Brighton 4–1 Luton
Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024
Home ✓
1.33
fair 2.15
Draw
5.50
fair 4.18
Away
9.00
fair 3.38
Under 2.5
2.30
fair 2.33
Over 2.5 ✓
1.62
fair 1.75
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Brighton
Luton
27
Shots
9
12
Shots on target
3
6
Corners
7
11
Fouls
12
2
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (2 league matches this season so far).
Result
Brighton to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.69
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
47%
24%
30%
BrightonDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
43%
57%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
41%
59%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
5%
0
15%
1
23%
2
22%
3
17%
4
18%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1%
2–1 9.3%
1–0 8.6%
Statistics 2023/2024, before this match
Brighton
before this match, all matches
No matches yet this season.
Luton
before this match, all matches
No matches yet this season.
Brighton all matches
all matches Luton
Per match
How often Full Time
How often Half Time
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Brighton all matches
2
1
W
1
3
L
6
W
1
W
1
5
L
3
W
1
4
L
3
1
W
1
1
D
1
2
L
Luton all matches
1
W
1
1
D
2
W
D
3
1
W
2
W
1
1
D
2
1
W
1
1
D
D
Brighton
before this match, at home
No matches yet this season.
Luton
before this match, away
No matches yet this season.
Brighton at home
away Luton
Per match
How often Full Time
How often Half Time
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Brighton at home
1
W
1
L
4
W
1
W
3
3
D
6
W
1
W
1
5
L
3
1
W
1
1
D
Luton away
2
W
1
1
D
1
1
D
1
W
1
W
1
1
D
D
2
W
1
1
D
1
1
D
Last 10 matches before this match
Brighton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.05.23 | Aston Villa – Brighton | 2–1 (2–1) | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 24.05.23 | Brighton – Man City | 1–1 (1–1) | 4.00 | 4.33 | 1.75 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 21.05.23 | Brighton – Southampton | 3–1 (2–0) | 1.22 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| 18.05.23 | Newcastle – Brighton | 4–1 (2–0) | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.50 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 14.05.23 | Arsenal – Brighton | 0–3 (0–0) | 1.73 | 4.20 | 4.20 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 08.05.23 | Brighton – Everton | 1–5 (0–3) | 1.33 | 5.25 | 9.00 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 04.05.23 | Brighton – Man United | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 29.04.23 | Brighton – Wolves | 6–0 (4–0) | 1.50 | 4.33 | 6.50 | 1.85 | 2.05 |
| 26.04.23 | Nott'm Forest – Brighton | 3–1 (1–1) | 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.53 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 15.04.23 | Chelsea – Brighton | 1–2 (1–1) | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.94 | 1.96 |
Luton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08.05.23E1 | Luton – Hull | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.62 | 3.80 | 5.50 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 01.05.23E1 | Blackburn – Luton | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 24.04.23E1 | Luton – Middlesbrough | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 19.04.23E1 | Reading – Luton | 1–1 (0–0) | 4.75 | 3.40 | 1.80 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 15.04.23E1 | Rotherham – Luton | 0–2 (0–1) | 4.33 | 3.30 | 1.95 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 10.04.23E1 | Luton – Blackpool | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.53 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 07.04.23E1 | Millwall – Luton | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.60 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.63 | 1.50 |
| 01.04.23E1 | Luton – Watford | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.38 | 1.57 |
| 18.03.23E1 | Sunderland – Luton | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 15.03.23E1 | Luton – Bristol City | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
Brighton at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.05.23 | Brighton – Man City | 1–1 (1–1) | 4.00 | 4.33 | 1.75 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 21.05.23 | Brighton – Southampton | 3–1 (2–0) | 1.22 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| 08.05.23 | Brighton – Everton | 1–5 (0–3) | 1.33 | 5.25 | 9.00 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 04.05.23 | Brighton – Man United | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 29.04.23 | Brighton – Wolves | 6–0 (4–0) | 1.50 | 4.33 | 6.50 | 1.85 | 2.05 |
| 01.04.23 | Brighton – Brentford | 3–3 (2–2) | 1.67 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 15.03.23 | Brighton – Crystal Palace | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.44 | 4.20 | 8.00 | 1.93 | 1.97 |
| 04.03.23 | Brighton – West Ham | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.50 | 1.95 | 1.95 |
| 18.02.23 | Brighton – Fulham | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.65 | 3.80 | 5.50 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 04.02.23 | Brighton – Bournemouth | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.33 | 5.25 | 8.50 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
Luton away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.05.23E1 | Blackburn – Luton | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 19.04.23E1 | Reading – Luton | 1–1 (0–0) | 4.75 | 3.40 | 1.80 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 15.04.23E1 | Rotherham – Luton | 0–2 (0–1) | 4.33 | 3.30 | 1.95 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 07.04.23E1 | Millwall – Luton | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.60 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.63 | 1.50 |
| 18.03.23E1 | Sunderland – Luton | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 11.03.23E1 | Sheffield United – Luton | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 25.02.23E1 | Birmingham – Luton | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.55 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 15.02.23E1 | Preston – Luton | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.88 | 3.00 | 2.70 | 2.38 | 1.57 |
| 11.02.23E1 | Coventry – Luton | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 21.01.23E1 | Wigan – Luton | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.55 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match
England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Nott'm Forest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Burnley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 2 | Man City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nott'm Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Burnley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Nott'm Forest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
Brighton Luton
Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Man City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | Arsenal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | Nott'm Forest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 4 | 4 | Burnley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Arsenal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | Burnley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 3 | 1 | Man City | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 3 | Nott'm Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Man City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | Nott'm Forest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | 2 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 4 | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
