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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Tierney

Luton 2–3 Chelsea

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 6.50 fair 2.62
Draw 4.20 fair 4.24
Away ✓ 1.50 fair 2.61
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.59
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Chelsea
15 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 8
7 Corners 2
14 Fouls 21
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (188 league matches this season so far).
Result Chelsea to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.58
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.59
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawChelsea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6% 1–2 8.4% 2–1 8.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
0.83points / match
1.17scored / match
1.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 21:34
Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.32points / match
1.63scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 31:29
Luton all matches all matches Chelsea

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 1.63
1.89 Goals conceded 1.53
3.06 Total goals 3.16
10.72 Shots 13.53
2.83 Shots on target 4.84
17.67 Shots faced 12.42
5.06 Corners 5.26
5.94 Corners against 5.11
11.89 Fouls 12.11
1.89 Yellow cards 3.05
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.79
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

22% Wins 37%
17% Draws 21%
61% Losses 42%
100% Over 0.5 goals 95%
78% Over 1.5 goals 84%
67% Over 2.5 goals 58%
33% Over 3.5 goals 37%
17% Over 4.5 goals 26%
6% Over 5.5 goals 5%
72% Both teams scored 58%
6% Clean sheets 21%
22% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 21%
44% Draws 79%
33% Losses 0%
56% Over 0.5 goals 63%
11% Over 1.5 goals 53%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Chelsea all matches
Luton before this match, at home
0.89points / match
1.22scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 11:14
Chelsea before this match, away
1.11points / match
1.56scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 14:15
Luton at home away Chelsea

Per match

1.22 Goals scored 1.56
1.56 Goals conceded 1.67
2.78 Total goals 3.22
12.00 Shots 13.33
3.22 Shots on target 4.78
15.22 Shots faced 13.11
6.00 Corners 5.11
5.44 Corners against 5.56
12.56 Fouls 13.56
2.22 Yellow cards 3.56
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

22% Wins 33%
22% Draws 11%
56% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
78% Over 1.5 goals 89%
56% Over 2.5 goals 67%
11% Over 3.5 goals 44%
11% Over 4.5 goals 33%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
78% Both teams scored 67%
11% Clean sheets 22%
11% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 11%
44% Draws 89%
33% Losses 0%
56% Over 0.5 goals 67%
11% Over 1.5 goals 67%
11% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Chelsea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.23 Sheffield United – Luton 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.70
23.12.23 Luton – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 4.754.201.65 1.75 2.05
10.12.23 Luton – Man City 1–2 (1–0) 17.008.001.14 1.36 3.10
05.12.23 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20
02.12.23 Brentford – Luton 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Luton – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.15 1.67
11.11.23 Man United – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.50 1.53 2.40
05.11.23 Luton – Liverpool 1–1 (0–0) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
29.10.23 Aston Villa – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.48 2.60
21.10.23 Nott'm Forest – Luton 2–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 2.08 1.82

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.23 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 2–1 (1–1) 1.674.005.00 1.91 1.99
24.12.23 Wolves – Chelsea 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.751.91 1.86 2.04
16.12.23 Chelsea – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.50 2.50
10.12.23 Everton – Chelsea 2–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 1.75 2.05
06.12.23 Man United – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 2.883.402.45 1.65 2.20
03.12.23 Chelsea – Brighton 3–2 (2–1) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.40
25.11.23 Newcastle – Chelsea 4–1 (1–1) 2.553.502.63 1.86 2.04
12.11.23 Chelsea – Man City 4–4 (2–2) 5.003.701.73 1.88 2.02
06.11.23 Tottenham – Chelsea 1–4 (1–1) 2.003.753.50 1.70 2.10
28.10.23 Chelsea – Brentford 0–2 (0–0) 1.654.005.25 1.80 2.00

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.23 Luton – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 4.754.201.65 1.75 2.05
10.12.23 Luton – Man City 1–2 (1–0) 17.008.001.14 1.36 3.10
05.12.23 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20
25.11.23 Luton – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.15 1.67
05.11.23 Luton – Liverpool 1–1 (0–0) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
07.10.23 Luton – Tottenham 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.751.45 1.53 2.40
03.10.23 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65
23.09.23 Luton – Wolves 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 2.02 1.88
01.09.23 Luton – West Ham 1–2 (0–1) 4.753.801.73 1.87 2.03
08.05.23E1 Luton – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.50 1.93 1.93

