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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 5–1 Cagliari

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.40 fair 1.54
Draw 5.25 fair 5.08
Away 6.50 fair 6.49
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.45
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.69

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Cagliari
17 Shots 13
10 Shots on target 7
6 Corners 3
11 Fouls 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (351 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.87
Expected goals 2.14 – 0.93
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawCagliari
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 10.6% 1–0 9.9% 2–1 9.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.03points / match
1.91scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 67:42
Cagliari before this match, all matches
0.94points / match
1.06scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 37:60
Milan all matches all matches Cagliari

Per match

1.91 Goals scored 1.06
1.20 Goals conceded 1.71
3.11 Total goals 2.77
14.49 Shots 11.69
5.43 Shots on target 3.49
13.14 Shots faced 12.89
4.71 Corners 4.60
4.06 Corners against 5.74
11.43 Fouls 12.37
2.26 Yellow cards 2.09
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.34
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

60% Wins 20%
23% Draws 34%
17% Losses 46%
97% Over 0.5 goals 91%
71% Over 1.5 goals 83%
63% Over 2.5 goals 57%
46% Over 3.5 goals 29%
23% Over 4.5 goals 9%
11% Over 5.5 goals 6%
57% Both teams scored 66%
37% Clean sheets 11%
9% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 17%
43% Draws 37%
11% Losses 46%
77% Over 0.5 goals 71%
51% Over 1.5 goals 37%
9% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Cagliari all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.12points / match
1.76scored / match
0.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 30:13
Cagliari before this match, away
0.47points / match
0.65scored / match
1.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 11:31
Milan at home away Cagliari

Per match

1.76 Goals scored 0.65
0.76 Goals conceded 1.82
2.53 Total goals 2.47
14.71 Shots 9.82
5.41 Shots on target 2.71
12.12 Shots faced 14.71
5.12 Corners 4.00
3.59 Corners against 6.47
12.00 Fouls 12.29
1.71 Yellow cards 2.18
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.18
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

65% Wins 6%
18% Draws 29%
18% Losses 65%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
59% Over 1.5 goals 76%
47% Over 2.5 goals 53%
29% Over 3.5 goals 24%
12% Over 4.5 goals 0%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
41% Both teams scored 47%
47% Clean sheets 12%
12% Failed to score 47%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 12%
41% Draws 41%
6% Losses 47%
76% Over 0.5 goals 65%
35% Over 1.5 goals 24%
6% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Cagliari away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.24 Milan – Genoa 3–3 (1–1) 1.454.506.50 1.73 2.10
27.04.24 Juventus – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.04 1.86
22.04.24 Milan – Inter 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.602.00 1.73 2.10
14.04.24 Sassuolo – Milan 3–3 (2–1) 4.503.801.75 1.67 2.20
06.04.24 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.70 2.10
30.03.24 Fiorentina – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 2.883.302.50 2.01 1.89
17.03.24 Verona – Milan 1–3 (0–1) 5.253.751.70 2.05 1.85
10.03.24 Milan – Empoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.50 1.70 2.10
01.03.24 Lazio – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.10 1.70
25.02.24 Milan – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05

Cagliari all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.24 Cagliari – Lecce 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.203.75 2.20 1.67
29.04.24 Genoa – Cagliari 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.103.50 2.30 1.62
19.04.24 Cagliari – Juventus 2–2 (2–0) 5.003.501.75 2.20 1.67
14.04.24 Inter – Cagliari 2–2 (1–0) 1.188.0012.00 1.44 2.75
07.04.24 Cagliari – Atalanta 2–1 (1–1) 4.753.801.73 1.75 2.05
01.04.24 Cagliari – Verona 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.203.60 2.10 1.70
16.03.24 Monza – Cagliari 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.503.60 2.00 1.90
09.03.24 Cagliari – Salernitana 4–2 (2–0) 1.833.604.33 2.02 1.88
03.03.24 Empoli – Cagliari 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.253.60 2.10 1.70
25.02.24 Cagliari – Napoli 1–1 (0–0) 4.203.751.83 1.88 2.02

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.24 Milan – Genoa 3–3 (1–1) 1.454.506.50 1.73 2.10
22.04.24 Milan – Inter 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.602.00 1.73 2.10
06.04.24 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.70 2.10
10.03.24 Milan – Empoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.50 1.70 2.10
25.02.24 Milan – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
11.02.24 Milan – Napoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00
27.01.24 Milan – Bologna 2–2 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 2.08 1.73
14.01.24 Milan – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.203.50 2.15 1.67
30.12.23 Milan – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.50 1.50 2.50
17.12.23 Milan – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.335.00 1.80 2.00

