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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: D England

Arsenal 4–1 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.42 fair 1.92
Draw 4.75 fair 4.16
Away 7.00 fair 4.18
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.10
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.91

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Arsenal Aston Villa
22 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 3
18 Fouls 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (184 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.70 – 1.07
Home / Draw / Away
ArsenalDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 1–0 10.6% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.33points / match
1.83scored / match
0.61conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 33:11
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
2.17points / match
1.61scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 29:19
Arsenal all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

1.83 Goals scored 1.61
0.61 Goals conceded 1.06
2.44 Total goals 2.67
15.00 Shots 11.56
5.00 Shots on target 4.44
7.33 Shots faced 12.78
5.94 Corners 5.17
3.06 Corners against 4.94
9.61 Fouls 10.28
1.33 Yellow cards 1.56
0.72 1st-half goals scored 0.61
0.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

72% Wins 67%
17% Draws 17%
11% Losses 17%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
72% Over 1.5 goals 72%
44% Over 2.5 goals 61%
17% Over 3.5 goals 22%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
44% Both teams scored 56%
50% Clean sheets 28%
6% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 22%
22% Draws 44%
22% Losses 33%
78% Over 0.5 goals 78%
17% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Arsenal before this match, at home
2.78points / match
2.44scored / match
0.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 22:4
Aston Villa before this match, away
1.89points / match
1.56scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 14:12
Arsenal at home away Aston Villa

Per match

2.44 Goals scored 1.56
0.44 Goals conceded 1.33
2.89 Total goals 2.89
16.56 Shots 11.11
4.89 Shots on target 3.89
4.89 Shots faced 13.56
6.22 Corners 5.11
2.78 Corners against 4.89
8.78 Fouls 10.67
0.56 Yellow cards 1.89
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.11 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

89% Wins 56%
11% Draws 22%
0% Losses 22%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
89% Over 1.5 goals 78%
56% Over 2.5 goals 56%
22% Over 3.5 goals 22%
22% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
44% Both teams scored 67%
56% Clean sheets 11%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

78% Wins 0%
11% Draws 44%
11% Losses 56%
89% Over 0.5 goals 78%
22% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.25 Arsenal – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
20.12.25 Everton – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 5.754.101.57 2.10 1.73
13.12.25 Arsenal – Wolves 2–1 (0–0) 1.138.5021.00 1.53 2.50
06.12.25 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 2.10 1.73
03.12.25 Arsenal – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.73 2.10
30.11.25 Chelsea – Arsenal 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 1.98 1.88
23.11.25 Arsenal – Tottenham 4–1 (2–0) 1.424.757.50 1.80 2.00
08.11.25 Sunderland – Arsenal 2–2 (1–0) 7.505.001.38 2.05 1.80
01.11.25 Burnley – Arsenal 0–2 (0–2) 10.006.001.27 1.73 2.10
26.10.25 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.73 2.10

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.25 Chelsea – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.67 2.20
21.12.25 Aston Villa – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20
14.12.25 West Ham – Aston Villa 2–3 (2–1) 3.753.502.00 1.80 2.00
06.12.25 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 2.10 1.73
03.12.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 3–4 (2–2) 2.153.503.40 1.88 1.98
30.11.25 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.80 2.00
23.11.25 Leeds – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
09.11.25 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.25 1.88 1.98
01.11.25 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.654.334.50 1.53 2.50
26.10.25 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.801.80 1.73 2.10

Arsenal at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.25 Arsenal – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
13.12.25 Arsenal – Wolves 2–1 (0–0) 1.138.5021.00 1.53 2.50
03.12.25 Arsenal – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.73 2.10
23.11.25 Arsenal – Tottenham 4–1 (2–0) 1.424.757.50 1.80 2.00
26.10.25 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.73 2.10
04.10.25 Arsenal – West Ham 2–0 (1–0) 1.186.5017.00 1.53 2.50
21.09.25 Arsenal – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.903.80 1.80 2.00
13.09.25 Arsenal – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (1–0) 1.385.008.00 1.73 2.10
23.08.25 Arsenal – Leeds 5–0 (2–0) 1.276.259.50 1.53 2.50
18.05.25 Arsenal – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.703.70 1.73 2.10

