Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: R Jones

Newcastle 1–0 Man United

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.91 fair 1.82
Draw 3.75 fair 4.51
Away 3.80 fair 4.39
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.15 fair 2.47
Over 2.5 1.67 fair 1.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newcastle Man United
22 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 1
7 Corners 3
6 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (134 league matches this season so far).
Result Newcastle to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.92 – 1.16
Home / Draw / Away
NewcastleDrawMan United
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.2% 2–1 9.8% 1–0 8.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.77points / match
2.38scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 31:14
Man United before this match, all matches
1.85points / match
1.23scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:16
Newcastle all matches all matches Man United

Per match

2.38 Goals scored 1.23
1.08 Goals conceded 1.23
3.46 Total goals 2.46
13.15 Shots 14.38
5.85 Shots on target 4.69
11.92 Shots faced 14.77
4.38 Corners 6.85
5.31 Corners against 6.23
11.54 Fouls 10.23
2.85 Yellow cards 2.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

54% Wins 62%
15% Draws 0%
31% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
77% Over 1.5 goals 62%
62% Over 2.5 goals 54%
54% Over 3.5 goals 23%
23% Over 4.5 goals 8%
15% Over 5.5 goals 0%
46% Both teams scored 38%
38% Clean sheets 38%
15% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 15%
31% Draws 46%
23% Losses 38%
77% Over 0.5 goals 69%
38% Over 1.5 goals 23%
31% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches
Man United all matches
Newcastle before this match, at home
2.57points / match
2.57scored / match
0.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 18:4
Man United before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.33scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:6
Newcastle at home away Man United

Per match

2.57 Goals scored 1.33
0.57 Goals conceded 1.00
3.14 Total goals 2.33
14.57 Shots 13.00
6.43 Shots on target 4.33
11.71 Shots faced 16.67
4.86 Corners 4.50
5.86 Corners against 7.67
11.00 Fouls 10.00
2.86 Yellow cards 1.83
1.14 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

86% Wins 67%
0% Draws 0%
14% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 67%
57% Over 2.5 goals 50%
43% Over 3.5 goals 17%
29% Over 4.5 goals 0%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 33%
57% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 33%
43% Draws 67%
0% Losses 0%
71% Over 0.5 goals 67%
43% Over 1.5 goals 33%
29% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home
Man United away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Newcastle – Chelsea 4–1 (1–1) 2.553.502.63 1.86 2.04
11.11.23 Bournemouth – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.73 1.70 2.10
04.11.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.60 1.95 1.95
28.10.23 Wolves – Newcastle 2–2 (1–2) 4.204.001.75 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 4–0 (3–0) 1.454.507.00 1.85 2.05
08.10.23 West Ham – Newcastle 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.752.10 1.70 2.10
30.09.23 Newcastle – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50
24.09.23 Sheffield United – Newcastle 0–8 (0–3) 7.004.751.44 1.67 2.20
16.09.23 Newcastle – Brentford 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.67 2.20
02.09.23 Brighton – Newcastle 3–1 (1–0) 2.503.802.55 1.50 2.63

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.11.23 Everton – Man United 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 1.85 2.05
11.11.23 Man United – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.50 1.53 2.40
04.11.23 Fulham – Man United 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.20 1.75 2.05
29.10.23 Man United – Man City 0–3 (0–1) 5.003.801.67 1.70 2.10
21.10.23 Sheffield United – Man United 1–2 (1–1) 6.505.251.40 1.53 2.40
07.10.23 Man United – Brentford 2–1 (0–1) 1.674.204.75 1.65 2.20
30.09.23 Man United – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–1) 1.554.205.75 1.80 2.00
23.09.23 Burnley – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 4.204.201.73 1.62 2.30
16.09.23 Man United – Brighton 1–3 (0–1) 2.154.002.88 1.44 2.75
03.09.23 Arsenal – Man United 3–1 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.57 2.38

Newcastle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Newcastle – Chelsea 4–1 (1–1) 2.553.502.63 1.86 2.04
04.11.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.60 1.95 1.95
21.10.23 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 4–0 (3–0) 1.454.507.00 1.85 2.05
30.09.23 Newcastle – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50
16.09.23 Newcastle – Brentford 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.67 2.20
27.08.23 Newcastle – Liverpool 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.753.00 1.50 2.63
12.08.23 Newcastle – Aston Villa 5–1 (2–1) 1.753.754.60 1.73 2.10
22.05.23 Newcastle – Leicester 0–0 (0–0) 1.365.507.00 1.50 2.63
18.05.23 Newcastle – Brighton 4–1 (2–0) 2.003.803.50 1.62 2.30
07.05.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.752.63 1.62 2.30

