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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Madley

Burnley 0–1 Man City

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 19.00 fair 4.93
Draw 9.00 fair 4.62
Away ✓ 1.13 fair 1.72
Under 2.5 ✓ 3.40 fair 2.42
Over 2.5 1.33 fair 1.70

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burnley Man City
9 Shots 28
1 Shots on target 9
3 Corners 11
10 Fouls 12
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (330 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 1.08 – 1.97
Home / Draw / Away
BurnleyDrawMan City
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 1–2 9.9% 0–1 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches
0.61points / match
1.03scored / match
2.03conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 34:67
Man City before this match, all matches
2.09points / match
2.03scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 65:29
Burnley all matches all matches Man City

Per match

1.03 Goals scored 2.03
2.03 Goals conceded 0.91
3.06 Total goals 2.94
9.12 Shots 14.88
3.03 Shots on target 5.31
16.45 Shots faced 9.81
3.73 Corners 6.03
5.88 Corners against 3.75
9.97 Fouls 9.91
1.67 Yellow cards 1.84
0.45 1st-half goals scored 1.13
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.28

How often Full Time

12% Wins 63%
24% Draws 22%
64% Losses 16%
94% Over 0.5 goals 97%
88% Over 1.5 goals 88%
52% Over 2.5 goals 63%
39% Over 3.5 goals 22%
24% Over 4.5 goals 9%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
58% Both teams scored 50%
12% Clean sheets 41%
36% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

12% Wins 63%
36% Draws 31%
52% Losses 6%
79% Over 0.5 goals 78%
39% Over 1.5 goals 47%
15% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches
Man City all matches
Burnley before this match, at home
0.69points / match
0.94scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 15:25
Man City before this match, away
1.75points / match
1.69scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 27:17
Burnley at home away Man City

Per match

0.94 Goals scored 1.69
1.56 Goals conceded 1.06
2.50 Total goals 2.75
10.38 Shots 13.75
3.00 Shots on target 4.44
15.50 Shots faced 10.44
3.69 Corners 5.31
5.44 Corners against 4.19
9.50 Fouls 9.75
1.31 Yellow cards 2.19
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.81
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.19

How often Full Time

13% Wins 50%
31% Draws 25%
56% Losses 25%
88% Over 0.5 goals 94%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
31% Over 2.5 goals 56%
31% Over 3.5 goals 19%
13% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
38% Both teams scored 50%
25% Clean sheets 38%
50% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 50%
38% Draws 44%
50% Losses 6%
75% Over 0.5 goals 63%
44% Over 1.5 goals 25%
19% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home
Man City away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.26 Nott'm Forest – Burnley 4–1 (0–1) 1.504.207.00 1.73 2.10
11.04.26 Burnley – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 4.504.001.73 1.73 2.10
21.03.26 Fulham – Burnley 3–1 (0–0) 1.534.106.25 1.80 2.00
14.03.26 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.801.83 1.73 2.10
03.03.26 Everton – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.98 1.88
28.02.26 Burnley – Brentford 3–4 (1–3) 4.503.901.73 1.85 2.00
21.02.26 Chelsea – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
11.02.26 Crystal Palace – Burnley 2–3 (2–3) 1.574.006.25 1.98 1.88
07.02.26 Burnley – West Ham 0–2 (0–2) 3.303.502.15 1.90 1.95
02.02.26 Sunderland – Burnley 3–0 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 2.20 1.67

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.26 Man City – Arsenal 2–1 (1–1) 1.833.704.20 2.00 1.80
12.04.26 Chelsea – Man City 0–3 (0–0) 3.103.802.15 1.57 2.38
14.03.26 West Ham – Man City 1–1 (1–1) 4.334.331.70 1.53 2.50
04.03.26 Man City – Nott'm Forest 2–2 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.57 2.38
28.02.26 Leeds – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.331.62 1.62 2.30
21.02.26 Man City – Newcastle 2–1 (2–1) 1.455.005.50 1.44 2.75
11.02.26 Man City – Fulham 3–0 (3–0) 1.365.507.00 1.53 2.50
08.02.26 Liverpool – Man City 1–2 (0–0) 2.383.702.75 1.57 2.38
01.02.26 Tottenham – Man City 2–2 (0–2) 4.504.101.73 1.62 2.30
24.01.26 Man City – Wolves 2–0 (2–0) 1.207.0011.00 1.40 3.00

