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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Gillett

Aston Villa 1–4 Chelsea

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.70 fair 2.54
Draw 3.40 fair 3.91
Away ✓ 2.55 fair 2.86
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.06
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.94

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Chelsea
9 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 8
3 Corners 8
10 Fouls 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (285 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.80
Expected goals 1.41 – 1.32
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 9.2% 2–1 8.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.82points / match
1.36scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 38:30
Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.61points / match
1.75scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 49:33
Aston Villa all matches all matches Chelsea

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 1.75
1.07 Goals conceded 1.18
2.43 Total goals 2.93
12.71 Shots 13.46
4.36 Shots on target 4.64
12.68 Shots faced 11.04
5.39 Corners 6.00
4.57 Corners against 4.32
10.43 Fouls 11.25
1.50 Yellow cards 2.32
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.79
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

54% Wins 43%
21% Draws 32%
25% Losses 25%
89% Over 0.5 goals 93%
68% Over 1.5 goals 89%
46% Over 2.5 goals 64%
21% Over 3.5 goals 36%
11% Over 4.5 goals 7%
4% Over 5.5 goals 4%
50% Both teams scored 68%
29% Clean sheets 32%
32% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 46%
46% Draws 32%
29% Losses 21%
68% Over 0.5 goals 79%
21% Over 1.5 goals 36%
7% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Chelsea all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
2.07points / match
1.43scored / match
0.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 20:11
Chelsea before this match, away
1.57points / match
1.86scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 26:17
Aston Villa at home away Chelsea

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 1.86
0.79 Goals conceded 1.21
2.21 Total goals 3.07
13.93 Shots 12.43
4.57 Shots on target 4.86
11.14 Shots faced 11.43
5.93 Corners 5.00
4.36 Corners against 4.71
10.14 Fouls 11.64
1.14 Yellow cards 2.57
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

64% Wins 43%
14% Draws 29%
21% Losses 29%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
57% Over 1.5 goals 86%
50% Over 2.5 goals 71%
21% Over 3.5 goals 43%
0% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
43% Both teams scored 71%
36% Clean sheets 29%
29% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 36%
43% Draws 29%
21% Losses 36%
71% Over 0.5 goals 79%
21% Over 1.5 goals 43%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Chelsea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.02.26 Wolves – Aston Villa 2–0 (0–0) 4.103.701.85 1.85 2.00
21.02.26 Aston Villa – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.33 1.83 2.03
11.02.26 Aston Villa – Brighton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.703.80 1.80 2.00
07.02.26 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.67 2.20
01.02.26 Aston Villa – Brentford 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.40 1.80 2.00
25.01.26 Newcastle – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.703.70 1.67 2.20
18.01.26 Aston Villa – Everton 0–1 (0–0) 1.673.905.25 1.93 1.93
07.01.26 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.302.30 1.93 1.93
03.01.26 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 3–1 (1–0) 1.753.904.50 1.80 2.00
30.12.25 Arsenal – Aston Villa 4–1 (0–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.26 Arsenal – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 1.603.805.50 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 Chelsea – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
10.02.26 Chelsea – Leeds 2–2 (1–0) 1.554.335.50 1.62 2.30
07.02.26 Wolves – Chelsea 1–3 (0–3) 5.004.001.67 1.73 2.10
31.01.26 Chelsea – West Ham 3–2 (0–2) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.50
25.01.26 Crystal Palace – Chelsea 1–3 (0–1) 3.503.802.00 1.73 2.10
17.01.26 Chelsea – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.734.004.75 1.62 2.30
07.01.26 Fulham – Chelsea 2–1 (0–0) 3.403.602.05 1.80 2.00
04.01.26 Man City – Chelsea 1–1 (1–0) 1.604.754.50 1.50 2.63
30.12.25 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–2 (2–2) 1.504.755.75 1.50 2.63

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26 Aston Villa – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.33 1.83 2.03
11.02.26 Aston Villa – Brighton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.703.80 1.80 2.00
01.02.26 Aston Villa – Brentford 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.40 1.80 2.00
18.01.26 Aston Villa – Everton 0–1 (0–0) 1.673.905.25 1.93 1.93
03.01.26 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 3–1 (1–0) 1.753.904.50 1.80 2.00
21.12.25 Aston Villa – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20
06.12.25 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 2.10 1.73
30.11.25 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.80 2.00
09.11.25 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.25 1.88 1.98
26.10.25 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.801.80 1.73 2.10

