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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Marseille 4–3 Le Havre

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.57 fair 1.98
Draw 4.50 fair 4.36
Away 5.00 fair 3.77
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.48
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Marseille Le Havre
11 Shots 22
5 Shots on target 7
1.54 Expected goals (xG) 3.10
4 Corners 3
15 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (66 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.82 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
MarseilleDrawLe Havre
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.5% 2–1 9.6% 1–0 8.3%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Marseille before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
2.00scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 14:10
Le Havre before this match, all matches
0.29points / match
0.71scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 5:11
Marseille all matches all matches Le Havre

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.71
1.43 Goals conceded 1.57
3.43 Total goals 2.29
1.69 xG created 1.38
2.17 xG allowed 1.70
13.14 Shots 15.71
4.86 Shots on target 4.71
15.86 Shots faced 13.00
4.43 Corners 5.71
4.43 Corners against 4.86
10.71 Fouls 14.57
1.29 Yellow cards 1.57
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

43% Wins 0%
0% Draws 29%
57% Losses 71%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
86% Over 1.5 goals 57%
57% Over 2.5 goals 43%
43% Over 3.5 goals 29%
29% Over 4.5 goals 14%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 57%
29% Clean sheets 14%
29% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 0%
57% Draws 43%
29% Losses 57%
43% Over 0.5 goals 57%
29% Over 1.5 goals 0%
29% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille all matches
Le Havre all matches
Marseille before this match, at home
1.00points / match
2.33scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 7:5
Le Havre before this match, away
0.33points / match
1.00scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:5
Marseille at home away Le Havre

Per match

2.33 Goals scored 1.00
1.67 Goals conceded 1.67
4.00 Total goals 2.67
1.75 xG created 1.44
2.86 xG allowed 1.61
13.33 Shots 15.67
5.67 Shots on target 4.33
18.00 Shots faced 11.67
3.67 Corners 5.67
5.00 Corners against 5.00
8.33 Fouls 14.33
1.00 Yellow cards 1.67
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 0%
0% Draws 33%
67% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
100% Over 2.5 goals 33%
67% Over 3.5 goals 33%
33% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
67% Draws 67%
33% Losses 33%
33% Over 0.5 goals 33%
33% Over 1.5 goals 0%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille at home
Le Havre away

Last 10 matches before this match

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.26 Angers – Marseille 2–5 (1–2) 3.303.802.05 1.62 2.30
11.10.26 Troyes – Marseille 0–2 (0–0) 3.753.751.91 1.57 2.38
20.09.26 Marseille – Paris SG 1–2 (0–0) 7.005.001.40 1.36 3.20
11.09.26 Rennes – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.803.20 1.50 2.63
06.09.26 Marseille – Paris FC 2–3 (1–2) 1.753.804.33 1.67 2.20
30.08.26 Monaco – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 2.403.702.75 1.57 2.38
21.08.26 Marseille – Strasbourg 4–0 (0–0) 1.734.104.33 1.57 2.38
17.05.26 Marseille – Rennes 3–1 (2–0) 1.953.703.25 1.57 2.38
10.05.26 Le Havre – Marseille 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.702.00 1.67 2.20
02.05.26 Nantes – Marseille 3–0 (0–0) 4.334.101.73 1.67 2.20

Le Havre all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.26 Le Havre – Auxerre 1–3 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 1.88 1.98
10.10.26 Lille – Le Havre 1–0 (1–0) 1.444.507.50 1.62 2.30
19.09.26 Toulouse – Le Havre 3–2 (0–0) 1.703.755.00 1.80 2.00
12.09.26 Le Havre – Angers 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.202.88 2.10 1.73
05.09.26 Le Havre – Brest 1–2 (0–1) 2.633.252.70 2.10 1.73
29.08.26 Lyon – Le Havre 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.507.00 1.73 2.10
23.08.26 Le Havre – Monaco 0–1 (0–1) 3.604.001.91 1.57 2.38
17.05.26 Lorient – Le Havre 0–2 (0–1) 2.553.302.50 1.88 1.98
10.05.26 Le Havre – Marseille 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.702.00 1.67 2.20
03.05.26 Lille – Le Havre 1–1 (1–1) 1.424.757.50 1.91 1.91