Burnley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26 Burnley – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 4.504.001.73 1.73 2.10
14.03.26 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.801.83 1.73 2.10
28.02.26 Burnley – Brentford 3–4 (1–3) 4.503.901.73 1.85 2.00
07.02.26 Burnley – West Ham 0–2 (0–2) 3.303.502.15 1.90 1.95
24.01.26 Burnley – Tottenham 2–2 (1–1) 3.703.502.05 2.00 1.80
07.01.26 Burnley – Man United 2–2 (1–0) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.10
30.12.25 Burnley – Newcastle 1–3 (1–2) 5.254.201.60 1.80 2.00
27.12.25 Burnley – Everton 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.401.95 2.20 1.67
13.12.25 Burnley – Fulham 2–3 (1–2) 4.003.501.91 2.10 1.73
03.12.25 Burnley – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.801.75 2.00 1.80

Man City away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.26 Chelsea – Man City 0–3 (0–0) 3.103.802.15 1.57 2.38
14.03.26 West Ham – Man City 1–1 (1–1) 4.334.331.70 1.53 2.50
28.02.26 Leeds – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.331.62 1.62 2.30
08.02.26 Liverpool – Man City 1–2 (0–0) 2.383.702.75 1.57 2.38
01.02.26 Tottenham – Man City 2–2 (0–2) 4.504.101.73 1.62 2.30
17.01.26 Man United – Man City 2–0 (0–0) 3.703.801.91 1.53 2.50
01.01.26 Sunderland – Man City 0–0 (0–0) 7.504.751.38 1.62 2.30
27.12.25 Nott'm Forest – Man City 1–2 (0–0) 5.004.331.60 1.67 2.20
14.12.25 Crystal Palace – Man City 0–3 (0–1) 3.903.901.85 1.67 2.20
02.12.25 Fulham – Man City 4–5 (1–3) 4.334.101.73 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burnley winsDrawsMan City wins
5matches
3.40goals / match
60%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25E0 Man City – Burnley 5–1 (1–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.44 2.75
31.01.24E0 Man City – Burnley 3–1 (2–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.33 3.40
11.08.23E0 Burnley – Man City 0–3 (0–2) 8.005.501.33 1.67 2.20
02.04.22E0 Burnley – Man City 0–2 (0–2) 15.006.501.20 1.57 2.37
16.10.21E0 Man City – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.129.0019.00 1.36 3.20