Chelsea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.26 Arsenal – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 1.603.805.50 1.73 2.10
07.02.26 Wolves – Chelsea 1–3 (0–3) 5.004.001.67 1.73 2.10
25.01.26 Crystal Palace – Chelsea 1–3 (0–1) 3.503.802.00 1.73 2.10
07.01.26 Fulham – Chelsea 2–1 (0–0) 3.403.602.05 1.80 2.00
04.01.26 Man City – Chelsea 1–1 (1–0) 1.604.754.50 1.50 2.63
20.12.25 Newcastle – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.20
06.12.25 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.752.15 1.62 2.30
03.12.25 Leeds – Chelsea 3–1 (2–0) 4.104.101.80 1.83 2.03
22.11.25 Burnley – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 6.254.501.48 1.80 2.00
01.11.25 Tottenham – Chelsea 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsChelsea wins
9matches
2.78goals / match
67%over 2.5
44%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.25E0 Chelsea – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.67 2.20
22.02.25E0 Aston Villa – Chelsea 2–1 (0–1) 2.633.402.60 1.57 2.38
01.12.24E0 Chelsea – Aston Villa 3–0 (2–0) 1.704.104.50 1.53 2.50
27.04.24E0 Aston Villa – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.153.803.00 1.44 2.75
24.09.23E0 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.73 2.10
01.04.23E0 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.97 1.93
16.10.22E0 Aston Villa – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 2.03 1.87
26.12.21E0 Aston Villa – Chelsea 1–3 (1–1) 5.253.801.65 2.05 1.85
11.09.21E0 Chelsea – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 1.285.5011.00 1.80 2.00

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 29 19 7 3 58 22 +36 64 WWDDWW
2 Man City 28 18 5 5 57 25 +32 59 WDWWWW
3 Man United 28 14 9 5 50 38 +12 51 WWWDWW
4 Aston Villa 28 15 6 7 38 30 +8 51 WLDWDL
5 Liverpool 29 14 6 9 48 39 +9 48 WLWWWL
6 Chelsea 28 12 9 7 49 33 +16 45 WWWDDL
7 Brentford 29 13 5 11 44 40 +4 44 WWDLWD
8 Everton 29 12 7 10 34 33 +1 43 DWLLWW
9 Bournemouth 29 9 13 7 44 46 -2 40 WDWDDD
10 Fulham 28 12 4 12 40 42 -2 40 WLLLWW
11 Sunderland 29 10 10 9 30 34 -4 40 WLLLDW
12 Brighton 28 9 10 9 38 35 +3 37 LDLLWW
13 Newcastle 28 10 6 12 40 42 -2 36 LLLWLL
14 Crystal Palace 28 9 8 11 30 34 -4 35 LDWLWL
15 Leeds 29 7 10 12 37 48 -11 31 LWDDLL
16 Tottenham 28 7 8 13 38 43 -5 29 DDLLLL
17 Nott'm Forest 28 7 6 15 26 41 -15 27 WDLDLL
18 West Ham 28 6 7 15 34 54 -20 25 WLWDDL
19 Burnley 29 4 7 18 32 58 -26 19 LLWDLL
20 Wolves 30 3 7 20 22 52 -30 16 LDDLWW
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Man City 14 11 2 1 34 9 +25 35 WDDWWW
2 Arsenal 14 11 2 1 33 9 +24 35 WWDLWW
3 Man United 14 9 3 2 27 16 +11 30 WDWWWW
4 Aston Villa 14 9 2 3 20 11 +9 29 WWLLWD
5 Liverpool 14 8 3 3 26 16 +10 27 WDDWLW
6 Sunderland 14 7 5 2 22 13 +9 26 DDWWLL
7 Fulham 14 8 2 4 24 17 +7 26 WDWWLW
8 Brentford 14 7 4 3 24 15 +9 25 WDWLDL
9 Bournemouth 15 6 7 2 21 15 +6 25 LWWDDD
10 Brighton 14 6 6 2 22 15 +7 24 DWDDLW
11 Chelsea 14 6 5 3 23 16 +7 23 LDWWDD
12 Newcastle 14 7 2 5 26 23 +3 23 DWWLLL
13 Leeds 15 6 4 5 22 20 +2 22 DWLWLL
14 Everton 15 5 4 6 18 19 -1 19 LDDLLW
15 Crystal Palace 14 3 6 5 14 18 -4 15 LDDLLW
16 Nott'm Forest 14 3 4 7 13 19 -6 13 LLDDDL
17 West Ham 14 3 3 8 17 27 -10 12 LDLWDD
18 Wolves 16 3 3 10 17 31 -14 12 DLLDWW
19 Tottenham 14 2 4 8 17 22 -5 10 LDLDLL
20 Burnley 14 2 4 8 15 23 -8 10 DLDDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 15 8 5 2 25 13 +12 29 WDWDDW
2 Man City 14 7 3 4 23 16 +7 24 WDLDWW
3 Everton 14 7 3 4 16 14 +2 24 DWWDWW
4 Chelsea 14 6 4 4 26 17 +9 22 DDLWWL
5 Aston Villa 14 6 4 4 18 19 -1 22 WLDWDL
6 Man United 14 5 6 3 23 22 +1 21 LDDWDW
7 Liverpool 15 6 3 6 22 23 -1 21 DDLWWL
8 Crystal Palace 14 6 2 6 16 16 0 20 LLLDWL
9 Tottenham 14 5 4 5 21 21 0 19 WDLDLL
10 Brentford 15 6 1 8 20 25 -5 19 WLWWWD
11 Bournemouth 14 3 6 5 23 31 -8 15 LDDWWD
12 Fulham 14 4 2 8 16 25 -9 14 WDLLLW
13 Nott'm Forest 14 4 2 8 13 22 -9 14 LLWWLL
14 Sunderland 15 3 5 7 8 21 -13 14 DLLLDW
15 Brighton 14 3 4 7 16 20 -4 13 LDDLLW
16 Newcastle 14 3 4 7 14 19 -5 13 LWDLWL
17 West Ham 14 3 4 7 17 27 -10 13 LLWLWL
18 Leeds 14 1 6 7 15 28 -13 9 DDLDDD
19 Burnley 15 2 3 10 17 35 -18 9 LDLWDL
20 Wolves 14 0 4 10 5 21 -16 4 LDDLDL