Chelsea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.12.23 Wolves – Chelsea 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.751.91 1.86 2.04
10.12.23 Everton – Chelsea 2–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 1.75 2.05
06.12.23 Man United – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 2.883.402.45 1.65 2.20
25.11.23 Newcastle – Chelsea 4–1 (1–1) 2.553.502.63 1.86 2.04
06.11.23 Tottenham – Chelsea 1–4 (1–1) 2.003.753.50 1.70 2.10
07.10.23 Burnley – Chelsea 1–4 (1–1) 4.503.801.73 1.85 2.05
02.10.23 Fulham – Chelsea 0–2 (0–2) 3.603.502.05 1.98 1.92
17.09.23 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.80 1.67 2.20
20.08.23 West Ham – Chelsea 3–1 (1–1) 3.753.502.00 1.96 1.94
25.05.23 Man United – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsChelsea wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.08.23E0 Chelsea – Luton 3–0 (1–0) 1.295.5011.00 1.67 2.20

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 19 12 6 1 39 16 +23 42
2 Arsenal 19 12 4 3 36 18 +18 40
3 Aston Villa 19 12 3 4 40 25 +15 39
4 Man City 18 11 4 3 43 21 +22 37
5 Tottenham 19 11 3 5 39 28 +11 36
6 West Ham 19 10 3 6 33 30 +3 33
7 Man United 19 10 1 8 21 25 -4 31
8 Brighton 19 8 6 5 38 33 +5 30
9 Newcastle 19 9 2 8 37 25 +12 29
10 Everton 19 8 2 9 24 25 -1 26
11 Chelsea 19 7 4 8 31 29 +2 25
12 Wolves 19 7 4 8 27 31 -4 25
13 Bournemouth 18 7 4 7 27 32 -5 25
14 Fulham 19 6 3 10 26 34 -8 21
15 Brentford 18 5 4 9 25 28 -3 19
16 Crystal Palace 19 4 6 9 19 28 -9 18
17 Nott'm Forest 19 4 5 10 22 34 -12 17
18 Luton 18 4 3 11 21 34 -13 15
19 Burnley 19 3 2 14 18 38 -20 11
20 Sheffield United 19 2 3 14 15 47 -32 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Aston Villa 9 8 1 0 26 6 +20 25
2 Newcastle 10 8 0 2 23 7 +16 24
3 Liverpool 9 7 2 0 22 6 +16 23
4 Arsenal 10 7 2 1 22 10 +12 23
5 Brighton 10 5 4 1 22 14 +8 19
6 Man City 8 5 3 0 22 9 +13 18
7 Tottenham 9 6 0 3 17 12 +5 18
8 Man United 10 6 0 4 13 16 -3 18
9 West Ham 9 5 2 2 17 10 +7 17
10 Fulham 9 5 0 4 17 11 +6 15
11 Chelsea 10 4 3 3 17 14 +3 15
12 Wolves 9 4 3 2 13 14 -1 15
13 Brentford 10 3 3 4 17 18 -1 12
14 Bournemouth 9 3 3 3 11 12 -1 12
15 Everton 10 3 1 6 11 12 -1 10
16 Nott'm Forest 9 2 3 4 12 14 -2 9
17 Luton 9 2 2 5 11 14 -3 8
18 Sheffield United 10 2 1 7 10 24 -14 7
19 Crystal Palace 9 1 3 5 8 13 -5 6
20 Burnley 10 1 0 9 10 24 -14 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 10 6 1 3 21 12 +9 19
2 Liverpool 10 5 4 1 17 10 +7 19
3 Tottenham 10 5 3 2 22 16 +6 18
4 Arsenal 9 5 2 2 14 8 +6 17
5 Everton 9 5 1 3 13 13 0 16
6 West Ham 10 5 1 4 16 20 -4 16
7 Aston Villa 10 4 2 4 14 19 -5 14
8 Man United 9 4 1 4 8 9 -1 13
9 Bournemouth 9 4 1 4 16 20 -4 13
10 Crystal Palace 10 3 3 4 11 15 -4 12
11 Brighton 9 3 2 4 16 19 -3 11
12 Chelsea 9 3 1 5 14 15 -1 10
13 Wolves 10 3 1 6 14 17 -3 10
14 Burnley 9 2 2 5 8 14 -6 8
15 Nott'm Forest 10 2 2 6 10 20 -10 8
16 Brentford 8 2 1 5 8 10 -2 7
17 Luton 9 2 1 6 10 20 -10 7
18 Fulham 10 1 3 6 9 23 -14 6
19 Newcastle 9 1 2 6 14 18 -4 5
20 Sheffield United 9 0 2 7 5 23 -18 2