Man United away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.11.23 Everton – Man United 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 1.85 2.05
04.11.23 Fulham – Man United 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.20 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Sheffield United – Man United 1–2 (1–1) 6.505.251.40 1.53 2.40
23.09.23 Burnley – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 4.204.201.73 1.62 2.30
03.09.23 Arsenal – Man United 3–1 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.57 2.38
19.08.23 Tottenham – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.803.602.38 1.57 2.38
20.05.23 Bournemouth – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.751.50 1.57 2.38
07.05.23 West Ham – Man United 1–0 (1–0) 3.403.752.05 1.73 2.10
04.05.23 Brighton – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.503.75 1.57 2.38
27.04.23 Tottenham – Man United 2–2 (0–2) 2.803.602.40 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle winsDrawsMan United wins
4matches
2.25goals / match
25%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.04.23E0 Newcastle – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 1.95 1.95
16.10.22E0 Man United – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.50 1.72 2.10
27.12.21E0 Newcastle – Man United 1–1 (1–0) 6.504.751.44 1.61 2.30
11.09.21E0 Man United – Newcastle 4–1 (1–0) 1.187.5015.00 1.44 2.75

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 14 10 3 1 29 11 +18 33
2 Man City 13 9 2 2 33 13 +20 29
3 Liverpool 13 8 4 1 28 11 +17 28
4 Aston Villa 13 9 1 3 31 18 +13 28
5 Tottenham 13 8 2 3 25 17 +8 26
6 Man United 13 8 0 5 16 16 0 24
7 Newcastle 13 7 2 4 31 14 +17 23
8 Brighton 13 6 4 3 28 23 +5 22
9 West Ham 13 6 2 5 23 23 0 20
10 Brentford 14 5 4 5 22 19 +3 19
11 Everton 14 5 2 7 15 20 -5 17
12 Chelsea 13 4 4 5 22 20 +2 16
13 Crystal Palace 13 4 3 6 13 18 -5 15
14 Wolves 14 4 3 7 19 25 -6 15
15 Fulham 13 4 3 6 13 22 -9 15
16 Nott'm Forest 14 3 4 7 16 22 -6 13
17 Bournemouth 13 3 3 7 14 28 -14 12
18 Luton 14 2 3 9 13 26 -13 9
19 Burnley 14 2 1 11 15 32 -17 7
20 Sheffield United 14 1 2 11 11 39 -28 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 8 6 2 0 20 8 +12 20
2 Aston Villa 6 6 0 0 23 5 +18 18
3 Liverpool 6 6 0 0 17 2 +15 18
4 Newcastle 7 6 0 1 18 4 +14 18
5 Man City 6 5 1 0 17 4 +13 16
6 Brighton 7 3 3 1 15 10 +5 12
7 Brentford 8 3 3 2 15 12 +3 12
8 Tottenham 6 4 0 2 10 8 +2 12
9 Man United 7 4 0 3 8 10 -2 12
10 West Ham 6 3 1 2 11 9 +2 10
11 Nott'm Forest 7 2 3 2 10 9 +1 9
12 Fulham 6 3 0 3 7 9 -2 9
13 Wolves 6 2 2 2 9 12 -3 8
14 Bournemouth 7 2 2 3 6 10 -4 8
15 Chelsea 7 1 3 3 10 11 -1 6
16 Crystal Palace 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
17 Luton 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
18 Everton 7 1 1 5 5 9 -4 4
19 Sheffield United 7 1 1 5 7 19 -12 4
20 Burnley 8 1 0 7 10 20 -10 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 7 4 2 1 15 9 +6 14
2 Man City 7 4 1 2 16 9 +7 13
3 Arsenal 6 4 1 1 9 3 +6 13
4 Everton 7 4 1 2 10 11 -1 13
5 Man United 6 4 0 2 8 6 +2 12
6 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 12 9 +3 10
7 Liverpool 7 2 4 1 11 9 +2 10
8 Brighton 6 3 1 2 13 13 0 10
9 West Ham 7 3 1 3 12 14 -2 10
10 Crystal Palace 7 3 1 3 7 10 -3 10
11 Aston Villa 7 3 1 3 8 13 -5 10
12 Brentford 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
13 Wolves 8 2 1 5 10 13 -3 7
14 Fulham 7 1 3 3 6 13 -7 6
15 Newcastle 6 1 2 3 13 10 +3 5
16 Nott'm Forest 7 1 1 5 6 13 -7 4
17 Burnley 6 1 1 4 5 12 -7 4
18 Bournemouth 6 1 1 4 8 18 -10 4
19 Luton 8 1 1 6 7 18 -11 4
20 Sheffield United 7 0 1 6 4 20 -16 1

