Hoffenheim 1–2 Mainz – Germany Bundesliga, 4 Apr 2026

Match facts

Hoffenheim Mainz

16 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 5

7 Corners 3

11 Fouls 5

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (243 league matches this season so far).

Result Hoffenheim to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.60

Expected goals 2.05 – 1.26

Home / Draw / Away

56% 21% 23%

HoffenheimDrawMainz

Under / Over 2.5 goals

36% 64%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

38% 63%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

12% 1

20% 2

22% 3

18% 4

24% 5+

Most likely scores

2–1 9.7% 1–1 9.4% 2–0 7.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Hoffenheim before this match, all matches

1.85points / match

2.00scored / match

1.44conceded / match

15 5 7

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 54:39

Mainz before this match, all matches

1.11points / match

1.22scored / match

1.56conceded / match

7 9 11

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 33:42

Hoffenheim all matches all matches Mainz

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.22

1.44 Goals conceded 1.56

3.44 Total goals 2.78

13.85 Shots 11.41

5.22 Shots on target 3.70

12.44 Shots faced 14.63

5.63 Corners 5.04

5.15 Corners against 4.44

13.93 Fouls 11.30

1.85 Yellow cards 2.26

1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.56

0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.74

How often Full Time

56% Wins 26%

19% Draws 33%

26% Losses 41%

96% Over 0.5 goals 96%

85% Over 1.5 goals 81%

67% Over 2.5 goals 52%

52% Over 3.5 goals 33%

30% Over 4.5 goals 7%

15% Over 5.5 goals 4%

63% Both teams scored 59%

22% Clean sheets 11%

19% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 33%

30% Draws 33%

30% Losses 33%

85% Over 0.5 goals 81%

56% Over 1.5 goals 37%

19% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim all matches

3

1

W

2

W

3

1

W

1

5

L

3

W

2

D

1

L

4

2

W

1

D

5

L

Mainz all matches

1

2

L

3

1

W

2

1

W

2

W

4

L

1

D

1

D

2

D

2

W

2

1

W

Hoffenheim before this match, at home

1.92points / match

2.15scored / match

1.15conceded / match

8 1 4

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 28:15

Mainz before this match, away

1.00points / match

1.23scored / match

1.92conceded / match

3 4 6

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:25

Hoffenheim at home away Mainz

Per match

2.15 Goals scored 1.23

1.15 Goals conceded 1.92

3.31 Total goals 3.15

16.08 Shots 9.38

6.08 Shots on target 3.38

11.77 Shots faced 16.77

6.62 Corners 3.69

4.69 Corners against 5.54

13.92 Fouls 10.69

1.62 Yellow cards 2.69

1.23 1st-half goals scored 0.62

0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.85

How often Full Time

62% Wins 23%

8% Draws 31%

31% Losses 46%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

77% Over 1.5 goals 92%

69% Over 2.5 goals 69%

54% Over 3.5 goals 46%

23% Over 4.5 goals 8%

8% Over 5.5 goals 0%

62% Both teams scored 62%

23% Clean sheets 8%

15% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 31%

15% Draws 38%

31% Losses 31%

85% Over 0.5 goals 85%

54% Over 1.5 goals 54%

23% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim at home

3

1

W

3

1

W

3

W

4

1

W

5

1

W

1

W

3

1

W

3

W

1

L

1

D

Mainz away

1

2

L

1

L

4

L

2

D

2

D

1

2

L

2

1

W

4

L

1

D

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Hoffenheim all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.03.26	RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim	5–0 (4–0)	1.91	4.00	3.50	1.36	3.20
14.03.26	Hoffenheim – Wolfsburg	1–1 (0–0)	1.44	4.75	6.50	1.44	2.75
07.03.26	Heidenheim – Hoffenheim	2–4 (0–2)	5.00	4.50	1.57	1.50	2.63
28.02.26	Hoffenheim – St Pauli	0–1 (0–1)	1.48	4.75	6.00	1.80	2.00
21.02.26	FC Koln – Hoffenheim	2–2 (1–1)	3.30	3.80	2.05	1.57	2.38
14.02.26	Hoffenheim – Freiburg	3–0 (0–0)	1.73	3.90	4.50	1.67	2.20
08.02.26	Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim	5–1 (3–1)	1.29	7.00	7.50	1.25	4.00
31.01.26	Hoffenheim – Union Berlin	3–1 (2–0)	1.80	3.80	4.33	1.80	2.00
27.01.26	Werder Bremen – Hoffenheim	0–2 (0–1)	3.70	3.60	2.00	1.73	2.10
24.01.26	Ein Frankfurt – Hoffenheim	1–3 (1–0)	2.80	3.75	2.30	1.53	2.50

