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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Webb

Birmingham 2–2 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2026/2027

Home 2.75 fair 2.32
Draw ✓ 3.60 fair 4.11
Away 2.30 fair 3.07
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.30
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.77

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Middlesbrough
15 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
1.23 Expected goals (xG) 2.14
5 Corners 3
11 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (87 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.59 – 1.36
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 2–1 9% 1–0 8.3%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.43scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:9
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 14:10
Birmingham all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 2.00
1.29 Goals conceded 1.43
2.71 Total goals 3.43
1.73 xG created 1.92
1.25 xG allowed 1.12
13.00 Shots 17.86
4.14 Shots on target 5.29
11.71 Shots faced 11.29
6.14 Corners 6.14
4.71 Corners against 5.14
12.71 Fouls 9.86
2.00 Yellow cards 1.14
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.86
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

29% Wins 57%
57% Draws 29%
14% Losses 14%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 86%
71% Over 2.5 goals 71%
29% Over 3.5 goals 43%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
86% Both teams scored 86%
14% Clean sheets 14%
14% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 57%
57% Draws 14%
29% Losses 29%
86% Over 0.5 goals 86%
57% Over 1.5 goals 29%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.67scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:5
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.33points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:3
Birmingham at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.00
1.67 Goals conceded 1.00
3.33 Total goals 2.00
1.64 xG created 1.73
1.64 xG allowed 0.86
13.00 Shots 16.00
3.67 Shots on target 3.67
12.33 Shots faced 11.00
6.00 Corners 4.67
4.00 Corners against 6.33
14.00 Fouls 8.67
2.33 Yellow cards 1.67
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
1.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 33%
100% Draws 33%
0% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 33%
67% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 67%
0% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 100%
67% Draws 0%
33% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 0%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.09.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–2 (1–1) 3.403.302.10 2.10 1.73
09.09.26 Norwich – Birmingham 2–1 (2–0) 1.863.503.90 1.80 2.00
06.09.26 Birmingham – Wolves 2–2 (2–2) 2.853.252.35 2.10 1.73
01.09.26 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.302.57 1.80 2.00
28.08.26 Wrexham – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.403.30 2.00 1.80
22.08.26 Birmingham – Bristol City 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.754.33 1.80 2.00
15.08.26 Sheffield United – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.75 2.03 1.83
02.05.26 Portsmouth – Birmingham 1–1 (1–1) 2.353.502.70 1.80 2.00
25.04.26 Birmingham – Bristol City 2–1 (2–0) 1.683.804.75 1.80 2.00
22.04.26 Birmingham – Preston 2–1 (2–1) 1.573.504.75 1.93 1.93

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.09.26 Middlesbrough – Millwall 2–2 (0–2) 1.424.756.50 1.57 2.38
12.09.26 Middlesbrough – Norwich 4–3 (3–1) 1.793.903.80 1.57 2.38
05.09.26 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.402.15 1.73 2.10
02.09.26 Burnley – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.402.32 1.80 2.00
29.08.26 Middlesbrough – West Brom 3–1 (0–0) 1.713.804.50 1.88 1.98
22.08.26 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 3.503.402.01 2.00 1.85
15.08.26 Middlesbrough – Lincoln 2–1 (0–1) 1.305.508.00 1.67 2.20
02.05.26 Wrexham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–2) 2.573.752.35 1.67 2.20
25.04.26 Middlesbrough – Watford 5–1 (2–0) 1.394.756.50 1.57 2.38
22.04.26 Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (1–0) 1.156.5015.00 1.36 3.20

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.09.26 Birmingham – Wolves 2–2 (2–2) 2.853.252.35 2.10 1.73
01.09.26 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.302.57 1.80 2.00
22.08.26 Birmingham – Bristol City 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.754.33 1.80 2.00
25.04.26 Birmingham – Bristol City 2–1 (2–0) 1.683.804.75 1.80 2.00
22.04.26 Birmingham – Preston 2–1 (2–1) 1.573.504.75 1.93 1.93
12.04.26 Birmingham – Wrexham 2–0 (0–0) 2.013.503.50 1.80 2.00
03.04.26 Birmingham – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.20 1.67
14.03.26 Birmingham – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–1) 2.013.503.50 1.91 1.91
11.03.26 Birmingham – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.754.50 2.00 1.85
02.03.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.602.57 1.85 2.00