Cagliari away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.04.24 Genoa – Cagliari 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.103.50 2.30 1.62
14.04.24 Inter – Cagliari 2–2 (1–0) 1.188.0012.00 1.44 2.75
16.03.24 Monza – Cagliari 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.503.60 2.00 1.90
03.03.24 Empoli – Cagliari 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.253.60 2.10 1.70
18.02.24 Udinese – Cagliari 1–1 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.75
05.02.24 Roma – Cagliari 4–0 (2–0) 1.444.337.50 1.87 2.03
21.01.24 Frosinone – Cagliari 3–1 (0–1) 2.403.402.90 2.01 1.89
06.01.24 Lecce – Cagliari 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.253.40 2.20 1.65
23.12.23 Verona – Cagliari 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.253.10 2.08 1.73
16.12.23 Napoli – Cagliari 2–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsCagliari wins
3matches
3.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.23I1 Cagliari – Milan 1–3 (1–2) 5.253.801.67 1.99 1.91
19.03.22I1 Cagliari – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 5.254.001.60 1.92 1.98
29.08.21I1 Milan – Cagliari 4–1 (4–1) 1.444.507.00 1.57 2.37

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 36 29 5 2 86 19 +67 92
2 Milan 35 21 8 6 67 42 +25 71
3 Bologna 36 18 13 5 51 27 +24 67
4 Juventus 35 18 12 5 48 27 +21 66
5 Atalanta 34 18 6 10 63 38 +25 60
6 Roma 35 17 9 9 62 42 +20 60
7 Lazio 35 17 5 13 45 37 +8 56
8 Napoli 36 13 12 11 53 46 +7 51
9 Fiorentina 34 14 8 12 51 39 +12 50
10 Torino 35 11 14 10 31 31 0 47
11 Monza 35 11 12 12 38 46 -8 45
12 Genoa 35 10 13 12 41 43 -2 43
13 Lecce 35 8 13 14 32 50 -18 37
14 Verona 35 8 10 17 33 46 -13 34
15 Cagliari 35 7 12 16 37 60 -23 33
16 Empoli 35 8 8 19 26 50 -24 32
17 Frosinone 36 7 11 18 43 68 -25 32
18 Udinese 35 4 18 13 33 52 -19 30
19 Sassuolo 35 7 8 20 41 70 -29 29
20 Salernitana 35 2 9 24 27 75 -48 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 14 3 1 43 10 +33 45
2 Bologna 18 12 4 2 30 9 +21 40
3 Roma 18 11 4 3 37 19 +18 37
4 Milan 17 11 3 3 30 13 +17 36
5 Juventus 17 10 6 1 23 10 +13 36
6 Atalanta 16 11 2 3 35 12 +23 35
7 Fiorentina 17 9 4 4 33 19 +14 31
8 Lazio 17 9 3 5 20 13 +7 30
9 Torino 18 7 9 2 15 8 +7 30
10 Frosinone 18 7 4 7 28 31 -3 25
11 Cagliari 18 6 7 5 26 29 -3 25
12 Genoa 17 6 6 5 23 21 +2 24
13 Monza 18 6 6 6 23 25 -2 24
14 Napoli 18 6 6 6 24 27 -3 24
15 Lecce 17 6 6 5 17 23 -6 24
16 Verona 17 6 5 6 20 22 -2 23
17 Sassuolo 18 5 5 8 23 32 -9 20
18 Empoli 18 4 5 9 13 22 -9 17
19 Udinese 18 1 10 7 20 28 -8 13
20 Salernitana 18 1 5 12 16 36 -20 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 15 2 1 43 9 +34 47
2 Milan 18 10 5 3 37 29 +8 35
3 Juventus 18 8 6 4 25 17 +8 30
4 Napoli 18 7 6 5 29 19 +10 27
5 Bologna 18 6 9 3 21 18 +3 27
6 Lazio 18 8 2 8 25 24 +1 26
7 Atalanta 18 7 4 7 28 26 +2 25
8 Roma 17 6 5 6 25 23 +2 23
9 Monza 17 5 6 6 15 21 -6 21
10 Fiorentina 17 5 4 8 18 20 -2 19
11 Genoa 18 4 7 7 18 22 -4 19
12 Torino 17 4 5 8 16 23 -7 17
13 Udinese 17 3 8 6 13 24 -11 17
14 Empoli 17 4 3 10 13 28 -15 15
15 Lecce 18 2 7 9 15 27 -12 13
16 Verona 18 2 5 11 13 24 -11 11
17 Sassuolo 17 2 3 12 18 38 -20 9
18 Cagliari 17 1 5 11 11 31 -20 8
19 Frosinone 18 0 7 11 15 37 -22 7
20 Salernitana 17 1 4 12 11 39 -28 7