Mainz all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.03.26	Mainz – Ein Frankfurt	2–1 (1–1)	2.10	3.70	3.25	1.73	2.10
15.03.26	Werder Bremen – Mainz	0–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.50	3.20	1.73	2.10
07.03.26	Mainz – Stuttgart	2–2 (1–0)	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.62	2.30
28.02.26	Leverkusen – Mainz	1–1 (0–0)	1.70	4.00	4.50	1.67	2.20
20.02.26	Mainz – Hamburg	1–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.50	1.80	2.00
13.02.26	Dortmund – Mainz	4–0 (3–0)	1.53	4.50	5.50	1.53	2.50
07.02.26	Mainz – Augsburg	2–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.60	3.50	1.80	2.00
31.01.26	RB Leipzig – Mainz	1–2 (1–1)	1.55	4.50	5.50	1.53	2.50
24.01.26	Mainz – Wolfsburg	3–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.73	2.10
17.01.26	FC Koln – Mainz	2–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.50	3.25	1.73	2.10

Hoffenheim at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.03.26	Hoffenheim – Wolfsburg	1–1 (0–0)	1.44	4.75	6.50	1.44	2.75
28.02.26	Hoffenheim – St Pauli	0–1 (0–1)	1.48	4.75	6.00	1.80	2.00
14.02.26	Hoffenheim – Freiburg	3–0 (0–0)	1.73	3.90	4.50	1.67	2.20
31.01.26	Hoffenheim – Union Berlin	3–1 (2–0)	1.80	3.80	4.33	1.80	2.00
17.01.26	Hoffenheim – Leverkusen	1–0 (1–0)	2.40	3.80	2.70	1.50	2.63
14.01.26	Hoffenheim – M'gladbach	5–1 (4–0)	1.85	3.90	3.80	1.57	2.38
13.12.25	Hoffenheim – Hamburg	4–1 (2–0)	1.70	4.33	4.20	1.50	2.63
29.11.25	Hoffenheim – Augsburg	3–0 (3–0)	1.67	4.33	4.50	1.53	2.50
08.11.25	Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig	3–1 (2–1)	2.60	3.90	2.40	1.40	3.00
25.10.25	Hoffenheim – Heidenheim	3–1 (2–0)	1.57	4.50	5.25	1.50	2.63

Mainz away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.26	Werder Bremen – Mainz	0–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.50	3.20	1.73	2.10
28.02.26	Leverkusen – Mainz	1–1 (0–0)	1.70	4.00	4.50	1.67	2.20
13.02.26	Dortmund – Mainz	4–0 (3–0)	1.53	4.50	5.50	1.53	2.50
31.01.26	RB Leipzig – Mainz	1–2 (1–1)	1.55	4.50	5.50	1.53	2.50
17.01.26	FC Koln – Mainz	2–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.50	3.25	1.73	2.10
10.01.26	Union Berlin – Mainz	2–2 (0–1)	2.15	3.25	3.70	2.20	1.65
14.12.25	Bayern Munich – Mainz	2–2 (1–1)	1.09	11.00	21.00	1.22	4.33
30.11.25	Freiburg – Mainz	4–0 (2–0)	1.91	3.40	4.20	2.00	1.80
09.11.25	Ein Frankfurt – Mainz	1–0 (0–0)	1.83	4.00	3.90	1.57	2.38
26.10.25	Stuttgart – Mainz	2–1 (1–1)	1.75	4.00	4.33	1.57	2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 2 5

Hoffenheim winsDrawsMainz wins

9matches

2.56goals / match

22%over 2.5

44%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.11.25D1	Mainz – Hoffenheim	1–1 (0–1)	2.60	3.60	2.70	1.67	2.20
12.04.25D1	Hoffenheim – Mainz	2–0 (2–0)	2.70	3.50	2.55	1.73	2.10
01.12.24D1	Mainz – Hoffenheim	2–0 (2–0)	2.10	3.40	3.50	1.67	2.20
13.04.24D1	Mainz – Hoffenheim	4–1 (0–1)	1.95	4.00	3.40	1.57	2.38
26.11.23D1	Hoffenheim – Mainz	1–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.80	3.80	1.57	2.38
04.03.23D1	Mainz – Hoffenheim	1–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.73	2.10
10.09.22D1	Hoffenheim – Mainz	4–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.75	2.90	1.66	2.20
05.02.22D1	Mainz – Hoffenheim	2–0 (0–0)	2.60	3.40	2.70	1.72	2.10
11.09.21D1	Hoffenheim – Mainz	0–2 (0–1)	2.00	3.75	3.50	1.57	2.37

