Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Pawson

Man United 3–2 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.60 fair 2.74
Draw 3.50 fair 4.07
Away 2.60 fair 2.56
Under 2.5 2.25 fair 2.29
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.77

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man United Aston Villa
13 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 6
10 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (182 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.44 – 1.50
Home / Draw / Away
Man UnitedDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 1–2 8.6% 2–1 8.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Man United before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.00scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 18:23
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
2.17points / match
2.11scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 38:22
Man United all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.11
1.28 Goals conceded 1.22
2.28 Total goals 3.33
14.44 Shots 14.67
4.33 Shots on target 5.33
15.72 Shots faced 9.89
6.56 Corners 6.28
6.22 Corners against 4.17
10.44 Fouls 11.06
2.33 Yellow cards 2.67
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.83
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

50% Wins 67%
6% Draws 17%
44% Losses 17%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
61% Over 1.5 goals 83%
50% Over 2.5 goals 67%
17% Over 3.5 goals 50%
6% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
33% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 22%
39% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

11% Wins 39%
56% Draws 39%
33% Losses 22%
61% Over 0.5 goals 72%
22% Over 1.5 goals 44%
6% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Man United before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.11scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 10:14
Aston Villa before this match, away
1.56points / match
1.33scored / match
1.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 12:16
Man United at home away Aston Villa

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 1.33
1.56 Goals conceded 1.78
2.67 Total goals 3.11
17.44 Shots 14.22
5.22 Shots on target 4.67
12.78 Shots faced 11.44
9.33 Corners 7.44
4.78 Corners against 5.22
10.22 Fouls 10.56
2.44 Yellow cards 2.44
0.22 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

56% Wins 44%
0% Draws 22%
44% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 89%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
22% Over 3.5 goals 33%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
44% Both teams scored 67%
22% Clean sheets 11%
33% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 11%
33% Draws 44%
67% Losses 44%
78% Over 0.5 goals 78%
22% Over 1.5 goals 56%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.23 West Ham – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.603.602.60 1.70 2.10
17.12.23 Liverpool – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.00 1.33 3.40
09.12.23 Man United – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.50 2.50
06.12.23 Man United – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 2.883.402.45 1.65 2.20
02.12.23 Newcastle – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.67 2.15
26.11.23 Everton – Man United 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 1.85 2.05
11.11.23 Man United – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.50 1.53 2.40
04.11.23 Fulham – Man United 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.20 1.75 2.05
29.10.23 Man United – Man City 0–3 (0–1) 5.003.801.67 1.70 2.10
21.10.23 Sheffield United – Man United 1–2 (1–1) 6.505.251.40 1.53 2.40

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.23 Aston Villa – Sheffield United 1–1 (0–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.70
17.12.23 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.203.752.10 1.70 2.10
09.12.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.70 2.10
06.12.23 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.754.201.70 1.53 2.40
03.12.23 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–1) 3.404.001.95 1.53 2.40
26.11.23 Tottenham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.50 2.50
12.11.23 Aston Villa – Fulham 3–1 (2–0) 1.574.205.50 1.70 2.10
05.11.23 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 4.203.751.85 1.73 2.08
29.10.23 Aston Villa – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.48 2.60
22.10.23 Aston Villa – West Ham 4–1 (1–0) 1.853.604.00 1.57 2.35

Man United at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Man United – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.50 2.50
06.12.23 Man United – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 2.883.402.45 1.65 2.20
11.11.23 Man United – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.50 1.53 2.40
29.10.23 Man United – Man City 0–3 (0–1) 5.003.801.67 1.70 2.10
07.10.23 Man United – Brentford 2–1 (0–1) 1.674.204.75 1.65 2.20
30.09.23 Man United – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–1) 1.554.205.75 1.80 2.00
16.09.23 Man United – Brighton 1–3 (0–1) 2.154.002.88 1.44 2.75
26.08.23 Man United – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–2) 1.306.008.00 1.50 2.63
14.08.23 Man United – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.509.00 1.62 2.30
28.05.23 Man United – Fulham 2–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.00 1.50 2.63

