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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: M Edwards

Morecambe 1–1 Derby

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 4.50 fair 3.34
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 3.63
Away 1.80 fair 2.35
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 1.74
Over 2.5 1.98 fair 2.36

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Morecambe Derby
10 Shots 27
5 Shots on target 11
3 Corners 11
9 Fouls 5
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (195 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.06 – 1.32
Home / Draw / Away
MorecambeDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 0–1 12.2% 1–0 9.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Morecambe before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
0.75scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 12:26
Derby before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
1.27scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 19:14
Morecambe all matches all matches Derby

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 1.27
1.63 Goals conceded 0.93
2.38 Total goals 2.20
8.75 Shots 13.73
3.13 Shots on target 4.40
17.69 Shots faced 10.53
2.88 Corners 6.47
7.31 Corners against 5.00
13.06 Fouls 10.07
2.25 Yellow cards 1.67
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.27

How often Full Time

13% Wins 47%
38% Draws 20%
50% Losses 33%
94% Over 0.5 goals 80%
75% Over 1.5 goals 60%
50% Over 2.5 goals 47%
19% Over 3.5 goals 13%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
56% Both teams scored 40%
13% Clean sheets 40%
38% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 40%
44% Draws 47%
38% Losses 13%
75% Over 0.5 goals 53%
31% Over 1.5 goals 27%
0% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Morecambe all matches
Derby all matches
Morecambe before this match, at home
0.71points / match
0.57scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 4:12
Derby before this match, away
1.14points / match
0.71scored / match
0.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 5:4
Morecambe at home away Derby

Per match

0.57 Goals scored 0.71
1.71 Goals conceded 0.57
2.29 Total goals 1.29
9.00 Shots 13.43
3.14 Shots on target 4.14
19.00 Shots faced 10.14
3.29 Corners 6.00
6.43 Corners against 5.29
13.71 Fouls 9.43
1.86 Yellow cards 1.43
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.14

How often Full Time

14% Wins 29%
29% Draws 29%
57% Losses 43%
86% Over 0.5 goals 71%
71% Over 1.5 goals 43%
57% Over 2.5 goals 14%
14% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 0%
29% Clean sheets 57%
43% Failed to score 71%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 29%
43% Draws 57%
14% Losses 14%
71% Over 0.5 goals 43%
29% Over 1.5 goals 14%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Morecambe at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Morecambe all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22 Wycombe – Morecambe 1–1 (1–0) 1.504.336.50 1.65 2.20
25.10.22 Cheltenham – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.07 1.72
22.10.22 Morecambe – Barnsley 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.501.90 2.00 1.85
15.10.22 Burton – Morecambe 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.755.00 1.80 2.00
08.10.22 Morecambe – Ipswich 1–2 (1–0) 8.504.331.40 1.90 1.95
01.10.22 Accrington – Morecambe 3–1 (0–0) 1.663.605.25 1.88 1.98
24.09.22 Morecambe – Cambridge 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.302.37 2.05 1.75
17.09.22 Forest Green – Morecambe 1–2 (1–1) 1.903.504.00 1.98 1.88
13.09.22 Morecambe – Sheffield Weds 0–3 (0–0) 8.504.501.40 1.88 1.98
03.09.22 Bristol Rvs – Morecambe 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.603.60 1.95 1.90

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22 Derby – Bristol Rvs 4–2 (4–2) 1.723.804.75 1.75 2.05
25.10.22 Derby – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.88 1.98
21.10.22 Ipswich – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 2.05 1.75
15.10.22 Accrington – Derby 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.502.25 1.90 1.95
08.10.22 Derby – Port Vale 1–2 (1–0) 1.663.805.50 2.15 1.73
01.10.22 Cambridge – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.15 2.02 1.83
17.09.22 Derby – Wycombe 2–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.00 1.95 1.90
13.09.22 Lincoln – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 4.503.501.83 2.15 1.66
03.09.22 Derby – Plymouth 2–3 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.05 1.75
27.08.22 Derby – Peterboro 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 1.85 2.00

