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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Excelsior 1–2 AZ Alkmaar

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 3.40 fair 2.62
Draw 3.70 fair 4.14
Away ✓ 2.00 fair 2.66
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.40
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Excelsior AZ Alkmaar
11 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 7
7 Corners 5
7 Fouls 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (200 league matches this season so far).
Result Excelsior to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.51
Home / Draw / Away
ExcelsiorDrawAZ Alkmaar
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 2–1 8.4% 1–2 8.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Excelsior before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.09scored / match
1.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 24:37
AZ Alkmaar before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.68scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 37:36
Excelsior all matches all matches AZ Alkmaar

Per match

1.09 Goals scored 1.68
1.68 Goals conceded 1.64
2.77 Total goals 3.32
11.41 Shots 15.77
4.00 Shots on target 5.77
15.82 Shots faced 12.55
4.05 Corners 5.68
5.45 Corners against 4.18
13.00 Fouls 10.86
1.55 Yellow cards 2.32
0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.95
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

32% Wins 41%
23% Draws 27%
45% Losses 32%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
77% Over 1.5 goals 77%
59% Over 2.5 goals 64%
27% Over 3.5 goals 50%
14% Over 4.5 goals 23%
5% Over 5.5 goals 14%
59% Both teams scored 73%
23% Clean sheets 23%
23% Failed to score 5%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 32%
41% Draws 45%
27% Losses 23%
68% Over 0.5 goals 73%
36% Over 1.5 goals 64%
14% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior all matches
AZ Alkmaar all matches
Excelsior before this match, at home
1.27points / match
1.09scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 12:14
AZ Alkmaar before this match, away
1.45points / match
1.36scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 15:16
Excelsior at home away AZ Alkmaar

Per match

1.09 Goals scored 1.36
1.27 Goals conceded 1.45
2.36 Total goals 2.82
12.09 Shots 15.45
4.00 Shots on target 5.55
16.55 Shots faced 13.09
3.82 Corners 5.55
4.45 Corners against 4.45
12.82 Fouls 12.27
1.64 Yellow cards 2.73
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

36% Wins 45%
18% Draws 9%
45% Losses 45%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
64% Over 1.5 goals 64%
55% Over 2.5 goals 55%
18% Over 3.5 goals 36%
0% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 9%
55% Both teams scored 55%
27% Clean sheets 36%
18% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 9%
45% Draws 64%
18% Losses 27%
64% Over 0.5 goals 64%
27% Over 1.5 goals 55%
9% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior at home
AZ Alkmaar away

Last 10 matches before this match

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.02.26 NAC Breda – Excelsior 0–2 (0–2) 1.833.704.20 1.80 2.00
01.02.26 Excelsior – Ajax 2–2 (0–2) 4.203.901.75 1.57 2.35
24.01.26 Twente – Excelsior 0–0 (0–0) 1.335.508.50 1.48 2.60
21.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 1–1 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.10
17.01.26 Excelsior – Telstar 2–2 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.70 2.10
10.01.26 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 5–1 (4–1) 1.148.5015.00 1.25 4.00
20.12.25 Excelsior – Zwolle 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.65 2.20
05.12.25 Excelsior – Groningen 0–2 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 1.85 1.95
29.11.25 Excelsior – NAC Breda 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 1.70 2.10
22.11.25 Ajax – Excelsior 1–2 (0–1) 1.385.507.00 1.44 2.70

AZ Alkmaar all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.26 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.803.00 1.57 2.35
31.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–3 (1–2) 1.804.103.90 1.44 2.70
25.01.26 Telstar – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–0) 4.504.001.73 1.53 2.40
21.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 1–1 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.10
17.01.26 Zwolle – AZ Alkmaar 3–1 (2–0) 5.754.331.53 1.53 2.40
10.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Volendam 1–0 (1–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.30 3.50
21.12.25 For Sittard – AZ Alkmaar 4–3 (2–2) 4.203.801.80 1.57 2.35
07.12.25 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (2–1) 1.425.006.50 1.44 2.70
30.11.25 Twente – AZ Alkmaar 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.703.00 1.57 2.35
23.11.25 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 3–1 (2–0) 2.884.002.20 1.50 2.50

Excelsior at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.26 Excelsior – Ajax 2–2 (0–2) 4.203.901.75 1.57 2.35
17.01.26 Excelsior – Telstar 2–2 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.70 2.10
20.12.25 Excelsior – Zwolle 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.65 2.20
05.12.25 Excelsior – Groningen 0–2 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 1.85 1.95
29.11.25 Excelsior – NAC Breda 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 1.70 2.10
08.11.25 Excelsior – Heracles 1–2 (1–0) 1.914.103.50 1.65 2.20
19.10.25 Excelsior – For Sittard 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.73 2.08
27.09.25 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–1) 9.007.001.25 1.29 3.60
14.09.25 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.15
30.08.25 Excelsior – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.57 2.35

