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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

PSV Eindhoven 4–1 Sparta Rotterdam

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.18 fair 2.24
Draw 7.50 fair 4.78
Away 13.00 fair 2.90
Under 2.5 4.33 fair 3.87
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.20 fair 1.35

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

PSV Eindhoven Sparta Rotterdam
28 Shots 10
10 Shots on target 6
3.76 Expected goals (xG) 2.29
9 Corners 5
6 Fouls 3
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (52 league matches this season so far).
Result PSV Eindhoven to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.37
Expected goals 2.06 – 1.80
Home / Draw / Away
PSV EindhovenDrawSparta Rotterdam
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8% 1–1 7.8% 2–2 7.2%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

PSV Eindhoven before this match, all matches
2.60points / match
3.60scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 18:6
Sparta Rotterdam before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.80scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:9
PSV Eindhoven all matches all matches Sparta Rotterdam

Per match

3.60 Goals scored 1.80
1.20 Goals conceded 1.80
4.80 Total goals 3.60
3.02 xG created 1.80
0.98 xG allowed 1.83
21.60 Shots 14.20
9.00 Shots on target 4.80
8.00 Shots faced 15.00
7.80 Corners 6.80
1.20 Corners against 6.80
8.60 Fouls 11.40
1.40 Yellow cards 1.00
1.60 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

80% Wins 20%
20% Draws 40%
0% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 80%
100% Over 2.5 goals 80%
80% Over 3.5 goals 60%
40% Over 4.5 goals 20%
40% Over 5.5 goals 20%
100% Both teams scored 80%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

80% Wins 20%
0% Draws 40%
20% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 40%
60% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

PSV Eindhoven all matches
Sparta Rotterdam all matches
PSV Eindhoven before this match, at home
2.00points / match
3.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 7:3
Sparta Rotterdam before this match, away
1.50points / match
2.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 4:3
PSV Eindhoven at home away Sparta Rotterdam

Per match

3.50 Goals scored 2.00
1.50 Goals conceded 1.50
5.00 Total goals 3.50
3.36 xG created 2.03
1.05 xG allowed 1.31
22.50 Shots 13.00
9.00 Shots on target 5.50
7.50 Shots faced 11.00
9.00 Corners 4.50
2.00 Corners against 6.50
9.50 Fouls 12.00
1.00 Yellow cards 1.00
1.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
100% Over 3.5 goals 50%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
50% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%
0% Draws 0%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 0%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

PSV Eindhoven at home
Sparta Rotterdam away

Last 10 matches before this match

PSV Eindhoven all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–2) 2.703.752.40 1.30 3.50
30.08.26 Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven 1–6 (1–2) 4.504.331.67 1.40 2.88
23.08.26 PSV Eindhoven – Groningen 5–1 (3–1) 1.365.008.50 1.33 3.40
15.08.26 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–1) 5.504.331.57 1.36 3.10
08.08.26 PSV Eindhoven – For Sittard 2–2 (0–1) 1.207.5012.00 1.22 4.20
17.05.26 PSV Eindhoven – Twente 5–1 (2–1) 2.054.002.88 1.33 3.40
10.05.26 Go Ahead Eagles – PSV Eindhoven 1–4 (1–2) 4.504.751.62 1.33 3.40
02.05.26 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 2–2 (1–1) 2.454.202.45 1.36 3.10
23.04.26 PSV Eindhoven – Zwolle 6–1 (1–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.22 4.20
11.04.26 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–1) 4.004.201.75 1.40 2.88

Sparta Rotterdam all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.09.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Zwolle 2–2 (1–1) 1.913.603.90 1.53 2.40
29.08.26 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (1–0) 2.403.802.63 1.53 2.40
22.08.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Utrecht 3–3 (1–1) 2.633.402.63 1.70 2.10
14.08.26 Telstar – Sparta Rotterdam 1–3 (0–1) 2.153.603.20 1.57 2.35
09.08.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Feyenoord 0–1 (0–1) 4.504.101.70 1.53 2.40
17.05.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Excelsior 2–3 (0–1) 2.053.703.20 1.48 2.60
10.05.26 Twente – Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 (0–0) 1.365.008.00 1.40 2.88
03.05.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (1–0) 2.053.903.20 1.57 2.35
22.04.26 Telstar – Sparta Rotterdam 4–1 (1–1) 2.503.702.63 1.57 2.35
11.04.26 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–1) 4.004.201.75 1.40 2.88