Milan   Cagliari

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Frosinone 36 13 23 1.2 1.9 7 11 18 43 68 32
2 20 Salernitana 35 12 23 0.8 2.1 2 9 24 27 75 15
3 2 Milan 35 13 22 1.9 1.2 21 8 6 67 42 71
4 5 Atalanta 34 12 22 1.9 1.1 18 6 10 63 38 60
5 6 Roma 35 14 21 1.8 1.2 17 9 9 62 42 60
6 1 Inter 36 16 20 2.4 0.5 29 5 2 86 19 92
7 8 Napoli 36 16 20 1.5 1.3 13 12 11 53 46 51
8 15 Cagliari 35 15 20 1.1 1.7 7 12 16 37 60 33
9 19 Sassuolo 35 15 20 1.2 2.0 7 8 20 41 70 29
10 9 Fiorentina 34 18 16 1.5 1.1 14 8 12 51 39 50
11 14 Verona 35 19 16 0.9 1.3 8 10 17 33 46 34
12 3 Bologna 36 21 15 1.4 0.8 18 13 5 51 27 67
13 7 Lazio 35 20 15 1.3 1.1 17 5 13 45 37 56
14 12 Genoa 35 20 15 1.2 1.2 10 13 12 41 43 43
15 4 Juventus 35 21 14 1.4 0.8 18 12 5 48 27 66
16 11 Monza 35 21 14 1.1 1.3 11 12 12 38 46 45
17 13 Lecce 35 21 14 0.9 1.4 8 13 14 32 50 37
18 18 Udinese 35 21 14 0.9 1.5 4 18 13 33 52 30
19 16 Empoli 35 24 11 0.7 1.4 8 8 19 26 50 32
20 10 Torino 35 26 9 0.9 0.9 11 14 10 31 31 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Frosinone 18 4 14 1.6 1.7 7 4 7 28 31 25
2 8 Napoli 18 6 12 1.3 1.5 6 6 6 24 27 24
3 20 Salernitana 18 6 12 0.9 2.0 1 5 12 16 36 8
4 9 Fiorentina 17 6 11 1.9 1.1 9 4 4 33 19 31
5 15 Cagliari 18 7 11 1.4 1.6 6 7 5 26 29 25
6 1 Inter 18 8 10 2.4 0.6 14 3 1 43 10 45
7 5 Atalanta 16 6 10 2.2 0.8 11 2 3 35 12 35
8 6 Roma 18 8 10 2.1 1.1 11 4 3 37 19 37
9 14 Verona 17 8 9 1.2 1.3 6 5 6 20 22 23
10 18 Udinese 18 9 9 1.1 1.6 1 10 7 20 28 13
11 19 Sassuolo 18 9 9 1.3 1.8 5 5 8 23 32 20
12 2 Milan 17 9 8 1.8 0.8 11 3 3 30 13 36
13 11 Monza 18 10 8 1.3 1.4 6 6 6 23 25 24
14 12 Genoa 17 10 7 1.4 1.2 6 6 5 23 21 24
15 13 Lecce 17 10 7 1.0 1.4 6 6 5 17 23 24
16 3 Bologna 18 12 6 1.7 0.5 12 4 2 30 9 40
17 4 Juventus 17 12 5 1.4 0.6 10 6 1 23 10 36
18 7 Lazio 17 12 5 1.2 0.8 9 3 5 20 13 30
19 16 Empoli 18 13 5 0.7 1.2 4 5 9 13 22 17
20 10 Torino 18 14 4 0.8 0.4 7 9 2 15 8 30
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milan 18 4 14 2.1 1.6 10 5 3 37 29 35
2 5 Atalanta 18 6 12 1.6 1.4 7 4 7 28 26 25
3 6 Roma 17 6 11 1.5 1.4 6 5 6 25 23 23
4 19 Sassuolo 17 6 11 1.1 2.2 2 3 12 18 38 9
5 20 Salernitana 17 6 11 0.6 2.3 1 4 12 11 39 7
6 1 Inter 18 8 10 2.4 0.5 15 2 1 43 9 47
7 7 Lazio 18 8 10 1.4 1.3 8 2 8 25 24 26
8 3 Bologna 18 9 9 1.2 1.0 6 9 3 21 18 27
9 4 Juventus 18 9 9 1.4 0.9 8 6 4 25 17 30
10 15 Cagliari 17 8 9 0.6 1.8 1 5 11 11 31 8
11 17 Frosinone 18 9 9 0.8 2.1 0 7 11 15 37 7
12 8 Napoli 18 10 8 1.6 1.1 7 6 5 29 19 27
13 12 Genoa 18 10 8 1.0 1.2 4 7 7 18 22 19
14 13 Lecce 18 11 7 0.8 1.5 2 7 9 15 27 13
15 14 Verona 18 11 7 0.7 1.3 2 5 11 13 24 11
16 11 Monza 17 11 6 0.9 1.2 5 6 6 15 21 21
17 16 Empoli 17 11 6 0.8 1.6 4 3 10 13 28 15
18 9 Fiorentina 17 12 5 1.1 1.2 5 4 8 18 20 19
19 10 Torino 17 12 5 0.9 1.4 4 5 8 16 23 17
20 18 Udinese 17 12 5 0.8 1.4 3 8 6 13 24 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51