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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Bankes

Man City 3–2 Leeds

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.22 fair 1.57
Draw 6.50 fair 5.03
Away 12.00 fair 6.15
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.50
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.67

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man City Leeds
18 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 4
8 Corners 1
17 Fouls 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (120 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.82
Expected goals 2.13 – 0.98
Home / Draw / Away
Man CityDrawLeeds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 10.2% 2–1 9.9% 1–0 9.5%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Man City before this match, all matches
1.83points / match
2.00scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 24:10
Leeds before this match, all matches
0.92points / match
0.92scored / match
1.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 11:22
Man City all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.92
0.83 Goals conceded 1.83
2.83 Total goals 2.75
14.08 Shots 12.17
5.08 Shots on target 3.58
9.17 Shots faced 10.83
6.17 Corners 4.17
4.42 Corners against 3.25
9.25 Fouls 10.67
1.75 Yellow cards 1.75
0.92 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

58% Wins 25%
8% Draws 17%
33% Losses 58%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
83% Over 1.5 goals 75%
58% Over 2.5 goals 67%
25% Over 3.5 goals 33%
8% Over 4.5 goals 8%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
42% Both teams scored 50%
42% Clean sheets 17%
17% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

58% Wins 25%
25% Draws 50%
17% Losses 25%
83% Over 0.5 goals 75%
42% Over 1.5 goals 50%
8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City all matches
Leeds all matches
Man City before this match, at home
2.50points / match
2.67scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 16:4
Leeds before this match, away
0.50points / match
0.67scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 4:15
Man City at home away Leeds

Per match

2.67 Goals scored 0.67
0.67 Goals conceded 2.50
3.33 Total goals 3.17
15.33 Shots 8.83
6.50 Shots on target 2.83
8.83 Shots faced 11.83
7.83 Corners 3.50
3.67 Corners against 3.33
8.33 Fouls 10.00
1.00 Yellow cards 1.33
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

83% Wins 17%
0% Draws 0%
17% Losses 83%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 83%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 50%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 33%
50% Clean sheets 0%
17% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 17%
33% Draws 33%
17% Losses 50%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
67% Over 1.5 goals 50%
17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City at home
Leeds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25 Newcastle – Man City 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.801.95 1.67 2.20
09.11.25 Man City – Liverpool 3–0 (2–0) 1.903.903.70 1.50 2.63
02.11.25 Man City – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–1) 1.504.755.75 1.53 2.50
26.10.25 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.801.80 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Man City – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.73 2.10
05.10.25 Brentford – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.501.62 1.57 2.38
27.09.25 Man City – Burnley 5–1 (1–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.44 2.75
21.09.25 Arsenal – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.903.80 1.80 2.00
14.09.25 Man City – Man United 3–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.20 1.57 2.38
31.08.25 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 3.803.901.90 1.62 2.30

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.25 Leeds – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
09.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 3–1 (1–1) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Brighton – Leeds 3–0 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.85 2.00
24.10.25 Leeds – West Ham 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 Burnley – Leeds 2–0 (1–0) 3.253.252.25 2.20 1.67
04.10.25 Leeds – Tottenham 1–2 (1–1) 2.703.502.50 1.95 1.90
27.09.25 Leeds – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.03 1.83
20.09.25 Wolves – Leeds 1–3 (1–3) 2.703.202.75 2.30 1.62
13.09.25 Fulham – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 2.03 1.83
30.08.25 Leeds – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.80 2.00

Man City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25 Man City – Liverpool 3–0 (2–0) 1.903.903.70 1.50 2.63
02.11.25 Man City – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–1) 1.504.755.75 1.53 2.50
18.10.25 Man City – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.73 2.10
27.09.25 Man City – Burnley 5–1 (1–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.44 2.75
14.09.25 Man City – Man United 3–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.20 1.57 2.38
23.08.25 Man City – Tottenham 0–2 (0–2) 1.484.506.25 1.44 2.75
20.05.25 Man City – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–0) 1.554.335.75 1.53 2.50
02.05.25 Man City – Wolves 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.53 2.50
22.04.25 Man City – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–1) 1.804.103.90 1.53 2.50
12.04.25 Man City – Crystal Palace 5–2 (2–2) 1.504.755.75 1.53 2.50

