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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Lille 1–0 Marseille

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.30 fair 2.27
Draw 3.60 fair 4.27
Away 2.90 fair 3.07
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.57
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.64

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lille Marseille
5 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 5
9 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (127 league matches this season so far).
Result Lille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.60
Expected goals 1.71 – 1.44
Home / Draw / Away
LilleDrawMarseille
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.5% 2–1 9% 1–2 7.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Lille before this match, all matches
1.86points / match
2.00scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 28:17
Marseille before this match, all matches
2.07points / match
2.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 35:14
Lille all matches all matches Marseille

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 2.50
1.21 Goals conceded 1.00
3.21 Total goals 3.50
15.86 Shots 14.71
5.21 Shots on target 6.00
9.50 Shots faced 9.14
6.71 Corners 5.64
3.93 Corners against 3.43
13.36 Fouls 11.93
2.36 Yellow cards 2.14
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.93
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

57% Wins 64%
14% Draws 14%
29% Losses 21%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 71%
43% Over 2.5 goals 71%
29% Over 3.5 goals 43%
29% Over 4.5 goals 21%
29% Over 5.5 goals 21%
43% Both teams scored 50%
29% Clean sheets 36%
29% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 43%
43% Draws 43%
29% Losses 14%
64% Over 0.5 goals 71%
29% Over 1.5 goals 43%
7% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lille all matches
Marseille all matches
Lille before this match, at home
2.29points / match
2.14scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 15:6
Marseille before this match, away
1.71points / match
1.71scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:6
Lille at home away Marseille

Per match

2.14 Goals scored 1.71
0.86 Goals conceded 0.86
3.00 Total goals 2.57
16.57 Shots 14.57
5.43 Shots on target 5.43
8.43 Shots faced 10.57
6.57 Corners 5.86
4.57 Corners against 4.86
12.43 Fouls 11.00
1.86 Yellow cards 2.43
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.14

How often Full Time

71% Wins 57%
14% Draws 0%
14% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
57% Over 1.5 goals 57%
43% Over 2.5 goals 57%
29% Over 3.5 goals 14%
29% Over 4.5 goals 14%
29% Over 5.5 goals 14%
57% Both teams scored 43%
29% Clean sheets 29%
14% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 29%
57% Draws 71%
14% Losses 0%
57% Over 0.5 goals 43%
29% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lille at home
Marseille away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.25 Le Havre – Lille 0–1 (0–0) 4.333.601.85 1.91 1.91
23.11.25 Lille – Paris FC 4–2 (1–1) 1.624.005.50 1.67 2.20
09.11.25 Strasbourg – Lille 2–0 (1–0) 2.633.502.55 1.73 2.10
02.11.25 Lille – Angers 1–0 (1–0) 1.276.0010.00 1.67 2.20
29.10.25 Nice – Lille 2–0 (1–0) 3.003.502.30 1.73 2.10
26.10.25 Lille – Metz 6–1 (2–0) 1.305.509.50 1.57 2.38
19.10.25 Nantes – Lille 0–2 (0–1) 4.503.601.80 1.90 1.95
05.10.25 Lille – Paris SG 1–1 (0–0) 4.503.901.75 1.67 2.20
28.09.25 Lille – Lyon 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 1.73 2.10
20.09.25 Lens – Lille 3–0 (2–0) 2.383.502.90 1.80 2.00

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Marseille – Toulouse 2–2 (0–1) 1.603.906.00 1.80 2.00
21.11.25 Nice – Marseille 1–5 (0–2) 3.803.751.91 1.73 2.10
08.11.25 Marseille – Brest 3–0 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.67 2.20
01.11.25 Auxerre – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.001.67 1.67 2.20
29.10.25 Marseille – Angers 2–2 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.57 2.38
25.10.25 Lens – Marseille 2–1 (1–1) 2.703.602.45 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Marseille – Le Havre 6–2 (1–1) 1.335.009.00 1.62 2.30
04.10.25 Metz – Marseille 0–3 (0–0) 6.255.001.45 1.62 2.30
26.09.25 Strasbourg – Marseille 1–2 (0–0) 3.603.602.00 1.73 2.10
22.09.25 Marseille – Paris SG 1–0 (1–0) 3.704.101.90 1.53 2.50

Lille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.25 Lille – Paris FC 4–2 (1–1) 1.624.005.50 1.67 2.20
02.11.25 Lille – Angers 1–0 (1–0) 1.276.0010.00 1.67 2.20
26.10.25 Lille – Metz 6–1 (2–0) 1.305.509.50 1.57 2.38
05.10.25 Lille – Paris SG 1–1 (0–0) 4.503.901.75 1.67 2.20
28.09.25 Lille – Lyon 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 1.73 2.10
14.09.25 Lille – Toulouse 2–1 (0–0) 1.753.804.50 1.80 2.00
24.08.25 Lille – Monaco 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.602.20 1.67 2.15
17.05.25 Lille – Reims 2–1 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.67 2.20
04.05.25 Lille – Marseille 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.253.10 1.90 2.00
20.04.25 Lille – Auxerre 3–1 (2–0) 1.504.207.00 1.90 2.00

