Newcastle 3–1 Brighton – England Premier League, 2 May 2026

Match facts

Newcastle Brighton

13 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 4

2 Corners 10

10 Fouls 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (340 league matches this season so far).

Result Newcastle to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.72

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.42

Home / Draw / Away

38% 25% 37%

NewcastleDrawBrighton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

45% 55%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

42% 58%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

16% 1

23% 2

22% 3

16% 4

17% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.6% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches

1.24points / match

1.35scored / match

1.47conceded / match

12 6 16

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 46:50

Brighton before this match, all matches

1.47points / match

1.41scored / match

1.15conceded / match

13 11 10

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 48:39

Newcastle all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.35 Goals scored 1.41

1.47 Goals conceded 1.15

2.82 Total goals 2.56

12.97 Shots 12.82

4.56 Shots on target 4.59

11.88 Shots faced 11.97

6.26 Corners 4.71

4.94 Corners against 5.00

10.32 Fouls 12.18

1.68 Yellow cards 2.41

0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.53

0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

35% Wins 38%

18% Draws 32%

47% Losses 29%

88% Over 0.5 goals 94%

74% Over 1.5 goals 82%

65% Over 2.5 goals 47%

32% Over 3.5 goals 18%

18% Over 4.5 goals 6%

3% Over 5.5 goals 6%

65% Both teams scored 59%

24% Clean sheets 26%

24% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 29%

29% Draws 32%

35% Losses 38%

74% Over 0.5 goals 76%

32% Over 1.5 goals 24%

24% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches

2

3

L

2

1

W

1

2

L

2

3

L

2

1

W

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

L

Brighton all matches

1

L

1

L

2

W

2

1

W

1

L

1

W

2

1

W

2

W

2

D

3

W

Newcastle before this match, at home

1.53points / match

1.76scored / match

1.65conceded / match

8 2 7

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 30:28

Brighton before this match, away

1.18points / match

1.24scored / match

1.29conceded / match

5 5 7

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 21:22

Newcastle at home away Brighton

Per match

1.76 Goals scored 1.24

1.65 Goals conceded 1.29

3.41 Total goals 2.53

14.35 Shots 11.82

5.41 Shots on target 4.12

11.71 Shots faced 13.88

6.94 Corners 4.29

4.88 Corners against 5.18

11.06 Fouls 12.88

1.47 Yellow cards 2.88

0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.41

0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

47% Wins 29%

12% Draws 29%

41% Losses 41%

100% Over 0.5 goals 94%

94% Over 1.5 goals 82%

76% Over 2.5 goals 41%

35% Over 3.5 goals 24%

24% Over 4.5 goals 6%

6% Over 5.5 goals 6%

76% Both teams scored 53%

18% Clean sheets 29%

6% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 24%

29% Draws 24%

35% Losses 53%

76% Over 0.5 goals 82%

35% Over 1.5 goals 24%

18% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home

2

1

W

2

D

2

W

4

3

W

2

L

2

3

L

2

3

L

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

Brighton away

2

L

1

2

L

2

D

1

D

1

2

L

1

L

2

W

1

W

2

W

2

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.04.26	Arsenal – Newcastle	1–0 (1–0)	1.45	4.75	6.25	1.57	2.38
18.04.26	Newcastle – Bournemouth	1–2 (0–1)	2.00	3.75	3.50	1.50	2.63
12.04.26	Crystal Palace – Newcastle	2–1 (0–1)	3.00	3.60	2.20	1.73	2.10
22.03.26	Newcastle – Sunderland	1–2 (1–0)	1.67	4.00	5.00	1.88	1.98
14.03.26	Chelsea – Newcastle	0–1 (0–1)	1.80	4.20	3.80	1.50	2.63
04.03.26	Newcastle – Man United	2–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.50	2.60	1.57	2.38
28.02.26	Newcastle – Everton	2–3 (1–2)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.73	2.10
21.02.26	Man City – Newcastle	2–1 (2–1)	1.45	5.00	5.50	1.44	2.75
10.02.26	Tottenham – Newcastle	1–2 (0–1)	3.20	3.60	2.20	1.73	2.10
07.02.26	Newcastle – Brentford	2–3 (1–2)	2.10	3.50	3.50	1.73	2.10