Leeds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 3–1 (1–1) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Brighton – Leeds 3–0 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.85 2.00
18.10.25 Burnley – Leeds 2–0 (1–0) 3.253.252.25 2.20 1.67
20.09.25 Wolves – Leeds 1–3 (1–3) 2.703.202.75 2.30 1.62
13.09.25 Fulham – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 2.03 1.83
23.08.25 Arsenal – Leeds 5–0 (2–0) 1.276.259.50 1.53 2.50
03.05.25E1 Plymouth – Leeds 1–2 (1–0) 9.506.251.25 1.50 2.63
18.04.25E1 Oxford – Leeds 0–1 (0–1) 8.005.001.36 1.83 2.03
08.04.25E1 Middlesbrough – Leeds 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.901.67 1.80 2.00
05.04.25E1 Luton – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 5.254.101.60 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man City winsDrawsLeeds wins
4matches
4.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.05.23E0 Man City – Leeds 2–1 (2–0) 1.178.5015.00 1.30 3.50
28.12.22E0 Leeds – Man City 1–3 (0–1) 9.506.001.29 1.44 2.75
30.04.22E0 Leeds – Man City 0–4 (0–1) 8.506.001.30 1.50 2.62
14.12.21E0 Man City – Leeds 7–0 (3–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.36 3.20

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 12 9 2 1 24 6 +18 29
2 Chelsea 12 7 2 3 23 11 +12 23
3 Man City 12 7 1 4 24 10 +14 22
4 Aston Villa 12 6 3 3 15 11 +4 21
5 Crystal Palace 12 5 5 2 16 9 +7 20
6 Brighton 12 5 4 3 19 16 +3 19
7 Sunderland 12 5 4 3 14 11 +3 19
8 Bournemouth 12 5 4 3 19 20 -1 19
9 Tottenham 12 5 3 4 20 14 +6 18
10 Man United 12 5 3 4 19 19 0 18
11 Everton 12 5 3 4 13 13 0 18
12 Liverpool 12 6 0 6 18 20 -2 18
13 Brentford 12 5 1 6 18 19 -1 16
14 Newcastle 12 4 3 5 13 15 -2 15
15 Fulham 12 4 2 6 13 16 -3 14
16 Nott'm Forest 12 3 3 6 13 20 -7 12
17 West Ham 12 3 2 7 15 25 -10 11
18 Leeds 12 3 2 7 11 22 -11 11
19 Burnley 12 3 1 8 14 24 -10 10
20 Wolves 12 0 2 10 7 27 -20 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 6 5 1 0 16 2 +14 16
2 Man City 6 5 0 1 16 4 +12 15
3 Brighton 6 4 2 0 12 6 +6 14
4 Bournemouth 6 4 2 0 10 4 +6 14
5 Fulham 6 4 1 1 9 3 +6 13
6 Brentford 6 4 1 1 12 7 +5 13
7 Aston Villa 6 4 1 1 10 5 +5 13
8 Sunderland 6 3 3 0 11 5 +6 12
9 Man United 6 4 0 2 11 7 +4 12
10 Newcastle 6 4 0 2 10 7 +3 12
11 Liverpool 6 4 0 2 10 8 +2 12
12 Everton 6 3 2 1 7 5 +2 11
13 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 9 6 +3 10
14 Crystal Palace 6 2 4 0 8 5 +3 10
15 Leeds 6 2 2 2 7 7 0 8
16 Burnley 6 2 1 3 5 6 -1 7
17 Nott'm Forest 6 2 1 3 8 11 -3 7
18 West Ham 6 2 0 4 8 15 -7 6
19 Tottenham 6 1 2 3 7 7 0 5
20 Wolves 6 0 1 5 6 16 -10 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Chelsea 6 4 1 1 14 5 +9 13
2 Tottenham 6 4 1 1 13 7 +6 13
3 Arsenal 6 4 1 1 8 4 +4 13
4 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 8 4 +4 10
5 Aston Villa 6 2 2 2 5 6 -1 8
6 Man City 6 2 1 3 8 6 +2 7
7 Everton 6 2 1 3 6 8 -2 7
8 Sunderland 6 2 1 3 3 6 -3 7
9 Liverpool 6 2 0 4 8 12 -4 6
10 Man United 6 1 3 2 8 12 -4 6
11 Brighton 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 5
12 West Ham 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 5
13 Nott'm Forest 6 1 2 3 5 9 -4 5
14 Bournemouth 6 1 2 3 9 16 -7 5
15 Newcastle 6 0 3 3 3 8 -5 3
16 Brentford 6 1 0 5 6 12 -6 3
17 Burnley 6 1 0 5 9 18 -9 3
18 Leeds 6 1 0 5 4 15 -11 3
19 Fulham 6 0 1 5 4 13 -9 1
20 Wolves 6 0 1 5 1 11 -10 1

