Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: D England

Leeds 3–1 Chelsea

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 4.10 fair 3.34
Draw 4.10 fair 4.13
Away 1.80 fair 2.18
Under 2.5 2.03 fair 2.28
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.78

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Chelsea
17 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 2
10 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (137 league matches this season so far).
Result Chelsea to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.29 – 1.65
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawChelsea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 1–2 9.3% 0–1 8.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
0.85points / match
1.00scored / match
1.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 13:25
Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.85points / match
1.85scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 24:12
Leeds all matches all matches Chelsea

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.85
1.92 Goals conceded 0.92
2.92 Total goals 2.77
11.92 Shots 14.15
3.62 Shots on target 5.46
11.38 Shots faced 9.31
3.92 Corners 6.38
3.62 Corners against 3.77
10.69 Fouls 11.31
1.69 Yellow cards 1.92
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.69
0.77 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

23% Wins 54%
15% Draws 23%
62% Losses 23%
92% Over 0.5 goals 92%
77% Over 1.5 goals 85%
69% Over 2.5 goals 62%
38% Over 3.5 goals 23%
15% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
54% Both teams scored 54%
15% Clean sheets 46%
38% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 46%
46% Draws 38%
31% Losses 15%
77% Over 0.5 goals 69%
54% Over 1.5 goals 23%
8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Chelsea all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.17scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:7
Chelsea before this match, away
2.17points / match
2.33scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 14:5
Leeds at home away Chelsea

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 2.33
1.17 Goals conceded 0.83
2.33 Total goals 3.17
15.50 Shots 13.33
4.33 Shots on target 5.67
9.83 Shots faced 8.83
4.83 Corners 5.33
3.17 Corners against 4.83
11.33 Fouls 11.50
2.17 Yellow cards 2.50
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.83
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

33% Wins 67%
33% Draws 17%
33% Losses 17%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 83%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
17% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
67% Both teams scored 50%
33% Clean sheets 50%
17% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 50%
67% Draws 17%
0% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 83%
50% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Chelsea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Man City – Leeds 3–2 (2–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.53 2.50
23.11.25 Leeds – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
09.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 3–1 (1–1) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Brighton – Leeds 3–0 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.85 2.00
24.10.25 Leeds – West Ham 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 Burnley – Leeds 2–0 (1–0) 3.253.252.25 2.20 1.67
04.10.25 Leeds – Tottenham 1–2 (1–1) 2.703.502.50 1.95 1.90
27.09.25 Leeds – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.03 1.83
20.09.25 Wolves – Leeds 1–3 (1–3) 2.703.202.75 2.30 1.62
13.09.25 Fulham – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 2.03 1.83

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.25 Chelsea – Arsenal 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 1.98 1.88
22.11.25 Burnley – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 6.254.501.48 1.80 2.00
08.11.25 Chelsea – Wolves 3–0 (0–0) 1.364.758.50 1.62 2.30
01.11.25 Tottenham – Chelsea 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.73 2.10
25.10.25 Chelsea – Sunderland 1–2 (1–1) 1.364.759.00 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Nott'm Forest – Chelsea 0–3 (0–0) 3.703.801.95 1.73 2.10
04.10.25 Chelsea – Liverpool 2–1 (1–0) 2.803.752.30 1.53 2.50
27.09.25 Chelsea – Brighton 1–3 (1–0) 1.853.803.80 1.62 2.30
20.09.25 Man United – Chelsea 2–1 (2–0) 2.603.802.45 1.57 2.38
13.09.25 Brentford – Chelsea 2–2 (1–0) 4.503.901.73 1.73 2.10

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.25 Leeds – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
24.10.25 Leeds – West Ham 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
04.10.25 Leeds – Tottenham 1–2 (1–1) 2.703.502.50 1.95 1.90
27.09.25 Leeds – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.03 1.83
30.08.25 Leeds – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.80 2.00
18.08.25 Leeds – Everton 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.00 2.10 1.73
28.04.25E1 Leeds – Bristol City 4–0 (1–0) 1.603.905.75 1.83 2.03
21.04.25E1 Leeds – Stoke 6–0 (5–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.67 2.20
12.04.25E1 Leeds – Preston 2–1 (2–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.67 2.20
29.03.25E1 Leeds – Swansea 2–2 (1–0) 1.226.0012.00 1.73 2.10