Brighton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.04.26	Brighton – Chelsea	3–0 (1–0)	2.50	3.50	2.70	1.67	2.20
18.04.26	Tottenham – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	2.70	3.75	2.40	1.67	2.20
11.04.26	Burnley – Brighton	0–2 (0–1)	4.50	4.00	1.73	1.73	2.10
21.03.26	Brighton – Liverpool	2–1 (1–1)	3.10	3.50	2.20	1.73	2.10
14.03.26	Sunderland – Brighton	0–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.30	2.25	2.10	1.73
04.03.26	Brighton – Arsenal	0–1 (0–1)	4.75	4.10	1.65	1.91	1.91
01.03.26	Brighton – Nott'm Forest	2–1 (2–1)	2.00	3.60	3.50	1.83	2.03
21.02.26	Brentford – Brighton	0–2 (0–2)	2.00	3.70	3.50	1.80	2.00
11.02.26	Aston Villa – Brighton	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.70	3.80	1.80	2.00
08.02.26	Brighton – Crystal Palace	0–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	3.90	1.80	2.00

Newcastle at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.04.26	Newcastle – Bournemouth	1–2 (0–1)	2.00	3.75	3.50	1.50	2.63
22.03.26	Newcastle – Sunderland	1–2 (1–0)	1.67	4.00	5.00	1.88	1.98
04.03.26	Newcastle – Man United	2–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.50	2.60	1.57	2.38
28.02.26	Newcastle – Everton	2–3 (1–2)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.73	2.10
07.02.26	Newcastle – Brentford	2–3 (1–2)	2.10	3.50	3.50	1.73	2.10
25.01.26	Newcastle – Aston Villa	0–2 (0–1)	1.95	3.70	3.70	1.67	2.20
07.01.26	Newcastle – Leeds	4–3 (1–2)	1.67	3.80	5.00	1.83	2.03
04.01.26	Newcastle – Crystal Palace	2–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.90	4.75	1.80	2.00
20.12.25	Newcastle – Chelsea	2–2 (2–0)	2.75	3.60	2.45	1.67	2.20
06.12.25	Newcastle – Burnley	2–1 (2–0)	1.27	6.00	9.50	1.57	2.38

Brighton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.04.26	Tottenham – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	2.70	3.75	2.40	1.67	2.20
11.04.26	Burnley – Brighton	0–2 (0–1)	4.50	4.00	1.73	1.73	2.10
14.03.26	Sunderland – Brighton	0–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.30	2.25	2.10	1.73
21.02.26	Brentford – Brighton	0–2 (0–2)	2.00	3.70	3.50	1.80	2.00
11.02.26	Aston Villa – Brighton	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.70	3.80	1.80	2.00
24.01.26	Fulham – Brighton	2–1 (0–1)	2.60	3.40	2.70	1.73	2.10
07.01.26	Man City – Brighton	1–1 (1–0)	1.40	5.25	6.50	1.44	2.75
30.12.25	West Ham – Brighton	2–2 (2–1)	3.40	3.75	2.00	1.67	2.20
27.12.25	Arsenal – Brighton	2–1 (1–0)	1.42	4.75	7.00	1.67	2.20
13.12.25	Liverpool – Brighton	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	4.00	4.75	1.53	2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 4 3

Newcastle winsDrawsBrighton wins

9matches

2.44goals / match

44%over 2.5

78%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.10.25E0	Brighton – Newcastle	2–1 (1–0)	2.63	3.40	2.60	1.88	1.98
04.05.25E0	Brighton – Newcastle	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.70	2.30	1.53	2.50
19.10.24E0	Newcastle – Brighton	0–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.70	3.60	1.49	2.45
11.05.24E0	Newcastle – Brighton	1–1 (1–1)	1.57	4.75	4.75	1.33	3.40
02.09.23E0	Brighton – Newcastle	3–1 (1–0)	2.50	3.80	2.55	1.50	2.63
18.05.23E0	Newcastle – Brighton	4–1 (2–0)	2.00	3.80	3.50	1.62	2.30
13.08.22E0	Brighton – Newcastle	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.20	3.00	2.10	1.72
05.03.22E0	Newcastle – Brighton	2–1 (2–0)	2.75	3.20	2.62	2.30	1.61
06.11.21E0	Brighton – Newcastle	1–1 (1–0)	1.57	3.90	6.00	1.90	1.90

