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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Salernitana 2–2 Milan

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 8.00 fair 3.70
Draw ✓ 4.50 fair 4.28
Away 1.44 fair 2.02
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.38
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Salernitana Milan
19 Shots 21
7 Shots on target 9
6 Corners 6
16 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (162 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.25 – 1.77
Home / Draw / Away
SalernitanaDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 1–2 9.6% 0–1 8.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Salernitana before this match, all matches
0.50points / match
0.75scored / match
2.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 12:34
Milan before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.81scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 29:18
Salernitana all matches all matches Milan

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 1.81
2.13 Goals conceded 1.13
2.88 Total goals 2.94
10.75 Shots 12.38
3.19 Shots on target 4.94
15.50 Shots faced 14.38
4.25 Corners 4.25
6.44 Corners against 4.25
13.38 Fouls 11.38
2.69 Yellow cards 2.63
0.25 1st-half goals scored 1.13
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.31

How often Full Time

6% Wins 63%
31% Draws 13%
63% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 69%
63% Over 2.5 goals 56%
31% Over 3.5 goals 44%
6% Over 4.5 goals 19%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
50% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 38%
50% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 63%
25% Draws 31%
63% Losses 6%
81% Over 0.5 goals 75%
38% Over 1.5 goals 50%
6% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Salernitana all matches
Milan all matches
Salernitana before this match, at home
0.75points / match
0.88scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 7:16
Milan before this match, away
1.75points / match
1.88scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 15:14
Salernitana at home away Milan

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 1.88
2.00 Goals conceded 1.75
2.88 Total goals 3.63
12.38 Shots 12.63
3.75 Shots on target 4.63
13.38 Shots faced 14.63
5.50 Corners 3.38
5.00 Corners against 4.00
13.13 Fouls 11.00
3.25 Yellow cards 3.50
0.00 1st-half goals scored 1.25
0.88 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

13% Wins 50%
38% Draws 25%
50% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 88%
63% Over 2.5 goals 75%
25% Over 3.5 goals 63%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
63% Both teams scored 75%
0% Clean sheets 25%
38% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 63%
38% Draws 25%
63% Losses 13%
63% Over 0.5 goals 88%
25% Over 1.5 goals 75%
0% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Salernitana at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Salernitana all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.12.23 Atalanta – Salernitana 4–1 (0–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.57 2.35
10.12.23 Salernitana – Bologna 1–2 (0–2) 3.753.302.05 2.10 1.70
03.12.23 Fiorentina – Salernitana 3–0 (2–0) 1.454.757.00 1.67 2.15
25.11.23 Salernitana – Lazio 2–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.75 2.04 1.86
10.11.23 Sassuolo – Salernitana 2–2 (1–2) 1.654.204.75 1.62 2.25
04.11.23 Salernitana – Napoli 0–2 (0–1) 7.004.751.44 1.53 2.40
27.10.23 Genoa – Salernitana 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.605.25 2.15 1.67
22.10.23 Salernitana – Cagliari 2–2 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.15 1.67
08.10.23 Monza – Salernitana 3–0 (2–0) 1.703.805.00 1.88 2.02
30.09.23 Salernitana – Inter 0–4 (0–0) 8.004.751.40 1.67 2.15

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.23 Milan – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.335.00 1.80 2.00
09.12.23 Atalanta – Milan 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.203.00 2.05 1.75
02.12.23 Milan – Frosinone 3–1 (1–0) 1.444.507.50 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.06 1.84
11.11.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 5.003.601.75 2.08 1.73
04.11.23 Milan – Udinese 0–1 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.75 2.05
29.10.23 Napoli – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.30 2.04 1.86
22.10.23 Milan – Juventus 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.70
07.10.23 Genoa – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.05 1.75
30.09.23 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (0–0) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84

Salernitana at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.23 Salernitana – Bologna 1–2 (0–2) 3.753.302.05 2.10 1.70
25.11.23 Salernitana – Lazio 2–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.75 2.04 1.86
04.11.23 Salernitana – Napoli 0–2 (0–1) 7.004.751.44 1.53 2.40
22.10.23 Salernitana – Cagliari 2–2 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.15 1.67
30.09.23 Salernitana – Inter 0–4 (0–0) 8.004.751.40 1.67 2.15
22.09.23 Salernitana – Frosinone 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.202.90 2.10 1.73
18.09.23 Salernitana – Torino 0–3 (0–2) 3.603.252.20 2.20 1.67
28.08.23 Salernitana – Udinese 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.63 2.03 1.87
27.05.23 Salernitana – Udinese 3–2 (1–2) 2.703.502.55 1.84 2.06
13.05.23 Salernitana – Atalanta 1–0 (0–0) 4.754.201.65 1.67 2.20