Chelsea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25 Burnley – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 6.254.501.48 1.80 2.00
01.11.25 Tottenham – Chelsea 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Nott'm Forest – Chelsea 0–3 (0–0) 3.703.801.95 1.73 2.10
20.09.25 Man United – Chelsea 2–1 (2–0) 2.603.802.45 1.57 2.38
13.09.25 Brentford – Chelsea 2–2 (1–0) 4.503.901.73 1.73 2.10
22.08.25 West Ham – Chelsea 1–5 (1–3) 4.753.801.73 1.73 2.10
25.05.25 Nott'm Forest – Chelsea 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.752.20 1.67 2.20
11.05.25 Newcastle – Chelsea 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.753.10 1.57 2.38
20.04.25 Fulham – Chelsea 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.702.35 1.84 2.06
06.04.25 Brentford – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsChelsea wins
4matches
3.00goals / match
75%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.23E0 Chelsea – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.95 1.95
21.08.22E0 Leeds – Chelsea 3–0 (2–0) 5.754.501.53 1.66 2.20
11.05.22E0 Leeds – Chelsea 0–3 (0–1) 4.754.201.65 1.61 2.30
11.12.21E0 Chelsea – Leeds 3–2 (1–1) 1.255.7512.00 1.57 2.37

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 14 10 3 1 27 7 +20 33
2 Man City 14 9 1 4 32 16 +16 28
3 Aston Villa 14 8 3 3 20 14 +6 27
4 Chelsea 13 7 3 3 24 12 +12 24
5 Crystal Palace 14 6 5 3 18 11 +7 23
6 Brighton 14 6 4 4 24 20 +4 22
7 Sunderland 13 6 4 3 17 13 +4 22
8 Man United 13 6 3 4 21 20 +1 21
9 Liverpool 13 7 0 6 20 20 0 21
10 Everton 14 6 3 5 15 17 -2 21
11 Tottenham 14 5 4 5 23 18 +5 19
12 Newcastle 14 5 4 5 19 18 +1 19
13 Brentford 14 6 1 7 21 22 -1 19
14 Bournemouth 14 5 4 5 21 24 -3 19
15 Fulham 14 5 2 7 19 22 -3 17
16 Nott'm Forest 14 4 3 7 14 22 -8 15
17 West Ham 13 3 2 8 15 27 -12 11
18 Leeds 13 3 2 8 13 25 -12 11
19 Burnley 14 3 1 10 15 28 -13 10
20 Wolves 14 0 2 12 7 29 -22 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 7 6 1 0 18 2 +16 19
2 Man City 7 6 0 1 19 6 +13 18
3 Brentford 7 5 1 1 15 8 +7 16
4 Aston Villa 7 5 1 1 11 5 +6 16
5 Sunderland 7 4 3 0 14 7 +7 15
6 Brighton 7 4 2 1 15 10 +5 14
7 Bournemouth 7 4 2 1 10 5 +5 14
8 Fulham 7 4 1 2 13 8 +5 13
9 Newcastle 7 4 1 2 12 9 +3 13
10 Man United 6 4 0 2 11 7 +4 12
11 Liverpool 6 4 0 2 10 8 +2 12
12 Chelsea 7 3 2 2 10 7 +3 11
13 Everton 7 3 2 2 8 9 -1 11
14 Crystal Palace 7 2 4 1 9 7 +2 10
15 Leeds 6 2 2 2 7 7 0 8
16 Burnley 7 2 1 4 5 7 -2 7
17 Nott'm Forest 7 2 1 4 8 13 -5 7
18 West Ham 7 2 0 5 8 17 -9 6
19 Tottenham 7 1 2 4 8 9 -1 5
20 Wolves 7 0 1 6 6 17 -11 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 7 4 2 1 15 9 +6 14
2 Arsenal 7 4 2 1 9 5 +4 14
3 Chelsea 6 4 1 1 14 5 +9 13
4 Crystal Palace 7 4 1 2 9 4 +5 13
5 Aston Villa 7 3 2 2 9 9 0 11
6 Man City 7 3 1 3 13 10 +3 10
7 Everton 7 3 1 3 7 8 -1 10
8 Liverpool 7 3 0 4 10 12 -2 9
9 Man United 7 2 3 2 10 13 -3 9
10 Brighton 7 2 2 3 9 10 -1 8
11 Nott'm Forest 7 2 2 3 6 9 -3 8
12 Sunderland 6 2 1 3 3 6 -3 7
13 Newcastle 7 1 3 3 7 9 -2 6
14 West Ham 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 5
15 Bournemouth 7 1 2 4 11 19 -8 5
16 Fulham 7 1 1 5 6 14 -8 4
17 Brentford 7 1 0 6 6 14 -8 3
18 Burnley 7 1 0 6 10 21 -11 3
19 Leeds 7 1 0 6 6 18 -12 3
20 Wolves 7 0 1 6 1 12 -11 1

