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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Backhouse

Birmingham 1–1 Southampton

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2026/2027

Home 2.50 fair 2.45
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 4.13
Away 2.57 fair 2.86
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.37
Over 2.5 1.80 fair 1.73

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Southampton
16 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
1.55 Expected goals (xG) 1.02
3 Corners 5
12 Fouls 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (42 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.57 – 1.44
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawSouthampton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 2–1 8.8% 1–2 8%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.33scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:3
Southampton before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
3.00scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 9:4
Birmingham all matches all matches Southampton

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 3.00
1.00 Goals conceded 1.33
2.33 Total goals 4.33
1.45 xG created 2.41
1.04 xG allowed 0.95
9.00 Shots 18.67
2.67 Shots on target 5.00
8.67 Shots faced 15.33
7.00 Corners 6.67
2.67 Corners against 5.67
13.00 Fouls 8.33
1.33 Yellow cards 2.67
0.67 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 67%
67% Draws 0%
0% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 100%
33% Over 3.5 goals 67%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 33%
67% Both teams scored 100%
33% Clean sheets 0%
33% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
67% Draws 33%
0% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Southampton all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
1.00points / match
2.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 2:2
Southampton before this match, away
0.00points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 1:2
Birmingham at home away Southampton

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded 2.00
4.00 Total goals 3.00
1.97 xG created 1.71
1.42 xG allowed 0.81
8.00 Shots 17.00
2.00 Shots on target 3.00
14.00 Shots faced 16.00
7.00 Corners 8.00
3.00 Corners against 4.00
13.00 Fouls 9.00
2.00 Yellow cards 3.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 2.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
100% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Southampton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.08.26 Wrexham – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.403.30 2.00 1.80
22.08.26 Birmingham – Bristol City 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.754.33 1.80 2.00
15.08.26 Sheffield United – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.75 2.03 1.83
02.05.26 Portsmouth – Birmingham 1–1 (1–1) 2.353.502.70 1.80 2.00
25.04.26 Birmingham – Bristol City 2–1 (2–0) 1.683.804.75 1.80 2.00
22.04.26 Birmingham – Preston 2–1 (2–1) 1.573.504.75 1.93 1.93
18.04.26 Hull – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 2.403.502.70 1.85 2.00
12.04.26 Birmingham – Wrexham 2–0 (0–0) 2.013.503.50 1.80 2.00
06.04.26 Ipswich – Birmingham 2–1 (2–1) 1.573.755.50 1.88 1.98
03.04.26 Birmingham – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.20 1.67

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.26 Southampton – Millwall 5–1 (2–1) 1.913.603.60 1.83 2.03
22.08.26 Southampton – Stoke 3–1 (1–1) 1.574.005.00 1.73 2.10
16.08.26 Watford – Southampton 2–1 (2–0) 3.403.502.05 1.73 2.10
02.05.26 Preston – Southampton 1–3 (0–1) 3.104.002.01 1.57 2.38
28.04.26 Southampton – Ipswich 2–2 (0–0) 2.103.403.10 1.73 2.10
21.04.26 Southampton – Bristol City 2–2 (1–1) 1.394.338.00 1.73 2.10
18.04.26 Swansea – Southampton 1–2 (1–0) 3.704.331.76 1.80 2.00
14.04.26 Southampton – Blackburn 3–0 (2–0) 1.514.105.75 1.88 1.98
11.04.26 Southampton – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.804.20 1.80 2.00
07.04.26 Wrexham – Southampton 1–5 (1–2) 2.573.252.57 1.80 2.00