Aston Villa   Chelsea

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 16 Tottenham 28 9 19 1.4 1.5 7 8 13 38 43 29 OOUOOO
2 5 Liverpool 29 11 18 1.7 1.3 14 6 9 48 39 48 OOUUOO
3 6 Chelsea 28 10 18 1.8 1.2 12 9 7 49 33 45 OOOOUO
4 13 Newcastle 28 10 18 1.4 1.5 10 6 12 40 42 36 UOOOOO
5 18 West Ham 28 10 18 1.2 1.9 6 7 15 34 54 25 OOUUUO
6 2 Man City 28 11 17 2.0 0.9 18 5 5 57 25 59 UOOOOU
7 10 Fulham 28 11 17 1.4 1.5 12 4 12 40 42 40 OOOOOO
8 1 Arsenal 29 13 16 2.0 0.8 19 7 3 58 22 64 OOUOOO
9 3 Man United 28 12 16 1.8 1.4 14 9 5 50 38 51 OOUUUO
10 9 Bournemouth 29 13 16 1.5 1.6 9 13 7 44 46 40 UUOUUU
11 15 Leeds 29 13 16 1.3 1.7 7 10 12 37 48 31 OOOUUU
12 19 Burnley 29 14 15 1.1 2.0 4 7 18 32 58 19 OUOUOU
13 7 Brentford 29 15 14 1.5 1.4 13 5 11 44 40 44 UOUUOU
14 17 Nott'm Forest 28 14 14 0.9 1.5 7 6 15 26 41 27 UUOUUO
15 4 Aston Villa 28 15 13 1.4 1.1 15 6 7 38 30 51 UUUUUU
16 12 Brighton 28 15 13 1.4 1.2 9 10 9 38 35 37 OUUUUO
17 14 Crystal Palace 28 15 13 1.1 1.2 9 8 11 30 34 35 OUUOUO
18 20 Wolves 30 17 13 0.7 1.7 3 7 20 22 52 16 OUOUUO
19 11 Sunderland 29 17 12 1.0 1.2 10 10 9 30 34 40 OOUOUU
20 8 Everton 29 19 10 1.2 1.1 12 7 10 34 33 43 UOOUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 13 Newcastle 14 4 10 1.9 1.6 7 2 5 26 23 23 OUOUOO
2 1 Arsenal 14 5 9 2.4 0.6 11 2 1 33 9 35 OOUOOO
3 2 Man City 14 5 9 2.4 0.6 11 2 1 34 9 35 OUUUOO
4 10 Fulham 14 5 9 1.7 1.2 8 2 4 24 17 26 UOOOOO
5 15 Leeds 15 6 9 1.5 1.3 6 4 5 22 20 22 UUOOUU
6 16 Tottenham 14 5 9 1.2 1.6 2 4 8 17 22 10 OUOOOO
7 18 West Ham 14 5 9 1.2 1.9 3 3 8 17 27 12 UOOOUU
8 20 Wolves 16 7 9 1.1 1.9 3 3 10 17 31 12 UUOOUO
9 5 Liverpool 14 6 8 1.9 1.1 8 3 3 26 16 27 OUUOOO
