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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: L Smith

Lincoln 1–3 Birmingham

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2026/2027

Home 3.20 fair 2.97
Draw 3.50 fair 3.98
Away ✓ 2.10 fair 2.43
Under 2.5 1.91 fair 2.14
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.91 fair 1.87

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lincoln Birmingham
12 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 7
1.59 Expected goals (xG) 2.07
3 Corners 3
14 Fouls 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (145 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 1.32 – 1.49
Home / Draw / Away
LincolnDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 0–1 8.9% 1–2 8.8%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Lincoln before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
1.08scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 13:20
Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.67scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 20:12
Lincoln all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 1.67
1.67 Goals conceded 1.00
2.75 Total goals 2.67
1.32 xG created 1.70
1.46 xG allowed 1.38
12.33 Shots 13.17
3.08 Shots on target 4.58
15.67 Shots faced 12.08
3.50 Corners 5.50
7.92 Corners against 4.42
12.83 Fouls 12.75
2.33 Yellow cards 2.08
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.83
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

33% Wins 42%
25% Draws 42%
42% Losses 17%
92% Over 0.5 goals 92%
67% Over 1.5 goals 75%
58% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Over 4.5 goals 0%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 58%
33% Clean sheets 33%
25% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 33%
42% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 92%
25% Over 1.5 goals 42%
8% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln all matches
Birmingham all matches
Lincoln before this match, at home
0.83points / match
1.17scored / match
2.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:13
Birmingham before this match, away
1.67points / match
1.00scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:5
Lincoln at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 1.00
2.17 Goals conceded 0.83
3.33 Total goals 1.83
1.72 xG created 1.80
1.45 xG allowed 1.31
15.17 Shots 12.33
3.50 Shots on target 4.50
14.50 Shots faced 12.50
4.00 Corners 6.17
5.50 Corners against 5.17
12.00 Fouls 13.00
1.67 Yellow cards 2.17
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

17% Wins 50%
33% Draws 17%
50% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
83% Over 1.5 goals 50%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 50%
17% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 33%
33% Draws 33%
50% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln at home
Birmingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lincoln all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.26 Lincoln – Burnley 4–1 (1–1) 3.003.402.25 1.90 1.95
17.10.26 Millwall – Lincoln 2–2 (0–2) 1.613.805.00 1.80 2.00
14.10.26 Lincoln – West Ham 0–6 (0–1) 5.003.801.62 1.67 2.20
10.10.26 Sheffield United – Lincoln 3–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.40 2.00 1.80
19.09.26 Lincoln – Swansea 1–2 (1–0) 2.753.302.45 1.91 1.91
15.09.26 Bristol City – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 1.793.604.10 2.03 1.83
12.09.26 Preston – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.88 1.98
05.09.26 Lincoln – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 4.203.801.76 1.73 2.10
01.09.26 Lincoln – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.10 1.93 1.93
29.08.26 Bolton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.75 2.05 1.80

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.26 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.653.602.40 1.57 2.38
17.10.26 Birmingham – QPR 3–0 (1–0) 1.963.503.60 1.91 1.91
13.10.26 Birmingham – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.514.205.75 1.73 2.10
10.10.26 West Brom – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.353.303.00 2.00 1.80
19.09.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (0–1) 2.753.602.30 1.67 2.20
12.09.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–2 (1–1) 3.403.302.10 2.10 1.73
09.09.26 Norwich – Birmingham 2–1 (2–0) 1.863.503.90 1.80 2.00
06.09.26 Birmingham – Wolves 2–2 (2–2) 2.853.252.35 2.10 1.73
01.09.26 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.302.57 1.80 2.00
28.08.26 Wrexham – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.403.30 2.00 1.80

Lincoln at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.26 Lincoln – Burnley 4–1 (1–1) 3.003.402.25 1.90 1.95
14.10.26 Lincoln – West Ham 0–6 (0–1) 5.003.801.62 1.67 2.20
19.09.26 Lincoln – Swansea 1–2 (1–0) 2.753.302.45 1.91 1.91
05.09.26 Lincoln – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 4.203.801.76 1.73 2.10
01.09.26 Lincoln – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.10 1.93 1.93
22.08.26 Lincoln – Portsmouth 1–3 (1–2) 2.353.402.75 2.00 1.85
25.04.26E2 Lincoln – Wycombe 4–3 (2–0) 1.713.603.70 1.88 1.98
11.04.26E2 Lincoln – Leyton Orient 2–1 (2–0) 1.513.806.00 1.88 1.98
03.04.26E2 Lincoln – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.424.337.00 1.83 2.03
21.03.26E2 Lincoln – Rotherham 3–0 (3–0) 1.354.757.00 1.70 2.10

Birmingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.26 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.653.602.40 1.57 2.38
10.10.26 West Brom – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.353.303.00 2.00 1.80
12.09.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–2 (1–1) 3.403.302.10 2.10 1.73
09.09.26 Norwich – Birmingham 2–1 (2–0) 1.863.503.90 1.80 2.00
28.08.26 Wrexham – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.403.30 2.00 1.80
15.08.26 Sheffield United – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.75 2.03 1.83
02.05.26 Portsmouth – Birmingham 1–1 (1–1) 2.353.502.70 1.80 2.00
18.04.26 Hull – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 2.403.502.70 1.85 2.00
06.04.26 Ipswich – Birmingham 2–1 (2–1) 1.573.755.50 1.88 1.98
21.03.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Lincoln winsDrawsBirmingham wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.25E2 Birmingham – Lincoln 1–0 (0–0) 1.503.806.50 2.08 1.73
19.10.24E2 Lincoln – Birmingham 1–3 (1–1) 4.003.301.91 2.05 1.75

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Middlesbrough 12 7 4 1 27 17 +10 25 DDWWDW
2 Southampton 12 7 3 2 24 12 +12 24 WLWWDW
3 Swansea 12 7 2 3 16 13 +3 23 WWWWLL
4 West Ham 12 6 4 2 32 15 +17 22 WDDWWL
5 Wolves 12 6 3 3 20 16 +4 21 WLLWDW
6 West Brom 12 6 3 3 16 13 +3 21 DLLWWD
7 Birmingham 12 5 5 2 20 12 +8 20 WDWWWL
8 QPR 12 5 5 2 20 12 +8 20 DDDWLW
9 Stoke 12 6 2 4 18 16 +2 20 WWWLWD
10 Sheffield United 13 5 4 4 17 15 +2 19 LWLWDW
11 Blackburn 12 5 3 4 19 16 +3 18 WDWWLW
12 Portsmouth 12 5 3 4 16 15 +1 18 DLWWDW
13 Millwall 12 4 3 5 19 20 -1 15 DDWLDL
14 Bristol City 12 4 3 5 12 15 -3 15 LWDLLD
15 Lincoln 12 4 3 5 13 20 -7 15 WLLLDW
16 Cardiff 12 3 5 4 19 17 +2 14 LWLWDW
17 Wrexham 13 3 5 5 15 19 -4 14 WDLWLL
18 Bolton 12 4 2 6 16 23 -7 14 WWLWDL
19 Charlton 12 3 5 4 11 18 -7 14 DLDDLL
20 Norwich 12 4 0 8 20 22 -2 12 LLLLLW
21 Watford 12 3 2 7 10 20 -10 11 LLLLWL
22 Burnley 12 1 5 6 17 25 -8 8 LDWDLL
23 Derby 12 1 4 7 10 21 -11 7 LDDLLD
24 Preston 12 1 2 9 10 25 -15 5 LDLLLD
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Southampton 6 5 1 0 16 4 +12 16 WWWWWD
2 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 0 14 9 +5 14 WWWDWD
3 Cardiff 6 3 3 0 13 6 +7 12 DDDWWW
4 Blackburn 6 4 0 2 11 7 +4 12 WLLWWW
5 QPR 6 3 2 1 13 5 +8 11 DWLDWW
6 Swansea 6 3 2 1 7 3 +4 11 DWDWWL
7 Wolves 6 3 2 1 10 7 +3 11 DWWLDW
8 West Brom 6 3 2 1 9 6 +3 11 WDWDLW
9 Sheffield United 7 3 2 2 9 7 +2 11 WLLWDW
10 West Ham 6 3 1 2 17 8 +9 10 LWWWDL
11 Birmingham 6 2 4 0 14 7 +7 10 DDDDWW
12 Stoke 6 3 1 2 10 6 +4 10 LWWWLD
13 Portsmouth 6 3 1 2 10 10 0 10 LLWDWW
14 Watford 6 3 1 2 8 9 -1 10 WDWLLW
15 Charlton 6 2 3 1 5 5 0 9 WWDDDL
16 Millwall 6 2 2 2 11 8 +3 8 WLWDLD
17 Wrexham 6 2 2 2 10 8 +2 8 DLDWLW
18 Norwich 6 2 0 4 10 10 0 6 LWWLLL
19 Bristol City 6 2 0 4 3 6 -3 6 LWLWLL
20 Bolton 6 2 0 4 7 12 -5 6 WLLWLL
21 Lincoln 6 1 2 3 7 13 -6 5 LDDLLW
22 Burnley 6 0 4 2 8 10 -2 4 DDLDDL
23 Preston 6 1 1 4 5 10 -5 4 LLWLLD
24 Derby 6 0 2 4 4 10 -6 2 DLLLDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 West Ham 6 3 3 0 15 7 +8 12 DDWDWW
2 Swansea 6 4 0 2 9 10 -1 12 WWLWWL
3 Middlesbrough 6 3 2 1 13 8 +5 11 LDWDWW
4 Wolves 6 3 1 2 10 9 +1 10 WLDWLW
5 Birmingham 6 3 1 2 6 5 +1 10 DWLWWL
6 West Brom 6 3 1 2 7 7 0 10 WLWLWD
7 Lincoln 6 3 1 2 6 7 -1 10 LWWWLD
8 Stoke 6 3 1 2 8 10 -2 10 LLDWWW
9 Bristol City 6 2 3 1 9 9 0 9 DWWLDD
10 QPR 6 2 3 1 7 7 0 9 WWDDDL
11 Portsmouth 6 2 2 2 6 5 +1 8 WLDLWD
12 Sheffield United 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8 DDWLLW
13 Southampton 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8 LDDLWW
14 Bolton 6 2 2 2 9 11 -2 8 DLLWWD
15 Millwall 6 2 1 3 8 12 -4 7 WLLDWL
16 Blackburn 6 1 3 2 8 9 -1 6 DDLDWL
17 Norwich 6 2 0 4 10 12 -2 6 LLWLLW
18 Wrexham 7 1 3 3 5 11 -6 6 WDLDLL
19 Derby 6 1 2 3 6 11 -5 5 LWLDLD
20 Charlton 6 1 2 3 6 13 -7 5 WDLLDL
21 Burnley 6 1 1 4 9 15 -6 4 LLDLWL
22 Cardiff 6 0 2 4 6 11 -5 2 DLLLLD
23 Watford 6 0 1 5 2 11 -9 1 DLLLLL
24 Preston 6 0 1 5 5 15 -10 1 LLLDLL

