Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: J Durkin

Luton 2–1 Northampton

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.30 fair 1.71
Draw 5.00 fair 4.27
Away 8.00 fair 5.49
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 1.93
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.60 fair 2.07

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Northampton
25 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
11 Corners 5
7 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (504 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.75 – 0.86
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawNorthampton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.9% 2–0 11.3% 1–1 11.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
1.49points / match
1.39scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 57:50
Northampton before this match, all matches
0.85points / match
0.83scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 34:60
Luton all matches all matches Northampton

Per match

1.39 Goals scored 0.83
1.22 Goals conceded 1.46
2.61 Total goals 2.29
12.59 Shots 9.12
3.88 Shots on target 2.78
9.85 Shots faced 13.83
5.93 Corners 4.93
4.34 Corners against 5.20
11.80 Fouls 9.95
1.63 Yellow cards 1.34
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.32
0.51 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

41% Wins 22%
24% Draws 20%
34% Losses 59%
98% Over 0.5 goals 88%
73% Over 1.5 goals 68%
51% Over 2.5 goals 44%
27% Over 3.5 goals 22%
12% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 2%
51% Both teams scored 44%
29% Clean sheets 24%
22% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

37% Wins 12%
39% Draws 44%
24% Losses 44%
71% Over 0.5 goals 68%
32% Over 1.5 goals 24%
15% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Northampton all matches
Luton before this match, at home
1.86points / match
1.57scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 33:22
Northampton before this match, away
0.62points / match
0.67scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 14:36
Luton at home away Northampton

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 0.67
1.05 Goals conceded 1.71
2.62 Total goals 2.38
14.38 Shots 8.67
4.67 Shots on target 2.33
8.43 Shots faced 16.67
6.81 Corners 4.57
4.38 Corners against 6.33
11.48 Fouls 10.00
1.33 Yellow cards 1.19
0.95 1st-half goals scored 0.19
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.81

How often Full Time

52% Wins 14%
29% Draws 19%
19% Losses 67%
95% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 67%
52% Over 2.5 goals 48%
29% Over 3.5 goals 24%
14% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
57% Both teams scored 38%
33% Clean sheets 24%
14% Failed to score 52%

How often Half Time

48% Wins 5%
38% Draws 43%
14% Losses 52%
76% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 19%
19% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Northampton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.26 AFC Wimbledon – Luton 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.202.15 2.00 1.80
03.04.26 Luton – Peterboro 2–1 (1–0) 1.614.004.75 1.53 2.40
21.03.26 Luton – Stockport 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.302.57 1.93 1.93
17.03.26 Luton – Exeter 3–2 (3–1) 1.573.805.00 1.85 2.00
14.03.26 Wycombe – Luton 1–2 (0–2) 1.863.603.75 2.00 1.85
10.03.26 Doncaster – Luton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.502.40 1.88 1.98
07.03.26 Luton – Reading 2–3 (1–1) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.95
28.02.26 Port Vale – Luton 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.401.96 2.15 1.67
21.02.26 Luton – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.90
18.02.26 Wigan – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 2.853.252.40 2.25 1.62

Northampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.26 Northampton – Wigan 1–3 (0–2) 2.703.002.40 2.25 1.62
03.04.26 Bradford – Northampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.374.507.50 1.80 2.00
21.03.26 Mansfield – Northampton 4–1 (1–0) 1.663.604.75 1.90 1.90
17.03.26 Stockport – Northampton 2–1 (1–1) 1.424.336.25 1.73 2.08
14.03.26 Northampton – Burton 0–2 (0–1) 2.653.252.55 2.15 1.67
08.03.26 AFC Wimbledon – Northampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.403.75 2.05 1.75
28.02.26 Northampton – Peterboro 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.402.32 1.67 2.15
24.02.26 Northampton – Port Vale 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.203.10 2.05 1.75
21.02.26 Northampton – Leyton Orient 1–2 (0–1) 3.003.252.30 2.10 1.70
17.02.26 Lincoln – Northampton 4–0 (1–0) 1.354.508.00 1.90 1.95