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 33 21 7 5 63 26 +37 70 WWWWLL
2 Man City 32 20 7 5 65 29 +36 67 WWDDWW
3 Man United 33 16 10 7 58 45 +13 58 WLWDLW
4 Aston Villa 33 17 7 9 47 41 +6 58 LLLWDW
5 Liverpool 33 16 7 10 54 43 +11 55 WLDLWW
6 Brighton 34 13 11 10 48 39 +9 50 LWWWDW
7 Chelsea 34 13 9 12 53 45 +8 48 WLLLLL
8 Brentford 33 13 9 11 48 44 +4 48 WDDDDD
9 Bournemouth 33 11 15 7 50 50 0 48 DDDDWW
10 Everton 33 13 8 12 40 39 +1 47 WWLWDL
11 Sunderland 33 12 10 11 36 40 -4 46 DWLWWL
12 Fulham 33 13 6 14 43 46 -3 45 WLDWLD
13 Crystal Palace 32 11 10 11 35 36 -1 43 WLWDWD
14 Newcastle 33 12 6 15 46 49 -3 42 LWWLLL
15 Leeds 33 9 12 12 42 49 -7 39 LLDDWW
16 Nott'm Forest 33 9 9 15 36 45 -9 36 LDDWDW
17 West Ham 33 8 9 16 40 57 -17 33 LWDLWD
18 Tottenham 33 7 10 16 42 53 -11 31 LLDLLD
19 Burnley 33 4 8 21 34 67 -33 20 LLDLLL
20 Wolves 33 3 8 22 24 61 -37 17 LWWDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Man City 16 12 3 1 38 12 +26 39 DWWWDW
2 Arsenal 16 12 2 2 36 11 +25 38 DLWWWL
3 Aston Villa 17 11 2 4 27 18 +9 35 LWDLWW
4 Man United 16 10 3 3 31 19 +12 33 WWWWWL
5 Liverpool 16 9 4 3 29 17 +12 31 DWLWDW
6 Brighton 17 8 6 3 27 17 +10 30 DLWLWW
7 Sunderland 16 8 5 3 23 14 +9 29 WWLLLW
8 Fulham 16 9 2 5 27 19 +8 29 WWLWLW
9 Brentford 17 7 7 3 28 19 +9 28 LDLDDD
10 Bournemouth 16 6 8 2 23 17 +6 26 WWDDDD
11 Leeds 17 7 5 5 25 20 +5 26 LWLLDW
12 Newcastle 17 8 2 7 30 28 +2 26 LLLWLL
13 Chelsea 17 6 5 6 23 21 +2 23 WDDLLL
14 Everton 17 6 4 7 22 21 +1 22 DLLWWL
15 Crystal Palace 17 4 8 5 16 19 -3 20 LLWDWD
16 Nott'm Forest 17 4 6 7 18 21 -3 18 DDLDDW
17 West Ham 16 4 4 8 22 28 -6 16 LWDDDW
18 Wolves 16 3 3 10 17 31 -14 12 DLLDWW
19 Tottenham 17 2 5 10 20 30 -10 11 DLLLLD
20 Burnley 16 2 5 9 15 25 -10 11 DDLLDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 17 9 5 3 27 15 +12 32 WDDWWL
2 Man City 16 8 4 4 27 17 +10 28 LDWWDW
3 Chelsea 17 7 4 6 30 24 +6 25 WWLWLL
4 Man United 17 6 7 4 27 26 +1 25 WDWLDW
5 Everton 16 7 4 5 18 18 0 25 WDWWLD
6 Liverpool 17 7 3 7 25 26 -1 24 LWWLLW
7 Crystal Palace 15 7 2 6 19 17 +2 23 LLDWLW
8 Aston Villa 16 6 5 5 20 23 -3 23 DWDLLD
9 Bournemouth 17 5 7 5 27 33 -6 22 WWDDWW
10 Tottenham 16 5 5 6 22 23 -1 20 LDLLDL
11 Brighton 17 5 5 7 21 22 -1 20 LLWWWD
12 Brentford 16 6 2 8 20 25 -5 20 LWWWDD
13 Nott'm Forest 16 5 3 8 18 24 -6 18 WWLLDW
14 West Ham 17 4 5 8 18 29 -11 17 LWLWLD
15 Sunderland 17 4 5 8 13 26 -13 17 LLDWWL
16 Newcastle 16 4 4 8 16 21 -5 16 DLWLWL
17 Fulham 17 4 4 9 16 27 -11 16 LLWDLD
18 Leeds 16 2 7 7 17 29 -12 13 LDDDDW
19 Burnley 17 2 3 12 19 42 -23 9 LWDLLL
20 Wolves 17 0 5 12 7 30 -23 5 LDLDLL