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	27	22	4	1	97	25	+72	70
2	Dortmund	27	18	7	2	58	28	+30	61
3	Stuttgart	27	16	5	6	56	36	+20	53
4	RB Leipzig	27	15	5	7	53	35	+18	50
5	Hoffenheim	27	15	5	7	54	39	+15	50
6	Leverkusen	27	13	7	7	52	36	+16	46
7	Ein Frankfurt	27	10	8	9	50	51	-1	38
8	Freiburg	27	10	7	10	39	44	-5	37
9	Union Berlin	27	8	7	12	31	46	-15	31
10	Augsburg	27	9	4	14	33	50	-17	31
11	Mainz	27	7	9	11	33	42	-9	30
12	Hamburg	27	7	9	11	31	40	-9	30
13	M'gladbach	27	7	8	12	33	46	-13	29
14	Werder Bremen	27	7	7	13	30	47	-17	28
15	FC Koln	27	6	8	13	38	47	-9	26
16	St Pauli	27	6	6	15	24	44	-20	24
17	Wolfsburg	27	5	6	16	35	57	-22	21
18	Heidenheim	27	3	6	18	27	61	-34	15

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	14	12	1	1	56	13	+43	37
2	Dortmund	14	11	2	1	33	13	+20	35
3	Stuttgart	13	10	2	1	22	12	+10	32
4	RB Leipzig	14	9	2	3	34	18	+16	29
5	Hoffenheim	13	8	1	4	28	15	+13	25
6	Freiburg	13	7	4	2	24	16	+8	25
7	Leverkusen	13	7	3	3	26	12	+14	24
8	Ein Frankfurt	13	7	2	4	23	18	+5	23
9	Augsburg	14	6	3	5	19	24	-5	21
10	Hamburg	14	5	5	4	20	17	+3	20
11	Mainz	14	4	5	5	17	17	0	17
12	Union Berlin	13	4	5	4	18	21	-3	17
13	FC Koln	14	4	4	6	25	24	+1	16
14	M'gladbach	13	4	4	5	16	21	-5	16
15	St Pauli	13	4	4	5	14	20	-6	16
16	Werder Bremen	13	4	4	5	14	23	-9	16
17	Heidenheim	14	2	5	7	18	34	-16	11
18	Wolfsburg	14	2	3	9	20	29	-9	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	13	10	3	0	41	12	+29	33
2	Dortmund	13	7	5	1	25	15	+10	26
3	Hoffenheim	14	7	4	3	26	24	+2	25
4	Leverkusen	14	6	4	4	26	24	+2	22
5	Stuttgart	14	6	3	5	34	24	+10	21
6	RB Leipzig	13	6	3	4	19	17	+2	21
7	Ein Frankfurt	14	3	6	5	27	33	-6	15
8	Union Berlin	14	4	2	8	13	25	-12	14
9	M'gladbach	14	3	4	7	17	25	-8	13
10	Mainz	13	3	4	6	16	25	-9	13
11	Werder Bremen	14	3	3	8	16	24	-8	12
12	Freiburg	14	3	3	8	15	28	-13	12
13	Wolfsburg	13	3	3	7	15	28	-13	12
14	FC Koln	13	2	4	7	13	23	-10	10
15	Augsburg	13	3	1	9	14	26	-12	10
16	Hamburg	13	2	4	7	11	23	-12	10
17	St Pauli	14	2	2	10	10	24	-14	8
18	Heidenheim	13	1	1	11	9	27	-18	4