Morecambe at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.22 Morecambe – Barnsley 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.501.90 2.00 1.85
08.10.22 Morecambe – Ipswich 1–2 (1–0) 8.504.331.40 1.90 1.95
24.09.22 Morecambe – Cambridge 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.302.37 2.05 1.75
13.09.22 Morecambe – Sheffield Weds 0–3 (0–0) 8.504.501.40 1.88 1.98
27.08.22 Morecambe – Milton Keynes Dons 0–4 (0–2) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.77
13.08.22 Morecambe – Fleetwood Town 1–1 (1–0) 2.403.303.00 2.02 1.83
30.07.22 Morecambe – Shrewsbury 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.45 2.15 1.73
30.04.22 Morecambe – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.801.72 1.80 2.00
18.04.22 Morecambe – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–1) 3.253.602.15 1.90 1.95
05.04.22 Morecambe – Oxford 2–1 (2–1) 4.003.601.90 1.72 2.07

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.22 Ipswich – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 2.05 1.75
15.10.22 Accrington – Derby 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.502.25 1.90 1.95
01.10.22 Cambridge – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.15 2.02 1.83
13.09.22 Lincoln – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 4.503.501.83 2.15 1.66
20.08.22 Fleetwood Town – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.07 1.72
16.08.22 Shrewsbury – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.202.25 2.35 1.57
06.08.22 Charlton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.202.62 2.10 1.70
30.04.22E1 Blackpool – Derby 0–2 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.98 1.88
18.04.22E1 QPR – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 2.10 1.72
09.04.22E1 Swansea – Derby 2–1 (2–1) 2.103.303.75 2.20 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 17 13 2 2 36 19 +17 41
2 Ipswich 17 11 4 2 35 18 +17 37
3 Sheffield Weds 17 10 4 3 33 16 +17 34
4 Peterboro 17 10 1 6 32 19 +13 31
5 Portsmouth 15 7 6 2 25 17 +8 27
6 Bolton 16 8 3 5 19 14 +5 27
7 Barnsley 16 7 3 6 19 14 +5 24
8 Derby 15 7 3 5 19 14 +5 24
9 Charlton 17 5 8 4 27 23 +4 23
10 Exeter 17 6 4 7 28 25 +3 22
11 Shrewsbury 16 6 4 6 16 18 -2 22
12 Port Vale 16 6 4 6 18 22 -4 22
13 Wycombe 16 6 3 7 21 21 0 21
14 Lincoln 15 5 6 4 17 18 -1 21
15 Fleetwood Town 16 4 8 4 16 14 +2 20
16 Bristol Rvs 17 5 5 7 27 31 -4 20
17 Cambridge 17 6 1 10 18 29 -11 19
18 Oxford 15 5 3 7 18 18 0 18
19 Cheltenham 16 5 3 8 13 20 -7 18
20 Accrington 16 4 4 8 17 28 -11 16
21 Milton Keynes Dons 16 4 2 10 15 22 -7 14
22 Forest Green 17 3 4 10 15 35 -20 13
23 Morecambe 16 2 6 8 12 26 -14 12
24 Burton 17 3 3 11 20 35 -15 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 9 9 0 0 19 5 +14 27
2 Peterboro 9 7 1 1 21 4 +17 22
3 Bolton 9 6 1 2 13 7 +6 19
4 Sheffield Weds 9 5 3 1 22 11 +11 18
5 Ipswich 8 5 2 1 15 6 +9 17
6 Charlton 9 4 4 1 20 12 +8 16
7 Derby 8 5 1 2 14 10 +4 16
8 Portsmouth 8 3 5 0 14 8 +6 14
9 Exeter 8 4 1 3 14 11 +3 13
10 Barnsley 8 4 1 3 10 8 +2 13
11 Cheltenham 9 4 1 4 10 12 -2 13
12 Port Vale 9 3 3 3 11 11 0 12
13 Cambridge 8 4 0 4 9 12 -3 12
14 Wycombe 8 3 2 3 12 9 +3 11
15 Fleetwood Town 9 2 5 2 8 6 +2 11
16 Shrewsbury 7 3 1 3 7 9 -2 10
17 Accrington 8 2 3 3 12 15 -3 9
18 Bristol Rvs 8 2 3 3 12 15 -3 9
19 Lincoln 6 1 5 0 7 5 +2 8
20 Oxford 7 2 1 4 7 9 -2 7
21 Burton 8 2 1 5 5 13 -8 7
22 Forest Green 8 2 0 6 5 15 -10 6
23 Morecambe 7 1 2 4 4 12 -8 5
24 Milton Keynes Dons 8 1 1 6 6 14 -8 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 9 6 2 1 20 12 +8 20
2 Sheffield Weds 8 5 1 2 11 5 +6 16
3 Plymouth 8 4 2 2 17 14 +3 14
4 Portsmouth 7 4 1 2 11 9 +2 13
5 Lincoln 9 4 1 4 10 13 -3 13
6 Shrewsbury 9 3 3 3 9 9 0 12
7 Barnsley 8 3 2 3 9 6 +3 11
8 Oxford 8 3 2 3 11 9 +2 11
9 Bristol Rvs 9 3 2 4 15 16 -1 11
10 Milton Keynes Dons 8 3 1 4 9 8 +1 10
11 Wycombe 8 3 1 4 9 12 -3 10
12 Port Vale 7 3 1 3 7 11 -4 10
13 Exeter 9 2 3 4 14 14 0 9
14 Fleetwood Town 7 2 3 2 8 8 0 9
15 Peterboro 8 3 0 5 11 15 -4 9
16 Derby 7 2 2 3 5 4 +1 8
17 Bolton 7 2 2 3 6 7 -1 8
18 Charlton 8 1 4 3 7 11 -4 7
19 Morecambe 9 1 4 4 8 14 -6 7
20 Cambridge 9 2 1 6 9 17 -8 7
21 Accrington 8 2 1 5 5 13 -8 7
22 Forest Green 9 1 4 4 10 20 -10 7
23 Cheltenham 7 1 2 4 3 8 -5 5
24 Burton 9 1 2 6 15 22 -7 5

