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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Torino 3–1 Milan

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.80 fair 2.86
Draw 3.20 fair 3.65
Away 2.60 fair 2.65
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.79
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.27

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Torino Milan
11 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 8
15 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (361 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.99
Expected goals 1.19 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
TorinoDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 0–1 10.9% 1–0 10.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Torino before this match, all matches
1.39points / match
0.92scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 33:32
Milan before this match, all matches
2.06points / match
2.00scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 72:43
Torino all matches all matches Milan

Per match

0.92 Goals scored 2.00
0.89 Goals conceded 1.19
1.81 Total goals 3.19
11.56 Shots 14.56
3.25 Shots on target 5.56
10.75 Shots faced 13.14
4.67 Corners 4.75
3.67 Corners against 4.03
12.36 Fouls 11.42
2.03 Yellow cards 2.25
0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.94
0.19 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

33% Wins 61%
39% Draws 22%
28% Losses 17%
75% Over 0.5 goals 97%
61% Over 1.5 goals 72%
28% Over 2.5 goals 64%
8% Over 3.5 goals 47%
8% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
31% Both teams scored 58%
50% Clean sheets 36%
44% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 47%
75% Draws 42%
6% Losses 11%
33% Over 0.5 goals 78%
17% Over 1.5 goals 50%
3% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Torino all matches
Milan all matches
Torino before this match, at home
1.67points / match
0.83scored / match
0.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 15:8
Milan before this match, away
1.94points / match
2.06scored / match
1.61conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 37:29
Torino at home away Milan

Per match

0.83 Goals scored 2.06
0.44 Goals conceded 1.61
1.28 Total goals 3.67
12.17 Shots 14.28
3.50 Shots on target 5.44
8.50 Shots faced 14.11
5.94 Corners 4.33
2.89 Corners against 4.50
11.06 Fouls 10.89
1.61 Yellow cards 2.78
0.22 1st-half goals scored 0.94
0.06 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

39% Wins 56%
50% Draws 28%
11% Losses 17%
61% Over 0.5 goals 94%
44% Over 1.5 goals 83%
22% Over 2.5 goals 78%
0% Over 3.5 goals 61%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
17% Both teams scored 72%
72% Clean sheets 28%
50% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 39%
83% Draws 44%
0% Losses 17%
22% Over 0.5 goals 78%
6% Over 1.5 goals 67%
0% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Torino at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Torino all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.05.24 Verona – Torino 1–2 (0–0) 3.003.002.55 2.50 1.53
03.05.24 Torino – Bologna 0–0 (0–0) 2.882.802.88 2.75 1.44
28.04.24 Inter – Torino 2–0 (0–0) 1.533.807.00 2.00 1.80
21.04.24 Torino – Frosinone 0–0 (0–0) 1.673.805.25 2.00 1.90
13.04.24 Torino – Juventus 0–0 (0–0) 3.753.002.20 2.63 1.50
06.04.24 Empoli – Torino 3–2 (1–0) 3.503.202.25 2.50 1.50
30.03.24 Torino – Monza 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.404.75 2.30 1.60
16.03.24 Udinese – Torino 0–2 (0–1) 2.802.902.80 2.60 1.48
08.03.24 Napoli – Torino 1–1 (0–0) 1.753.605.00 2.20 1.65
02.03.24 Torino – Fiorentina 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.002.90 2.40 1.53

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.24 Milan – Cagliari 5–1 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.57 2.38
05.05.24 Milan – Genoa 3–3 (1–1) 1.454.506.50 1.73 2.10
27.04.24 Juventus – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.04 1.86
22.04.24 Milan – Inter 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.602.00 1.73 2.10
14.04.24 Sassuolo – Milan 3–3 (2–1) 4.503.801.75 1.67 2.20
06.04.24 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.70 2.10
30.03.24 Fiorentina – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 2.883.302.50 2.01 1.89
17.03.24 Verona – Milan 1–3 (0–1) 5.253.751.70 2.05 1.85
10.03.24 Milan – Empoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.50 1.70 2.10
01.03.24 Lazio – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.10 1.70

Torino at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.24 Torino – Bologna 0–0 (0–0) 2.882.802.88 2.75 1.44
21.04.24 Torino – Frosinone 0–0 (0–0) 1.673.805.25 2.00 1.90
13.04.24 Torino – Juventus 0–0 (0–0) 3.753.002.20 2.63 1.50
30.03.24 Torino – Monza 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.404.75 2.30 1.60
02.03.24 Torino – Fiorentina 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.002.90 2.40 1.53
22.02.24 Torino – Lazio 0–2 (0–0) 2.402.903.25 2.70 1.44
16.02.24 Torino – Lecce 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.404.75 2.25 1.62
04.02.24 Torino – Salernitana 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.007.50 2.15 1.67
07.01.24 Torino – Napoli 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.202.50 2.20 1.65
23.12.23 Torino – Udinese 1–1 (0–0) 1.753.505.00 2.25 1.62