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.08.26 Birmingham – Bristol City 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.754.33 1.80 2.00
25.04.26 Birmingham – Bristol City 2–1 (2–0) 1.683.804.75 1.80 2.00
22.04.26 Birmingham – Preston 2–1 (2–1) 1.573.504.75 1.93 1.93
12.04.26 Birmingham – Wrexham 2–0 (0–0) 2.013.503.50 1.80 2.00
03.04.26 Birmingham – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.20 1.67
14.03.26 Birmingham – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–1) 2.013.503.50 1.91 1.91
11.03.26 Birmingham – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.754.50 2.00 1.85
02.03.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.602.57 1.85 2.00
10.02.26 Birmingham – West Brom 0–0 (0–0) 1.813.404.33 2.10 1.73
07.02.26 Birmingham – Leicester 2–1 (1–1) 1.663.804.50 1.91 1.91

Southampton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.08.26 Watford – Southampton 2–1 (2–0) 3.403.502.05 1.73 2.10
02.05.26 Preston – Southampton 1–3 (0–1) 3.104.002.01 1.57 2.38
18.04.26 Swansea – Southampton 1–2 (1–0) 3.704.331.76 1.80 2.00
07.04.26 Wrexham – Southampton 1–5 (1–2) 2.573.252.57 1.80 2.00
14.03.26 Coventry – Southampton 1–2 (0–0) 1.713.804.10 1.67 2.20
11.03.26 West Brom – Southampton 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.502.35 1.98 1.88
28.02.26 Sheffield Weds – Southampton 1–3 (0–2) 9.505.251.27 1.57 2.38
10.02.26 Leicester – Southampton 3–4 (3–0) 3.103.402.20 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 Stoke – Southampton 0–2 (0–1) 2.853.402.30 1.90 1.95
25.01.26 Portsmouth – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.203.402.10 1.91 1.91

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham winsDrawsSouthampton wins
4matches
4.25goals / match
75%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.25E1 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.80 2.00
06.12.25E1 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 2.253.502.85 1.93 1.93
02.03.24E1 Birmingham – Southampton 3–4 (2–1) 4.003.801.85 1.62 2.25
28.10.23E1 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.604.005.50 1.80 2.00

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 4 3 1 0 7 1 +6 10
2 Charlton 3 3 0 0 5 2 +3 9
3 Wolves 4 2 1 1 11 8 +3 7
4 QPR 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
5 Bristol City 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7
6 Southampton 3 2 0 1 9 4 +5 6
7 Middlesbrough 3 2 0 1 6 4 +2 6
8 Millwall 3 2 0 1 6 5 +1 6
9 West Brom 3 2 0 1 6 5 +1 6
10 Sheffield United 4 1 3 0 5 4 +1 6
11 West Ham 4 1 2 1 8 7 +1 5
12 Birmingham 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
13 Blackburn 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
14 Watford 4 1 2 1 4 5 -1 5
15 Bolton 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
16 Derby 4 1 1 2 5 7 -2 4
17 Lincoln 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
18 Cardiff 3 0 3 0 5 5 0 3
19 Norwich 3 1 0 2 5 6 -1 3
20 Portsmouth 4 1 0 3 5 8 -3 3
21 Wrexham 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
22 Burnley 3 0 1 2 4 9 -5 1
23 Preston 4 0 0 4 3 9 -6 0
24 Stoke 3 0 0 3 3 9 -6 0
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 2 2 0 0 8 2 +6 6
2 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
3 Charlton 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
4 Wolves 2 1 1 0 6 3 +3 4
5 Swansea 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
6 Sheffield United 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
7 Watford 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
8 Millwall 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
9 Norwich 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3
10 West Brom 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
11 West Ham 2 1 0 1 5 4 +1 3
12 Blackburn 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
13 Bolton 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
14 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
15 Cardiff 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
16 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
17 Burnley 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
18 QPR 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
19 Wrexham 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
20 Lincoln 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
21 Derby 2 0 1 1 2 5 -3 1
22 Stoke 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
23 Preston 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0
24 Portsmouth 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
2 QPR 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
3 Bristol City 2 1 1 0 5 3 +2 4
4 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
5 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
6 Derby 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
7 Charlton 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
8 Wolves 2 1 0 1 5 5 0 3
9 Lincoln 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
10 West Brom 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
11 Millwall 2 1 0 1 3 5 -2 3
12 West Ham 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
13 Blackburn 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
14 Sheffield United 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
15 Cardiff 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
16 Wrexham 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
17 Bolton 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
18 Watford 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
19 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
20 Southampton 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
21 Preston 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
22 Norwich 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
23 Burnley 2 0 0 2 2 7 -5 0
24 Stoke 2 0 0 2 2 7 -5 0

