Over 0.5 goals 78%
28% Over 1.5 goals 44%
17% Over 2.5 goals 28%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Bristol City away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.26 Middlesbrough – Charlton 0–1 (0–0) 1.354.757.50 1.83 2.03
08.03.26 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–1) 3.753.401.96 1.91 1.91
02.03.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.602.57 1.85 2.00
24.02.26 Middlesbrough – Leicester 1–1 (1–1) 1.464.336.00 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 Middlesbrough – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 1.394.337.50 1.80 2.00
16.02.26 Coventry – Middlesbrough 3–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.00 1.73 2.10
09.02.26 Sheffield United – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 2.203.503.10 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 Middlesbrough – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.904.50 1.73 2.10
24.01.26 Middlesbrough – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.514.005.75 1.80 2.00
21.01.26 Stoke – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.30 2.05 1.80

Bristol City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.26 Leicester – Bristol City 2–0 (2–0) 2.203.503.00 1.93 1.93
07.03.26 Bristol City – Coventry 0–2 (0–2) 3.703.601.91 1.73 2.10
27.02.26 Bristol City – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.403.402.65 2.05 1.80
24.02.26 Blackburn – Bristol City 1–2 (1–2) 2.323.203.00 2.20 1.67
21.02.26 Swansea – Bristol City 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.30 2.00 1.85
17.02.26 Bristol City – Wrexham 2–2 (0–1) 2.153.503.20 1.91 1.91
07.02.26 Hull – Bristol City 2–3 (1–2) 2.303.303.00 2.00 1.80
30.01.26 Bristol City – Derby 0–5 (0–3) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
24.01.26 Bristol City – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (0–0) 1.256.008.50 1.62 2.30
20.01.26 Ipswich – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 1.623.755.00 2.00 1.85

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.26 Middlesbrough – Charlton 0–1 (0–0) 1.354.757.50 1.83 2.03
24.02.26 Middlesbrough – Leicester 1–1 (1–1) 1.464.336.00 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 Middlesbrough – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 1.394.337.50 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 Middlesbrough – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.904.50 1.73 2.10
24.01.26 Middlesbrough – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.514.005.75 1.80 2.00
04.01.26 Middlesbrough – Southampton 4–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.73 2.10
29.12.25 Middlesbrough – Hull 0–1 (0–1) 1.623.904.50 1.73 2.10
26.12.25 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.604.33 1.93 1.93
13.12.25 Middlesbrough – QPR 3–1 (2–0) 1.863.703.80 1.91 1.91
29.11.25 Middlesbrough – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.605.00 2.20 1.67