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.24 Juventus – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.04 1.86
14.04.24 Sassuolo – Milan 3–3 (2–1) 4.503.801.75 1.67 2.20
30.03.24 Fiorentina – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 2.883.302.50 2.01 1.89
17.03.24 Verona – Milan 1–3 (0–1) 5.253.751.70 2.05 1.85
01.03.24 Lazio – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.10 1.70
18.02.24 Monza – Milan 4–2 (2–0) 4.753.501.80 1.97 1.93
03.02.24 Frosinone – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 5.004.201.62 1.60 2.30
20.01.24 Udinese – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 4.003.801.85 1.91 1.99
07.01.24 Empoli – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 5.253.801.67 1.75 2.05
22.12.23 Salernitana – Milan 2–2 (1–1) 8.004.501.44 1.65 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Torino winsDrawsMilan wins
5matches
2.00goals / match
40%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.08.23I1 Milan – Torino 4–1 (3–1) 1.653.805.00 2.20 1.67
10.02.23I1 Milan – Torino 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.20 1.67
30.10.22I1 Torino – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.72
10.04.22I1 Torino – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.501.90 2.10 1.72
26.10.21I1 Milan – Torino 1–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 1.72 2.10

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 36 29 5 2 86 19 +67 92
2 Milan 36 22 8 6 72 43 +29 74
3 Bologna 36 18 13 5 51 27 +24 67
4 Juventus 36 18 13 5 49 28 +21 67
5 Atalanta 36 20 6 10 67 39 +28 66
6 Roma 36 17 9 10 63 44 +19 60
7 Lazio 36 18 5 13 47 37 +10 59
8 Fiorentina 36 15 9 12 55 42 +13 54
9 Napoli 37 13 13 11 55 48 +7 52
10 Torino 36 12 14 10 33 32 +1 50
11 Genoa 36 11 13 12 43 44 -1 46
12 Monza 36 11 12 13 39 48 -9 45
13 Lecce 37 8 13 16 32 54 -22 37
14 Verona 36 8 10 18 34 48 -14 34
15 Udinese 36 5 18 13 35 52 -17 33
16 Cagliari 36 7 12 17 38 65 -27 33
17 Frosinone 36 7 11 18 43 68 -25 32
18 Empoli 36 8 8 20 26 52 -26 32
19 Sassuolo 36 7 8 21 42 72 -30 29
20 Salernitana 36 2 10 24 28 76 -48 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 14 3 1 43 10 +33 45
2 Bologna 18 12 4 2 30 9 +21 40
3 Milan 18 12 3 3 35 14 +21 39
4 Atalanta 17 12 2 3 37 13 +24 38
5 Roma 18 11 4 3 37 19 +18 37
6 Juventus 18 10 7 1 24 11 +13 37
7 Fiorentina 19 10 5 4 37 22 +15 35
8 Lazio 18 10 3 5 22 13 +9 33
9 Torino 18 7 9 2 15 8 +7 30
10 Genoa 18 7 6 5 25 22 +3 27
11 Frosinone 18 7 4 7 28 31 -3 25
12 Cagliari 18 6 7 5 26 29 -3 25
13 Monza 18 6 6 6 23 25 -2 24
14 Napoli 18 6 6 6 24 27 -3 24
15 Lecce 19 6 6 7 17 27 -10 24
16 Verona 18 6 5 7 21 24 -3 23
17 Sassuolo 18 5 5 8 23 32 -9 20
18 Empoli 18 4 5 9 13 22 -9 17
19 Udinese 18 1 10 7 20 28 -8 13
20 Salernitana 18 1 5 12 16 36 -20 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 15 2 1 43 9 +34 47
2 Milan 18 10 5 3 37 29 +8 35
3 Juventus 18 8 6 4 25 17 +8 30
4 Napoli 19 7 7 5 31 21 +10 28
5 Atalanta 19 8 4 7 30 26 +4 28
6 Bologna 18 6 9 3 21 18 +3 27
7 Lazio 18 8 2 8 25 24 +1 26
8 Roma 18 6 5 7 26 25 +1 23
9 Monza 18 5 6 7 16 23 -7 21
10 Torino 18 5 5 8 18 24 -6 20
11 Udinese 18 4 8 6 15 24 -9 20
12 Fiorentina 17 5 4 8 18 20 -2 19
13 Genoa 18 4 7 7 18 22 -4 19
14 Empoli 18 4 3 11 13 30 -17 15
15 Lecce 18 2 7 9 15 27 -12 13
16 Verona 18 2 5 11 13 24 -11 11
17 Sassuolo 18 2 3 13 19 40 -21 9
18 Cagliari 18 1 5 12 12 36 -24 8
19 Salernitana 18 1 5 12 12 40 -28 8
20 Frosinone 18 0 7 11 15 37 -22 7

