Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Marseille 1–2 Paris SG

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2026/2027

Home 7.00 fair 2.19
Draw 5.00 fair 4.22
Away ✓ 1.40 fair 3.27
Under 2.5 3.20 fair 2.43
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.36 fair 1.70

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Marseille Paris SG
12 Shots 31
4 Shots on target 10
1.98 Expected goals (xG) 5.09
3 Corners 7
9 Fouls 3
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (44 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.70 – 1.35
Home / Draw / Away
MarseilleDrawParis SG
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 8%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Marseille before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
1.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:6
Paris SG before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
1.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:6
Marseille all matches all matches Paris SG

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.50
1.50 Goals conceded 1.50
3.00 Total goals 3.00
1.46 xG created 1.77
1.71 xG allowed 0.97
13.50 Shots 18.75
5.00 Shots on target 6.50
13.50 Shots faced 9.50
5.00 Corners 5.75
4.00 Corners against 0.75
9.75 Fouls 7.25
1.25 Yellow cards 1.50
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

25% Wins 25%
0% Draws 50%
75% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
50% Over 2.5 goals 75%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 75%
25% Clean sheets 25%
50% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 50%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille all matches
Paris SG all matches
Marseille before this match, at home
1.50points / match
3.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 6:3
Paris SG before this match, away
1.67points / match
1.67scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:4
Marseille at home away Paris SG

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 1.67
1.50 Goals conceded 1.33
4.50 Total goals 3.00
1.64 xG created 1.59
1.74 xG allowed 1.13
14.00 Shots 17.33
6.50 Shots on target 5.33
11.50 Shots faced 11.33
4.00 Corners 5.67
4.00 Corners against 1.00
8.00 Fouls 6.67
0.50 Yellow cards 1.67
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.33
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 33%
0% Draws 67%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
100% Over 2.5 goals 67%
100% Over 3.5 goals 67%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 67%
50% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 33%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 67%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 33%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille at home
Paris SG away

Last 10 matches before this match

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.09.26 Rennes – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.803.20 1.50 2.63
06.09.26 Marseille – Paris FC 2–3 (1–2) 1.753.804.33 1.67 2.20
30.08.26 Monaco – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 2.403.702.75 1.57 2.38
21.08.26 Marseille – Strasbourg 4–0 (0–0) 1.734.104.33 1.57 2.38
17.05.26 Marseille – Rennes 3–1 (2–0) 1.953.703.25 1.57 2.38
10.05.26 Le Havre – Marseille 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.702.00 1.67 2.20
02.05.26 Nantes – Marseille 3–0 (0–0) 4.334.101.73 1.67 2.20
26.04.26 Marseille – Nice 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.506.50 1.44 2.75
18.04.26 Lorient – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 4.504.001.73 1.67 2.20
10.04.26 Marseille – Metz 3–1 (1–0) 1.226.2512.00 1.40 3.00

Paris SG all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.26 Brest – Paris SG 0–1 (0–1) 11.005.751.27 1.40 3.00
04.09.26 Paris SG – Monaco 1–2 (1–0) 1.335.757.50 1.36 3.20
28.08.26 Lille – Paris SG 2–2 (1–0) 5.003.801.70 1.80 2.00
23.08.26 Rennes – Paris SG 2–2 (2–0) 5.754.751.50 1.44 2.75
17.05.26 Paris FC – Paris SG 2–1 (0–0) 5.504.101.53 1.40 3.00
13.05.26 Lens – Paris SG 0–2 (0–1) 3.404.001.95 1.50 2.63
10.05.26 Paris SG – Brest 1–0 (0–0) 1.177.0013.00 1.36 3.20
02.05.26 Paris SG – Lorient 2–2 (1–1) 1.305.758.00 1.40 3.00
25.04.26 Angers – Paris SG 0–3 (0–2) 10.006.001.27 1.53 2.50
22.04.26 Paris SG – Nantes 3–0 (2–0) 1.187.0013.00 1.33 3.40

