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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Sassuolo 3–3 Milan

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 4.50 fair 3.86
Draw ✓ 3.80 fair 4.63
Away 1.75 fair 1.91
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.89
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.53

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sassuolo Milan
10 Shots 23
5 Shots on target 7
2 Corners 6
12 Fouls 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (314 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 1.36 – 2.01
Home / Draw / Away
SassuoloDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–2 9.4% 1–1 9.4% 0–2 6.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Sassuolo before this match, all matches
0.81points / match
1.16scored / match
1.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 36:59
Milan before this match, all matches
2.19points / match
1.94scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 60:34
Sassuolo all matches all matches Milan

Per match

1.16 Goals scored 1.94
1.90 Goals conceded 1.10
3.06 Total goals 3.03
12.97 Shots 14.00
4.32 Shots on target 5.48
14.45 Shots faced 13.39
5.55 Corners 4.61
5.35 Corners against 4.10
10.03 Fouls 11.61
1.84 Yellow cards 2.35
0.71 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.77 1st-half goals conceded 0.39

How often Full Time

19% Wins 68%
23% Draws 16%
58% Losses 16%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
77% Over 1.5 goals 71%
55% Over 2.5 goals 61%
32% Over 3.5 goals 45%
19% Over 4.5 goals 19%
16% Over 5.5 goals 6%
61% Both teams scored 55%
6% Clean sheets 39%
32% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 52%
35% Draws 42%
32% Losses 6%
81% Over 0.5 goals 77%
42% Over 1.5 goals 52%
19% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sassuolo all matches
Milan all matches
Sassuolo before this match, at home
1.07points / match
1.27scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 19:26
Milan before this match, away
2.06points / match
2.13scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 34:26
Sassuolo at home away Milan

Per match

1.27 Goals scored 2.13
1.73 Goals conceded 1.63
3.00 Total goals 3.75
13.67 Shots 14.06
4.47 Shots on target 5.69
13.73 Shots faced 14.13
5.47 Corners 4.25
4.47 Corners against 4.38
9.73 Fouls 11.44
1.60 Yellow cards 3.00
0.73 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

27% Wins 63%
27% Draws 19%
47% Losses 19%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 88%
47% Over 2.5 goals 81%
33% Over 3.5 goals 63%
20% Over 4.5 goals 31%
13% Over 5.5 goals 13%
67% Both teams scored 75%
13% Clean sheets 25%
20% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 44%
40% Draws 44%
27% Losses 13%
80% Over 0.5 goals 81%
47% Over 1.5 goals 69%
20% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sassuolo at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sassuolo all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.24 Salernitana – Sassuolo 2–2 (0–2) 3.253.502.20 1.90 2.00
01.04.24 Sassuolo – Udinese 1–1 (1–1) 2.753.252.60 2.07 1.83
17.03.24 Roma – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 1.364.758.00 1.60 2.30
09.03.24 Sassuolo – Frosinone 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.603.10 1.65 2.20
03.03.24 Verona – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.25 2.03 1.87
28.02.24 Sassuolo – Napoli 1–6 (1–3) 4.003.801.80 1.70 2.10
24.02.24 Sassuolo – Empoli 2–3 (0–1) 2.203.403.30 2.03 1.87
17.02.24 Atalanta – Sassuolo 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.508.00 1.48 2.60
10.02.24 Sassuolo – Torino 1–1 (1–1) 3.403.302.20 2.05 1.75
03.02.24 Bologna – Sassuolo 4–2 (1–2) 1.703.755.00 2.05 1.85

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.70 2.10
30.03.24 Fiorentina – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 2.883.302.50 2.01 1.89
17.03.24 Verona – Milan 1–3 (0–1) 5.253.751.70 2.05 1.85
10.03.24 Milan – Empoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.50 1.70 2.10
01.03.24 Lazio – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.10 1.70
25.02.24 Milan – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
18.02.24 Monza – Milan 4–2 (2–0) 4.753.501.80 1.97 1.93
11.02.24 Milan – Napoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00
03.02.24 Frosinone – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 5.004.201.62 1.60 2.30
27.01.24 Milan – Bologna 2–2 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 2.08 1.73

Sassuolo at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.24 Sassuolo – Udinese 1–1 (1–1) 2.753.252.60 2.07 1.83
09.03.24 Sassuolo – Frosinone 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.603.10 1.65 2.20
28.02.24 Sassuolo – Napoli 1–6 (1–3) 4.003.801.80 1.70 2.10
24.02.24 Sassuolo – Empoli 2–3 (0–1) 2.203.403.30 2.03 1.87
10.02.24 Sassuolo – Torino 1–1 (1–1) 3.403.302.20 2.05 1.75
06.01.24 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 3.253.502.15 1.73 2.08
22.12.23 Sassuolo – Genoa 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.303.25 2.02 1.88
03.12.23 Sassuolo – Roma 1–2 (1–0) 3.803.751.91 1.75 2.05
10.11.23 Sassuolo – Salernitana 2–2 (1–2) 1.654.204.75 1.62 2.25
28.10.23 Sassuolo – Bologna 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.402.63 1.70 2.10

