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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 1–2 Sp Lisbon

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 13.00 fair 4.35
Draw 7.00 fair 4.74
Away ✓ 1.20 fair 1.79
Under 2.5 2.40 fair 2.84
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.54

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Sp Lisbon
6 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 7
20 Fouls 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (235 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Lisbon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.59
Expected goals 1.27 – 2.07
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawSp Lisbon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–2 9.7% 1–1 9.3% 0–2 7.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 26:39
Sp Lisbon before this match, all matches
2.60points / match
3.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 75:25
Estrela all matches all matches Sp Lisbon

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 3.00
1.50 Goals conceded 1.00
2.50 Total goals 4.00
9.46 Shots 14.92
3.12 Shots on target 6.60
13.19 Shots faced 7.20
4.96 Corners 6.08
5.96 Corners against 2.44
12.15 Fouls 11.32
2.19 Yellow cards 2.36
0.35 1st-half goals scored 1.36
0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.32

How often Full Time

23% Wins 84%
31% Draws 8%
46% Losses 8%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
69% Over 1.5 goals 96%
42% Over 2.5 goals 76%
27% Over 3.5 goals 48%
15% Over 4.5 goals 44%
4% Over 5.5 goals 20%
50% Both teams scored 60%
19% Clean sheets 40%
38% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 68%
54% Draws 32%
31% Losses 0%
54% Over 0.5 goals 88%
15% Over 1.5 goals 52%
8% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Sp Lisbon all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
1.31points / match
1.38scored / match
1.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 18:20
Sp Lisbon before this match, away
2.17points / match
2.42scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 29:15
Estrela at home away Sp Lisbon

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 2.42
1.54 Goals conceded 1.25
2.92 Total goals 3.67
10.08 Shots 13.75
3.54 Shots on target 6.17
11.92 Shots faced 7.58
5.31 Corners 5.42
5.62 Corners against 2.67
12.77 Fouls 11.25
2.00 Yellow cards 2.50
0.54 1st-half goals scored 1.17
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

38% Wins 67%
15% Draws 17%
46% Losses 17%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
69% Over 1.5 goals 100%
54% Over 2.5 goals 75%
38% Over 3.5 goals 33%
23% Over 4.5 goals 33%
8% Over 5.5 goals 17%
62% Both teams scored 67%
15% Clean sheets 33%
23% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 67%
46% Draws 33%
31% Losses 0%
62% Over 0.5 goals 92%
23% Over 1.5 goals 42%
15% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Sp Lisbon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24 Famalicao – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.404.00 2.25 1.62
08.03.24 Estrela – Casa Pia 3–1 (0–0) 2.203.003.60 2.40 1.53
02.03.24 Sp Braga – Estrela 3–0 (0–0) 1.365.008.50 1.57 2.35
24.02.24 Estrela – Chaves 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.75 2.15 1.67
17.02.24 Porto – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.53 2.40
09.02.24 Estrela – Portimonense 3–0 (3–0) 1.853.604.20 2.00 1.85
04.02.24 Estoril – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 1.98 1.88
29.01.24 Estrela – Benfica 1–4 (1–2) 9.505.501.29 1.60 2.30
21.01.24 Guimaraes – Estrela 3–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.98 1.88
14.01.24 Gil Vicente – Estrela 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 1.93 1.93

Sp Lisbon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.03.24 Sp Lisbon – Boavista 6–1 (1–1) 1.148.0017.00 1.40 2.88
10.03.24 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 8.004.751.40 1.60 2.30
03.03.24 Sp Lisbon – Farense 3–2 (2–1) 1.138.5021.00 1.36 3.10
25.02.24 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 3–3 (2–2) 8.005.001.36 1.70 2.10
19.02.24 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 0–2 (0–2) 7.505.001.36 1.75 2.05
11.02.24 Sp Lisbon – Sp Braga 5–0 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.40
29.01.24 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 8–0 (5–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.57 2.35
18.01.24 Vizela – Sp Lisbon 2–5 (1–1) 7.505.001.36 1.65 2.20
13.01.24 Chaves – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 9.006.001.25 1.44 2.70
05.01.24 Sp Lisbon – Estoril 5–1 (2–0) 1.255.7511.00 1.40 2.88