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.26 Luton – Peterboro 2–1 (1–0) 1.614.004.75 1.53 2.40
21.03.26 Luton – Stockport 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.302.57 1.93 1.93
17.03.26 Luton – Exeter 3–2 (3–1) 1.573.805.00 1.85 2.00
07.03.26 Luton – Reading 2–3 (1–1) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.95
21.02.26 Luton – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.90
07.02.26 Luton – Bradford 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.204.00 2.15 1.67
31.01.26 Luton – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.705.00 1.95 1.90
17.01.26 Luton – Lincoln 2–2 (2–2) 2.353.002.75 2.15 1.67
10.01.26 Luton – Stevenage 2–1 (0–0) 1.813.204.50 2.40 1.53
29.12.25 Luton – Leyton Orient 3–0 (3–0) 1.663.504.75 1.95 1.85

Northampton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.26 Bradford – Northampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.374.507.50 1.80 2.00
21.03.26 Mansfield – Northampton 4–1 (1–0) 1.663.604.75 1.90 1.90
17.03.26 Stockport – Northampton 2–1 (1–1) 1.424.336.25 1.73 2.08
08.03.26 AFC Wimbledon – Northampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.403.75 2.05 1.75
17.02.26 Lincoln – Northampton 4–0 (1–0) 1.354.508.00 1.90 1.95
14.02.26 Exeter – Northampton 0–0 (0–0) 1.813.254.00 2.15 1.67
03.02.26 Barnsley – Northampton 2–2 (1–1) 1.663.604.50 1.90 1.95
27.01.26 Rotherham – Northampton 2–1 (0–1) 2.053.103.50 2.25 1.62
24.01.26 Blackpool – Northampton 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.403.80 2.10 1.70
04.01.26 Bolton – Northampton 0–0 (0–0) 1.354.508.00 1.62 2.25

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsNorthampton wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25E2 Northampton – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.201.86 2.25 1.62

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 42 28 9 5 79 36 +43 93
2 Cardiff 42 24 10 8 77 43 +34 82
3 Bolton 43 19 16 8 64 45 +19 73
4 Bradford 42 21 8 13 52 46 +6 71
5 Stockport 40 19 10 11 59 50 +9 67
6 Stevenage 42 19 10 13 44 43 +1 67
7 Huddersfield 43 17 12 14 66 57 +9 63
8 Plymouth 42 19 6 17 66 58 +8 63
9 Reading 43 16 14 13 62 55 +7 62
10 Luton 41 17 10 14 57 50 +7 61
11 Wycombe 43 16 12 15 63 51 +12 60
12 Barnsley 41 14 13 14 63 65 -2 55
13 Wigan 43 14 13 16 49 56 -7 55
14 Mansfield 41 13 15 13 50 43 +7 54
15 Doncaster 42 15 8 19 43 64 -21 53
16 Peterboro 41 15 6 20 60 58 +2 51
17 Leyton Orient 43 14 9 20 57 66 -9 51
18 Burton 43 13 12 18 46 56 -10 51
19 Blackpool 43 14 9 20 51 65 -14 51
20 AFC Wimbledon 42 14 8 20 49 63 -14 50
21 Exeter 43 12 11 20 47 55 -8 47
22 Rotherham 42 9 10 23 36 65 -29 37
23 Port Vale 40 8 11 21 30 54 -24 35
24 Northampton 41 9 8 24 34 60 -26 35
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 22 17 4 1 49 17 +32 55
2 Bradford 21 15 3 3 30 15 +15 48
3 Cardiff 21 15 2 4 44 22 +22 47
4 Bolton 21 13 7 1 41 18 +23 46
5 Huddersfield 22 11 9 2 41 23 +18 42
6 Stevenage 20 12 6 2 23 11 +12 42
7 Stockport 20 12 4 4 34 22 +12 40
8 Wycombe 21 12 3 6 42 20 +22 39
9 Luton 21 11 6 4 33 22 +11 39
10 Blackpool 22 11 5 6 34 29 +5 38
11 Reading 21 10 7 4 32 24 +8 37
12 Wigan 22 11 4 7 24 16 +8 37
13 Barnsley 21 9 5 7 36 32 +4 32
14 Doncaster 21 9 5 7 26 29 -3 32
15 Mansfield 21 8 7 6 31 21 +10 31
16 Plymouth 22 9 4 9 31 32 -1 31
17 Burton 22 9 4 9 26 27 -1 31
18 Leyton Orient 21 8 6 7 30 26 +4 30
19 Exeter 21 8 6 7 26 24 +2 30
20 Peterboro 19 8 4 7 36 23 +13 28
21 AFC Wimbledon 20 8 4 8 24 22 +2 28
22 Rotherham 21 6 8 7 23 29 -6 26
23 Northampton 20 6 4 10 20 24 -4 22
24 Port Vale 21 4 8 9 17 23 -6 20
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 20 11 5 4 30 19 +11 38
2 Cardiff 21 9 8 4 33 21 +12 35
3 Plymouth 20 10 2 8 35 26 +9 32
4 Stockport 20 7 6 7 25 28 -3 27
5 Bolton 22 6 9 7 23 27 -4 27
6 Reading 22 6 7 9 30 31 -1 25
7 Stevenage 22 7 4 11 21 32 -11 25
8 Mansfield 20 5 8 7 19 22 -3 23
9 Barnsley 20 5 8 7 27 33 -6 23
10 Bradford 21 6 5 10 22 31 -9 23
11 Peterboro 22 7 2 13 24 35 -11 23
12 Luton 20 6 4 10 24 28 -4 22
13 AFC Wimbledon 22 6 4 12 25 41 -16 22
14 Huddersfield 21 6 3 12 25 34 -9 21
15 Wycombe 22 4 9 9 21 31 -10 21
16 Leyton Orient 22 6 3 13 27 40 -13 21
17 Doncaster 21 6 3 12 17 35 -18 21
18 Burton 21 4 8 9 20 29 -9 20
19 Wigan 21 3 9 9 25 40 -15 18
20 Exeter 22 4 5 13 21 31 -10 17
21 Port Vale 19 4 3 12 13 31 -18 15
22 Blackpool 21 3 4 14 17 36 -19 13
23 Northampton 21 3 4 14 14 36 -22 13
24 Rotherham 21 3 2 16 13 36 -23 11