Morecambe   Derby

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 17 5 12 2.1 1.1 13 2 2 36 19 41
2 2 Ipswich 17 6 11 2.1 1.1 11 4 2 35 18 37
3 4 Peterboro 17 6 11 1.9 1.1 10 1 6 32 19 31
4 16 Bristol Rvs 17 6 11 1.6 1.8 5 5 7 27 31 20
5 10 Exeter 17 7 10 1.6 1.5 6 4 7 28 25 22
6 22 Forest Green 17 7 10 0.9 2.1 3 4 10 15 35 13
7 12 Port Vale 16 7 9 1.1 1.4 6 4 6 18 22 22
8 13 Wycombe 16 7 9 1.3 1.3 6 3 7 21 21 21
9 17 Cambridge 17 8 9 1.1 1.7 6 1 10 18 29 19
10 20 Accrington 16 7 9 1.1 1.8 4 4 8 17 28 16
11 24 Burton 17 8 9 1.2 2.1 3 3 11 20 35 12
12 3 Sheffield Weds 17 9 8 1.9 0.9 10 4 3 33 16 34
13 23 Morecambe 16 8 8 0.8 1.6 2 6 8 12 26 12
14 5 Portsmouth 15 8 7 1.7 1.1 7 6 2 25 17 27
15 8 Derby 15 8 7 1.3 0.9 7 3 5 19 14 24
16 9 Charlton 17 10 7 1.6 1.4 5 8 4 27 23 23
17 11 Shrewsbury 16 9 7 1.0 1.1 6 4 6 16 18 22
18 18 Oxford 15 8 7 1.2 1.2 5 3 7 18 18 18
19 21 Milton Keynes Dons 16 9 7 0.9 1.4 4 2 10 15 22 14
20 7 Barnsley 16 10 6 1.2 0.9 7 3 6 19 14 24
21 19 Cheltenham 16 10 6 0.8 1.2 5 3 8 13 20 18
22 6 Bolton 16 11 5 1.2 0.9 8 3 5 19 14 27
23 15 Fleetwood Town 16 11 5 1.0 0.9 4 8 4 16 14 20
24 14 Lincoln 15 11 4 1.1 1.2 5 6 4 17 18 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Sheffield Weds 9 3 6 2.4 1.2 5 3 1 22 11 18
2 8 Derby 8 2 6 1.8 1.2 5 1 2 14 10 16
3 1 Plymouth 9 4 5 2.1 0.6 9 0 0 19 5 27
4 4 Peterboro 9 4 5 2.3 0.4 7 1 1 21 4 22
5 10 Exeter 8 3 5 1.8 1.4 4 1 3 14 11 13
6 12 Port Vale 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 3 3 3 11 11 12
7 16 Bristol Rvs 8 3 5 1.5 1.9 2 3 3 12 15 9
8 20 Accrington 8 3 5 1.5 1.9 2 3 3 12 15 9
9 22 Forest Green 8 3 5 0.6 1.9 2 0 6 5 15 6
10 2 Ipswich 8 4 4 1.9 0.8 5 2 1 15 6 17
11 5 Portsmouth 8 4 4 1.8 1.0 3 5 0 14 8 14
12 6 Bolton 9 5 4 1.4 0.8 6 1 2 13 7 19