Marseille away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.11.25 Nice – Marseille 1–5 (0–2) 3.803.751.91 1.73 2.10
01.11.25 Auxerre – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.001.67 1.67 2.20
25.10.25 Lens – Marseille 2–1 (1–1) 2.703.602.45 1.73 2.10
04.10.25 Metz – Marseille 0–3 (0–0) 6.255.001.45 1.62 2.30
26.09.25 Strasbourg – Marseille 1–2 (0–0) 3.603.602.00 1.73 2.10
31.08.25 Lyon – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.633.602.50 1.53 2.40
15.08.25 Rennes – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.602.05 1.88 1.98
10.05.25 Le Havre – Marseille 1–3 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.57 2.38
04.05.25 Lille – Marseille 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.253.10 1.90 2.00
12.04.25 Monaco – Marseille 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.40 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Lille winsDrawsMarseille wins
8matches
2.25goals / match
38%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.05.25F1 Lille – Marseille 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.253.10 1.90 2.00
14.12.24F1 Marseille – Lille 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.30 1.89 2.01
05.04.24F1 Lille – Marseille 3–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.75 2.08 1.82
04.11.23F1 Marseille – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.89 2.01
20.05.23F1 Lille – Marseille 2–1 (0–1) 2.403.602.75 1.73 2.10
10.09.22F1 Marseille – Lille 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.753.75 1.72 2.10
16.01.22F1 Marseille – Lille 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 2.04 1.86
03.10.21F1 Lille – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 2.453.303.00 2.00 1.80

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 14 10 1 3 24 12 +12 31
2 Paris SG 14 9 3 2 27 12 +15 30
3 Marseille 14 9 2 3 35 14 +21 29
4 Lille 14 8 2 4 28 17 +11 26
5 Rennes 14 6 6 2 24 18 +6 24
6 Lyon 14 7 3 4 21 15 +6 24
7 Monaco 15 7 2 6 26 26 0 23
8 Strasbourg 14 7 1 6 25 19 +6 22
9 Brest 15 5 4 6 20 24 -4 19
10 Toulouse 14 4 5 5 20 19 +1 17
11 Nice 14 5 2 7 19 26 -7 17
12 Angers 14 4 4 6 12 17 -5 16
13 Paris FC 14 4 3 7 21 26 -5 15
14 Le Havre 14 3 5 6 13 21 -8 14
15 Lorient 14 3 5 6 18 28 -10 14
16 Nantes 14 2 5 7 12 22 -10 11
17 Metz 14 3 2 9 14 31 -17 11
18 Auxerre 14 2 3 9 8 20 -12 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 7 6 0 1 14 4 +10 18
2 Marseille 7 5 2 0 23 8 +15 17
3 Lille 7 5 1 1 15 6 +9 16
4 Paris SG 6 5 1 0 12 3 +9 16
5 Monaco 8 5 1 2 16 12 +4 16
6 Strasbourg 7 5 0 2 14 4 +10 15
7 Lyon 7 5 0 2 13 6 +7 15
8 Rennes 7 4 2 1 15 7 +8 14
9 Nice 7 4 1 2 11 10 +1 13
10 Lorient 7 3 3 1 16 14 +2 12
11 Brest 8 3 3 2 12 11 +1 12
12 Angers 7 3 2 2 8 6 +2 11
13 Toulouse 7 2 3 2 13 11 +2 9
14 Le Havre 7 2 3 2 9 8 +1 9
15 Paris FC 7 2 2 3 12 12 0 8
16 Metz 7 2 2 3 5 7 -2 8
17 Auxerre 7 2 1 4 4 6 -2 7
18 Nantes 7 1 2 4 7 13 -6 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 8 4 2 2 15 9 +6 14
2 Lens 7 4 1 2 10 8 +2 13
3 Marseille 7 4 0 3 12 6 +6 12
4 Lille 7 3 1 3 13 11 +2 10
5 Rennes 7 2 4 1 9 11 -2 10
6 Lyon 7 2 3 2 8 9 -1 9
7 Toulouse 7 2 2 3 7 8 -1 8
8 Strasbourg 7 2 1 4 11 15 -4 7
9 Monaco 7 2 1 4 10 14 -4 7
10 Paris FC 7 2 1 4 9 14 -5 7
11 Brest 7 2 1 4 8 13 -5 7
12 Nantes 7 1 3 3 5 9 -4 6
13 Angers 7 1 2 4 4 11 -7 5
14 Le Havre 7 1 2 4 4 13 -9 5
15 Nice 7 1 1 5 8 16 -8 4
16 Metz 7 1 0 6 9 24 -15 3
17 Auxerre 7 0 2 5 4 14 -10 2
18 Lorient 7 0 2 5 2 14 -12 2