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.402.15 1.73 2.10
02.09.26 Burnley – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.402.32 1.80 2.00
22.08.26 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 3.503.402.01 2.00 1.85
02.05.26 Wrexham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–2) 2.573.752.35 1.67 2.20
19.04.26 Ipswich – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.203.503.00 1.80 2.00
06.04.26 Swansea – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–1) 3.803.601.86 1.88 1.98
21.03.26 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.601.81 1.93 1.93
08.03.26 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–1) 3.753.401.96 1.91 1.91
02.03.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.602.57 1.85 2.00
16.02.26 Coventry – Middlesbrough 3–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.00 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
8matches
2.25goals / match
38%over 2.5
38%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.26E1 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.602.57 1.85 2.00
08.11.25E1 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.252.65 2.30 1.62
12.03.24E1 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
21.10.23E1 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.90 1.95
02.01.23E1 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–0) 3.103.402.30 2.10 1.73
05.10.22E1 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 1.653.755.75 2.02 1.83
15.03.22E1 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.05 2.10 1.72
30.10.21E1 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Ham 8 4 3 1 22 11 +11 15
2 Southampton 7 4 2 1 18 8 +10 14
3 Swansea 7 4 2 1 11 5 +6 14
4 Middlesbrough 7 4 2 1 14 10 +4 14
5 West Brom 7 4 2 1 10 7 +3 14
6 Stoke 8 4 1 3 13 12 +1 13
7 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 11 12 -1 13
8 QPR 7 3 3 1 8 5 +3 12
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 7 10 -3 12
10 Wolves 6 3 2 1 14 10 +4 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15 15 0 11
12 Lincoln 7 3 2 2 6 6 0 11
13 Birmingham 7 2 4 1 10 9 +1 10
14 Norwich 7 3 0 4 13 13 0 9
15 Sheffield United 8 2 3 3 9 11 -2 9
16 Blackburn 7 2 2 3 10 10 0 8
17 Watford 8 2 2 4 7 10 -3 8
18 Portsmouth 6 2 1 3 7 8 -1 7
19 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10 12 -2 7
20 Wrexham 7 1 4 2 7 11 -4 7
21 Bolton 7 2 1 4 7 12 -5 7
22 Derby 7 1 1 5 6 13 -7 4
23 Preston 7 1 0 6 6 13 -7 3
24 Burnley 7 0 3 4 8 16 -8 3
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 4 4 0 0 15 4 +11 12
2 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 0 11 7 +4 10
3 West Ham 4 3 0 1 14 4 +10 9
4 Stoke 4 3 0 1 8 3 +5 9
5 Swansea 4 2 2 0 5 1 +4 8
6 West Brom 4 2 2 0 6 3 +3 8
7 Charlton 4 2 2 0 3 1 +2 8
8 Millwall 4 2 1 1 9 5 +4 7
9 Watford 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7
10 Norwich 3 2 0 1 7 4 +3 6
11 Cardiff 4 1 3 0 7 5 +2 6
12 Blackburn 4 2 0 2 7 6 +1 6
13 Bolton 4 2 0 2 5 5 0 6
14 Bristol City 4 2 0 2 3 4 -1 6
15 Wolves 2 1 1 0 6 3 +3 4
16 QPR 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
17 Sheffield United 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
18 Birmingham 3 0 3 0 5 5 0 3
19 Portsmouth 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
20 Preston 4 1 0 3 4 8 -4 3
21 Burnley 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
22 Wrexham 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
23 Lincoln 3 0 2 1 2 4 -2 2
24 Derby 4 0 1 3 3 8 -5 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 4 3 0 1 4 2 +2 9
2 QPR 4 2 2 0 6 3 +3 8
3 Wolves 4 2 1 1 8 7 +1 7
4 Birmingham 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
5 Bristol City 4 2 1 1 8 8 0 7
6 Swansea 3 2 0 1 6 4 +2 6
7 West Ham 4 1 3 0 8 7 +1 6
8 West Brom 3 2 0 1 4 4 0 6
9 Sheffield United 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
10 Wrexham 4 1 2 1 4 7 -3 5
11 Portsmouth 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4
12 Middlesbrough 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
13 Millwall 4 1 1 2 6 10 -4 4
14 Stoke 4 1 1 2 5 9 -4 4
15 Charlton 4 1 1 2 4 9 -5 4
16 Derby 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
17 Norwich 4 1 0 3 6 9 -3 3
18 Blackburn 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
19 Southampton 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
20 Cardiff 4 0 1 3 3 7 -4 1
21 Watford 4 0 1 3 1 5 -4 1
22 Bolton 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 1
23 Burnley 4 0 1 3 4 11 -7 1
24 Preston 3 0 0 3 2 5 -3 0