Torino   Milan

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milan 36 13 23 2.0 1.2 22 8 6 72 43 74
2 5 Atalanta 36 13 23 1.9 1.1 20 6 10 67 39 66
3 17 Frosinone 36 13 23 1.2 1.9 7 11 18 43 68 32
4 20 Salernitana 36 13 23 0.8 2.1 2 10 24 28 76 16
5 6 Roma 36 14 22 1.8 1.2 17 9 10 63 44 60
6 9 Napoli 37 16 21 1.5 1.3 13 13 11 55 48 52
7 16 Cagliari 36 15 21 1.1 1.8 7 12 17 38 65 33
8 19 Sassuolo 36 15 21 1.2 2.0 7 8 21 42 72 29
9 1 Inter 36 16 20 2.4 0.5 29 5 2 86 19 92
10 8 Fiorentina 36 18 18 1.5 1.2 15 9 12 55 42 54
11 14 Verona 36 19 17 0.9 1.3 8 10 18 34 48 34
12 11 Genoa 36 20 16 1.2 1.2 11 13 12 43 44 46
13 3 Bologna 36 21 15 1.4 0.8 18 13 5 51 27 67
14 7 Lazio 36 21 15 1.3 1.0 18 5 13 47 37 59
15 12 Monza 36 21 15 1.1 1.3 11 12 13 39 48 45
16 4 Juventus 36 22 14 1.4 0.8 18 13 5 49 28 67
17 13 Lecce 37 23 14 0.9 1.5 8 13 16 32 54 37
18 15 Udinese 36 22 14 1.0 1.4 5 18 13 35 52 33
19 18 Empoli 36 25 11 0.7 1.4 8 8 20 26 52 32
20 10 Torino 36 26 10 0.9 0.9 12 14 10 33 32 50
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Frosinone 18 4 14 1.6 1.7 7 4 7 28 31 25
2 8 Fiorentina 19 6 13 1.9 1.2 10 5 4 37 22 35
3 9 Napoli 18 6 12 1.3 1.5 6 6 6 24 27 24
4 20 Salernitana 18 6 12 0.9 2.0 1 5 12 16 36 8
5 5 Atalanta 17 6 11 2.2 0.8 12 2 3 37 13 38
6 16 Cagliari 18 7 11 1.4 1.6 6 7 5 26 29 25
7 1 Inter 18 8 10 2.4 0.6 14 3 1 43 10 45
8 6 Roma 18 8 10 2.1 1.1 11 4 3 37 19 37
9 14 Verona 18 8 10 1.2 1.3 6 5 7 21 24 23
10 2 Milan 18 9 9 1.9 0.8 12 3 3 35 14 39
11 15 Udinese 18 9 9 1.1 1.6 1 10 7 20 28 13
12 19 Sassuolo 18 9 9 1.3 1.8 5 5 8 23 32 20
13 11 Genoa 18 10 8 1.4 1.2 7 6 5 25 22 27
14 12 Monza 18 10 8 1.3 1.4 6 6 6 23 25 24
15 13 Lecce 19 12 7 0.9 1.4 6 6 7 17 27 24
16 3 Bologna 18 12 6 1.7 0.5 12 4 2 30 9 40
17 4 Juventus 18 13 5 1.3 0.6 10 7 1 24 11 37
18 7 Lazio 18 13 5 1.2 0.7 10 3 5 22 13 33
19 18 Empoli 18 13 5 0.7 1.2 4 5 9 13 22 17
20 10 Torino 18 14 4 0.8 0.4 7 9 2 15 8 30
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milan 18 4 14 2.1 1.6 10 5 3 37 29 35
2 5 Atalanta 19 7 12 1.6 1.4 8 4 7 30 26 28
3 6 Roma 18 6 12 1.4 1.4 6 5 7 26 25 23
4 19 Sassuolo 18 6 12 1.1 2.2 2 3 13 19 40 9
5 20 Salernitana 18 7 11 0.7 2.2 1 5 12 12 40 8
6 1 Inter 18 8 10 2.4 0.5 15 2 1 43 9 47
7 7 Lazio 18 8 10 1.4 1.3 8 2 8 25 24 26
8 16 Cagliari 18 8 10 0.7 2.0 1 5 12 12 36 8
9 3 Bologna 18 9 9 1.2 1.0 6 9 3 21 18 27
10 4 Juventus 18 9 9 1.4 0.9 8 6 4 25 17 30
11 9 Napoli 19 10 9 1.6 1.1 7 7 5 31 21 28
12 17 Frosinone 18 9 9 0.8 2.1 0 7 11 15 37 7
13 11 Genoa 18 10 8 1.0 1.2 4 7 7 18 22 19
14 12 Monza 18 11 7 0.9 1.3 5 6 7 16 23 21
15 13 Lecce 18 11 7 0.8 1.5 2 7 9 15 27 13
16 14 Verona 18 11 7 0.7 1.3 2 5 11 13 24 11
17 10 Torino 18 12 6 1.0 1.3 5 5 8 18 24 20
18 18 Empoli 18 12 6 0.7 1.7 4 3 11 13 30 15
19 8 Fiorentina 17 12 5 1.1 1.2 5 4 8 18 20 19
20 15 Udinese 18 13 5 0.8 1.3 4 8 6 15 24 20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51