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Atalanta – Milan 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.203.00 2.05 1.75
11.11.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 5.003.601.75 2.08 1.73
29.10.23 Napoli – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.30 2.04 1.86
07.10.23 Genoa – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.05 1.75
27.09.23 Cagliari – Milan 1–3 (1–2) 5.253.801.67 1.99 1.91
16.09.23 Inter – Milan 5–1 (2–0) 2.153.503.40 1.90 2.00
01.09.23 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.803.102.63 2.30 1.62
21.08.23 Bologna – Milan 0–2 (0–2) 4.003.401.95 2.00 1.80
28.05.23 Juventus – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 2.10 1.73
13.05.23 Spezia – Milan 2–0 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.03 1.87

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Salernitana winsDrawsMilan wins
4matches
2.75goals / match
50%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.03.23I1 Milan – Salernitana 1–1 (1–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.67 2.20
04.01.23I1 Salernitana – Milan 1–2 (0–2) 7.004.331.45 1.73 2.10
19.02.22I1 Salernitana – Milan 2–2 (1–1) 9.005.001.36 1.66 2.20
04.12.21I1 Milan – Salernitana 2–0 (2–0) 1.187.0015.00 1.50 2.62

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 16 13 2 1 39 7 +32 41
2 Juventus 16 11 4 1 24 10 +14 37
3 Milan 16 10 2 4 29 18 +11 32
4 Bologna 16 7 7 2 20 12 +8 28
5 Napoli 16 8 3 5 28 19 +9 27
6 Fiorentina 16 8 3 5 25 18 +7 27
7 Atalanta 16 8 2 6 28 19 +9 26
8 Roma 16 7 4 5 28 19 +9 25
9 Lazio 17 7 3 7 18 18 0 24
10 Torino 16 6 5 5 14 16 -2 23
11 Monza 16 5 6 5 16 17 -1 21
12 Lecce 16 4 8 4 19 21 -2 20
13 Genoa 17 5 4 8 18 22 -4 19
14 Frosinone 16 5 4 7 21 26 -5 19
15 Sassuolo 17 4 4 9 25 32 -7 16
16 Cagliari 16 3 4 9 16 29 -13 13
17 Udinese 16 1 10 5 14 27 -13 13
18 Empoli 17 3 3 11 10 30 -20 12
19 Verona 16 2 5 9 13 23 -10 11
20 Salernitana 16 1 5 10 12 34 -22 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Juventus 8 6 2 0 12 4 +8 20
2 Inter 8 6 1 1 21 5 +16 19
3 Bologna 8 6 1 1 12 4 +8 19
4 Milan 8 6 0 2 14 4 +10 18
5 Roma 8 5 2 1 19 7 +12 17
6 Frosinone 8 5 2 1 14 10 +4 17
7 Atalanta 8 5 1 2 16 7 +9 16
8 Fiorentina 8 5 1 2 14 8 +6 16
9 Torino 8 4 3 1 8 5 +3 15
10 Lecce 9 4 3 2 11 11 0 15
11 Lazio 8 4 2 2 8 6 +2 14
12 Monza 8 3 4 1 10 5 +5 13
13 Genoa 8 3 3 2 11 10 +1 12
14 Cagliari 8 3 2 3 11 15 -4 11
15 Napoli 8 3 1 4 12 13 -1 10
16 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 12 15 -3 8
17 Verona 7 1 3 3 7 11 -4 6
18 Udinese 8 0 6 2 9 14 -5 6
19 Salernitana 8 1 3 4 7 16 -9 6
20 Empoli 9 1 2 6 5 14 -9 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 8 7 1 0 18 2 +16 22
2 Napoli 8 5 2 1 16 6 +10 17
3 Juventus 8 5 2 1 12 6 +6 17
4 Milan 8 4 2 2 15 14 +1 14
5 Fiorentina 8 3 2 3 11 10 +1 11
6 Atalanta 8 3 1 4 12 12 0 10
7 Lazio 9 3 1 5 10 12 -2 10
8 Bologna 8 1 6 1 8 8 0 9
9 Roma 8 2 2 4 9 12 -3 8
10 Sassuolo 8 2 2 4 13 17 -4 8
11 Torino 8 2 2 4 6 11 -5 8
12 Monza 8 2 2 4 6 12 -6 8
13 Genoa 9 2 1 6 7 12 -5 7
14 Udinese 8 1 4 3 5 13 -8 7
15 Empoli 8 2 1 5 5 16 -11 7
16 Lecce 7 0 5 2 8 10 -2 5
17 Verona 9 1 2 6 6 12 -6 5
18 Frosinone 8 0 2 6 7 16 -9 2
19 Cagliari 8 0 2 6 5 14 -9 2
20 Salernitana 8 0 2 6 5 18 -13 2