Luton   Chelsea

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 19 5 14 2.1 1.5 11 3 5 39 28 36
2 3 Aston Villa 19 6 13 2.1 1.3 12 3 4 40 25 39
3 4 Man City 18 5 13 2.4 1.2 11 4 3 43 21 37
4 6 West Ham 19 6 13 1.7 1.6 10 3 6 33 30 33
5 8 Brighton 19 6 13 2.0 1.7 8 6 5 38 33 30
6 12 Wolves 19 6 13 1.4 1.6 7 4 8 27 31 25
7 13 Bournemouth 18 5 13 1.5 1.8 7 4 7 27 32 25
8 9 Newcastle 19 7 12 1.9 1.3 9 2 8 37 25 29
9 15 Brentford 18 6 12 1.4 1.6 5 4 9 25 28 19
10 18 Luton 18 6 12 1.2 1.9 4 3 11 21 34 15
11 20 Sheffield United 19 7 12 0.8 2.5 2 3 14 15 47 9
12 1 Liverpool 19 8 11 2.1 0.8 12 6 1 39 16 42
13 11 Chelsea 19 8 11 1.6 1.5 7 4 8 31 29 25
14 14 Fulham 19 8 11 1.4 1.8 6 3 10 26 34 21
15 2 Arsenal 19 9 10 1.9 0.9 12 4 3 36 18 40
16 7 Man United 19 9 10 1.1 1.3 10 1 8 21 25 31
17 10 Everton 19 9 10 1.3 1.3 8 2 9 24 25 26
18 17 Nott'm Forest 19 9 10 1.2 1.8 4 5 10 22 34 17
19 19 Burnley 19 9 10 0.9 2.0 3 2 14 18 38 11
20 16 Crystal Palace 19 10 9 1.0 1.5 4 6 9 19 28 18
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Brentford 10 2 8 1.7 1.8 3 3 4 17 18 12
2 2 Arsenal 10 3 7 2.2 1.0 7 2 1 22 10 23
3 5 Tottenham 9 2 7 1.9 1.3 6 0 3 17 12 18
4 7 Man United 10 3 7 1.3 1.6 6 0 4 13 16 18
5 8 Brighton 10 3 7 2.2 1.4 5 4 1 22 14 19
6 20 Sheffield United 10 3 7 1.0 2.4 2 1 7 10 24 7
7 1 Liverpool 9 3 6 2.4 0.7 7 2 0 22 6 23
8 3 Aston Villa 9 3 6 2.9 0.7 8 1 0 26 6 25
9 9 Newcastle 10 4 6 2.3 0.7 8 0 2 23 7 24
10 12 Wolves 9 3 6 1.4 1.6 4 3 2 13 14 15
11 19 Burnley 10 4 6 1.0 2.4 1 0 9 10 24 3
12 4 Man City 8 3 5 2.8 1.1 5 3 0 22 9 18
13 6 West Ham 9 4 5 1.9 1.1 5 2 2 17 10 17
14 10 Everton 10 5 5 1.1 1.2 3 1 6 11 12 10
15 11 Chelsea 10 5 5 1.7 1.4 4 3 3 17 14 15
16 13 Bournemouth 9 4 5 1.2 1.3 3 3 3 11 12 12
17 14 Fulham 9 4 5 1.9 1.2 5 0 4 17 11 15
18 18 Luton 9 4 5 1.2 1.6 2 2 5 11 14 8
19 16 Crystal Palace 9 5 4 0.9 1.4 1 3 5 8 13 6
20 17 Nott'm Forest 9 5 4 1.3 1.6 2 3 4 12 14 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Man City 10 2 8 2.1 1.2 6 1 3 21 12 19
2 6 West Ham 10 2 8 1.6 2.0 5 1 4 16 20 16
3 13 Bournemouth 9 1 8 1.8 2.2 4 1 4 16 20 13
4 3 Aston Villa 10 3 7 1.4 1.9 4 2 4 14 19 14
5 5 Tottenham 10 3 7 2.2 1.6 5 3 2 22 16 18
6 12 Wolves 10 3 7 1.4 1.7 3 1 6 14 17 10
7 18 Luton 9 2 7 1.1 2.2 2 1 6 10 20 7
8 8 Brighton 9 3 6 1.8 2.1 3 2 4 16 19 11
9 9 Newcastle 9 3 6 1.6 2.0 1 2 6 14 18 5
10 11 Chelsea 9 3 6 1.6 1.7 3 1 5 14 15 10
11 14 Fulham 10 4 6 0.9 2.3 1 3 6 9 23 6
12 17 Nott'm Forest 10 4 6 1.0 2.0 2 2 6 10 20 8
13 1 Liverpool 10 5 5 1.7 1.0 5 4 1 17 10 19
14 10 Everton 9 4 5 1.4 1.4 5 1 3 13 13 16
15 16 Crystal Palace 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 3 3 4 11 15 12
16 20 Sheffield United 9 4 5 0.6 2.6 0 2 7 5 23 2
17 15 Brentford 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 2 1 5 8 10 7
18 19 Burnley 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 2 2 5 8 14 8
19 2 Arsenal 9 6 3 1.6 0.9 5 2 2 14 8 17
20 7 Man United 9 6 3 0.9 1.0 4 1 4 8 9 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51