Hoffenheim Mainz

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Bayern Munich	27	1	26	3.6	0.9	22	4	1	97	25	70
2	3	Stuttgart	27	7	20	2.1	1.3	16	5	6	56	36	53
3	4	RB Leipzig	27	9	18	2.0	1.3	15	5	7	53	35	50
4	5	Hoffenheim	27	9	18	2.0	1.4	15	5	7	54	39	50
5	17	Wolfsburg	27	9	18	1.3	2.1	5	6	16	35	57	21
6	18	Heidenheim	27	9	18	1.0	2.3	3	6	18	27	61	15
7	7	Ein Frankfurt	27	10	17	1.9	1.9	10	8	9	50	51	38
8	8	Freiburg	27	10	17	1.4	1.6	10	7	10	39	44	37
9	2	Dortmund	27	11	16	2.1	1.0	18	7	2	58	28	61
10	10	Augsburg	27	11	16	1.2	1.9	9	4	14	33	50	31
11	15	FC Koln	27	11	16	1.4	1.7	6	8	13	38	47	26
12	6	Leverkusen	27	12	15	1.9	1.3	13	7	7	52	36	46
13	9	Union Berlin	27	12	15	1.1	1.7	8	7	12	31	46	31
14	13	M'gladbach	27	12	15	1.2	1.7	7	8	12	33	46	29
15	16	St Pauli	27	12	15	0.9	1.6	6	6	15	24	44	24
16	11	Mainz	27	13	14	1.2	1.6	7	9	11	33	42	30
17	12	Hamburg	27	13	14	1.1	1.5	7	9	11	31	40	30
18	14	Werder Bremen	27	13	14	1.1	1.7	7	7	13	30	47	28

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Bayern Munich	14	0	14	4.0	0.9	12	1	1	56	13	37
2	4	RB Leipzig	14	3	11	2.4	1.3	9	2	3	34	18	29
3	18	Heidenheim	14	3	11	1.3	2.4	2	5	7	18	34	11
4	15	FC Koln	14	4	10	1.8	1.7	4	4	6	25	24	16
5	17	Wolfsburg	14	4	10	1.4	2.1	2	3	9	20	29	9
6	5	Hoffenheim	13	4	9	2.2	1.2	8	1	4	28	15	25
7	8	Freiburg	13	4	9	1.8	1.2	7	4	2	24	16	25
8	9	Union Berlin	13	4	9	1.4	1.6	4	5	4	18	21	17
9	16	St Pauli	13	4	9	1.1	1.5	4	4	5	14	20	16
10	2	Dortmund	14	6	8	2.4	0.9	11	2	1	33	13	35
11	7	Ein Frankfurt	13	6	7	1.8	1.4	7	2	4	23	18	23
12	10	Augsburg	14	7	7	1.4	1.7	6	3	5	19	24	21
13	12	Hamburg	14	7	7	1.4	1.2	5	5	4	20	17	20
14	13	M'gladbach	13	6	7	1.2	1.6	4	4	5	16	21	16
15	3	Stuttgart	13	7	6	1.7	0.9	10	2	1	22	12	32
16	6	Leverkusen	13	7	6	2.0	0.9	7	3	3	26	12	24
17	14	Werder Bremen	13	7	6	1.1	1.8	4	4	5	14	23	16
18	11	Mainz	14	9	5	1.2	1.2	4	5	5	17	17	17

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Stuttgart	14	0	14	2.4	1.7	6	3	5	34	24	21
2	1	Bayern Munich	13	1	12	3.2	0.9	10	3	0	41	12	33
3	7	Ein Frankfurt	14	4	10	1.9	2.4	3	6	5	27	33	15
4	5	Hoffenheim	14	5	9	1.9	1.7	7	4	3	26	24	25
5	6	Leverkusen	14	5	9	1.9	1.7	6	4	4	26	24	22
6	10	Augsburg	13	4	9	1.1	2.0	3	1	9	14	26	10
7	11	Mainz	13	4	9	1.2	1.9	3	4	6	16	25	13
8	2	Dortmund	13	5	8	1.9	1.2	7	5	1	25	15	26
9	8	Freiburg	14	6	8	1.1	2.0	3	3	8	15	28	12
10	13	M'gladbach	14	6	8	1.2	1.8	3	4	7	17	25	13
11	14	Werder Bremen	14	6	8	1.1	1.7	3	3	8	16	24	12
12	17	Wolfsburg	13	5	8	1.2	2.2	3	3	7	15	28	12
13	4	RB Leipzig	13	6	7	1.5	1.3	6	3	4	19	17	21
14	12	Hamburg	13	6	7	0.8	1.8	2	4	7	11	23	10
15	18	Heidenheim	13	6	7	0.7	2.1	1	1	11	9	27	4
16	9	Union Berlin	14	8	6	0.9	1.8	4	2	8	13	25	14
17	15	FC Koln	13	7	6	1.0	1.8	2	4	7	13	23	10
18	16	St Pauli	14	8	6	0.7	1.7	2	2	10	10	24	8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.