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.24 Estrela – Casa Pia 3–1 (0–0) 2.203.003.60 2.40 1.53
24.02.24 Estrela – Chaves 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.75 2.15 1.67
09.02.24 Estrela – Portimonense 3–0 (3–0) 1.853.604.20 2.00 1.85
29.01.24 Estrela – Benfica 1–4 (1–2) 9.505.501.29 1.60 2.30
06.01.24 Estrela – Vizela 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.302.70 2.10 1.70
28.12.23 Estrela – Arouca 1–4 (1–0) 2.553.302.70 2.08 1.73
10.12.23 Estrela – Boavista 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.00 1.98 1.88
11.11.23 Estrela – Moreirense 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 2.05 1.80
29.10.23 Estrela – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.252.80 2.20 1.65
28.09.23 Estrela – Sp Braga 2–4 (0–1) 4.503.801.70 1.70 2.10

Sp Lisbon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.24 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 8.004.751.40 1.60 2.30
25.02.24 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 3–3 (2–2) 8.005.001.36 1.70 2.10
19.02.24 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 0–2 (0–2) 7.505.001.36 1.75 2.05
18.01.24 Vizela – Sp Lisbon 2–5 (1–1) 7.505.001.36 1.65 2.20
13.01.24 Chaves – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 9.006.001.25 1.44 2.70
30.12.23 Portimonense – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (0–0) 8.505.501.33 1.53 2.40
09.12.23 Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon 3–2 (1–1) 5.004.001.62 1.73 2.08
12.11.23 Benfica – Sp Lisbon 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.00 1.80 2.00
30.10.23 Boavista – Sp Lisbon 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.501.45 1.60 2.30
30.09.23 Farense – Sp Lisbon 2–3 (1–2) 6.504.501.45 1.60 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estrela winsDrawsSp Lisbon wins
1matches
5.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.23P1 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 3–2 (1–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.44 2.70

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 27 21 4 2 61 21 +40 67 WWLWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 25 21 2 2 75 25 +50 65 WWDWWW
3 Porto 26 18 4 4 50 18 +32 58 LWDWWW
4 Sp Braga 26 16 5 5 55 34 +21 53 LWWWDW
5 Guimaraes 26 15 5 6 41 27 +14 50 DDLWWW
6 Moreirense 26 12 6 8 28 27 +1 42 WLWDLW
7 Arouca 26 10 4 12 43 37 +6 34 WLWWLL
8 Famalicao 26 7 10 9 26 31 -5 31 WLDLDW
9 Gil Vicente 27 7 7 13 36 41 -5 28 WDDDLL
10 Boavista 26 7 7 12 33 51 -18 28 WLLDWL
11 Farense 26 7 6 13 34 38 -4 27 DLLLLD
12 Casa Pia 26 7 6 13 23 39 -16 27 LWWDLL
13 Estrela 26 6 8 12 26 39 -13 26 WLDLWD
14 Estoril 26 7 4 15 42 49 -7 25 LLDLLW
15 Rio Ave 26 4 13 9 26 35 -9 25 WLDDDD
16 Portimonense 26 6 5 15 24 53 -29 23 LDLDLL
17 Vizela 26 4 9 13 26 52 -26 21 WLDDWL
18 Chaves 27 4 7 16 25 57 -32 19 WDLDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 13 13 0 0 46 10 +36 39 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 14 12 2 0 37 6 +31 38 WWWWWW
3 Porto 13 10 2 1 28 6 +22 32 WWDWWW
4 Guimaraes 13 9 1 3 26 14 +12 28 WWWDLW
5 Sp Braga 13 8 3 2 27 12 +15 27 DDWWWW
6 Gil Vicente 14 5 6 3 24 16 +8 21 DWLDDL
7 Moreirense 13 6 3 4 15 14 +1 21 LWWLDW
8 Estoril 13 6 1 6 23 16 +7 19 LLWLLW
9 Rio Ave 13 4 6 3 18 17 +1 18 DWDWDD
10 Arouca 13 5 2 6 21 21 0 17 WLWWWL
11 Famalicao 12 4 5 3 13 14 -1 17 DDLWDD
12 Estrela 13 5 2 6 18 20 -2 17 LDLWDW
13 Farense 13 4 4 5 17 15 +2 16 DWLDLD
14 Boavista 13 4 4 5 17 26 -9 16 DDLWLW
15 Portimonense 13 3 4 6 11 20 -9 13 WLLDDL
16 Chaves 13 3 3 7 17 28 -11 12 LDDWLL
17 Casa Pia 13 2 4 7 6 14 -8 10 LLDWDL
18 Vizela 13 2 4 7 15 26 -11 10 DLLLDW
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 13 9 2 2 24 15 +9 29 WWWDLW
2 Sp Lisbon 12 8 2 2 29 15 +14 26 WWWWDW
3 Porto 13 8 2 3 22 12 +10 26 LDWLDW
4 Sp Braga 13 8 2 3 28 22 +6 26 WLWLWD
5 Guimaraes 13 6 4 3 15 13 +2 22 DLWDWW
6 Moreirense 13 6 3 4 13 13 0 21 DWLLWL
7 Arouca 13 5 2 6 22 16 +6 17 LWWLWL
8 Casa Pia 13 5 2 6 17 25 -8 17 WWLLWL
9 Famalicao 14 3 5 6 13 17 -4 14 WLDLLW
10 Boavista 13 3 3 7 16 25 -9 12 WLDLDL
11 Farense 13 3 2 8 17 23 -6 11 LWDLLL
12 Vizela 13 2 5 6 11 26 -15 11 DLWLDL
13 Portimonense 13 3 1 9 13 33 -20 10 LLWLLL
14 Estrela 13 1 6 6 8 19 -11 9 DLLLLD
15 Rio Ave 13 0 7 6 8 18 -10 7 LDDLDD
16 Gil Vicente 13 2 1 10 12 25 -13 7 LWLWDL
17 Chaves 14 1 4 9 8 29 -21 7 DDLDDL
18 Estoril 13 1 3 9 19 33 -14 6 DLDLDL