Marseille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.26 Marseille – Paris SG 1–2 (0–0) 7.005.001.40 1.36 3.20
06.09.26 Marseille – Paris FC 2–3 (1–2) 1.753.804.33 1.67 2.20
21.08.26 Marseille – Strasbourg 4–0 (0–0) 1.734.104.33 1.57 2.38
17.05.26 Marseille – Rennes 3–1 (2–0) 1.953.703.25 1.57 2.38
26.04.26 Marseille – Nice 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.506.50 1.44 2.75
10.04.26 Marseille – Metz 3–1 (1–0) 1.226.2512.00 1.40 3.00
22.03.26 Marseille – Lille 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.753.80 1.80 2.00
13.03.26 Marseille – Auxerre 1–0 (0–0) 1.425.006.50 1.57 2.38
01.03.26 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–1) 1.953.603.80 1.67 2.20
14.02.26 Marseille – Strasbourg 2–2 (1–0) 1.674.204.50 1.62 2.30

Le Havre away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Lille – Le Havre 1–0 (1–0) 1.444.507.50 1.62 2.30
19.09.26 Toulouse – Le Havre 3–2 (0–0) 1.703.755.00 1.80 2.00
29.08.26 Lyon – Le Havre 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.507.00 1.73 2.10
17.05.26 Lorient – Le Havre 0–2 (0–1) 2.553.302.50 1.88 1.98
03.05.26 Lille – Le Havre 1–1 (1–1) 1.424.757.50 1.91 1.91
18.04.26 Angers – Le Havre 1–1 (1–1) 2.883.102.63 2.38 1.57
12.04.26 Nice – Le Havre 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.304.33 1.98 1.88
22.03.26 Paris FC – Le Havre 3–2 (2–0) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.73
08.03.26 Brest – Le Havre 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.504.10 2.00 1.80
22.02.26 Nantes – Le Havre 2–0 (2–0) 2.403.302.90 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Marseille winsDrawsLe Havre wins
6matches
4.17goals / match
83%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.05.26F1 Le Havre – Marseille 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.702.00 1.67 2.20
18.10.25F1 Marseille – Le Havre 6–2 (1–1) 1.335.009.00 1.62 2.30
10.05.25F1 Le Havre – Marseille 1–3 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.57 2.38
05.01.25F1 Marseille – Le Havre 5–1 (3–0) 1.306.008.00 1.62 2.30
19.05.24F1 Le Havre – Marseille 1–2 (0–0) 4.503.601.80 1.84 2.06
08.10.23F1 Marseille – Le Havre 3–0 (2–0) 1.454.756.00 1.70 2.10

France Ligue 1 table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Lille 8 4 3 1 11 6 +5 15 WWLWDD
2 Monaco 8 4 3 1 11 7 +4 15 WDWDLD
3 Lyon 7 4 2 1 13 5 +8 14 DWDWLW
4 Paris SG 7 4 2 1 14 9 +5 14 DLWWWW
5 Paris FC 8 4 2 2 13 9 +4 14 WDWLWL
6 Lens 8 4 1 3 16 12 +4 13 LDLWWW
7 Rennes 7 4 1 2 15 14 +1 13 WWWLWL
8 Lorient 7 3 2 2 7 6 +1 11 LWDLWW
9 Nice 8 3 2 3 8 10 -2 11 DLWWLW
10 Marseille 7 3 0 4 14 10 +4 9 LLLLWW
11 Brest 8 2 3 3 14 12 +2 9 WLLWDL
12 Toulouse 7 2 3 2 12 11 +1 9 DLDWDW
13 Auxerre 7 3 0 4 11 17 -6 9 LLWWLW
14 Strasbourg 7 2 1 4 12 15 -3 7 WWDLLL
15 Angers 7 2 1 4 9 15 -6 7 WLDWLL
16 Le Mans 7 1 3 3 10 15 -5 6 LDDWLL
17 Troyes 7 1 1 5 5 16 -11 4 WLLLLL
18 Le Havre 7 0 2 5 5 11 -6 2 DLDLLL
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Champions League – 3rd qualifying round
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Conference League – play-off round
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to Ligue 2