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.23 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.203.752.10 1.70 2.10
03.12.23 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–1) 3.404.001.95 1.53 2.40
26.11.23 Tottenham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.50 2.50
05.11.23 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 4.203.751.85 1.73 2.08
08.10.23 Wolves – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.75 2.05
24.09.23 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.73 2.10
03.09.23 Liverpool – Aston Villa 3–0 (2–0) 1.654.504.50 1.40 3.00
27.08.23 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.402.15 1.86 2.04
12.08.23 Newcastle – Aston Villa 5–1 (2–1) 1.753.754.60 1.73 2.10
20.05.23 Liverpool – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 1.455.006.25 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man United winsDrawsAston Villa wins
4matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.04.23E0 Man United – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.904.60 1.67 2.20
06.11.22E0 Aston Villa – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 3.303.802.10 1.94 1.96
15.01.22E0 Aston Villa – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 2.873.502.40 1.89 2.01
25.09.21E0 Man United – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 1.365.258.00 1.57 2.37

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 19 12 6 1 39 16 +23 42 WWWDDW
2 Arsenal 18 12 4 2 36 16 +20 40 WWWLWD
3 Aston Villa 18 12 3 3 38 22 +16 39 WDWWWD
4 Tottenham 18 11 3 4 37 24 +13 36 LDLWWW
5 Man City 17 10 4 3 40 20 +20 34 DDDLWD
6 West Ham 18 9 3 6 31 30 +1 30 WDWLWW
7 Newcastle 19 9 2 8 37 25 +12 29 WLLWLL
8 Man United 18 9 1 8 18 23 -5 28 WLWLDL
9 Brighton 18 7 6 5 34 31 +3 27 WLWDLD
10 Everton 18 8 2 8 23 22 +1 26 LWWWWL
11 Bournemouth 18 7 4 7 27 32 -5 25 WDWWWW
12 Chelsea 18 6 4 8 29 28 +1 22 LWLLWL
13 Wolves 18 6 4 8 23 30 -7 22 LLWDLW
14 Fulham 19 6 3 10 26 34 -8 21 LWWLLL
15 Brentford 17 5 4 8 24 24 0 19 LLWLLL
16 Crystal Palace 18 4 6 8 18 26 -8 18 LDLLDD
17 Nott'm Forest 19 4 5 10 22 34 -12 17 LLDLLW
18 Luton 18 4 3 11 21 34 -13 15 WLLLWW
19 Burnley 19 3 2 14 18 38 -20 11 WLDLWL
20 Sheffield United 19 2 3 14 15 47 -32 9 LLWLDL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Aston Villa 9 8 1 0 26 6 +20 25 WWWWWD
2 Newcastle 10 8 0 2 23 7 +16 24 WWWWWL
3 Liverpool 9 7 2 0 22 6 +16 23 WWWWDD
4 Arsenal 9 7 2 0 22 8 +14 23 DWWWWW
5 Man City 8 5 3 0 22 9 +13 18 WWWDDD
6 Tottenham 9 6 0 3 17 12 +5 18 WLLLWW
7 West Ham 9 5 2 2 17 10 +7 17 DLWDWW
8 Brighton 9 4 4 1 18 12 +6 16 WDDDWD
9 Fulham 9 5 0 4 17 11 +6 15 WLWWWL
10 Wolves 9 4 3 2 13 14 -1 15 DDWWDW
11 Man United 9 5 0 4 10 14 -4 15 LWLWWL
12 Brentford 9 3 3 3 16 14 +2 12 LWWLWL
13 Chelsea 9 3 3 3 15 13 +2 12 LDLDWW
14 Bournemouth 9 3 3 3 11 12 -1 12 LLWWDW
15 Everton 9 3 1 5 10 9 +1 10 LWDLWW
16 Nott'm Forest 9 2 3 4 12 14 -2 9 DWLLLL
17 Luton 9 2 2 5 11 14 -3 8 LDWLLW
18 Sheffield United 10 2 1 7 10 24 -14 7 LWLLWL
19 Crystal Palace 9 1 3 5 8 13 -5 6 DLLLLD
20 Burnley 10 1 0 9 10 24 -14 3 LLLWLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 10 5 4 1 17 10 +7 19 DDDWWW
2 Tottenham 9 5 3 1 20 12 +8 18 DWWLDW
3 Arsenal 9 5 2 2 14 8 +6 17 DLWWLD
4 Man City 9 5 1 3 18 11 +7 16 LLWDLW
5 Everton 9 5 1 3 13 13 0 16 LWWWWL
6 Aston Villa 9 4 2 3 12 16 -4 14 WDLWDW
7 Man United 9 4 1 4 8 9 -1 13 WWWLDL
8 Bournemouth 9 4 1 4 16 20 -4 13 LLWWWW
9 West Ham 9 4 1 4 14 20 -6 13 LLLWWL
10 Crystal Palace 9 3 3 3 10 13 -3 12 WLWLDD
11 Brighton 9 3 2 4 16 19 -3 11 LDWLLD
12 Chelsea 9 3 1 5 14 15 -1 10 WWLLLL
13 Burnley 9 2 2 5 8 14 -6 8 LLLLDW
14 Nott'm Forest 10 2 2 6 10 20 -10 8 DLLLDW
15 Brentford 8 2 1 5 8 10 -2 7 DLWLLL
16 Wolves 9 2 1 6 10 16 -6 7 DWLLLL
17 Luton 9 2 1 6 10 20 -10 7 WDLLLW
18 Fulham 10 1 3 6 9 23 -14 6 LDLLLL
19 Newcastle 9 1 2 6 14 18 -4 5 DDLLLL
20 Sheffield United 9 0 2 7 5 23 -18 2 LLDLLD