PSV Eindhoven at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.08.26 PSV Eindhoven – Groningen 5–1 (3–1) 1.365.008.50 1.33 3.40
08.08.26 PSV Eindhoven – For Sittard 2–2 (0–1) 1.207.5012.00 1.22 4.20
17.05.26 PSV Eindhoven – Twente 5–1 (2–1) 2.054.002.88 1.33 3.40
23.04.26 PSV Eindhoven – Zwolle 6–1 (1–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.22 4.20
04.04.26 PSV Eindhoven – Utrecht 4–3 (1–2) 1.504.755.50 1.44 2.70
14.03.26 PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen 2–3 (1–2) 1.454.756.00 1.29 3.60
07.03.26 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–1) 1.335.508.00 1.33 3.40
21.02.26 PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.00 1.33 3.40
01.02.26 PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord 3–0 (3–0) 1.734.204.20 1.40 2.88
24.01.26 PSV Eindhoven – NAC Breda 2–2 (1–2) 1.256.509.50 1.40 2.88

Sparta Rotterdam away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.26 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (1–0) 2.403.802.63 1.53 2.40
14.08.26 Telstar – Sparta Rotterdam 1–3 (0–1) 2.153.603.20 1.57 2.35
10.05.26 Twente – Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 (0–0) 1.365.008.00 1.40 2.88
22.04.26 Telstar – Sparta Rotterdam 4–1 (1–1) 2.503.702.63 1.57 2.35
05.04.26 NAC Breda – Sparta Rotterdam 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 1.80 2.00
14.03.26 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 (2–0) 1.624.504.50 1.50 2.50
28.02.26 Heerenveen – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.703.25 1.60 2.30
22.02.26 AZ Alkmaar – Sparta Rotterdam 3–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.70 1.62 2.25
07.02.26 For Sittard – Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 (1–0) 2.883.502.35 1.75 2.05
25.01.26 Utrecht – Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.20 1.67 2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

PSV Eindhoven winsDrawsSparta Rotterdam wins
10matches
3.30goals / match
70%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26N1 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–1) 4.004.201.75 1.40 2.88
09.08.25N1 PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam 6–1 (3–0) 1.207.5011.00 1.40 2.88
18.05.25N1 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (0–1) 8.006.501.29 1.22 4.20
05.10.24N1 PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (2–1) 1.178.0013.00 1.33 3.40
05.05.24N1 PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam 4–2 (2–2) 1.138.5019.00 1.30 3.50
08.10.23N1 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 0–4 (0–0) 9.004.751.36 1.48 2.60
06.05.23N1 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.331.53 1.57 2.35
07.01.23N1 PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam 0–0 (0–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.50 2.50
27.02.22N1 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–0) 7.504.751.40 1.65 2.20
03.10.21N1 PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (0–0) 1.206.5013.00 1.44 2.70

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 6 5 1 0 17 6 +11 16
2 Feyenoord 6 4 2 0 20 7 +13 14
3 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 1 0 18 6 +12 13
4 Twente 6 4 1 1 12 5 +7 13
5 Ajax 5 3 1 1 14 6 +8 10
6 Excelsior 6 3 1 2 13 7 +6 10
7 For Sittard 6 3 1 2 12 14 -2 10
8 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 3 1 15 13 +2 9
9 Groningen 6 2 2 2 12 13 -1 8
10 Nijmegen 6 2 1 3 11 12 -1 7
11 Heerenveen 6 1 3 2 7 9 -2 6
12 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 9 9 0 5
13 Telstar 6 1 2 3 5 11 -6 5
14 Utrecht 6 1 2 3 11 19 -8 5
15 Cambuur 6 1 1 4 9 18 -9 4
16 Zwolle 6 1 1 4 6 17 -11 4
17 Willem II 5 0 2 3 5 14 -9 2
18 Den Haag 6 0 1 5 6 16 -10 1
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Champions League – 3rd qualifying round
  • Europa League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Play-offs for a Conference League place
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to Eerste Divisie

KNVB Cup winners go to the Europa League league phase, so places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Twente 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
2 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 1 0 8 3 +5 7
3 Go Ahead Eagles 3 2 1 0 8 3 +5 7
4 PSV Eindhoven 2 1 1 0 7 3 +4 4
5 Groningen 3 1 1 1 6 6 0 4
6 Heerenveen 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
7 Excelsior 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
8 For Sittard 3 1 0 2 4 8 -4 3
9 Cambuur 4 1 0 3 6 13 -7 3
10 Feyenoord 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2
11 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 2 1 5 6 -1 2
12 Ajax 2 0 1 1 3 5 -2 1
13 Nijmegen 3 0 1 2 4 7 -3 1
14 Telstar 3 0 1 2 3 9 -6 1
15 Willem II 3 0 1 2 3 9 -6 1
16 Utrecht 3 0 1 2 5 13 -8 1
17 Den Haag 2 0 0 2 3 7 -4 0
18 Zwolle 3 0 0 3 1 12 -11 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 4 4 0 0 16 3 +13 12
2 Ajax 3 3 0 0 11 1 +10 9
3 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 11 3 +8 9
4 AZ Alkmaar 3 3 0 0 9 3 +6 9
5 Excelsior 3 2 1 0 9 2 +7 7
6 For Sittard 3 2 1 0 8 6 +2 7
7 Nijmegen 3 2 0 1 7 5 +2 6
8 Twente 3 1 1 1 6 4 +2 4
9 Utrecht 3 1 1 1 6 6 0 4
10 Zwolle 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
11 Telstar 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
12 Groningen 3 1 1 1 6 7 -1 4
13 Sparta Rotterdam 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
14 Heerenveen 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2
15 Go Ahead Eagles 3 0 2 1 7 10 -3 2
16 Cambuur 2 0 1 1 3 5 -2 1
17 Willem II 2 0 1 1 2 5 -3 1
18 Den Haag 4 0 1 3 3 9 -6 1