Coupe de France winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Lyon 4 3 1 0 10 3 +7 10 DWWW
2 Rennes 4 3 1 0 10 5 +5 10 DWWW
3 Paris FC 4 3 1 0 9 4 +5 10 WDWW
4 Lens 4 3 0 1 9 5 +4 9 WLWW
5 Monaco 4 2 2 0 7 4 +3 8 WWDD
6 Lille 4 2 2 0 6 3 +3 8 DWWD
7 Nice 4 2 2 0 5 3 +2 8 DDWW
8 Lorient 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7 LDWW
9 Auxerre 3 2 0 1 4 4 0 6 LWW
10 Le Mans 4 1 2 1 6 8 -2 5 DDWL
11 Brest 4 1 1 2 8 6 +2 4 DLWL
12 Strasbourg 3 1 1 1 4 5 -1 4 WDL
13 Marseille 3 1 0 2 7 5 +2 3 WLL
14 Paris SG 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3 LW
15 Toulouse 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3 LLW
16 Angers 4 1 0 3 5 9 -4 3 LLWL
17 Le Havre 4 0 1 3 2 6 -4 1 LLDL
18 Troyes 4 0 1 3 3 11 -8 1 DLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Paris SG 5 3 2 0 10 6 +4 11 DDWWW
2 Lille 4 2 1 1 5 3 +2 7 WWLD
3 Monaco 4 2 1 1 4 3 +1 7 WWDL
4 Toulouse 4 1 3 0 9 6 +3 6 DDDW
5 Marseille 4 2 0 2 7 5 +2 6 LLWW
6 Brest 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5 DWLD
7 Lyon 3 1 1 1 3 2 +1 4 WDL
8 Lens 4 1 1 2 7 7 0 4 LDLW
9 Lorient 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4 DWL
10 Paris FC 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4 DWLL
11 Angers 3 1 1 1 4 6 -2 4 WDL
12 Strasbourg 4 1 0 3 8 10 -2 3 LWLL
13 Troyes 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3 WLL
14 Rennes 3 1 0 2 5 9 -4 3 WLL
15 Nice 4 1 0 3 3 7 -4 3 LLLW
16 Auxerre 4 1 0 3 7 13 -6 3 LLLW
17 Le Havre 3 0 1 2 3 5 -2 1 DLL
18 Le Mans 3 0 1 2 4 7 -3 1 LDL

