Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Cagliari 3–3 Milan

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2024/2025

Home 5.50 fair 3.19
Draw ✓ 4.10 fair 3.97
Away 1.60 fair 2.30
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.10
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.91

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cagliari Milan
16 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 6
6 Corners 3
7 Fouls 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (112 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.25 – 1.52
Home / Draw / Away
CagliariDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 0–1 9.5% 1–2 9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Cagliari before this match, all matches
0.82points / match
0.82scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 9:19
Milan before this match, all matches
1.70points / match
1.70scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 17:11
Cagliari all matches all matches Milan

Per match

0.82 Goals scored 1.70
1.73 Goals conceded 1.10
2.55 Total goals 2.80
12.91 Shots 14.70
2.55 Shots on target 6.20
14.91 Shots faced 10.20
6.00 Corners 6.20
5.00 Corners against 3.20
14.09 Fouls 10.60
2.45 Yellow cards 1.60
0.36 1st-half goals scored 1.10
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

18% Wins 50%
27% Draws 20%
55% Losses 30%
91% Over 0.5 goals 100%
82% Over 1.5 goals 80%
36% Over 2.5 goals 70%
27% Over 3.5 goals 30%
18% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 50%
9% Clean sheets 40%
55% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 50%
27% Draws 10%
55% Losses 40%
91% Over 0.5 goals 100%
18% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cagliari all matches
Milan all matches
Cagliari before this match, at home
0.83points / match
0.67scored / match
1.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 4:11
Milan before this match, away
1.40points / match
1.40scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:7
Cagliari at home away Milan

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 1.40
1.83 Goals conceded 1.40
2.50 Total goals 2.80
15.33 Shots 15.40
3.17 Shots on target 6.40
12.50 Shots faced 10.40
7.17 Corners 6.00
5.17 Corners against 3.40
15.00 Fouls 12.40
1.50 Yellow cards 2.00
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

17% Wins 40%
33% Draws 20%
50% Losses 40%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 80%
33% Over 2.5 goals 80%
33% Over 3.5 goals 20%
17% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 80%
17% Clean sheets 20%
67% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 40%
33% Draws 20%
50% Losses 40%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
17% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cagliari at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cagliari all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.24 Lazio – Cagliari 2–1 (1–1) 1.503.757.50 1.84 2.06
29.10.24 Cagliari – Bologna 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.252.35 2.10 1.73
25.10.24 Udinese – Cagliari 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.303.30 2.10 1.73
20.10.24 Cagliari – Torino 3–2 (1–1) 2.803.102.70 2.10 1.73
06.10.24 Juventus – Cagliari 1–1 (1–0) 1.385.008.00 1.99 1.91
30.09.24 Parma – Cagliari 2–3 (0–1) 2.103.603.40 1.73 2.10
20.09.24 Cagliari – Empoli 0–2 (0–1) 2.153.403.40 2.20 1.67
15.09.24 Cagliari – Napoli 0–4 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 1.89 2.01
31.08.24 Lecce – Cagliari 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.40 2.30 1.62
26.08.24 Cagliari – Como 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.01 1.89

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Monza – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 5.003.601.70 1.90 2.00
29.10.24 Milan – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 2.453.402.80 1.95 1.95
19.10.24 Milan – Udinese 1–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.57 2.38
06.10.24 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.73 2.10
27.09.24 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (3–0) 1.335.758.00 1.50 2.63
22.09.24 Inter – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 1.654.005.25 1.67 2.20
14.09.24 Milan – Venezia 4–0 (4–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50
31.08.24 Lazio – Milan 2–2 (0–1) 2.903.402.40 1.90 2.00
24.08.24 Parma – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10
17.08.24 Milan – Torino 2–2 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 1.95 1.95

Cagliari at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.24 Cagliari – Bologna 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.252.35 2.10 1.73
20.10.24 Cagliari – Torino 3–2 (1–1) 2.803.102.70 2.10 1.73
20.09.24 Cagliari – Empoli 0–2 (0–1) 2.153.403.40 2.20 1.67
15.09.24 Cagliari – Napoli 0–4 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 1.89 2.01
26.08.24 Cagliari – Como 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.01 1.89
18.08.24 Cagliari – Roma 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.401.95 1.99 1.91
23.05.24 Cagliari – Fiorentina 2–3 (0–1) 4.203.751.80 1.73 2.10
05.05.24 Cagliari – Lecce 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.203.75 2.20 1.67
19.04.24 Cagliari – Juventus 2–2 (2–0) 5.003.501.75 2.20 1.67
07.04.24 Cagliari – Atalanta 2–1 (1–1) 4.753.801.73 1.75 2.05