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.25 Chelsea – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.67 2.20
14.12.25 West Ham – Aston Villa 2–3 (2–1) 3.753.502.00 1.80 2.00
03.12.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 3–4 (2–2) 2.153.503.40 1.88 1.98
23.11.25 Leeds – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.654.334.50 1.53 2.50
19.10.25 Tottenham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.053.503.50 1.83 2.03
21.09.25 Sunderland – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 2.20 1.67
13.09.25 Everton – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.80
23.08.25 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.80 2.00
25.05.25 Man United – Aston Villa 2–0 (0–0) 4.334.201.70 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Arsenal winsDrawsAston Villa wins
9matches
2.89goals / match
56%over 2.5
56%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25E0 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 2.10 1.73
18.01.25E0 Arsenal – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–0) 1.504.107.00 1.87 2.03
24.08.24E0 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 4.333.801.75 1.73 2.10
14.04.24E0 Arsenal – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 1.295.7510.00 1.50 2.63
09.12.23E0 Aston Villa – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.70 2.10
18.02.23E0 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–4 (2–1) 4.503.601.50 2.02 1.88
31.08.22E0 Arsenal – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–0) 1.454.506.00 1.72 2.10
19.03.22E0 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.302.40 1.92 1.98
22.10.21E0 Arsenal – Aston Villa 3–1 (2–0) 1.833.754.20 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 18 13 3 2 33 11 +22 42
2 Man City 18 13 1 4 43 17 +26 40
3 Aston Villa 18 12 3 3 29 19 +10 39
4 Liverpool 18 10 2 6 30 26 +4 32
5 Chelsea 19 8 6 5 32 21 +11 30
6 Man United 18 8 5 5 32 28 +4 29
7 Sunderland 18 7 7 4 20 18 +2 28
8 Everton 19 8 4 7 20 20 0 28
9 Brentford 18 8 2 8 28 26 +2 26
10 Newcastle 19 7 5 7 26 24 +2 26
11 Crystal Palace 18 7 5 6 21 20 +1 26
12 Fulham 18 8 2 8 25 26 -1 26
13 Tottenham 18 7 4 7 27 23 +4 25
14 Brighton 19 6 7 6 28 27 +1 25
15 Bournemouth 19 5 8 6 29 35 -6 23
16 Leeds 18 5 5 8 25 32 -7 20
17 Nott'm Forest 19 5 3 11 18 30 -12 18
18 West Ham 19 3 5 11 21 38 -17 14
19 Burnley 19 3 3 13 20 37 -17 12
20 Wolves 18 0 2 16 10 39 -29 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 9 8 1 0 22 4 +18 25
2 Man City 9 8 0 1 25 6 +19 24
3 Aston Villa 9 7 1 1 15 7 +8 22
4 Brentford 9 6 2 1 20 10 +10 20
5 Sunderland 9 5 4 0 16 8 +8 19
6 Liverpool 9 6 1 2 15 10 +5 19
7 Man United 9 5 2 2 17 12 +5 17
8 Newcastle 9 5 2 2 16 12 +4 17
9 Brighton 9 4 4 1 16 11 +5 16
10 Fulham 9 5 1 3 15 10 +5 16
11 Bournemouth 9 4 4 1 11 6 +5 16
12 Leeds 9 4 3 2 17 12 +5 15
13 Chelsea 10 4 3 3 15 11 +4 15
14 Everton 9 4 2 3 11 10 +1 14
15 Crystal Palace 9 2 4 3 9 11 -2 10
16 Nott'm Forest 10 3 1 6 12 17 -5 10
17 Tottenham 9 2 2 5 11 11 0 8
18 Burnley 10 2 2 6 8 13 -5 8
19 West Ham 10 2 1 7 12 23 -11 7
20 Wolves 9 0 1 8 7 23 -16 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 9 5 2 2 16 12 +4 17
2 Arsenal 9 5 2 2 11 7 +4 17
3 Aston Villa 9 5 2 2 14 12 +2 17
4 Man City 9 5 1 3 18 11 +7 16
5 Crystal Palace 9 5 1 3 12 9 +3 16
6 Chelsea 9 4 3 2 17 10 +7 15
7 Everton 10 4 2 4 9 10 -1 14
8 Liverpool 9 4 1 4 15 16 -1 13
9 Man United 9 3 3 3 15 16 -1 12
10 Fulham 9 3 1 5 10 16 -6 10
11 Newcastle 10 2 3 5 10 12 -2 9
12 Brighton 10 2 3 5 12 16 -4 9
13 Sunderland 9 2 3 4 4 10 -6 9
14 Nott'm Forest 9 2 2 5 6 13 -7 8
15 West Ham 9 1 4 4 9 15 -6 7
16 Bournemouth 10 1 4 5 18 29 -11 7
17 Brentford 9 2 0 7 8 16 -8 6
18 Leeds 9 1 2 6 8 20 -12 5
19 Burnley 9 1 1 7 12 24 -12 4
20 Wolves 9 0 1 8 3 16 -13 1