Bristol City away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.26 Leicester – Bristol City 2–0 (2–0) 2.203.503.00 1.93 1.93
24.02.26 Blackburn – Bristol City 1–2 (1–2) 2.323.203.00 2.20 1.67
21.02.26 Swansea – Bristol City 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.30 2.00 1.85
07.02.26 Hull – Bristol City 2–3 (1–2) 2.303.303.00 2.00 1.80
20.01.26 Ipswich – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 1.623.755.00 2.00 1.85
17.01.26 Oxford – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.402.10 2.00 1.85
29.12.25 Millwall – Bristol City 2–1 (1–0) 2.323.252.95 2.00 1.80
26.12.25 West Brom – Bristol City 1–2 (0–2) 2.013.403.50 1.98 1.88
13.12.25 Coventry – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 1.663.754.75 1.67 2.20
29.11.25 Portsmouth – Bristol City 0–1 (0–1) 2.853.402.35 2.00 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsBristol City wins
9matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
78%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25E1 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.653.402.45 1.85 2.00
21.02.25E1 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.00 1.93 1.93
19.10.24E1 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 0–2 (0–2) 1.703.804.75 1.80 2.00
10.02.24E1 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–2 (0–2) 1.704.004.50 1.95 1.90
25.11.23E1 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 3–2 (2–0) 3.603.302.10 2.00 1.85
10.04.23E1 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–0) 3.603.502.05 1.90 1.95
05.11.22E1 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.75 1.90 1.95
19.02.22E1 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 3.803.252.10 2.20 1.66
14.08.21E1 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 2–1 (1–0) 1.803.405.00 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 37 23 8 6 77 38 +39 77
2 Middlesbrough 37 20 9 8 58 36 +22 69
3 Millwall 37 20 8 9 51 41 +10 68
4 Ipswich 36 18 11 7 64 38 +26 65
5 Hull 37 19 6 12 59 53 +6 63
6 Wrexham 37 16 12 9 57 47 +10 60
7 Southampton 36 14 12 10 58 47 +11 54
8 Derby 37 15 9 13 54 48 +6 54
9 Watford 36 13 13 10 46 42 +4 52
10 Birmingham 37 14 10 13 47 47 0 52
11 Swansea 38 15 7 16 44 46 -2 52
12 Bristol City 37 14 8 15 48 48 0 50
13 Sheffield United 37 15 4 18 52 51 +1 49
14 Preston 37 12 13 12 42 46 -4 49
15 Norwich 36 14 6 16 49 45 +4 48
16 Stoke 37 13 9 15 42 39 +3 48
17 Charlton 37 12 11 14 35 44 -9 47
18 QPR 37 13 8 16 46 59 -13 47
19 Leicester 37 11 11 15 50 57 -7 44
20 Portsmouth 36 10 10 16 36 47 -11 40
21 Blackburn 37 10 9 18 34 48 -14 39
22 Oxford 37 9 11 17 35 48 -13 38
23 West Brom 37 9 10 18 36 54 -18 37
24 Sheffield Weds 37 1 9 27 23 74 -51 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 18 14 3 1 39 13 +26 45
2 Ipswich 19 12 6 1 35 13 +22 42
3 Millwall 19 11 3 5 27 21 +6 36
4 Middlesbrough 18 10 5 3 26 13 +13 35
5 Swansea 19 10 5 4 28 19 +9 35
6 Birmingham 18 9 7 2 32 18 +14 34
7 Wrexham 20 9 6 5 36 30 +6 33
8 Watford 18 9 5 4 26 19 +7 32
9 Southampton 17 8 6 3 26 14 +12 30
10 Hull 19 9 3 7 29 31 -2 30
11 Charlton 18 8 4 6 18 18 0 28
12 Sheffield United 18 8 3 7 29 21 +8 27
13 Derby 19 7 6 6 26 25 +1 27
14 Preston 19 7 6 6 23 23 0 27
15 Stoke 18 7 5 6 26 20 +6 26
16 QPR 18 8 2 8 29 30 -1 26
17 Bristol City 19 7 4 8 28 26 +2 25
18 Leicester 18 7 4 7 25 25 0 25
19 West Brom 18 6 7 5 20 23 -3 25
20 Portsmouth 18 6 4 8 19 19 0 22
21 Norwich 18 7 1 10 21 23 -2 22
22 Oxford 18 5 6 7 16 23 -7 21
23 Blackburn 19 4 6 9 18 25 -7 18
24 Sheffield Weds 19 0 5 14 10 39 -29 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 19 10 4 5 32 23 +9 34
2 Hull 18 10 3 5 30 22 +8 33
3 Coventry 19 9 5 5 38 25 +13 32
4 Millwall 18 9 5 4 24 20 +4 32
5 Derby 18 8 3 7 28 23 +5 27
6 Wrexham 17 7 6 4 21 17 +4 27
7 Norwich 18 7 5 6 28 22 +6 26
8 Bristol City 18 7 4 7 20 22 -2 25
9 Southampton 19 6 6 7 32 33 -1 24
10 Ipswich 17 6 5 6 29 25 +4 23
11 Stoke 19 6 4 9 16 19 -3 22
12 Preston 18 5 7 6 19 23 -4 22
13 Sheffield United 19 7 1 11 23 30 -7 22
14 Blackburn 18 6 3 9 16 23 -7 21
15 QPR 19 5 6 8 17 29 -12 21
16 Watford 18 4 8 6 20 23 -3 20
17 Leicester 19 4 7 8 25 32 -7 19
18 Charlton 19 4 7 8 17 26 -9 19
19 Portsmouth 18 4 6 8 17 28 -11 18
20 Birmingham 19 5 3 11 15 29 -14 18
21 Oxford 19 4 5 10 19 25 -6 17
22 Swansea 19 5 2 12 16 27 -11 17
23 West Brom 19 3 3 13 16 31 -15 12
24 Sheffield Weds 18 1 4 13 13 35 -22 7