Birmingham   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 West Ham 8 1 7 2.8 1.4 4 3 1 22 11 15
2 11 Millwall 8 1 7 1.9 1.9 3 2 3 15 15 11
3 6 Stoke 8 2 6 1.6 1.5 4 1 3 13 12 13
4 14 Norwich 7 1 6 1.9 1.9 3 0 4 13 13 9
5 16 Blackburn 7 1 6 1.4 1.4 2 2 3 10 10 8
6 2 Southampton 7 2 5 2.6 1.1 4 2 1 18 8 14
7 4 Middlesbrough 7 2 5 2.0 1.4 4 2 1 14 10 14
8 7 Bristol City 8 3 5 1.4 1.5 4 1 3 11 12 13
9 10 Wolves 6 1 5 2.3 1.7 3 2 1 14 10 11
10 13 Birmingham 7 2 5 1.4 1.3 2 4 1 10 9 10
11 15 Sheffield United 8 3 5 1.1 1.4 2 3 3 9 11 9
12 22 Derby 7 2 5 0.9 1.9 1 1 5 6 13 4
13 23 Preston 7 2 5 0.9 1.9 1 0 6 6 13 3
14 24 Burnley 7 2 5 1.1 2.3 0 3 4 8 16 3
15 3 Swansea 7 3 4 1.6 0.7 4 2 1 11 5 14
16 9 Charlton 8 4 4 0.9 1.2 3 3 2 7 10 12
17 19 Cardiff 8 4 4 1.2 1.5 1 4 3 10 12 7
18 21 Bolton 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 2 1 4 7 12 7
19 5 West Brom 7 4 3 1.4 1.0 4 2 1 10 7 14
20 8 QPR 7 4 3 1.1 0.7 3 3 1 8 5 12
21 17 Watford 8 5 3 0.9 1.2 2 2 4 7 10 8
22 18 Portsmouth 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 2 1 3 7 8 7
23 20 Wrexham 7 4 3 1.0 1.6 1 4 2 7 11 7
24 12 Lincoln 7 5 2 0.9 0.9 3 2 2 6 6 11
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 West Ham 4 0 4 3.5 1.0 3 0 1 14 4 9
2 2 Southampton 4 0 4 3.8 1.0 4 0 0 15 4 12
3 4 Middlesbrough 4 0 4 2.8 1.8 3 1 0 11 7 10
4 11 Millwall 4 0 4 2.2 1.2 2 1 1 9 5 7
5 16 Blackburn 4 0 4 1.8 1.5 2 0 2 7 6 6
6 6 Stoke 4 1 3 2.0 0.8 3 0 1 8 3 9
7 14 Norwich 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 2 0 1 7 4 6
8 17 Watford 4 1 3 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7
9 22 Derby 4 1 3 0.8 2.0 0 1 3 3 8 1
10 23 Preston 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 1 0 3 4 8 3
11 10 Wolves 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 1 1 0 6 3 4
12 13 Birmingham 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 0 3 0 5 5 3
13 15 Sheffield United 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
14 19 Cardiff 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 1 3 0 7 5 6
15 21 Bolton 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 0 2 5 5 6
16 24 Burnley 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
17 3 Swansea 4 3 1 1.2 0.2 2 2 0 5 1 8
18 5 West Brom 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 2 2 0 6 3 8
19 7 Bristol City 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 2 0 2 3 4 6
20 8 QPR 3 2 1 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
21 9 Charlton 4 3 1 0.8 0.2 2 2 0 3 1 8
22 12 Lincoln 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 2 1 2 4 2
23 18 Portsmouth 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
24 20 Wrexham 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Bristol City 4 0 4 2.0 2.0 2 1 1 8 8 7
2 1 West Ham 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 1 3 0 8 7 6
3 3 Swansea 3 0 3 2.0 1.3 2 0 1 6 4 6
4 6 Stoke 4 1 3 1.2 2.2 1 1 2 5 9 4
5 9 Charlton 4 1 3 1.0 2.2 1 1 2 4 9 4
6 10 Wolves 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 2 1 1 8 7 7
7 11 Millwall 4 1 3 1.5 2.5 1 1 2 6 10 4
8 13 Birmingham 4 1 3 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
9 14 Norwich 4 1 3 1.5 2.2 1 0 3 6 9 3
10 15 Sheffield United 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
11 24 Burnley 4 1 3 1.0 2.8 0 1 3 4 11 1
12 5 West Brom 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 2 0 1 4 4 6
13 8 QPR 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 2 2 0 6 3 8
14 16 Blackburn 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
15 18 Portsmouth 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4
16 19 Cardiff 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 1 3 3 7 1
17 20 Wrexham 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 1 4 7 5
18 21 Bolton 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 1 2 2 7 1
19 22 Derby 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
20 23 Preston 3 1 2 0.7 1.7 0 0 3 2 5 0
21 2 Southampton 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
22 4 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
23 12 Lincoln 4 3 1 1.0 0.5 3 0 1 4 2 9
24 17 Watford 4 4 0 0.2 1.2 0 1 3 1 5 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38