Man City   Leeds

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Liverpool 12 3 9 1.5 1.7 6 0 6 18 20 18
2 17 West Ham 12 3 9 1.2 2.1 3 2 7 15 25 11
3 2 Chelsea 12 4 8 1.9 0.9 7 2 3 23 11 23
4 6 Brighton 12 4 8 1.6 1.3 5 4 3 19 16 19
5 8 Bournemouth 12 4 8 1.6 1.7 5 4 3 19 20 19
6 9 Tottenham 12 4 8 1.7 1.2 5 3 4 20 14 18
7 10 Man United 12 4 8 1.6 1.6 5 3 4 19 19 18
8 13 Brentford 12 4 8 1.5 1.6 5 1 6 18 19 16
9 18 Leeds 12 4 8 0.9 1.8 3 2 7 11 22 11
10 3 Man City 12 5 7 2.0 0.8 7 1 4 24 10 22
11 14 Newcastle 12 5 7 1.1 1.2 4 3 5 13 15 15
12 16 Nott'm Forest 12 5 7 1.1 1.7 3 3 6 13 20 12
13 4 Aston Villa 12 6 6 1.2 0.9 6 3 3 15 11 21
14 19 Burnley 12 6 6 1.2 2.0 3 1 8 14 24 10
15 20 Wolves 12 6 6 0.6 2.2 0 2 10 7 27 2
16 1 Arsenal 12 7 5 2.0 0.5 9 2 1 24 6 29
17 5 Crystal Palace 12 7 5 1.3 0.8 5 5 2 16 9 20
18 15 Fulham 12 7 5 1.1 1.3 4 2 6 13 16 14
19 7 Sunderland 12 8 4 1.2 0.9 5 4 3 14 11 19
20 11 Everton 12 8 4 1.1 1.1 5 3 4 13 13 18
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Brighton 6 1 5 2.0 1.0 4 2 0 12 6 14
2 16 Nott'm Forest 6 1 5 1.3 1.8 2 1 3 8 11 7
3 17 West Ham 6 1 5 1.3 2.5 2 0 4 8 15 6
4 2 Chelsea 6 2 4 1.5 1.0 3 1 2 9 6 10
5 3 Man City 6 2 4 2.7 0.7 5 0 1 16 4 15
6 4 Aston Villa 6 2 4 1.7 0.8 4 1 1 10 5 13
7 12 Liverpool 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 4 0 2 10 8 12
8 13 Brentford 6 2 4 2.0 1.2 4 1 1 12 7 13
9 14 Newcastle 6 2 4 1.7 1.2 4 0 2 10 7 12
10 18 Leeds 6 2 4 1.2 1.2 2 2 2 7 7 8
11 20 Wolves 6 2 4 1.0 2.7 0 1 5 6 16 1
12 1 Arsenal 6 3 3 2.7 0.3 5 1 0 16 2 16
13 7 Sunderland 6 3 3 1.8 0.8 3 3 0 11 5 12
14 8 Bournemouth 6 3 3 1.7 0.7 4 2 0 10 4 14
15 9 Tottenham 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 1 2 3 7 7 5
16 10 Man United 6 3 3 1.8 1.2 4 0 2 11 7 12
17 5 Crystal Palace 6 4 2 1.3 0.8 2 4 0 8 5 10
18 11 Everton 6 4 2 1.2 0.8 3 2 1 7 5 11
19 15 Fulham 6 4 2 1.5 0.5 4 1 1 9 3 13
20 19 Burnley 6 6 0 0.8 1.0 2 1 3 5 6 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Burnley 6 0 6 1.5 3.0 1 0 5 9 18 3
2 8 Bournemouth 6 1 5 1.5 2.7 1 2 3 9 16 5
3 9 Tottenham 6 1 5 2.2 1.2 4 1 1 13 7 13
4 10 Man United 6 1 5 1.3 2.0 1 3 2 8 12 6
5 12 Liverpool 6 1 5 1.3 2.0 2 0 4 8 12 6
6 2 Chelsea 6 2 4 2.3 0.8 4 1 1 14 5 13
7 13 Brentford 6 2 4 1.0 2.0 1 0 5 6 12 3
8 17 West Ham 6 2 4 1.2 1.7 1 2 3 7 10 5
9 18 Leeds 6 2 4 0.7 2.5 1 0 5 4 15 3
10 3 Man City 6 3 3 1.3 1.0 2 1 3 8 6 7
11 5 Crystal Palace 6 3 3 1.3 0.7 3 1 2 8 4 10
12 6 Brighton 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 1 2 3 7 10 5
13 14 Newcastle 6 3 3 0.5 1.3 0 3 3 3 8 3
14 15 Fulham 6 3 3 0.7 2.2 0 1 5 4 13 1
15 1 Arsenal 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 4 1 1 8 4 13
16 4 Aston Villa 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 2 2 2 5 6 8
17 11 Everton 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 2 1 3 6 8 7
18 16 Nott'm Forest 6 4 2 0.8 1.5 1 2 3 5 9 5
19 20 Wolves 6 4 2 0.2 1.8 0 1 5 1 11 1
20 7 Sunderland 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 2 1 3 3 6 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40