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	34	22	7	5	64	26	+38	73
2	Man City	33	21	7	5	66	29	+37	70
3	Man United	34	17	10	7	60	46	+14	61
4	Liverpool	34	17	7	10	57	44	+13	58
5	Aston Villa	34	17	7	10	47	42	+5	58
6	Brighton	34	13	11	10	48	39	+9	50
7	Bournemouth	34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49
8	Chelsea	34	13	9	12	53	45	+8	48
9	Brentford	34	13	9	12	49	46	+3	48
10	Fulham	34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48
11	Everton	34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47
12	Sunderland	34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46
13	Crystal Palace	33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43
14	Leeds	35	10	13	12	47	52	-5	43
15	Newcastle	34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42
16	Nott'm Forest	34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39
17	West Ham	34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36
18	Tottenham	34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34
19	Burnley	35	4	8	23	35	71	-36	20
20	Wolves	34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	17	13	2	2	37	11	+26	41
2	Man City	16	12	3	1	38	12	+26	39
3	Man United	17	11	3	3	33	20	+13	36
4	Aston Villa	17	11	2	4	27	18	+9	35
5	Liverpool	17	10	4	3	32	18	+14	34
6	Fulham	17	10	2	5	28	19	+9	32
7	Brighton	17	8	6	3	27	17	+10	30
8	Leeds	18	8	5	5	28	21	+7	29
9	Sunderland	17	8	5	4	23	19	+4	29
10	Brentford	17	7	7	3	28	19	+9	28
11	Bournemouth	17	6	9	2	25	19	+6	27
12	Newcastle	17	8	2	7	30	28	+2	26
13	Chelsea	17	6	5	6	23	21	+2	23
14	Everton	17	6	4	7	22	21	+1	22
15	Crystal Palace	17	4	8	5	16	19	-3	20
16	West Ham	17	5	4	8	24	29	-5	19
17	Nott'm Forest	17	4	6	7	18	21	-3	18
18	Wolves	17	3	3	11	17	32	-15	12
19	Tottenham	17	2	5	10	20	30	-10	11
20	Burnley	17	2	5	10	15	26	-11	11

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	17	9	5	3	27	15	+12	32
2	Man City	17	9	4	4	28	17	+11	31
3	Chelsea	17	7	4	6	30	24	+6	25
4	Man United	17	6	7	4	27	26	+1	25
5	Everton	17	7	4	6	19	20	-1	25
6	Liverpool	17	7	3	7	25	26	-1	24
7	Tottenham	17	6	5	6	23	23	0	23
8	Crystal Palace	16	7	2	7	20	20	0	23
9	Aston Villa	17	6	5	6	20	24	-4	23
10	Bournemouth	17	5	7	5	27	33	-6	22
11	Nott'm Forest	17	6	3	8	23	24	-1	21
12	Brighton	17	5	5	7	21	22	-1	20
13	Brentford	17	6	2	9	21	27	-6	20
14	West Ham	17	4	5	8	18	29	-11	17
15	Sunderland	17	4	5	8	13	26	-13	17
16	Newcastle	17	4	4	9	16	22	-6	16
17	Fulham	17	4	4	9	16	27	-11	16
18	Leeds	17	2	8	7	19	31	-12	14
19	Burnley	18	2	3	13	20	45	-25	9
20	Wolves	17	0	5	12	7	30	-23	5

Newcastle Brighton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Chelsea	34	12	22	1.6	1.3	13	9	12	53	45	48
2	15	Newcastle	34	12	22	1.4	1.5	12	6	16	46	50	42
3	18	Tottenham	34	12	22	1.3	1.6	8	10	16	43	53	34
4	3	Man United	34	13	21	1.8	1.4	17	10	7	60	46	61
5	4	Liverpool	34	13	21	1.7	1.3	17	7	10	57	44	58
6	2	Man City	33	13	20	2.0	0.9	21	7	5	66	29	70
7	7	Bournemouth	34	14	20	1.5	1.5	11	16	7	52	52	49
8	14	Leeds	35	15	20	1.3	1.5	10	13	12	47	52	43
9	17	West Ham	34	14	20	1.2	1.7	9	9	16	42	58	36
10	1	Arsenal	34	16	18	1.9	0.8	22	7	5	64	26	73
11	10	Fulham	34	16	18	1.3	1.4	14	6	14	44	46	48
12	16	Nott'm Forest	34	16	18	1.2	1.3	10	9	15	41	45	39
13	19	Burnley	35	17	18	1.0	2.0	4	8	23	35	71	20
14	9	Brentford	34	17	17	1.4	1.4	13	9	12	49	46	48
15	5	Aston Villa	34	18	16	1.4	1.2	17	7	10	47	42	58
16	6	Brighton	34	18	16	1.4	1.1	13	11	10	48	39	50
17	13	Crystal Palace	33	17	16	1.1	1.2	11	10	12	36	39	43
18	20	Wolves	34	18	16	0.7	1.8	3	8	23	24	62	17
19	12	Sunderland	34	19	15	1.1	1.3	12	10	12	36	45	46
20	11	Everton	34	20	14	1.2	1.2	13	8	13	41	41	47