Arsenal   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 18 5 13 2.4 0.9 13 1 4 43 17 40
2 4 Liverpool 18 6 12 1.7 1.4 10 2 6 30 26 32
3 5 Chelsea 19 7 12 1.7 1.1 8 6 5 32 21 30
4 6 Man United 18 6 12 1.8 1.6 8 5 5 32 28 29
5 10 Newcastle 19 7 12 1.4 1.3 7 5 7 26 24 26
6 13 Tottenham 18 6 12 1.5 1.3 7 4 7 27 23 25
7 15 Bournemouth 19 7 12 1.5 1.8 5 8 6 29 35 23
8 16 Leeds 18 6 12 1.4 1.8 5 5 8 25 32 20
9 18 West Ham 19 7 12 1.1 2.0 3 5 11 21 38 14
10 3 Aston Villa 18 7 11 1.6 1.1 12 3 3 29 19 39
11 14 Brighton 19 8 11 1.5 1.4 6 7 6 28 27 25
12 9 Brentford 18 8 10 1.6 1.4 8 2 8 28 26 26
13 17 Nott'm Forest 19 9 10 0.9 1.6 5 3 11 18 30 18
14 19 Burnley 19 9 10 1.1 1.9 3 3 13 20 37 12
15 11 Crystal Palace 18 9 9 1.2 1.1 7 5 6 21 20 26
16 12 Fulham 18 9 9 1.4 1.4 8 2 8 25 26 26
17 20 Wolves 18 9 9 0.6 2.2 0 2 16 10 39 2
18 1 Arsenal 18 10 8 1.8 0.6 13 3 2 33 11 42
19 7 Sunderland 18 12 6 1.1 1.0 7 7 4 20 18 28
20 8 Everton 19 13 6 1.1 1.1 8 4 7 20 20 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 9 2 7 2.8 0.7 8 0 1 25 6 24
2 10 Newcastle 9 2 7 1.8 1.3 5 2 2 16 12 17
3 16 Leeds 9 2 7 1.9 1.3 4 3 2 17 12 15
4 17 Nott'm Forest 10 3 7 1.2 1.7 3 1 6 12 17 10
5 18 West Ham 10 3 7 1.2 2.3 2 1 7 12 23 7
6 3 Aston Villa 9 3 6 1.7 0.8 7 1 1 15 7 22
7 5 Chelsea 10 4 6 1.5 1.1 4 3 3 15 11 15
8 9 Brentford 9 3 6 2.2 1.1 6 2 1 20 10 20
9 14 Brighton 9 3 6 1.8 1.2 4 4 1 16 11 16
10 1 Arsenal 9 4 5 2.4 0.4 8 1 0 22 4 25
11 4 Liverpool 9 4 5 1.7 1.1 6 1 2 15 10 19
12 13 Tottenham 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 2 5 11 11 8
13 20 Wolves 9 4 5 0.8 2.6 0 1 8 7 23 1
14 6 Man United 9 5 4 1.9 1.3 5 2 2 17 12 17
15 7 Sunderland 9 5 4 1.8 0.9 5 4 0 16 8 19
16 8 Everton 9 5 4 1.2 1.1 4 2 3 11 10 14
17 11 Crystal Palace 9 5 4 1.0 1.2 2 4 3 9 11 10
18 12 Fulham 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 5 1 3 15 10 16
19 15 Bournemouth 9 6 3 1.2 0.7 4 4 1 11 6 16
20 19 Burnley 10 8 2 0.8 1.3 2 2 6 8 13 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Bournemouth 10 1 9 1.8 2.9 1 4 5 18 29 7
2 6 Man United 9 1 8 1.7 1.8 3 3 3 15 16 12
3 19 Burnley 9 1 8 1.3 2.7 1 1 7 12 24 4
4 4 Liverpool 9 2 7 1.7 1.8 4 1 4 15 16 13
5 13 Tottenham 9 2 7 1.8 1.3 5 2 2 16 12 17
6 2 Man City 9 3 6 2.0 1.2 5 1 3 18 11 16
7 5 Chelsea 9 3 6 1.9 1.1 4 3 2 17 10 15
8 3 Aston Villa 9 4 5 1.6 1.3 5 2 2 14 12 17
9 10 Newcastle 10 5 5 1.0 1.2 2 3 5 10 12 9
10 11 Crystal Palace 9 4 5 1.3 1.0 5 1 3 12 9 16
11 12 Fulham 9 4 5 1.1 1.8 3 1 5 10 16 10
12 14 Brighton 10 5 5 1.2 1.6 2 3 5 12 16 9
13 16 Leeds 9 4 5 0.9 2.2 1 2 6 8 20 5
14 18 West Ham 9 4 5 1.0 1.7 1 4 4 9 15 7
15 9 Brentford 9 5 4 0.9 1.8 2 0 7 8 16 6
16 20 Wolves 9 5 4 0.3 1.8 0 1 8 3 16 1
17 1 Arsenal 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 2 11 7 17
18 17 Nott'm Forest 9 6 3 0.7 1.4 2 2 5 6 13 8
19 7 Sunderland 9 7 2 0.4 1.1 2 3 4 4 10 9
20 8 Everton 10 8 2 0.9 1.0 4 2 4 9 10 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40