Lille   Marseille

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Marseille 14 4 10 2.5 1.0 9 2 3 35 14 29
2 1 Lens 14 5 9 1.7 0.9 10 1 3 24 12 31
3 5 Rennes 14 5 9 1.7 1.3 6 6 2 24 18 24
4 7 Monaco 15 6 9 1.7 1.7 7 2 6 26 26 23
5 8 Strasbourg 14 5 9 1.8 1.4 7 1 6 25 19 22
6 9 Brest 15 6 9 1.3 1.6 5 4 6 20 24 19
7 11 Nice 14 5 9 1.4 1.9 5 2 7 19 26 17
8 6 Lyon 14 6 8 1.5 1.1 7 3 4 21 15 24
9 13 Paris FC 14 6 8 1.5 1.9 4 3 7 21 26 15
10 17 Metz 14 6 8 1.0 2.2 3 2 9 14 31 11
11 10 Toulouse 14 7 7 1.4 1.4 4 5 5 20 19 17
12 15 Lorient 14 7 7 1.3 2.0 3 5 6 18 28 14
13 4 Lille 14 8 6 2.0 1.2 8 2 4 28 17 26
14 14 Le Havre 14 8 6 0.9 1.5 3 5 6 13 21 14
15 2 Paris SG 14 9 5 1.9 0.9 9 3 2 27 12 30
16 16 Nantes 14 9 5 0.9 1.6 2 5 7 12 22 11
17 18 Auxerre 14 9 5 0.6 1.4 2 3 9 8 20 9
18 12 Angers 14 11 3 0.9 1.2 4 4 6 12 17 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Marseille 7 1 6 3.3 1.1 5 2 0 23 8 17
2 1 Lens 7 2 5 2.0 0.6 6 0 1 14 4 18
3 5 Rennes 7 2 5 2.1 1.0 4 2 1 15 7 14
4 6 Lyon 7 2 5 1.9 0.9 5 0 2 13 6 15
5 7 Monaco 8 3 5 2.0 1.5 5 1 2 16 12 16
6 9 Brest 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 3 3 2 12 11 12
7 15 Lorient 7 2 5 2.3 2.0 3 3 1 16 14 12
8 8 Strasbourg 7 3 4 2.0 0.6 5 0 2 14 4 15
9 10 Toulouse 7 3 4 1.9 1.6 2 3 2 13 11 9
10 13 Paris FC 7 3 4 1.7 1.7 2 2 3 12 12 8
11 4 Lille 7 4 3 2.1 0.9 5 1 1 15 6 16
12 11 Nice 7 4 3 1.6 1.4 4 1 2 11 10 13
13 14 Le Havre 7 4 3 1.3 1.1 2 3 2 9 8 9
14 2 Paris SG 6 4 2 2.0 0.5 5 1 0 12 3 16
15 16 Nantes 7 5 2 1.0 1.9 1 2 4 7 13 5
16 17 Metz 7 5 2 0.7 1.0 2 2 3 5 7 8
17 18 Auxerre 7 5 2 0.6 0.9 2 1 4 4 6 7
18 12 Angers 7 6 1 1.1 0.9 3 2 2 8 6 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Nice 7 1 6 1.1 2.3 1 1 5 8 16 4
2 17 Metz 7 1 6 1.3 3.4 1 0 6 9 24 3
3 8 Strasbourg 7 2 5 1.6 2.1 2 1 4 11 15 7
4 1 Lens 7 3 4 1.4 1.1 4 1 2 10 8 13
5 3 Marseille 7 3 4 1.7 0.9 4 0 3 12 6 12
6 5 Rennes 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 2 4 1 9 11 10
7 7 Monaco 7 3 4 1.4 2.0 2 1 4 10 14 7
8 9 Brest 7 3 4 1.1 1.9 2 1 4 8 13 7
9 13 Paris FC 7 3 4 1.3 2.0 2 1 4 9 14 7
10 2 Paris SG 8 5 3 1.9 1.1 4 2 2 15 9 14
11 4 Lille 7 4 3 1.9 1.6 3 1 3 13 11 10
12 6 Lyon 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 2 3 2 8 9 9
13 10 Toulouse 7 4 3 1.0 1.1 2 2 3 7 8 8
14 14 Le Havre 7 4 3 0.6 1.9 1 2 4 4 13 5
15 16 Nantes 7 4 3 0.7 1.3 1 3 3 5 9 6
16 18 Auxerre 7 4 3 0.6 2.0 0 2 5 4 14 2
17 12 Angers 7 5 2 0.6 1.6 1 2 4 4 11 5
18 15 Lorient 7 5 2 0.3 2.0 0 2 5 2 14 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38