Leeds   Chelsea

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Tottenham 14 4 10 1.6 1.3 5 4 5 23 18 19
2 2 Man City 14 5 9 2.3 1.1 9 1 4 32 16 28
3 6 Brighton 14 5 9 1.7 1.4 6 4 4 24 20 22
4 8 Man United 13 4 9 1.6 1.5 6 3 4 21 20 21
5 9 Liverpool 13 4 9 1.5 1.5 7 0 6 20 20 21
6 12 Newcastle 14 5 9 1.4 1.3 5 4 5 19 18 19
7 13 Brentford 14 5 9 1.5 1.6 6 1 7 21 22 19
8 14 Bournemouth 14 5 9 1.5 1.7 5 4 5 21 24 19
9 17 West Ham 13 4 9 1.2 2.1 3 2 8 15 27 11
10 18 Leeds 13 4 9 1.0 1.9 3 2 8 13 25 11
11 4 Chelsea 13 5 8 1.8 0.9 7 3 3 24 12 24
12 3 Aston Villa 14 7 7 1.4 1.0 8 3 3 20 14 27
13 15 Fulham 14 7 7 1.4 1.6 5 2 7 19 22 17
14 16 Nott'm Forest 14 7 7 1.0 1.6 4 3 7 14 22 15
15 19 Burnley 14 7 7 1.1 2.0 3 1 10 15 28 10
16 5 Crystal Palace 14 8 6 1.3 0.8 6 5 3 18 11 23
17 20 Wolves 14 8 6 0.5 2.1 0 2 12 7 29 2
18 1 Arsenal 14 9 5 1.9 0.5 10 3 1 27 7 33
19 7 Sunderland 13 8 5 1.3 1.0 6 4 3 17 13 22
20 10 Everton 14 9 5 1.1 1.2 6 3 5 15 17 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Brighton 7 1 6 2.1 1.4 4 2 1 15 10 14
2 2 Man City 7 2 5 2.7 0.9 6 0 1 19 6 18
3 12 Newcastle 7 2 5 1.7 1.3 4 1 2 12 9 13
4 13 Brentford 7 2 5 2.1 1.1 5 1 1 15 8 16
5 16 Nott'm Forest 7 2 5 1.1 1.9 2 1 4 8 13 7
6 17 West Ham 7 2 5 1.1 2.4 2 0 5 8 17 6
7 3 Aston Villa 7 3 4 1.6 0.7 5 1 1 11 5 16
8 4 Chelsea 7 3 4 1.4 1.0 3 2 2 10 7 11
9 7 Sunderland 7 3 4 2.0 1.0 4 3 0 14 7 15
10 9 Liverpool 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 4 0 2 10 8 12
11 11 Tottenham 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 1 2 4 8 9 5
12 18 Leeds 6 2 4 1.2 1.2 2 2 2 7 7 8
13 20 Wolves 7 3 4 0.9 2.4 0 1 6 6 17 1
14 1 Arsenal 7 4 3 2.6 0.3 6 1 0 18 2 19
15 5 Crystal Palace 7 4 3 1.3 1.0 2 4 1 9 7 10
16 8 Man United 6 3 3 1.8 1.2 4 0 2 11 7 12
17 10 Everton 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 3 2 2 8 9 11
18 14 Bournemouth 7 4 3 1.4 0.7 4 2 1 10 5 14
19 15 Fulham 7 4 3 1.9 1.1 4 1 2 13 8 13
20 19 Burnley 7 7 0 0.7 1.0 2 1 4 5 7 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Burnley 7 0 7 1.4 3.0 1 0 6 10 21 3
2 8 Man United 7 1 6 1.4 1.9 2 3 2 10 13 9
3 11 Tottenham 7 1 6 2.1 1.3 4 2 1 15 9 14
4 14 Bournemouth 7 1 6 1.6 2.7 1 2 4 11 19 5
5 9 Liverpool 7 2 5 1.4 1.7 3 0 4 10 12 9
6 18 Leeds 7 2 5 0.9 2.6 1 0 6 6 18 3
7 2 Man City 7 3 4 1.9 1.4 3 1 3 13 10 10
8 4 Chelsea 6 2 4 2.3 0.8 4 1 1 14 5 13
9 12 Newcastle 7 3 4 1.0 1.3 1 3 3 7 9 6
10 13 Brentford 7 3 4 0.9 2.0 1 0 6 6 14 3
11 15 Fulham 7 3 4 0.9 2.0 1 1 5 6 14 4
12 17 West Ham 6 2 4 1.2 1.7 1 2 3 7 10 5
13 3 Aston Villa 7 4 3 1.3 1.3 3 2 2 9 9 11
14 5 Crystal Palace 7 4 3 1.3 0.6 4 1 2 9 4 13
15 6 Brighton 7 4 3 1.3 1.4 2 2 3 9 10 8
16 1 Arsenal 7 5 2 1.3 0.7 4 2 1 9 5 14
17 10 Everton 7 5 2 1.0 1.1 3 1 3 7 8 10
18 16 Nott'm Forest 7 5 2 0.9 1.3 2 2 3 6 9 8
19 20 Wolves 7 5 2 0.1 1.7 0 1 6 1 12 1
20 7 Sunderland 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 2 1 3 3 6 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51