Man United   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Tottenham 18 5 13 2.1 1.3 11 3 4 37 24 36 OOOOUO
2 6 West Ham 18 5 13 1.7 1.7 9 3 6 31 30 30 OUOOOU
3 11 Bournemouth 18 5 13 1.5 1.8 7 4 7 27 32 25 OOUOOO
4 3 Aston Villa 18 6 12 2.1 1.2 12 3 3 38 22 39 OOUUOU
5 5 Man City 17 5 12 2.4 1.2 10 4 3 40 20 34 OUOUOO
6 7 Newcastle 19 7 12 1.9 1.3 9 2 8 37 25 29 UOOOUO
7 9 Brighton 18 6 12 1.9 1.7 7 6 5 34 31 27 OOOUUU
8 13 Wolves 18 6 12 1.3 1.7 6 4 8 23 30 22 OOUUOO
9 18 Luton 18 6 12 1.2 1.9 4 3 11 21 34 15 OOOOUO
10 20 Sheffield United 19 7 12 0.8 2.5 2 3 14 15 47 9 OUUUUO
11 1 Liverpool 19 8 11 2.1 0.8 12 6 1 39 16 42 OUOUUU
12 14 Fulham 19 8 11 1.4 1.8 6 3 10 26 34 21 OOOOUO
13 15 Brentford 17 6 11 1.4 1.4 5 4 8 24 24 19 OUOOUO
14 2 Arsenal 18 8 10 2.0 0.9 12 4 2 36 16 40 UOOUUU
15 12 Chelsea 18 8 10 1.6 1.6 6 4 8 29 28 22 OOOUUO
16 17 Nott'm Forest 19 9 10 1.2 1.8 4 5 10 22 34 17 UOUUOO
17 19 Burnley 19 9 10 0.9 2.0 3 2 14 18 38 11 OUUUUU
18 8 Man United 18 9 9 1.0 1.3 9 1 8 18 23 28 OUOOUU
19 10 Everton 18 9 9 1.3 1.2 8 2 8 23 22 26 OUOUUO
20 16 Crystal Palace 18 10 8 1.0 1.4 4 6 8 18 26 18 OUUOOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Arsenal 9 2 7 2.4 0.9 7 2 0 22 8 23 OUOOOU
2 4 Tottenham 9 2 7 1.9 1.3 6 0 3 17 12 18 UOOOOO
3 15 Brentford 9 2 7 1.8 1.6 3 3 3 16 14 12 OOOUOO
4 20 Sheffield United 10 3 7 1.0 2.4 2 1 7 10 24 7 OOOUUO
5 1 Liverpool 9 3 6 2.4 0.7 7 2 0 22 6 23 UOOOUU
6 3 Aston Villa 9 3 6 2.9 0.7 8 1 0 26 6 25 OOOUUU
7 7 Newcastle 10 4 6 2.3 0.7 8 0 2 23 7 24 OUOUOO
8 8 Man United 9 3 6 1.1 1.6 5 0 4 10 14 15 UOOUOO
9 9 Brighton 9 3 6 2.0 1.3 4 4 1 18 12 16 OOUUOU
10 13 Wolves 9 3 6 1.4 1.6 4 3 2 13 14 15 UOOUUO