Salernitana   Milan

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Napoli 16 5 11 1.8 1.2 8 3 5 28 19 27
2 15 Sassuolo 17 6 11 1.5 1.9 4 4 9 25 32 16
3 7 Atalanta 16 6 10 1.8 1.2 8 2 6 28 19 26
4 14 Frosinone 16 6 10 1.3 1.6 5 4 7 21 26 19
5 16 Cagliari 16 6 10 1.0 1.8 3 4 9 16 29 13
6 20 Salernitana 16 6 10 0.8 2.1 1 5 10 12 34 8
7 1 Inter 16 7 9 2.4 0.4 13 2 1 39 7 41
8 3 Milan 16 7 9 1.8 1.1 10 2 4 29 18 32
9 8 Roma 16 7 9 1.8 1.2 7 4 5 28 19 25
10 6 Fiorentina 16 8 8 1.6 1.1 8 3 5 25 18 27
11 12 Lecce 16 9 7 1.2 1.3 4 8 4 19 21 20
12 13 Genoa 17 10 7 1.1 1.3 5 4 8 18 22 19
13 17 Udinese 16 9 7 0.9 1.7 1 10 5 14 27 13
14 19 Verona 16 9 7 0.8 1.4 2 5 9 13 23 11
15 4 Bologna 16 10 6 1.2 0.8 7 7 2 20 12 28
16 2 Juventus 16 11 5 1.5 0.6 11 4 1 24 10 37
17 9 Lazio 17 12 5 1.1 1.1 7 3 7 18 18 24
18 10 Torino 16 11 5 0.9 1.0 6 5 5 14 16 23
19 11 Monza 16 11 5 1.0 1.1 5 6 5 16 17 21
20 18 Empoli 17 12 5 0.6 1.8 3 3 11 10 30 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Napoli 8 2 6 1.5 1.6 3 1 4 12 13 10
2 14 Frosinone 8 2 6 1.8 1.2 5 2 1 14 10 17
3 1 Inter 8 3 5 2.6 0.6 6 1 1 21 5 19
4 6 Fiorentina 8 3 5 1.8 1.0 5 1 2 14 8 16
5 7 Atalanta 8 3 5 2.0 0.9 5 1 2 16 7 16
6 8 Roma 8 3 5 2.4 0.9 5 2 1 19 7 17
7 15 Sassuolo 9 4 5 1.3 1.7 2 2 5 12 15 8
8 16 Cagliari 8 3 5 1.4 1.9 3 2 3 11 15 11
9 20 Salernitana 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 1 3 4 7 16 6
10 12 Lecce 9 5 4 1.2 1.2 4 3 2 11 11 15
11 17 Udinese 8 4 4 1.1 1.8 0 6 2 9 14 6
12 19 Verona 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 1 3 3 7 11 6
13 3 Milan 8 5 3 1.8 0.5 6 0 2 14 4 18
14 4 Bologna 8 5 3 1.5 0.5 6 1 1 12 4 19
15 10 Torino 8 5 3 1.0 0.6 4 3 1 8 5 15
16 13 Genoa 8 5 3 1.4 1.2 3 3 2 11 10 12
17 2 Juventus 8 6 2 1.5 0.5 6 2 0 12 4 20
18 11 Monza 8 6 2 1.2 0.6 3 4 1 10 5 13
19 18 Empoli 9 7 2 0.6 1.6 1 2 6 5 14 5
20 9 Lazio 8 7 1 1.0 0.8 4 2 2 8 6 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Milan 8 2 6 1.9 1.8 4 2 2 15 14 14
2 15 Sassuolo 8 2 6 1.6 2.1 2 2 4 13 17 8
3 5 Napoli 8 3 5 2.0 0.8 5 2 1 16 6 17
4 7 Atalanta 8 3 5 1.5 1.5 3 1 4 12 12 10
5 16 Cagliari 8 3 5 0.6 1.8 0 2 6 5 14 2
6 20 Salernitana 8 3 5 0.6 2.2 0 2 6 5 18 2
7 1 Inter 8 4 4 2.2 0.2 7 1 0 18 2 22
8 8 Roma 8 4 4 1.1 1.5 2 2 4 9 12 8
9 9 Lazio 9 5 4 1.1 1.3 3 1 5 10 12 10
10 13 Genoa 9 5 4 0.8 1.3 2 1 6 7 12 7
11 14 Frosinone 8 4 4 0.9 2.0 0 2 6 7 16 2
12 2 Juventus 8 5 3 1.5 0.8 5 2 1 12 6 17
13 4 Bologna 8 5 3 1.0 1.0 1 6 1 8 8 9
14 6 Fiorentina 8 5 3 1.4 1.2 3 2 3 11 10 11
15 11 Monza 8 5 3 0.8 1.5 2 2 4 6 12 8
16 12 Lecce 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 0 5 2 8 10 5
17 17 Udinese 8 5 3 0.6 1.6 1 4 3 5 13 7
18 18 Empoli 8 5 3 0.6 2.0 2 1 5 5 16 7
19 19 Verona 9 6 3 0.7 1.3 1 2 6 6 12 5
20 10 Torino 8 6 2 0.8 1.4 2 2 4 6 11 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51