AZ Alkmaar away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.26 Telstar – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–0) 4.504.001.73 1.53 2.40
17.01.26 Zwolle – AZ Alkmaar 3–1 (2–0) 5.754.331.53 1.53 2.40
21.12.25 For Sittard – AZ Alkmaar 4–3 (2–2) 4.203.801.80 1.57 2.35
30.11.25 Twente – AZ Alkmaar 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.703.00 1.57 2.35
23.11.25 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 3–1 (2–0) 2.884.002.20 1.50 2.50
02.11.25 Sparta Rotterdam – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–0) 4.104.101.75 1.53 2.40
18.10.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–2) 2.003.903.40 1.57 2.35
28.09.25 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–0) 3.004.102.10 1.44 2.70
14.09.25 Heracles – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–1) 6.004.501.50 1.57 2.35
31.08.25 NAC Breda – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.501.57 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Excelsior winsDrawsAZ Alkmaar wins
5matches
3.20goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.26N1 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 1–1 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.10
10.03.24N1 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 4–0 (3–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
04.11.23N1 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (0–0) 7.505.001.40 1.53 2.40
10.02.23N1 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 5–0 (5–0) 1.296.508.00 1.40 2.88
23.10.22N1 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (2–0) 8.005.001.36 1.44 2.70

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 23 19 2 2 67 28 +39 59
2 Feyenoord 22 13 3 6 52 32 +20 42
3 Nijmegen 22 12 5 5 57 38 +19 41
4 Ajax 22 10 9 3 42 29 +13 39
5 Sparta Rotterdam 22 11 3 8 29 36 -7 36
6 Twente 22 8 10 4 36 24 +12 34
7 AZ Alkmaar 22 9 6 7 37 36 +1 33
8 Groningen 22 9 4 9 29 28 +1 31
9 Heerenveen 22 7 7 8 35 37 -2 28
10 Utrecht 22 7 6 9 33 29 +4 27
11 For Sittard 22 7 5 10 33 38 -5 26
12 Excelsior 22 7 5 10 24 37 -13 26
13 Zwolle 22 7 5 10 31 45 -14 26
14 Volendam 23 6 6 11 26 38 -12 24
15 Go Ahead Eagles 22 4 11 7 33 38 -5 23
16 NAC Breda 23 4 7 12 24 36 -12 19
17 Telstar 22 3 8 11 26 38 -12 17
18 Heracles 23 5 2 16 31 58 -27 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 11 8 2 1 36 16 +20 26
2 Nijmegen 11 7 2 2 30 17 +13 23
3 Ajax 11 7 2 2 19 9 +10 23
4 Feyenoord 11 7 1 3 29 18 +11 22
5 Twente 11 5 4 2 18 11 +7 19
6 Volendam 12 5 4 3 19 15 +4 19
7 Zwolle 11 6 1 4 15 15 0 19
8 For Sittard 11 5 3 3 19 17 +2 18
9 Utrecht 11 5 2 4 18 11 +7 17
10 AZ Alkmaar 11 4 5 2 22 20 +2 17
11 Sparta Rotterdam 11 5 2 4 13 18 -5 17
12 Groningen 11 4 3 4 16 11 +5 15
13 Go Ahead Eagles 11 3 6 2 17 16 +1 15
14 Heerenveen 11 3 5 3 18 19 -1 14
15 Excelsior 11 4 2 5 12 14 -2 14
16 Heracles 11 4 1 6 20 25 -5 13
17 NAC Breda 12 3 3 6 14 18 -4 12
18 Telstar 11 1 4 6 17 23 -6 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 12 11 0 1 31 12 +19 33
2 Feyenoord 11 6 2 3 23 14 +9 20
3 Sparta Rotterdam 11 6 1 4 16 18 -2 19
4 Nijmegen 11 5 3 3 27 21 +6 18
5 Ajax 11 3 7 1 23 20 +3 16
6 AZ Alkmaar 11 5 1 5 15 16 -1 16
7 Groningen 11 5 1 5 13 17 -4 16
8 Twente 11 3 6 2 18 13 +5 15
9 Heerenveen 11 4 2 5 17 18 -1 14
10 Excelsior 11 3 3 5 12 23 -11 12
11 Utrecht 11 2 4 5 15 18 -3 10
12 Telstar 11 2 4 5 9 15 -6 10
13 Go Ahead Eagles 11 1 5 5 16 22 -6 8
14 For Sittard 11 2 2 7 14 21 -7 8
15 NAC Breda 11 1 4 6 10 18 -8 7
16 Zwolle 11 1 4 6 16 30 -14 7
17 Volendam 11 1 2 8 7 23 -16 5
18 Heracles 12 1 1 10 11 33 -22 4