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.24 Fiorentina – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 2.883.302.50 2.01 1.89
17.03.24 Verona – Milan 1–3 (0–1) 5.253.751.70 2.05 1.85
01.03.24 Lazio – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.10 1.70
18.02.24 Monza – Milan 4–2 (2–0) 4.753.501.80 1.97 1.93
03.02.24 Frosinone – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 5.004.201.62 1.60 2.30
20.01.24 Udinese – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 4.003.801.85 1.91 1.99
07.01.24 Empoli – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 5.253.801.67 1.75 2.05
22.12.23 Salernitana – Milan 2–2 (1–1) 8.004.501.44 1.65 2.20
09.12.23 Atalanta – Milan 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.203.00 2.05 1.75
11.11.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 5.003.601.75 2.08 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sassuolo winsDrawsMilan wins
5matches
3.00goals / match
60%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.23I1 Milan – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.50 1.50 2.50
29.01.23I1 Milan – Sassuolo 2–5 (1–3) 1.504.506.50 1.53 2.50
30.08.22I1 Sassuolo – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 5.254.331.57 1.53 2.50
22.05.22I1 Sassuolo – Milan 0–3 (0–3) 6.504.751.45 1.50 2.62
28.11.21I1 Milan – Sassuolo 1–3 (1–2) 1.534.505.50 1.53 2.50

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 31 26 4 1 75 15 +60 82
2 Milan 31 21 5 5 60 34 +26 68
3 Juventus 32 18 9 5 45 24 +21 63
4 Bologna 32 16 11 5 45 25 +20 59
5 Roma 31 16 7 8 56 35 +21 55
6 Atalanta 30 15 5 10 55 34 +21 50
7 Napoli 32 13 10 9 50 40 +10 49
8 Lazio 32 15 4 13 41 35 +6 49
9 Torino 32 11 12 9 31 29 +2 45
10 Fiorentina 30 12 7 11 42 35 +7 43
11 Monza 32 11 10 11 34 41 -7 43
12 Genoa 31 9 11 11 34 38 -4 38
13 Lecce 32 7 11 14 27 48 -21 32
14 Cagliari 31 7 9 15 32 52 -20 30
15 Udinese 31 4 16 11 30 47 -17 28
16 Empoli 32 7 7 18 25 48 -23 28
17 Verona 31 6 9 16 28 42 -14 27
18 Frosinone 32 6 9 17 40 63 -23 27
19 Sassuolo 31 6 7 18 36 59 -23 25
20 Salernitana 32 2 9 21 26 68 -42 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 16 13 2 1 39 8 +31 41
2 Bologna 17 12 3 2 29 8 +21 39
3 Roma 16 11 3 2 35 15 +20 36
4 Milan 15 11 2 2 26 8 +18 35
5 Juventus 16 10 5 1 23 10 +13 35
6 Atalanta 14 10 1 3 31 10 +21 31
7 Torino 16 7 7 2 15 8 +7 28
8 Fiorentina 15 8 3 4 27 17 +10 27
9 Lazio 16 8 3 5 19 13 +6 27
10 Napoli 16 6 5 5 22 23 -1 23
11 Monza 16 6 5 5 20 21 -1 23
12 Cagliari 16 6 5 5 23 26 -3 23
13 Lecce 16 6 5 5 16 22 -6 23
14 Frosinone 16 6 4 6 25 26 -1 22
15 Genoa 15 5 6 4 20 20 0 21
16 Verona 15 4 5 6 17 21 -4 17
17 Sassuolo 15 4 4 7 19 26 -7 16
18 Empoli 16 3 4 9 12 22 -10 13
19 Udinese 16 1 9 6 18 25 -7 12
20 Salernitana 16 1 5 10 15 32 -17 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 15 13 2 0 36 7 +29 41
2 Milan 16 10 3 3 34 26 +8 33
3 Juventus 16 8 4 4 22 14 +8 28
4 Napoli 16 7 5 4 28 17 +11 26
5 Lazio 16 7 1 8 22 22 0 22
6 Bologna 15 4 8 3 16 17 -1 20
7 Monza 16 5 5 6 14 20 -6 20
8 Roma 15 5 4 6 21 20 +1 19
9 Atalanta 16 5 4 7 24 24 0 19
10 Genoa 16 4 5 7 14 18 -4 17
11 Torino 16 4 5 7 16 21 -5 17
12 Fiorentina 15 4 4 7 15 18 -3 16
13 Udinese 15 3 7 5 12 22 -10 16
14 Empoli 16 4 3 9 13 26 -13 15
15 Verona 16 2 4 10 11 21 -10 10
16 Lecce 16 1 6 9 11 26 -15 9
17 Sassuolo 16 2 3 11 17 33 -16 9
18 Cagliari 15 1 4 10 9 26 -17 7
19 Salernitana 16 1 4 11 11 36 -25 7
20 Frosinone 16 0 5 11 15 37 -22 5