10 6 Chelsea 14 6 8 1.6 1.1 6 5 3 23 16 23 OOUOOU
11 4 Aston Villa 14 7 7 1.4 0.8 9 2 3 20 11 29 OOUUUU
12 7 Brentford 14 7 7 1.7 1.1 7 4 3 24 15 25 OUOUUU
13 11 Sunderland 14 7 7 1.6 0.9 7 5 2 22 13 26 UUOOUO
14 12 Brighton 14 7 7 1.6 1.1 6 6 2 22 15 24 UUUUUO
15 17 Nott'm Forest 14 7 7 0.9 1.4 3 4 7 13 19 13 OUUUUU
16 3 Man United 14 8 6 1.9 1.1 9 3 2 27 16 30 UUUOUO
17 8 Everton 15 9 6 1.2 1.3 5 4 6 18 19 19 OUUOUU
18 9 Bournemouth 15 9 6 1.4 1.0 6 7 2 21 15 25 OOOUUU
19 14 Crystal Palace 14 8 6 1.0 1.3 3 6 5 14 18 15 UUUOOU
20 19 Burnley 14 9 5 1.1 1.6 2 4 8 15 23 10 UOOOUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Man United 14 4 10 1.6 1.6 5 6 3 23 22 21 OUOOUU
2 5 Liverpool 15 5 10 1.5 1.5 6 3 6 22 23 21 OUOUUO
3 6 Chelsea 14 4 10 1.9 1.2 6 4 4 26 17 22 OUOOOO
4 9 Bournemouth 14 4 10 1.6 2.2 3 6 5 23 31 15 OOUUOU
5 16 Tottenham 14 4 10 1.5 1.5 5 4 5 21 21 19 UUOOUO
6 19 Burnley 15 5 10 1.1 2.3 2 3 10 17 35 9 UUOOUU
7 18 West Ham 14 5 9 1.2 1.9 3 4 7 17 27 13 OOOOUO
8 2 Man City 14 6 8 1.6 1.1 7 3 4 23 16 24 OUUOOU
9 10 Fulham 14 6 8 1.1 1.8 4 2 8 16 25 14 UUUOOO
10 13 Newcastle 14 6 8 1.0 1.4 3 4 7 14 19 13 UOUOOO
11 1 Arsenal 15 8 7 1.7 0.9 8 5 2 25 13 29 OUOUOO
12 7 Brentford 15 8 7 1.3 1.7 6 1 8 20 25 19 OUUOOU
13 14 Crystal Palace 14 7 7 1.1 1.1 6 2 6 16 16 20 OUOUUO
14 15 Leeds 14 7 7 1.1 2.0 1 6 7 15 28 9 UUOUOU
15 17 Nott'm Forest 14 7 7 0.9 1.6 4 2 8 13 22 14 UOOUOO
16 4 Aston Villa 14 8 6 1.3 1.4 6 4 4 18 19 22 OOUUUU
17 12 Brighton 14 8 6 1.1 1.4 3 4 7 16 20 13 OOUOUU
18 11 Sunderland 15 10 5 0.5 1.4 3 5 7 8 21 14 UOOOUU
19 8 Everton 14 10 4 1.1 1.0 7 3 4 16 14 24 UUUUOO
20 20 Wolves 14 10 4 0.4 1.5 0 4 10 5 21 4 OUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47