13 9 Charlton 9 5 4 2.2 1.3 4 4 1 20 12 16
14 11 Shrewsbury 7 3 4 1.0 1.3 3 1 3 7 9 10
15 13 Wycombe 8 4 4 1.5 1.1 3 2 3 12 9 11
16 18 Oxford 7 3 4 1.0 1.3 2 1 4 7 9 7
17 19 Cheltenham 9 5 4 1.1 1.3 4 1 4 10 12 13
18 23 Morecambe 7 3 4 0.6 1.7 1 2 4 4 12 5
19 7 Barnsley 8 5 3 1.2 1.0 4 1 3 10 8 13
20 17 Cambridge 8 5 3 1.1 1.5 4 0 4 9 12 12
21 21 Milton Keynes Dons 8 5 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 6 6 14 4
22 15 Fleetwood Town 9 7 2 0.9 0.7 2 5 2 8 6 11
23 24 Burton 8 6 2 0.6 1.6 2 1 5 5 13 7
24 14 Lincoln 6 5 1 1.2 0.8 1 5 0 7 5 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 8 1 7 2.1 1.8 4 2 2 17 14 14
2 2 Ipswich 9 2 7 2.2 1.3 6 2 1 20 12 20
3 24 Burton 9 2 7 1.7 2.4 1 2 6 15 22 5
4 4 Peterboro 8 2 6 1.4 1.9 3 0 5 11 15 9
5 16 Bristol Rvs 9 3 6 1.7 1.8 3 2 4 15 16 11
6 17 Cambridge 9 3 6 1.0 1.9 2 1 6 9 17 7
7 10 Exeter 9 4 5 1.6 1.6 2 3 4 14 14 9
8 13 Wycombe 8 3 5 1.1 1.5 3 1 4 9 12 10
9 22 Forest Green 9 4 5 1.1 2.2 1 4 4 10 20 7
10 12 Port Vale 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 3 1 3 7 11 10
11 20 Accrington 8 4 4 0.6 1.6 2 1 5 5 13 7
12 21 Milton Keynes Dons 8 4 4 1.1 1.0 3 1 4 9 8 10
13 23 Morecambe 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 1 4 4 8 14 7
14 5 Portsmouth 7 4 3 1.6 1.3 4 1 2 11 9 13
15 7 Barnsley 8 5 3 1.1 0.8 3 2 3 9 6 11
16 9 Charlton 8 5 3 0.9 1.4 1 4 3 7 11 7
17 11 Shrewsbury 9 6 3 1.0 1.0 3 3 3 9 9 12
18 14 Lincoln 9 6 3 1.1 1.4 4 1 4 10 13 13
19 15 Fleetwood Town 7 4 3 1.1 1.1 2 3 2 8 8 9
20 18 Oxford 8 5 3 1.4 1.1 3 2 3 11 9 11
21 3 Sheffield Weds 8 6 2 1.4 0.6 5 1 2 11 5 16
22 19 Cheltenham 7 5 2 0.4 1.1 1 2 4 3 8 5
23 6 Bolton 7 6 1 0.9 1.0 2 2 3 6 7 8
24 8 Derby 7 6 1 0.7 0.6 2 2 3 5 4 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51