Birmingham   Southampton

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Wolves 4 0 4 2.8 2.0 2 1 1 11 8 7
2 5 Bristol City 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7
3 6 Southampton 3 0 3 3.0 1.3 2 0 1 9 4 6
4 7 Middlesbrough 3 0 3 2.0 1.3 2 0 1 6 4 6
5 9 West Brom 3 0 3 2.0 1.7 2 0 1 6 5 6
6 11 West Ham 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 1 2 1 8 7 5
7 13 Blackburn 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
8 16 Derby 4 1 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 2 5 7 4
9 19 Norwich 3 0 3 1.7 2.0 1 0 2 5 6 3
10 20 Portsmouth 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 1 0 3 5 8 3
11 22 Burnley 3 0 3 1.3 3.0 0 1 2 4 9 1
12 23 Preston 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 0 0 4 3 9 0
13 24 Stoke 3 0 3 1.0 3.0 0 0 3 3 9 0
14 1 Swansea 4 2 2 1.8 0.2 3 1 0 7 1 10
15 2 Charlton 3 1 2 1.7 0.7 3 0 0 5 2 9
16 4 QPR 3 1 2 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
17 8 Millwall 3 1 2 2.0 1.7 2 0 1 6 5 6
18 10 Sheffield United 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 1 3 0 5 4 6
19 12 Birmingham 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
20 15 Bolton 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
21 17 Lincoln 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
22 18 Cardiff 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 0 3 0 5 5 3
23 14 Watford 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 2 1 4 5 5
24 21 Wrexham 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Wolves 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 1 1 0 6 3 4
2 6 Southampton 2 0 2 4.0 1.0 2 0 0 8 2 6
3 7 Middlesbrough 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
4 11 West Ham 2 0 2 2.5 2.0 1 0 1 5 4 3
5 13 Blackburn 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
6 16 Derby 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 0 1 1 2 5 1
7 19 Norwich 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 1 0 1 5 3 3
8 23 Preston 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0
9 2 Charlton 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
10 5 Bristol City 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
11 8 Millwall 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
12 9 West Brom 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
13 10 Sheffield United 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
14 12 Birmingham 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
15 14 Watford 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
16 15 Bolton 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
17 17 Lincoln 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
18 18 Cardiff 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
19 20 Portsmouth 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
20 21 Wrexham 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
21 22 Burnley 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
22 24 Stoke 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
23 1 Swansea 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
24 4 QPR 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Swansea 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
2 3 Wolves 2 0 2 2.5 2.5 1 0 1 5 5 3
3 4 QPR 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
4 5 Bristol City 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 1 1 0 5 3 4
5 9 West Brom 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
6 20 Portsmouth 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
7 22 Burnley 2 0 2 1.0 3.5 0 0 2 2 7 0
8 24 Stoke 2 0 2 1.0 3.5 0 0 2 2 7 0
9 2 Charlton 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
10 6 Southampton 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
11 7 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
12 8 Millwall 2 1 1 1.5 2.5 1 0 1 3 5 3
13 10 Sheffield United 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
14 11 West Ham 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
15 12 Birmingham 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
16 13 Blackburn 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
17 15 Bolton 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
18 16 Derby 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
19 17 Lincoln 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
20 18 Cardiff 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
21 19 Norwich 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
22 23 Preston 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
23 14 Watford 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
24 21 Wrexham 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51