Marseille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.09.26 Marseille – Paris FC 2–3 (1–2) 1.753.804.33 1.67 2.20
21.08.26 Marseille – Strasbourg 4–0 (0–0) 1.734.104.33 1.57 2.38
17.05.26 Marseille – Rennes 3–1 (2–0) 1.953.703.25 1.57 2.38
26.04.26 Marseille – Nice 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.506.50 1.44 2.75
10.04.26 Marseille – Metz 3–1 (1–0) 1.226.2512.00 1.40 3.00
22.03.26 Marseille – Lille 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.753.80 1.80 2.00
13.03.26 Marseille – Auxerre 1–0 (0–0) 1.425.006.50 1.57 2.38
01.03.26 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–1) 1.953.603.80 1.67 2.20
14.02.26 Marseille – Strasbourg 2–2 (1–0) 1.674.204.50 1.62 2.30
24.01.26 Marseille – Lens 3–1 (2–0) 2.003.753.40 1.62 2.30

Paris SG away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.26 Brest – Paris SG 0–1 (0–1) 11.005.751.27 1.40 3.00
28.08.26 Lille – Paris SG 2–2 (1–0) 5.003.801.70 1.80 2.00
23.08.26 Rennes – Paris SG 2–2 (2–0) 5.754.751.50 1.44 2.75
17.05.26 Paris FC – Paris SG 2–1 (0–0) 5.504.101.53 1.40 3.00
13.05.26 Lens – Paris SG 0–2 (0–1) 3.404.001.95 1.50 2.63
25.04.26 Angers – Paris SG 0–3 (0–2) 10.006.001.27 1.53 2.50
21.03.26 Nice – Paris SG 0–4 (0–1) 8.005.501.36 1.40 3.00
28.02.26 Le Havre – Paris SG 0–1 (0–1) 8.006.251.30 1.44 2.75
13.02.26 Rennes – Paris SG 3–1 (1–0) 7.005.001.40 1.40 3.00
01.02.26 Strasbourg – Paris SG 1–2 (1–1) 4.754.501.62 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Marseille winsDrawsParis SG wins
10matches
2.60goals / match
60%over 2.5
20%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.26F1 Paris SG – Marseille 5–0 (2–0) 1.425.256.00 1.44 2.75
22.09.25F1 Marseille – Paris SG 1–0 (1–0) 3.704.101.90 1.53 2.50
16.03.25F1 Paris SG – Marseille 3–1 (2–0) 1.455.006.00 1.37 3.00
27.10.24F1 Marseille – Paris SG 0–3 (0–3) 3.903.701.90 1.53 2.50
31.03.24F1 Marseille – Paris SG 0–2 (0–0) 3.253.802.05 1.60 2.30
24.09.23F1 Paris SG – Marseille 4–0 (2–0) 1.624.205.25 1.53 2.50
26.02.23F1 Marseille – Paris SG 0–3 (0–2) 2.753.602.40 1.62 2.30
16.10.22F1 Paris SG – Marseille 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.50 1.44 2.75
17.04.22F1 Paris SG – Marseille 2–1 (2–1) 1.365.507.50 1.44 2.75
24.10.21F1 Marseille – Paris SG 0–0 (0–0) 5.004.501.57 1.53 2.50

France Ligue 1 table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 8 3 +5 13
2 Lyon 5 3 2 0 10 2 +8 11
3 Paris FC 5 3 2 0 8 3 +5 11
4 Lille 5 3 1 1 8 4 +4 10
5 Rennes 5 3 1 1 8 9 -1 10
6 Angers 5 2 1 2 6 5 +1 7
7 Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 10 10 0 7
8 Le Mans 5 1 3 1 9 9 0 6
9 Auxerre 5 2 0 3 7 12 -5 6
10 Paris SG 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
11 Brest 5 1 2 2 7 8 -1 5
12 Lorient 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
13 Toulouse 5 1 2 2 7 9 -2 5
14 Nice 5 1 2 2 3 6 -3 5
15 Lens 5 1 1 3 9 9 0 4
16 Troyes 5 1 1 3 4 11 -7 4
17 Marseille 4 1 0 3 6 6 0 3
18 Le Havre 5 0 2 3 4 7 -3 2
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Champions League – 3rd qualifying round
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Conference League – play-off round
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to Ligue 2