11 19 Burnley 10 4 6 1.0 2.4 1 0 9 10 24 3 OUOOUU
12 5 Man City 8 3 5 2.8 1.1 5 3 0 22 9 18 UOOUOO
13 6 West Ham 9 4 5 1.9 1.1 5 2 2 17 10 17 OUOUOU
14 11 Bournemouth 9 4 5 1.2 1.3 3 3 3 11 12 12 OOOUOO
15 14 Fulham 9 4 5 1.9 1.2 5 0 4 17 11 15 OUOOOU
16 18 Luton 9 4 5 1.2 1.6 2 2 5 11 14 8 UUOOOU
17 10 Everton 9 5 4 1.1 1.0 3 1 5 10 9 10 OOUOOU
18 12 Chelsea 9 5 4 1.7 1.4 3 3 3 15 13 12 UOUOOU
19 16 Crystal Palace 9 5 4 0.9 1.4 1 3 5 8 13 6 UOOUOU
20 17 Nott'm Forest 9 5 4 1.3 1.6 2 3 4 12 14 9 OUOUUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 6 West Ham 9 1 8 1.6 2.2 4 1 4 14 20 13 OOOOOO
2 11 Bournemouth 9 1 8 1.8 2.2 4 1 4 16 20 13 OOOUOO
3 5 Man City 9 2 7 2.0 1.2 5 1 3 18 11 16 OUOOUO
4 18 Luton 9 2 7 1.1 2.2 2 1 6 10 20 7 OOOUOO
5 3 Aston Villa 9 3 6 1.3 1.8 4 2 3 12 16 14 UUUOOO
6 4 Tottenham 9 3 6 2.2 1.3 5 3 1 20 12 18 OUOOOU
7 7 Newcastle 9 3 6 1.6 2.0 1 2 6 14 18 5 OOUOOU
8 9 Brighton 9 3 6 1.8 2.1 3 2 4 16 19 11 OUOOUU
9 12 Chelsea 9 3 6 1.6 1.7 3 1 5 14 15 10 OOOOUO
10 13 Wolves 9 3 6 1.1 1.8 2 1 6 10 16 7 UOOOOO
11 14 Fulham 10 4 6 0.9 2.3 1 3 6 9 23 6 UUOOOO
12 17 Nott'm Forest 10 4 6 1.0 2.0 2 2 6 10 20 8 UOOOUO
13 1 Liverpool 10 5 5 1.7 1.0 5 4 1 17 10 19 OUUUOU
14 10 Everton 9 4 5 1.4 1.4 5 1 3 13 13 16 UUOUUO
15 20 Sheffield United 9 4 5 0.6 2.6 0 2 7 5 23 2 OOUOUU
16 15 Brentford 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 2 1 5 8 10 7 UOUOOU
17 16 Crystal Palace 9 5 4 1.1 1.4 3 3 3 10 13 12 UOUOUO
18 19 Burnley 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 2 2 5 8 14 8 OOOUUU
19 2 Arsenal 9 6 3 1.6 0.9 5 2 2 14 8 17 OUUOUU
20 8 Man United 9 6 3 0.9 1.0 4 1 4 8 9 13 OUOUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47