Lincoln   Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Middlesbrough 12 3 9 2.2 1.4 7 4 1 27 17 25 OOUOOO
2 4 West Ham 12 3 9 2.7 1.2 6 4 2 32 15 22 OOUOUO
3 11 Blackburn 12 3 9 1.6 1.3 5 3 4 19 16 18 OOOUOU
4 13 Millwall 12 3 9 1.6 1.7 4 3 5 19 20 15 OOUUOO
5 20 Norwich 12 3 9 1.7 1.8 4 0 8 20 22 12 OOOUUO
6 22 Burnley 12 3 9 1.4 2.1 1 5 6 17 25 8 OUOOOO
7 7 Birmingham 12 4 8 1.7 1.0 5 5 2 20 12 20 OOUOOU
8 9 Stoke 12 4 8 1.5 1.3 6 2 4 18 16 20 OOOOUU
9 18 Bolton 12 4 8 1.3 1.9 4 2 6 16 23 14 UOOOUO
10 24 Preston 12 4 8 0.8 2.1 1 2 9 10 25 5 UOUOOU
11 2 Southampton 12 5 7 2.0 1.0 7 3 2 24 12 24 OOUUUO
12 3 Swansea 12 5 7 1.3 1.1 7 2 3 16 13 23 OOOUUO
13 5 Wolves 12 5 7 1.7 1.3 6 3 3 20 16 21 UUOOUU
14 8 QPR 12 5 7 1.7 1.0 5 5 2 20 12 20 UOUOOO
15 10 Sheffield United 13 6 7 1.3 1.2 5 4 4 17 15 19 OOOUUU
16 15 Lincoln 12 5 7 1.1 1.7 4 3 5 13 20 15 UOOOOO
17 16 Cardiff 12 5 7 1.6 1.4 3 5 4 19 17 14 UOOOOU
18 12 Portsmouth 12 6 6 1.3 1.2 5 3 4 16 15 18 OUOUUO
19 17 Wrexham 13 7 6 1.2 1.5 3 5 5 15 19 14 OUOOUU
20 19 Charlton 12 6 6 0.9 1.5 3 5 4 11 18 14 UOUOUO
21 23 Derby 12 6 6 0.8 1.8 1 4 7 10 21 7 OUUOUU
22 6 West Brom 12 7 5 1.3 1.1 6 3 3 16 13 21 UUUOOU
23 14 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.0 1.2 4 3 5 12 15 15 UUUUUU
24 21 Watford 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 3 2 7 10 20 11 OUOOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Middlesbrough 6 1 5 2.3 1.5 4 2 0 14 9 14 OOOOUO
2 4 West Ham 6 1 5 2.8 1.3 3 1 2 17 8 10 OOOOUO
3 7 Birmingham 6 1 5 2.3 1.2 2 4 0 14 7 10 OUOOOO
4 11 Blackburn 6 1 5 1.8 1.2 4 0 2 11 7 12 OOOOOU
5 13 Millwall 6 1 5 1.8 1.3 2 2 2 11 8 8 OOOOUO
6 2 Southampton 6 2 4 2.7 0.7 5 1 0 16 4 16 OOOOUU
7 8 QPR 6 2 4 2.2 0.8 3 2 1 13 5 11 UOUOOO
8 9 Stoke 6 2 4 1.7 1.0 3 1 2 10 6 10 OUOOOU
9 12 Portsmouth 6 2 4 1.7 1.7 3 1 2 10 10 10 OUUOOO
10 15 Lincoln 6 2 4 1.2 2.2 1 2 3 7 13 5 OUUOOO
11 17 Wrexham 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 2 2 2 10 8 8 UOUOOO
12 18 Bolton 6 2 4 1.2 2.0 2 0 4 7 12 6 OUOUOO
13 20 Norwich 6 2 4 1.7 1.7 2 0 4 10 10 6 OOOOUU
14 21 Watford 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 3 1 2 8 9 10 OUOOOU