Sassuolo   Milan

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Frosinone 32 11 21 1.2 2.0 6 9 17 40 63 27
2 20 Salernitana 32 11 21 0.8 2.1 2 9 21 26 68 15
3 2 Milan 31 12 19 1.9 1.1 21 5 5 60 34 68
4 6 Atalanta 30 11 19 1.8 1.1 15 5 10 55 34 50
5 7 Napoli 32 13 19 1.6 1.2 13 10 9 50 40 49
6 5 Roma 31 13 18 1.8 1.1 16 7 8 56 35 55
7 1 Inter 31 14 17 2.4 0.5 26 4 1 75 15 82
8 14 Cagliari 31 14 17 1.0 1.7 7 9 15 32 52 30
9 19 Sassuolo 31 14 17 1.2 1.9 6 7 18 36 59 25
10 4 Bologna 32 18 14 1.4 0.8 16 11 5 45 25 59
11 8 Lazio 32 18 14 1.3 1.1 15 4 13 41 35 49
12 10 Fiorentina 30 16 14 1.4 1.2 12 7 11 42 35 43
13 17 Verona 31 17 14 0.9 1.4 6 9 16 28 42 27
14 3 Juventus 32 19 13 1.4 0.8 18 9 5 45 24 63
15 12 Genoa 31 18 13 1.1 1.2 9 11 11 34 38 38
16 13 Lecce 32 19 13 0.8 1.5 7 11 14 27 48 32
17 15 Udinese 31 18 13 1.0 1.5 4 16 11 30 47 28
18 11 Monza 32 20 12 1.1 1.3 11 10 11 34 41 43
19 16 Empoli 32 21 11 0.8 1.5 7 7 18 25 48 28
20 9 Torino 32 23 9 1.0 0.9 11 12 9 31 29 45
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Frosinone 16 4 12 1.6 1.6 6 4 6 25 26 22
2 7 Napoli 16 5 11 1.4 1.4 6 5 5 22 23 23
3 20 Salernitana 16 5 11 0.9 2.0 1 5 10 15 32 8
4 10 Fiorentina 15 5 10 1.8 1.1 8 3 4 27 17 27
5 14 Cagliari 16 6 10 1.4 1.6 6 5 5 23 26 23
6 1 Inter 16 7 9 2.4 0.5 13 2 1 39 8 41
7 5 Roma 16 7 9 2.2 0.9 11 3 2 35 15 36
8 6 Atalanta 14 5 9 2.2 0.7 10 1 3 31 10 31
9 15 Udinese 16 8 8 1.1 1.6 1 9 6 18 25 12
10 17 Verona 15 7 8 1.1 1.4 4 5 6 17 21 17
11 13 Lecce 16 9 7 1.0 1.4 6 5 5 16 22 23
12 19 Sassuolo 15 8 7 1.3 1.7 4 4 7 19 26 16
13 2 Milan 15 9 6 1.7 0.5 11 2 2 26 8 35
14 4 Bologna 17 11 6 1.7 0.5 12 3 2 29 8 39
15 11 Monza 16 10 6 1.2 1.3 6 5 5 20 21 23
16 12 Genoa 15 9 6 1.3 1.3 5 6 4 20 20 21
17 3 Juventus 16 11 5 1.4 0.6 10 5 1 23 10 35
18 8 Lazio 16 11 5 1.2 0.8 8 3 5 19 13 27
19 16 Empoli 16 11 5 0.8 1.4 3 4 9 12 22 13
20 9 Torino 16 12 4 0.9 0.5 7 7 2 15 8 28
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milan 16 3 13 2.1 1.6 10 3 3 34 26 33
2 6 Atalanta 16 6 10 1.5 1.5 5 4 7 24 24 19
3 19 Sassuolo 16 6 10 1.1 2.1 2 3 11 17 33 9
4 20 Salernitana 16 6 10 0.7 2.2 1 4 11 11 36 7
5 5 Roma 15 6 9 1.4 1.3 5 4 6 21 20 19
6 8 Lazio 16 7 9 1.4 1.4 7 1 8 22 22 22
7 18 Frosinone 16 7 9 0.9 2.3 0 5 11 15 37 5
8 1 Inter 15 7 8 2.4 0.5 13 2 0 36 7 41
9 3 Juventus 16 8 8 1.4 0.9 8 4 4 22 14 28
10 4 Bologna 15 7 8 1.1 1.1 4 8 3 16 17 20
11 7 Napoli 16 8 8 1.8 1.1 7 5 4 28 17 26
12 12 Genoa 16 9 7 0.9 1.1 4 5 7 14 18 17
13 14 Cagliari 15 8 7 0.6 1.7 1 4 10 9 26 7
14 11 Monza 16 10 6 0.9 1.2 5 5 6 14 20 20
15 13 Lecce 16 10 6 0.7 1.6 1 6 9 11 26 9
16 16 Empoli 16 10 6 0.8 1.6 4 3 9 13 26 15
17 17 Verona 16 10 6 0.7 1.3 2 4 10 11 21 10
18 9 Torino 16 11 5 1.0 1.3 4 5 7 16 21 17
19 15 Udinese 15 10 5 0.8 1.5 3 7 5 12 22 16
20 10 Fiorentina 15 11 4 1.0 1.2 4 4 7 15 18 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51