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Monza – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 5.003.601.70 1.90 2.00
06.10.24 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.73 2.10
22.09.24 Inter – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 1.654.005.25 1.67 2.20
31.08.24 Lazio – Milan 2–2 (0–1) 2.903.402.40 1.90 2.00
24.08.24 Parma – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10
18.05.24 Torino – Milan 3–1 (2–0) 2.803.202.60 2.10 1.73
27.04.24 Juventus – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.04 1.86
14.04.24 Sassuolo – Milan 3–3 (2–1) 4.503.801.75 1.67 2.20
30.03.24 Fiorentina – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 2.883.302.50 2.01 1.89
17.03.24 Verona – Milan 1–3 (0–1) 5.253.751.70 2.05 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Cagliari winsDrawsMilan wins
4matches
4.00goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.24I1 Milan – Cagliari 5–1 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.57 2.38
27.09.23I1 Cagliari – Milan 1–3 (1–2) 5.253.801.67 1.99 1.91
19.03.22I1 Cagliari – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 5.254.001.60 1.92 1.98
29.08.21I1 Milan – Cagliari 4–1 (4–1) 1.444.507.00 1.57 2.37

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 11 8 1 2 18 8 +10 25
2 Inter 11 7 3 1 25 13 +12 24
3 Atalanta 11 7 1 3 29 14 +15 22
4 Fiorentina 11 6 4 1 22 9 +13 22
5 Lazio 11 7 1 3 24 14 +10 22
6 Juventus 11 5 6 0 19 7 +12 21
7 Milan 10 5 2 3 17 11 +6 17
8 Udinese 11 5 1 5 14 16 -2 16
9 Bologna 10 3 6 1 12 11 +1 15
10 Empoli 12 3 6 3 9 10 -1 15
11 Torino 11 4 2 5 15 16 -1 14
12 Roma 11 3 4 4 12 14 -2 13
13 Parma 12 2 6 4 16 18 -2 12
14 Verona 11 4 0 7 16 24 -8 12
15 Como 12 2 4 6 13 23 -10 10
16 Genoa 12 2 4 6 9 22 -13 10
17 Cagliari 11 2 3 6 9 19 -10 9
18 Lecce 12 2 3 7 5 21 -16 9
19 Monza 11 1 5 5 10 14 -4 8
20 Venezia 12 2 2 8 11 21 -10 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lazio 6 5 1 0 14 6 +8 16
2 Napoli 6 5 0 1 11 5 +6 15
3 Inter 6 4 1 1 15 8 +7 13
4 Atalanta 5 4 0 1 18 7 +11 12
5 Udinese 6 4 0 2 8 6 +2 12
6 Fiorentina 5 3 2 0 11 5 +6 11
7 Milan 5 3 1 1 10 4 +6 10
8 Juventus 6 2 4 0 7 3 +4 10
9 Roma 5 3 0 2 7 4 +3 9
10 Verona 6 3 0 3 10 12 -2 9
11 Lecce 6 2 2 2 5 13 -8 8
12 Bologna 5 1 4 0 4 3 +1 7
13 Torino 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7
14 Venezia 5 2 0 3 6 7 -1 6
15 Empoli 6 1 3 2 1 4 -3 6
16 Parma 6 1 2 3 8 10 -2 5
17 Como 4 1 2 1 7 10 -3 5
18 Cagliari 6 1 2 3 4 11 -7 5
19 Genoa 7 0 4 3 6 12 -6 4
20 Monza 6 0 3 3 5 8 -3 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Juventus 5 3 2 0 12 4 +8 11
2 Fiorentina 6 3 2 1 11 4 +7 11
3 Inter 5 3 2 0 10 5 +5 11
4 Atalanta 6 3 1 2 11 7 +4 10
5 Napoli 5 3 1 1 7 3 +4 10
6 Empoli 6 2 3 1 8 6 +2 9
7 Bologna 5 2 2 1 8 8 0 8
8 Parma 6 1 4 1 8 8 0 7
9 Milan 5 2 1 2 7 7 0 7
10 Torino 6 2 1 3 10 11 -1 7
11 Lazio 5 2 0 3 10 8 +2 6
12 Genoa 5 2 0 3 3 10 -7 6
13 Monza 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
14 Como 8 1 2 5 6 13 -7 5
15 Cagliari 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
16 Udinese 5 1 1 3 6 10 -4 4
17 Roma 6 0 4 2 5 10 -5 4
18 Verona 5 1 0 4 6 12 -6 3
19 Venezia 7 0 2 5 5 14 -9 2
20 Lecce 6 0 1 5 0 8 -8 1