Middlesbrough   Bristol City

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Hull 37 13 24 1.6 1.4 19 6 12 59 53 63
2 1 Coventry 37 14 23 2.1 1.0 23 8 6 77 38 77
3 18 QPR 37 14 23 1.2 1.6 13 8 16 46 59 47
4 19 Leicester 37 15 22 1.4 1.5 11 11 15 50 57 44
5 7 Southampton 36 15 21 1.6 1.3 14 12 10 58 47 54
6 13 Sheffield United 37 16 21 1.4 1.4 15 4 18 52 51 49
7 24 Sheffield Weds 37 16 21 0.6 2.0 1 9 27 23 74 12
8 2 Middlesbrough 37 17 20 1.6 1.0 20 9 8 58 36 69
9 4 Ipswich 36 17 19 1.8 1.1 18 11 7 64 38 65
10 8 Derby 37 18 19 1.5 1.3 15 9 13 54 48 54
11 22 Oxford 37 18 19 0.9 1.3 9 11 17 35 48 38
12 3 Millwall 37 19 18 1.4 1.1 20 8 9 51 41 68
13 10 Birmingham 37 19 18 1.3 1.3 14 10 13 47 47 52
14 15 Norwich 36 18 18 1.4 1.2 14 6 16 49 45 48
15 6 Wrexham 37 20 17 1.5 1.3 16 12 9 57 47 60
16 11 Swansea 38 21 17 1.2 1.2 15 7 16 44 46 52
17 12 Bristol City 37 20 17 1.3 1.3 14 8 15 48 48 50
18 23 West Brom 37 20 17 1.0 1.5 9 10 18 36 54 37
19 9 Watford 36 20 16 1.3 1.2 13 13 10 46 42 52
20 14 Preston 37 21 16 1.1 1.2 12 13 12 42 46 49
21 16 Stoke 37 21 16 1.1 1.1 13 9 15 42 39 48
22 20 Portsmouth 36 20 16 1.0 1.3 10 10 16 36 47 40
23 21 Blackburn 37 22 15 0.9 1.3 10 9 18 34 48 39
24 17 Charlton 37 24 13 0.9 1.2 12 11 14 35 44 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 QPR 18 4 14 1.6 1.7 8 2 8 29 30 26
2 5 Hull 19 7 12 1.5 1.6 9 3 7 29 31 30
3 13 Sheffield United 18 6 12 1.6 1.2 8 3 7 29 21 27
4 1 Coventry 18 7 11 2.2 0.7 14 3 1 39 13 45
5 6 Wrexham 20 9 11 1.8 1.5 9 6 5 36 30 33
6 3 Millwall 19 9 10 1.4 1.1 11 3 5 27 21 36
7 4 Ipswich 19 9 10 1.8 0.7 12 6 1 35 13 42
8 12 Bristol City 19 9 10 1.5 1.4 7 4 8 28 26 25
9 16 Stoke 18 8 10 1.4 1.1 7 5 6 26 20 26
10 24 Sheffield Weds 19 9 10 0.5 2.1 0 5 14 10 39 5
11 10 Birmingham 18 9 9 1.8 1.0 9 7 2 32 18 34
12 14 Preston 19 10 9 1.2 1.2 7 6 6 23 23 27
13 15 Norwich 18 9 9 1.2 1.3 7 1 10 21 23 22
14 19 Leicester 18 9 9 1.4 1.4 7 4 7 25 25 25
15 22 Oxford 18 9 9 0.9 1.3 5 6 7 16 23 21
16 2 Middlesbrough 18 10 8 1.4 0.7 10 5 3 26 13 35
17 7 Southampton 17 9 8 1.5 0.8 8 6 3 26 14 30
18 8 Derby 19 11 8 1.4 1.3 7 6 6 26 25 27
19 9 Watford 18 10 8 1.4 1.1 9 5 4 26 19 32
20 11 Swansea 19 11 8 1.5 1.0 10 5 4 28 19 35
21 20 Portsmouth 18 10 8 1.1 1.1 6 4 8 19 19 22
22 21 Blackburn 19 12 7 0.9 1.3 4 6 9 18 25 18
23 23 West Brom 18 11 7 1.1 1.3 6 7 5 20 23 25
24 17 Charlton 18 12 6 1.0 1.0 8 4 6 18 18 28
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Southampton 19 6 13 1.7 1.7 6 6 7 32 33 24
2 19 Leicester 19 6 13 1.3 1.7 4 7 8 25 32 19
3 1 Coventry 19 7 12 2.0 1.3 9 5 5 38 25 32
4 2 Middlesbrough 19 7 12 1.7 1.2 10 4 5 32 23 34
5 5 Hull 18 6 12 1.7 1.2 10 3 5 30 22 33
6 8 Derby 18 7 11 1.6 1.3 8 3 7 28 23 27
7 24 Sheffield Weds 18 7 11 0.7 1.9 1 4 13 13 35 7
8 22 Oxford 19 9 10 1.0 1.3 4 5 10 19 25 17
9 23 West Brom 19 9 10 0.8 1.6 3 3 13 16 31 12
10 4 Ipswich 17 8 9 1.7 1.5 6 5 6 29 25 23
11 10 Birmingham 19 10 9 0.8 1.5 5 3 11 15 29 18
12 11 Swansea 19 10 9 0.8 1.4 5 2 12 16 27 17
13 13 Sheffield United 19 10 9 1.2 1.6 7 1 11 23 30 22
14 15 Norwich 18 9 9 1.6 1.2 7 5 6 28 22 26
15 18 QPR 19 10 9 0.9 1.5 5 6 8 17 29 21
16 3 Millwall 18 10 8 1.3 1.1 9 5 4 24 20 32
17 9 Watford 18 10 8 1.1 1.3 4 8 6 20 23 20
18 20 Portsmouth 18 10 8 0.9 1.6 4 6 8 17 28 18
19 21 Blackburn 18 10 8 0.9 1.3 6 3 9 16 23 21
20 12 Bristol City 18 11 7 1.1 1.2 7 4 7 20 22 25
21 14 Preston 18 11 7 1.1 1.3 5 7 6 19 23 22
22 17 Charlton 19 12 7 0.9 1.4 4 7 8 17 26 19
23 6 Wrexham 17 11 6 1.2 1.0 7 6 4 21 17 27
24 16 Stoke 19 13 6 0.8 1.0 6 4 9 16 19 22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51