15 22 Burnley 6 2 4 1.3 1.7 0 4 2 8 10 4 OUOUOO
16 5 Wolves 6 3 3 1.7 1.2 3 2 1 10 7 11 OOUOUU
17 10 Sheffield United 7 4 3 1.3 1.0 3 2 2 9 7 11 OOUOUU
18 16 Cardiff 6 3 3 2.2 1.0 3 3 0 13 6 12 UOUOOU
19 23 Derby 6 3 3 0.7 1.7 0 2 4 4 10 2 OOUOUU
20 24 Preston 6 3 3 0.8 1.7 1 1 4 5 10 4 OOOUUU
21 3 Swansea 6 4 2 1.2 0.5 3 2 1 7 3 11 UUUOOU
22 6 West Brom 6 4 2 1.5 1.0 3 2 1 9 6 11 OUUUUO
23 19 Charlton 6 4 2 0.8 0.8 2 3 1 5 5 9 OUUUUO
24 14 Bristol City 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 2 0 4 3 6 6 UOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Swansea 6 1 5 1.5 1.7 4 0 2 9 10 12 OOOOUO
2 20 Norwich 6 1 5 1.7 2.0 2 0 4 10 12 6 OUOOOO
3 22 Burnley 6 1 5 1.5 2.5 1 1 4 9 15 4 OOUOOO
4 24 Preston 6 1 5 0.8 2.5 0 1 5 5 15 1 OUOOOO
5 1 Middlesbrough 6 2 4 2.2 1.3 3 2 1 13 8 11 OUUOOO
6 4 West Ham 6 2 4 2.5 1.2 3 3 0 15 7 12 OUOOOU
7 5 Wolves 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 3 1 2 10 9 10 OOOUUO
8 9 Stoke 6 2 4 1.3 1.7 3 1 2 8 10 10 OOUOOU
9 10 Sheffield United 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 2 8 8 8 UOOOOU
10 11 Blackburn 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 1 3 2 8 9 6 OUOOUO
11 13 Millwall 6 2 4 1.3 2.0 2 1 3 8 12 7 UOOOUO
12 14 Bristol City 6 2 4 1.5 1.5 2 3 1 9 9 9 OOOOUU
13 16 Cardiff 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 0 2 4 6 11 2 OOUUOO
14 18 Bolton 6 2 4 1.5 1.8 2 2 2 9 11 8 UOOOOU
15 19 Charlton 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 1 2 3 6 13 5 OUOOOU
16 2 Southampton 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 2 2 2 8 8 8 OUUOUO
17 6 West Brom 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 3 1 2 7 7 10 OOUUOU
18 7 Birmingham 6 3 3 1.0 0.8 3 1 2 6 5 10 UOOOUU
19 8 QPR 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 3 1 7 7 9 OOUUUO
20 15 Lincoln 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 3 1 2 6 7 10 OUUUOO
21 23 Derby 6 3 3 1.0 1.8 1 2 3 6 11 5 OUOUOU
22 12 Portsmouth 6 4 2 1.0 0.8 2 2 2 6 5 8 OOUUUU
23 17 Wrexham 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 1 3 3 5 11 6 OUOUUU
24 21 Watford 6 5 1 0.3 1.8 0 1 5 2 11 1 UUUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47