Cagliari   Milan

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Lazio 11 1 10 2.2 1.3 7 1 3 24 14 22
2 14 Verona 11 2 9 1.5 2.2 4 0 7 16 24 12
3 3 Atalanta 11 3 8 2.6 1.3 7 1 3 29 14 22
4 2 Inter 11 4 7 2.3 1.2 7 3 1 25 13 24
5 7 Milan 10 3 7 1.7 1.1 5 2 3 17 11 17
6 13 Parma 12 5 7 1.3 1.5 2 6 4 16 18 12
7 20 Venezia 12 5 7 0.9 1.8 2 2 8 11 21 8
8 1 Napoli 11 5 6 1.6 0.7 8 1 2 18 8 25
9 4 Fiorentina 11 5 6 2.0 0.8 6 4 1 22 9 22
10 11 Torino 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 4 2 5 15 16 14
11 15 Como 12 6 6 1.1 1.9 2 4 6 13 23 10
12 6 Juventus 11 6 5 1.7 0.6 5 6 0 19 7 21
13 8 Udinese 11 6 5 1.3 1.5 5 1 5 14 16 16
14 12 Roma 11 6 5 1.1 1.3 3 4 4 12 14 13
15 16 Genoa 12 7 5 0.8 1.8 2 4 6 9 22 10
16 9 Bologna 10 6 4 1.2 1.1 3 6 1 12 11 15
17 17 Cagliari 11 7 4 0.8 1.7 2 3 6 9 19 9
18 18 Lecce 12 8 4 0.4 1.8 2 3 7 5 21 9
19 19 Monza 11 7 4 0.9 1.3 1 5 5 10 14 8
20 10 Empoli 12 9 3 0.8 0.8 3 6 3 9 10 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Lazio 6 0 6 2.3 1.0 5 1 0 14 6 16
2 14 Verona 6 0 6 1.7 2.0 3 0 3 10 12 9
3 1 Napoli 6 2 4 1.8 0.8 5 0 1 11 5 15
4 2 Inter 6 2 4 2.5 1.3 4 1 1 15 8 13
5 3 Atalanta 5 1 4 3.6 1.4 4 0 1 18 7 12
6 4 Fiorentina 5 1 4 2.2 1.0 3 2 0 11 5 11
7 7 Milan 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 3 1 1 10 4 10
8 12 Roma 5 2 3 1.4 0.8 3 0 2 7 4 9
9 13 Parma 6 3 3 1.3 1.7 1 2 3 8 10 5
10 15 Como 4 1 3 1.8 2.5 1 2 1 7 10 5
11 16 Genoa 7 4 3 0.9 1.7 0 4 3 6 12 4
12 18 Lecce 6 3 3 0.8 2.2 2 2 2 5 13 8
13 6 Juventus 6 4 2 1.2 0.5 2 4 0 7 3 10
14 8 Udinese 6 4 2 1.3 1.0 4 0 2 8 6 12
15 11 Torino 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 2 1 2 5 5 7
16 17 Cagliari 6 4 2 0.7 1.8 1 2 3 4 11 5
17 19 Monza 6 4 2 0.8 1.3 0 3 3 5 8 3
18 20 Venezia 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 2 0 3 6 7 6
19 10 Empoli 6 5 1 0.2 0.7 1 3 2 1 4 6
20 9 Bologna 5 5 0 0.8 0.6 1 4 0 4 3 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Venezia 7 2 5 0.7 2.0 0 2 5 5 14 2
2 3 Atalanta 6 2 4 1.8 1.2 3 1 2 11 7 10
3 5 Lazio 5 1 4 2.0 1.6 2 0 3 10 8 6
4 7 Milan 5 1 4 1.4 1.4 2 1 2 7 7 7
5 9 Bologna 5 1 4 1.6 1.6 2 2 1 8 8 8
6 11 Torino 6 2 4 1.7 1.8 2 1 3 10 11 7
7 13 Parma 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 1 4 1 8 8 7
8 2 Inter 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 3 2 0 10 5 11
9 6 Juventus 5 2 3 2.4 0.8 3 2 0 12 4 11
10 8 Udinese 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 1 1 3 6 10 4
11 14 Verona 5 2 3 1.2 2.4 1 0 4 6 12 3
12 15 Como 8 5 3 0.8 1.6 1 2 5 6 13 5
13 1 Napoli 5 3 2 1.4 0.6 3 1 1 7 3 10
14 4 Fiorentina 6 4 2 1.8 0.7 3 2 1 11 4 11
15 10 Empoli 6 4 2 1.3 1.0 2 3 1 8 6 9
16 12 Roma 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 0 4 2 5 10 4
17 16 Genoa 5 3 2 0.6 2.0 2 0 3 3 10 6
18 17 Cagliari 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
19 19 Monza 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
20 18 Lecce 6 5 1 0.0 1.3 0 1 5 0 8 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51