Burnley   Man City

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Chelsea 34 12 22 1.6 1.3 13 9 12 53 45 48 OUOOUO
2 14 Newcastle 33 11 22 1.4 1.5 12 6 15 46 49 42 OOUOOO
3 18 Tottenham 33 11 22 1.3 1.6 7 10 16 42 53 31 OOUOUO
4 2 Man City 32 12 20 2.0 0.9 20 7 5 65 29 67 OUOUOO
5 3 Man United 33 13 20 1.8 1.4 16 10 7 58 45 58 OOOOOU
6 5 Liverpool 33 13 20 1.6 1.3 16 7 10 54 43 55 OOUOUO
7 9 Bournemouth 33 14 19 1.5 1.5 11 15 7 50 50 48 UUUOOO
8 17 West Ham 33 14 19 1.2 1.7 8 9 16 40 57 33 OUUUOU
9 1 Arsenal 33 15 18 1.9 0.8 21 7 5 63 26 70 OOUUOO
10 12 Fulham 33 15 18 1.3 1.4 13 6 14 43 46 45 OUUOUU
11 15 Leeds 33 15 18 1.3 1.5 9 12 12 42 49 39 UUUUOO
12 16 Nott'm Forest 33 16 17 1.1 1.4 9 9 15 36 45 36 OOUOUO
13 19 Burnley 33 16 17 1.0 2.0 4 8 21 34 67 20 OUUOUO
14 4 Aston Villa 33 17 16 1.4 1.2 17 7 9 47 41 58 UOOUUO
15 6 Brighton 34 18 16 1.4 1.1 13 11 10 48 39 50 UUOUOO
16 8 Brentford 33 17 16 1.5 1.3 13 9 11 48 44 48 OUOUOU
17 20 Wolves 33 17 16 0.7 1.8 3 8 22 24 61 17 UUOOOO
18 13 Crystal Palace 32 17 15 1.1 1.1 11 10 11 35 36 43 UOOUOU
19 11 Sunderland 33 19 14 1.1 1.2 12 10 11 36 40 46 UUUOUO
20 10 Everton 33 20 13 1.2 1.2 13 8 12 40 39 47 OUUOOO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 14 Newcastle 17 4 13 1.8 1.6 8 2 7 30 28 26 UOOOOO
2 18 Tottenham 17 5 12 1.2 1.8 2 5 10 20 30 11 OOOOOO
3 2 Man City 16 5 11 2.4 0.8 12 3 1 38 12 39 UUOOOO
4 1 Arsenal 16 6 10 2.2 0.7 12 2 2 36 11 38 UOOOUO
5 12 Fulham 16 6 10 1.7 1.2 9 2 5 27 19 29 OOOOUO
6 15 Leeds 17 7 10 1.5 1.2 7 5 5 25 20 26 OOUUUO
7 17 West Ham 16 6 10 1.4 1.8 4 4 8 22 28 16 OOUUUO
8 4 Aston Villa 17 8 9 1.6 1.1 11 2 4 27 18 35 UUUOUO
9 6 Brighton 17 8 9 1.6 1.0 8 6 3 27 17 30 UUOUOO
10 7 Chelsea 17 8 9 1.4 1.2 6 5 6 23 21 23 OOUUOU
11 8 Brentford 17 8 9 1.6 1.1 7 7 3 28 19 28 UUUOOU
12 20 Wolves 16 7 9 1.1 1.9 3 3 10 17 31 12 UUOOUO
13 3 Man United 16 8 8 1.9 1.2 10 3 3 31 19 33 UOUOOO
14 5 Liverpool 16 8 8 1.8 1.1 9 4 3 29 17 31 UOOOUU
15 10 Everton 17 9 8 1.3 1.2 6 4 7 22 21 22 UOUUOO
16 16 Nott'm Forest 17 9 8 1.1 1.2 4 6 7 18 21 18 UUUUUO
17 9 Bournemouth 16 9 7 1.4 1.1 6 8 2 23 17 26 OOUUUO
18 11 Sunderland 16 9 7 1.4 0.9 8 5 3 23 14 29 OOUOUU
19 13 Crystal Palace 17 10 7 0.9 1.1 4 8 5 16 19 20 OOUUOU
20 19 Burnley 16 11 5 0.9 1.6 2 5 9 15 25 11 OOUOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Chelsea 17 4 13 1.8 1.4 7 4 6 30 24 25 OOOOOO
2 3 Man United 17 5 12 1.6 1.5 6 7 4 27 26 25 OUUOOU
3 5 Liverpool 17 5 12 1.5 1.5 7 3 7 25 26 24 OUUOOO
4 9 Bournemouth 17 5 12 1.6 1.9 5 7 5 27 33 22 UOUUOO
5 19 Burnley 17 5 12 1.1 2.5 2 3 12 19 42 9 OOUUOO
6 18 Tottenham 16 6 10 1.4 1.4 5 5 6 22 23 20 OOUOUU
7 2 Man City 16 7 9 1.7 1.1 8 4 4 27 17 28 UOOUUO
8 14 Newcastle 16 7 9 1.0 1.3 4 4 8 16 21 16 UOOOUO
9 16 Nott'm Forest 16 7 9 1.1 1.5 5 3 8 18 24 18 OUOOOO
10 17 West Ham 17 8 9 1.1 1.7 4 5 8 18 29 17 OUOUUU
11 1 Arsenal 17 9 8 1.6 0.9 9 5 3 27 15 32 OUOOUO
12 12 Fulham 17 9 8 0.9 1.6 4 4 9 16 27 16 OOOUUU
13 13 Crystal Palace 15 7 8 1.3 1.1 7 2 6 19 17 23 UOUUOO
14 15 Leeds 16 8 8 1.1 1.8 2 7 7 17 29 13 OUOUUO
15 4 Aston Villa 16 9 7 1.2 1.4 6 5 5 20 23 23 UUUUOU
16 6 Brighton 17 10 7 1.2 1.3 5 5 7 21 22 20 OUUUUO
17 8 Brentford 16 9 7 1.2 1.6 6 2 8 20 25 20 UUOOUU
18 11 Sunderland 17 10 7 0.8 1.5 4 5 8 13 26 17 OOUUOO
19 20 Wolves 17 10 7 0.4 1.8 0 5 12 7 30 5 UUUOOO
20 10 Everton 16 11 5 1.1 1.1 7 4 5 18 18 25 UUOOUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47