Luton   Northampton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Leyton Orient 43 16 27 1.3 1.5 14 9 20 57 66 51
2 12 Barnsley 41 15 26 1.5 1.6 14 13 14 63 65 55
3 5 Stockport 40 16 24 1.5 1.2 19 10 11 59 50 67
4 7 Huddersfield 43 19 24 1.5 1.3 17 12 14 66 57 63
5 8 Plymouth 42 18 24 1.6 1.4 19 6 17 66 58 63
6 1 Lincoln 42 19 23 1.9 0.9 28 9 5 79 36 93
7 16 Peterboro 41 18 23 1.5 1.4 15 6 20 60 58 51
8 22 Rotherham 42 19 23 0.9 1.5 9 10 23 36 65 37
9 2 Cardiff 42 20 22 1.8 1.0 24 10 8 77 43 82
10 4 Bradford 42 20 22 1.2 1.1 21 8 13 52 46 71
11 11 Wycombe 43 21 22 1.5 1.2 16 12 15 63 51 60
12 18 Burton 43 21 22 1.1 1.3 13 12 18 46 56 51
13 19 Blackpool 43 21 22 1.2 1.5 14 9 20 51 65 51
14 9 Reading 43 22 21 1.4 1.3 16 14 13 62 55 62
15 10 Luton 41 20 21 1.4 1.2 17 10 14 57 50 61
16 15 Doncaster 42 21 21 1.0 1.5 15 8 19 43 64 53
17 20 AFC Wimbledon 42 21 21 1.2 1.5 14 8 20 49 63 50
18 3 Bolton 43 23 20 1.5 1.0 19 16 8 64 45 73
19 21 Exeter 43 24 19 1.1 1.3 12 11 20 47 55 47
20 14 Mansfield 41 23 18 1.2 1.0 13 15 13 50 43 54
21 24 Northampton 41 23 18 0.8 1.5 9 8 24 34 60 35
22 6 Stevenage 42 26 16 1.0 1.0 19 10 13 44 43 67
23 13 Wigan 43 27 16 1.1 1.3 14 13 16 49 56 55
24 23 Port Vale 40 25 15 0.8 1.4 8 11 21 30 54 35
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Lincoln 22 8 14 2.2 0.8 17 4 1 49 17 55
2 2 Cardiff 21 8 13 2.1 1.0 15 2 4 44 22 47
3 3 Bolton 21 8 13 2.0 0.9 13 7 1 41 18 46
4 11 Wycombe 21 8 13 2.0 1.0 12 3 6 42 20 39
5 12 Barnsley 21 8 13 1.7 1.5 9 5 7 36 32 32
6 5 Stockport 20 8 12 1.7 1.1 12 4 4 34 22 40
7 7 Huddersfield 22 10 12 1.9 1.0 11 9 2 41 23 42
8 8 Plymouth 22 10 12 1.4 1.5 9 4 9 31 32 31
9 18 Burton 22 10 12 1.2 1.2 9 4 9 26 27 31
10 19 Blackpool 22 10 12 1.5 1.3 11 5 6 34 29 38
11 22 Rotherham 21 9 12 1.1 1.4 6 8 7 23 29 26