Coupe de France winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lyon 3 2 1 0 8 2 +6 7
2 Paris FC 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
3 Rennes 3 2 1 0 6 4 +2 7
4 Monaco 2 2 0 0 4 1 +3 6
5 Auxerre 3 2 0 1 4 4 0 6
6 Le Mans 3 1 2 0 6 5 +1 5
7 Nice 3 1 2 0 3 2 +1 5
8 Lille 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
9 Strasbourg 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
10 Marseille 2 1 0 1 6 3 +3 3
11 Lens 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3
12 Angers 3 1 0 2 3 4 -1 3
13 Toulouse 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
14 Lorient 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
15 Brest 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
16 Le Havre 3 0 1 2 1 3 -2 1
17 Troyes 2 0 1 1 2 6 -4 1
18 Paris SG 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Monaco 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
2 Lille 3 2 0 1 4 2 +2 6
3 Paris SG 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5
4 Angers 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
5 Lyon 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
6 Paris FC 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
7 Brest 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
8 Lorient 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
9 Strasbourg 3 1 0 2 7 8 -1 3
10 Rennes 2 1 0 1 2 5 -3 3
11 Troyes 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3
12 Toulouse 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2
13 Le Havre 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
14 Le Mans 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
15 Lens 3 0 1 2 4 6 -2 1
16 Marseille 2 0 0 2 0 3 -3 0
17 Nice 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0
18 Auxerre 2 0 0 2 3 8 -5 0

Marseille   Paris SG

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Rennes 5 1 4 1.6 1.8 3 1 1 8 9 10
2 7 Strasbourg 5 1 4 2.0 2.0 2 1 2 10 10 7
3 8 Le Mans 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 1 3 1 9 9 6
4 9 Auxerre 5 1 4 1.4 2.4 2 0 3 7 12 6
5 11 Brest 5 1 4 1.4 1.6 1 2 2 7 8 5
6 15 Lens 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 1 1 3 9 9 4
7 3 Paris FC 5 2 3 1.6 0.6 3 2 0 8 3 11
8 10 Paris SG 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
9 12 Lorient 5 2 3 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
10 13 Toulouse 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 1 2 2 7 9 5
11 1 Monaco 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 4 1 0 8 3 13
12 2 Lyon 5 3 2 2.0 0.4 3 2 0 10 2 11
13 4 Lille 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 3 1 1 8 4 10
14 6 Angers 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 2 1 2 6 5 7
15 14 Nice 5 3 2 0.6 1.2 1 2 2 3 6 5
16 16 Troyes 5 3 2 0.8 2.2 1 1 3 4 11 4
17 17 Marseille 4 2 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 3 6 6 3
18 18 Le Havre 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 0 2 3 4 7 2
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Le Mans 3 0 3 2.0 1.7 1 2 0 6 5 5
2 2 Lyon 3 1 2 2.7 0.7 2 1 0 8 2 7
3 3 Paris FC 3 1 2 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
4 5 Rennes 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 2 1 0 6 4 7
5 9 Auxerre 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 2 0 1 4 4 6
6 12 Lorient 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
7 17 Marseille 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 1 0 1 6 3 3
8 1 Monaco 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 2 0 0 4 1 6
9 4 Lille 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
10 6 Angers 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 0 2 3 4 3
11 7 Strasbourg 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
12 10 Paris SG 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
13 11 Brest 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
14 13 Toulouse 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
15 14 Nice 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 1 2 0 3 2 5
16 15 Lens 2 1 1 2.5 1.5 1 0 1 5 3 3
17 16 Troyes 2 1 1 1.0 3.0 0 1 1 2 6 1
18 18 Le Havre 3 2 1 0.3 1.0 0 1 2 1 3 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Strasbourg 3 0 3 2.3 2.7 1 0 2 7 8 3
2 11 Brest 3 0 3 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
3 15 Lens 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 0 1 2 4 6 1
4 5 Rennes 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 1 0 1 2 5 3
5 9 Auxerre 2 0 2 1.5 4.0 0 0 2 3 8 0
6 10 Paris SG 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5
7 13 Toulouse 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 0 2 0 4 4 2
8 1 Monaco 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
9 3 Paris FC 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
10 4 Lille 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 0 1 4 2 6
11 6 Angers 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
12 8 Le Mans 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
13 12 Lorient 3 2 1 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
14 14 Nice 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
15 16 Troyes 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3
16 18 Le Havre 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
17 2 Lyon 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
18 17 Marseille 2 2 0 0.0 1.5 0 0 2 0 3 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51