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	15	Newcastle	17	4	13	1.8	1.6	8	2	7	30	28	26
2	18	Tottenham	17	5	12	1.2	1.8	2	5	10	20	30	11
3	2	Man City	16	5	11	2.4	0.8	12	3	1	38	12	39
4	14	Leeds	18	7	11	1.6	1.2	8	5	5	28	21	29
5	17	West Ham	17	6	11	1.4	1.7	5	4	8	24	29	19
6	1	Arsenal	17	7	10	2.2	0.6	13	2	2	37	11	41
7	10	Fulham	17	7	10	1.6	1.1	10	2	5	28	19	32
8	3	Man United	17	8	9	1.9	1.2	11	3	3	33	20	36
9	4	Liverpool	17	8	9	1.9	1.1	10	4	3	32	18	34
10	5	Aston Villa	17	8	9	1.6	1.1	11	2	4	27	18	35
11	6	Brighton	17	8	9	1.6	1.0	8	6	3	27	17	30
12	8	Chelsea	17	8	9	1.4	1.2	6	5	6	23	21	23
13	9	Brentford	17	8	9	1.6	1.1	7	7	3	28	19	28
14	20	Wolves	17	8	9	1.0	1.9	3	3	11	17	32	12
15	7	Bournemouth	17	9	8	1.5	1.1	6	9	2	25	19	27
16	11	Everton	17	9	8	1.3	1.2	6	4	7	22	21	22
17	12	Sunderland	17	9	8	1.4	1.1	8	5	4	23	19	29
18	16	Nott'm Forest	17	9	8	1.1	1.2	4	6	7	18	21	18
19	13	Crystal Palace	17	10	7	0.9	1.1	4	8	5	16	19	20
20	19	Burnley	17	12	5	0.9	1.5	2	5	10	15	26	11

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Chelsea	17	4	13	1.8	1.4	7	4	6	30	24	25
2	19	Burnley	18	5	13	1.1	2.5	2	3	13	20	45	9
3	3	Man United	17	5	12	1.6	1.5	6	7	4	27	26	25
4	4	Liverpool	17	5	12	1.5	1.5	7	3	7	25	26	24
5	7	Bournemouth	17	5	12	1.6	1.9	5	7	5	27	33	22
6	16	Nott'm Forest	17	7	10	1.4	1.4	6	3	8	23	24	21
7	18	Tottenham	17	7	10	1.4	1.4	6	5	6	23	23	23
8	2	Man City	17	8	9	1.6	1.0	9	4	4	28	17	31
9	13	Crystal Palace	16	7	9	1.2	1.2	7	2	7	20	20	23
10	14	Leeds	17	8	9	1.1	1.8	2	8	7	19	31	14
11	15	Newcastle	17	8	9	0.9	1.3	4	4	9	16	22	16
12	17	West Ham	17	8	9	1.1	1.7	4	5	8	18	29	17
13	1	Arsenal	17	9	8	1.6	0.9	9	5	3	27	15	32
14	9	Brentford	17	9	8	1.2	1.6	6	2	9	21	27	20
15	10	Fulham	17	9	8	0.9	1.6	4	4	9	16	27	16
16	5	Aston Villa	17	10	7	1.2	1.4	6	5	6	20	24	23
17	6	Brighton	17	10	7	1.2	1.3	5	5	7	21	22	20
18	12	Sunderland	17	10	7	0.8	1.5	4	5	8	13	26	17
19	20	Wolves	17	10	7	0.4	1.8	0	5	12	7	30	5
20	11	Everton	17	11	6	1.1	1.2	7	4	6	19	20	25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.