12 9 Reading 21 10 11 1.5 1.1 10 7 4 32 24 37
13 10 Luton 21 10 11 1.6 1.0 11 6 4 33 22 39
14 14 Mansfield 21 10 11 1.5 1.0 8 7 6 31 21 31
15 16 Peterboro 19 8 11 1.9 1.2 8 4 7 36 23 28
16 17 Leyton Orient 21 10 11 1.4 1.2 8 6 7 30 26 30
17 15 Doncaster 21 11 10 1.2 1.4 9 5 7 26 29 32
18 4 Bradford 21 12 9 1.4 0.7 15 3 3 30 15 48
19 21 Exeter 21 12 9 1.2 1.1 8 6 7 26 24 30
20 20 AFC Wimbledon 20 12 8 1.2 1.1 8 4 8 24 22 28
21 24 Northampton 20 12 8 1.0 1.2 6 4 10 20 24 22
22 23 Port Vale 21 14 7 0.8 1.1 4 8 9 17 23 20
23 13 Wigan 22 16 6 1.1 0.7 11 4 7 24 16 37
24 6 Stevenage 20 15 5 1.1 0.6 12 6 2 23 11 42
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Leyton Orient 22 6 16 1.2 1.8 6 3 13 27 40 21
2 4 Bradford 21 8 13 1.0 1.5 6 5 10 22 31 23
3 12 Barnsley 20 7 13 1.4 1.6 5 8 7 27 33 23
4 20 AFC Wimbledon 22 9 13 1.1 1.9 6 4 12 25 41 22
5 5 Stockport 20 8 12 1.2 1.4 7 6 7 25 28 27
6 7 Huddersfield 21 9 12 1.2 1.6 6 3 12 25 34 21
7 8 Plymouth 20 8 12 1.8 1.3 10 2 8 35 26 32
8 16 Peterboro 22 10 12 1.1 1.6 7 2 13 24 35 23
9 6 Stevenage 22 11 11 1.0 1.5 7 4 11 21 32 25
10 15 Doncaster 21 10 11 0.8 1.7 6 3 12 17 35 21
11 22 Rotherham 21 10 11 0.6 1.7 3 2 16 13 36 11
12 9 Reading 22 12 10 1.4 1.4 6 7 9 30 31 25
13 10 Luton 20 10 10 1.2 1.4 6 4 10 24 28 22
14 13 Wigan 21 11 10 1.2 1.9 3 9 9 25 40 18
15 18 Burton 21 11 10 1.0 1.4 4 8 9 20 29 20
16 19 Blackpool 21 11 10 0.8 1.7 3 4 14 17 36 13
17 21 Exeter 22 12 10 1.0 1.4 4 5 13 21 31 17
18 24 Northampton 21 11 10 0.7 1.7 3 4 14 14 36 13
19 1 Lincoln 20 11 9 1.5 0.9 11 5 4 30 19 38
20 2 Cardiff 21 12 9 1.6 1.0 9 8 4 33 21 35
21 11 Wycombe 22 13 9 1.0 1.4 4 9 9 21 31 21
22 23 Port Vale 19 11 8 0.7 1.6 4 3 12 13 31 15
23 3 Bolton 22 15 7 1.0 1.2 6 9 7 23 27 27
24 14 Mansfield 20 13 7 0.9 1.1 5 8 7 19 22 23

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38