Excelsior   AZ Alkmaar

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 23 4 19 2.9 1.2 19 2 2 67 28 59
2 3 Nijmegen 22 3 19 2.6 1.7 12 5 5 57 38 41
3 18 Heracles 23 6 17 1.3 2.5 5 2 16 31 58 17
4 2 Feyenoord 22 7 15 2.4 1.5 13 3 6 52 32 42
5 9 Heerenveen 22 7 15 1.6 1.7 7 7 8 35 37 28
6 13 Zwolle 22 7 15 1.4 2.0 7 5 10 31 45 26
7 14 Volendam 23 8 15 1.1 1.7 6 6 11 26 38 24
8 7 AZ Alkmaar 22 8 14 1.7 1.6 9 6 7 37 36 33
9 11 For Sittard 22 8 14 1.5 1.7 7 5 10 33 38 26
10 15 Go Ahead Eagles 22 8 14 1.5 1.7 4 11 7 33 38 23
11 4 Ajax 22 9 13 1.9 1.3 10 9 3 42 29 39
12 12 Excelsior 22 9 13 1.1 1.7 7 5 10 24 37 26
13 10 Utrecht 22 10 12 1.5 1.3 7 6 9 33 29 27
14 16 NAC Breda 23 11 12 1.0 1.6 4 7 12 24 36 19
15 5 Sparta Rotterdam 22 11 11 1.3 1.6 11 3 8 29 36 36
16 17 Telstar 22 11 11 1.2 1.7 3 8 11 26 38 17
17 8 Groningen 22 12 10 1.3 1.3 9 4 9 29 28 31
18 6 Twente 22 13 9 1.6 1.1 8 10 4 36 24 34
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 11 1 10 3.3 1.5 8 2 1 36 16 26
2 3 Nijmegen 11 1 10 2.7 1.5 7 2 2 30 17 23
3 7 AZ Alkmaar 11 3 8 2.0 1.8 4 5 2 22 20 17
4 14 Volendam 12 4 8 1.6 1.2 5 4 3 19 15 19
5 17 Telstar 11 3 8 1.5 2.1 1 4 6 17 23 7
6 18 Heracles 11 3 8 1.8 2.3 4 1 6 20 25 13
7 2 Feyenoord 11 4 7 2.6 1.6 7 1 3 29 18 22
8 9 Heerenveen 11 4 7 1.6 1.7 3 5 3 18 19 14
9 11 For Sittard 11 4 7 1.7 1.5 5 3 3 19 17 18
10 15 Go Ahead Eagles 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 3 6 2 17 16 15
11 8 Groningen 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 4 3 4 16 11 15
12 10 Utrecht 11 5 6 1.6 1.0 5 2 4 18 11 17
13 12 Excelsior 11 5 6 1.1 1.3 4 2 5 12 14 14
14 13 Zwolle 11 5 6 1.4 1.4 6 1 4 15 15 19
15 16 NAC Breda 12 6 6 1.2 1.5 3 3 6 14 18 12
16 5 Sparta Rotterdam 11 6 5 1.2 1.6 5 2 4 13 18 17
17 6 Twente 11 6 5 1.6 1.0 5 4 2 18 11 19
18 4 Ajax 11 7 4 1.7 0.8 7 2 2 19 9 23
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 12 3 9 2.6 1.0 11 0 1 31 12 33
2 3 Nijmegen 11 2 9 2.5 1.9 5 3 3 27 21 18
3 4 Ajax 11 2 9 2.1 1.8 3 7 1 23 20 16
4 13 Zwolle 11 2 9 1.5 2.7 1 4 6 16 30 7
5 18 Heracles 12 3 9 0.9 2.8 1 1 10 11 33 4
6 2 Feyenoord 11 3 8 2.1 1.3 6 2 3 23 14 20
7 9 Heerenveen 11 3 8 1.5 1.6 4 2 5 17 18 14
8 11 For Sittard 11 4 7 1.3 1.9 2 2 7 14 21 8
9 12 Excelsior 11 4 7 1.1 2.1 3 3 5 12 23 12
10 14 Volendam 11 4 7 0.6 2.1 1 2 8 7 23 5
11 15 Go Ahead Eagles 11 4 7 1.5 2.0 1 5 5 16 22 8
12 5 Sparta Rotterdam 11 5 6 1.5 1.6 6 1 4 16 18 19
13 7 AZ Alkmaar 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 5 1 5 15 16 16
14 10 Utrecht 11 5 6 1.4 1.6 2 4 5 15 18 10
15 16 NAC Breda 11 5 6 0.9 1.6 1 4 6 10 18 7
16 6 Twente 11 7 4 1.6 1.2 3 6 2 18 13 15
17 8 Groningen 11 7 4 1.2 1.5 5 1 5 13 17 16
18 17 Telstar 11 8 3 0.8 1.4 2 4 5 9 15 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51