Marseille   Le Havre

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 6 Lens 8 1 7 2.0 1.5 4 1 3 16 12 13 UOOOOO
2 4 Paris SG 7 1 6 2.0 1.3 4 2 1 14 9 14 OOUOOO
3 7 Rennes 7 1 6 2.1 2.0 4 1 2 15 14 13 OOUOOO
4 11 Brest 8 2 6 1.8 1.5 2 3 3 14 12 9 OUOOUO
5 13 Auxerre 7 1 6 1.6 2.4 3 0 4 11 17 9 OOUOOO
6 14 Strasbourg 7 1 6 1.7 2.1 2 1 4 12 15 7 OOUOOO
7 16 Le Mans 7 1 6 1.4 2.1 1 3 3 10 15 6 OUOOOO
8 5 Paris FC 8 3 5 1.6 1.1 4 2 2 13 9 14 OUOUOO
9 9 Nice 8 3 5 1.0 1.2 3 2 3 8 10 11 UUOOOO
10 12 Toulouse 7 2 5 1.7 1.6 2 3 2 12 11 9 OUOOOO
11 3 Lyon 7 3 4 1.9 0.7 4 2 1 13 5 14 UOUOOO
12 10 Marseille 7 3 4 2.0 1.4 3 0 4 14 10 9 UOUOUO
13 15 Angers 7 3 4 1.3 2.1 2 1 4 9 15 7 OOUUOO
14 2 Monaco 8 5 3 1.4 0.9 4 3 1 11 7 15 OUOOUU
15 8 Lorient 7 4 3 1.0 0.9 3 2 2 7 6 11 OUOOUU
16 17 Troyes 7 4 3 0.7 2.3 1 1 5 5 16 4 OOUUUO
17 18 Le Havre 7 4 3 0.7 1.6 0 2 5 5 11 2 UOUOUO
18 1 Lille 8 6 2 1.4 0.8 4 3 1 11 6 15 UUOUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 16 Le Mans 4 0 4 1.5 2.0 1 2 1 6 8 5 OOOO
2 3 Lyon 4 1 3 2.5 0.8 3 1 0 10 3 10 UOOO
3 5 Paris FC 4 1 3 2.2 1.0 3 1 0 9 4 10 OUOO
4 6 Lens 4 1 3 2.2 1.2 3 0 1 9 5 9 OUOO
5 7 Rennes 4 1 3 2.5 1.2 3 1 0 10 5 10 OOUO
6 10 Marseille 3 0 3 2.3 1.7 1 0 2 7 5 3 OOO
7 11 Brest 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 1 1 2 8 6 4 OUOO
8 2 Monaco 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 2 2 0 7 4 8 UOOU
9 4 Paris SG 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3 OO
10 8 Lorient 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7 OOUU
11 9 Nice 4 2 2 1.2 0.8 2 2 0 5 3 8 UUOO
12 13 Auxerre 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 2 0 1 4 4 6 OUO
13 14 Strasbourg 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 1 1 4 5 4 OUO
14 15 Angers 4 2 2 1.2 2.2 1 0 3 5 9 3 UOUO
15 17 Troyes 4 2 2 0.8 2.8 0 1 3 3 11 1 UOUO
16 18 Le Havre 4 2 2 0.5 1.5 0 1 3 2 6 1 UOUO
17 1 Lille 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 2 2 0 6 3 8 OUUU
18 12 Toulouse 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3 UUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Paris SG 5 1 4 2.0 1.2 3 2 0 10 6 11 OOUOO
2 6 Lens 4 0 4 1.8 1.8 1 1 2 7 7 4 OOOO
3 12 Toulouse 4 0 4 2.2 1.5 1 3 0 9 6 6 OOOO
4 13 Auxerre 4 0 4 1.8 3.2 1 0 3 7 13 3 OOOO
5 14 Strasbourg 4 0 4 2.0 2.5 1 0 3 8 10 3 OOOO
6 7 Rennes 3 0 3 1.7 3.0 1 0 2 5 9 3 OOO
7 9 Nice 4 1 3 0.8 1.8 1 0 3 3 7 3 OUOO
8 11 Brest 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5 OOOU
9 5 Paris FC 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4 UOUO
10 15 Angers 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 1 1 1 4 6 4 OUO
11 16 Le Mans 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 0 1 2 4 7 1 OUO
12 1 Lille 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 1 1 5 3 7 UUOU
13 2 Monaco 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 2 1 1 4 3 7 UOUU
14 3 Lyon 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 1 1 1 3 2 4 UUO
15 8 Lorient 3 2 1 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4 UUO
16 10 Marseille 4 3 1 1.8 1.2 2 0 2 7 5 6 UUUO
17 17 Troyes 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3 OUU
18 18 Le Havre 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 0 1 2 3 5 1 UOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47