Newcastle   Man United

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Sheffield United 14 3 11 0.8 2.8 1 2 11 11 39 5
2 4 Aston Villa 13 3 10 2.4 1.4 9 1 3 31 18 28
3 8 Brighton 13 3 10 2.2 1.8 6 4 3 28 23 22
4 9 West Ham 13 3 10 1.8 1.8 6 2 5 23 23 20
5 14 Wolves 14 4 10 1.4 1.8 4 3 7 19 25 15
6 19 Burnley 14 4 10 1.1 2.3 2 1 11 15 32 7
7 1 Arsenal 14 5 9 2.1 0.8 10 3 1 29 11 33
8 2 Man City 13 4 9 2.5 1.0 9 2 2 33 13 29
9 3 Liverpool 13 4 9 2.2 0.8 8 4 1 28 11 28
10 5 Tottenham 13 4 9 1.9 1.3 8 2 3 25 17 26
11 10 Brentford 14 5 9 1.6 1.4 5 4 5 22 19 19
12 17 Bournemouth 13 4 9 1.1 2.2 3 3 7 14 28 12
13 18 Luton 14 5 9 0.9 1.9 2 3 9 13 26 9
14 7 Newcastle 13 5 8 2.4 1.1 7 2 4 31 14 23
15 6 Man United 13 6 7 1.2 1.2 8 0 5 16 16 24
16 11 Everton 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 5 2 7 15 20 17
17 12 Chelsea 13 6 7 1.7 1.5 4 4 5 22 20 16
18 16 Nott'm Forest 14 7 7 1.1 1.6 3 4 7 16 22 13
19 13 Crystal Palace 13 7 6 1.0 1.4 4 3 6 13 18 15
20 15 Fulham 13 7 6 1.0 1.7 4 3 6 13 22 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 8 1 7 2.5 1.0 6 2 0 20 8 20
2 4 Aston Villa 6 0 6 3.8 0.8 6 0 0 23 5 18
3 10 Brentford 8 2 6 1.9 1.5 3 3 2 15 12 12
4 19 Burnley 8 2 6 1.2 2.5 1 0 7 10 20 3
5 20 Sheffield United 7 1 6 1.0 2.7 1 1 5 7 19 4
6 3 Liverpool 6 1 5 2.8 0.3 6 0 0 17 2 18
7 8 Brighton 7 2 5 2.1 1.4 3 3 1 15 10 12
8 14 Wolves 6 1 5 1.5 2.0 2 2 2 9 12 8
9 5 Tottenham 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 4 0 2 10 8 12
10 6 Man United 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 4 0 3 8 10 12
11 7 Newcastle 7 3 4 2.6 0.6 6 0 1 18 4 18
12 9 West Ham 6 2 4 1.8 1.5 3 1 2 11 9 10
13 2 Man City 6 3 3 2.8 0.7 5 1 0 17 4 16
14 11 Everton 7 4 3 0.7 1.3 1 1 5 5 9 4
15 12 Chelsea 7 4 3 1.4 1.6 1 3 3 10 11 6
16 13 Crystal Palace 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5
17 15 Fulham 6 3 3 1.2 1.5 3 0 3 7 9 9
18 16 Nott'm Forest 7 4 3 1.4 1.3 2 3 2 10 9 9
19 17 Bournemouth 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 2 2 3 6 10 8
20 18 Luton 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 7 1 6 2.3 1.3 4 1 2 16 9 13
2 9 West Ham 7 1 6 1.7 2.0 3 1 3 12 14 10
3 17 Bournemouth 6 0 6 1.3 3.0 1 1 4 8 18 4
4 18 Luton 8 2 6 0.9 2.2 1 1 6 7 18 4
5 5 Tottenham 7 2 5 2.1 1.3 4 2 1 15 9 14
6 8 Brighton 6 1 5 2.2 2.2 3 1 2 13 13 10
7 14 Wolves 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 2 1 5 10 13 7
8 20 Sheffield United 7 2 5 0.6 2.9 0 1 6 4 20 1
9 3 Liverpool 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 2 4 1 11 9 10
10 4 Aston Villa 7 3 4 1.1 1.9 3 1 3 8 13 10
11 7 Newcastle 6 2 4 2.2 1.7 1 2 3 13 10 5
12 11 Everton 7 3 4 1.4 1.6 4 1 2 10 11 13
13 12 Chelsea 6 2 4 2.0 1.5 3 1 2 12 9 10
14 16 Nott'm Forest 7 3 4 0.9 1.9 1 1 5 6 13 4
15 19 Burnley 6 2 4 0.8 2.0 1 1 4 5 12 4
16 6 Man United 6 3 3 1.3 1.0 4 0 2 8 6 12
17 10 Brentford 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
18 13 Crystal Palace 7 4 3 1.0 1.4 3 1 3 7 10 10
19 15 Fulham 7 4 3 0.9 1.9 1 3 3 6 13 6
20 1 Arsenal 6 4 2 1.5 0.5 4 1 1 9 3 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51