PSV Eindhoven   Sparta Rotterdam

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Excelsior 6 0 6 2.2 1.2 3 1 2 13 7 10
2 10 Nijmegen 6 0 6 1.8 2.0 2 1 3 11 12 7
3 14 Utrecht 6 0 6 1.8 3.2 1 2 3 11 19 5
4 15 Cambuur 6 0 6 1.5 3.0 1 1 4 9 18 4
5 2 Feyenoord 6 1 5 3.3 1.2 4 2 0 20 7 14
6 3 PSV Eindhoven 5 0 5 3.6 1.2 4 1 0 18 6 13
7 7 For Sittard 6 1 5 2.0 2.3 3 1 2 12 14 10
8 8 Go Ahead Eagles 6 1 5 2.5 2.2 2 3 1 15 13 9
9 9 Groningen 6 1 5 2.0 2.2 2 2 2 12 13 8
10 5 Ajax 5 1 4 2.8 1.2 3 1 1 14 6 10
11 12 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 1 2 2 9 9 5
12 13 Telstar 6 2 4 0.8 1.8 1 2 3 5 11 5
13 16 Zwolle 6 2 4 1.0 2.8 1 1 4 6 17 4
14 17 Willem II 5 1 4 1.0 2.8 0 2 3 5 14 2
15 18 Den Haag 6 2 4 1.0 2.7 0 1 5 6 16 1
16 1 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 3 2.8 1.0 5 1 0 17 6 16
17 4 Twente 6 3 3 2.0 0.8 4 1 1 12 5 13
18 11 Heerenveen 6 3 3 1.2 1.5 1 3 2 7 9 6
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Cambuur 4 0 4 1.5 3.2 1 0 3 6 13 3
2 6 Excelsior 3 0 3 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
3 9 Groningen 3 0 3 2.0 2.0 1 1 1 6 6 4
4 10 Nijmegen 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 0 1 2 4 7 1
5 13 Telstar 3 0 3 1.0 3.0 0 1 2 3 9 1
6 14 Utrecht 3 0 3 1.7 4.3 0 1 2 5 13 1
7 17 Willem II 3 0 3 1.0 3.0 0 1 2 3 9 1
8 2 Feyenoord 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 0 2 0 4 4 2
9 3 PSV Eindhoven 2 0 2 3.5 1.5 1 1 0 7 3 4
10 5 Ajax 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 1 1 3 5 1
11 7 For Sittard 3 1 2 1.3 2.7 1 0 2 4 8 3
12 8 Go Ahead Eagles 3 1 2 2.7 1.0 2 1 0 8 3 7
13 12 Sparta Rotterdam 3 1 2 1.7 2.0 0 2 1 5 6 2
14 16 Zwolle 3 1 2 0.3 4.0 0 0 3 1 12 0
15 18 Den Haag 2 0 2 1.5 3.5 0 0 2 3 7 0
16 1 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 1 2.7 1.0 2 1 0 8 3 7
17 4 Twente 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
18 11 Heerenveen 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Feyenoord 4 1 3 4.0 0.8 4 0 0 16 3 12
2 3 PSV Eindhoven 3 0 3 3.7 1.0 3 0 0 11 3 9
3 6 Excelsior 3 0 3 3.0 0.7 2 1 0 9 2 7
4 7 For Sittard 3 0 3 2.7 2.0 2 1 0 8 6 7
5 8 Go Ahead Eagles 3 0 3 2.3 3.3 0 2 1 7 10 2
6 10 Nijmegen 3 0 3 2.3 1.7 2 0 1 7 5 6
7 14 Utrecht 3 0 3 2.0 2.0 1 1 1 6 6 4
8 1 AZ Alkmaar 3 1 2 3.0 1.0 3 0 0 9 3 9
9 4 Twente 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 1 1 1 6 4 4
10 5 Ajax 3 1 2 3.7 0.3 3 0 0 11 1 9
11 9 Groningen 3 1 2 2.0 2.3 1 1 1 6 7 4
12 11 Heerenveen 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 0 2 0 4 4 2
13 12 Sparta Rotterdam 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
14 15 Cambuur 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 1 1 3 5 1
15 16 Zwolle 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
16 18 Den Haag 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 0 1 3 3 9 1
17 13 Telstar 3 2 1 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
18 17 Willem II 2 1 1 1.0 2.5 0 1 1 2 5 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51