Estrela   Sp Lisbon

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 25 6 19 3.0 1.0 21 2 2 75 25 65 OUOOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 26 8 18 2.1 1.3 16 5 5 55 34 53 OOOOUO
3 14 Estoril 26 8 18 1.6 1.9 7 4 15 42 49 25 OOOOOU
4 1 Benfica 27 11 16 2.3 0.8 21 4 2 61 21 67 OOOOUU
5 7 Arouca 26 10 16 1.7 1.4 10 4 12 43 37 34 OUOOOU
6 18 Chaves 27 11 16 0.9 2.1 4 7 16 25 57 19 OUOUOU
7 10 Boavista 26 11 15 1.3 2.0 7 7 12 33 51 28 OOOUUO
8 5 Guimaraes 26 12 14 1.6 1.0 15 5 6 41 27 50 OUUOUO
9 9 Gil Vicente 27 13 14 1.3 1.5 7 7 13 36 41 28 OUUUOO
10 11 Farense 26 12 14 1.3 1.5 7 6 13 34 38 27 UOUOOU
11 16 Portimonense 26 12 14 0.9 2.0 6 5 15 24 53 23 OUOUOU
12 17 Vizela 26 12 14 1.0 2.0 4 9 13 26 52 21 UOOUOO
13 3 Porto 26 13 13 1.9 0.7 18 4 4 50 18 58 OUUOOO
14 8 Famalicao 26 15 11 1.0 1.2 7 10 9 26 31 31 OOUUUO
15 13 Estrela 26 15 11 1.0 1.5 6 8 12 26 39 26 OUUOOU
16 12 Casa Pia 26 16 10 0.9 1.5 7 6 13 23 39 27 UUUUOU
17 6 Moreirense 26 17 9 1.1 1.0 12 6 8 28 27 42 UUUUUU
18 15 Rio Ave 26 18 8 1.0 1.3 4 13 9 26 35 25 UOOUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 13 3 10 3.5 0.8 13 0 0 46 10 39 UOOOOO
2 18 Chaves 13 3 10 1.3 2.2 3 3 7 17 28 12 OUUOOO
3 5 Guimaraes 13 4 9 2.0 1.1 9 1 3 26 14 28 UOOOUU
4 14 Estoril 13 4 9 1.8 1.2 6 1 6 23 16 19 OOUOOU
5 1 Benfica 14 6 8 2.6 0.4 12 2 0 37 6 38 UOOOOU
6 4 Sp Braga 13 5 8 2.1 0.9 8 3 2 27 12 27 UUUOOO
7 7 Arouca 13 5 8 1.6 1.6 5 2 6 21 21 17 OOOOOO
8 10 Boavista 13 5 8 1.3 2.0 4 4 5 17 26 16 UUOOOU
9 17 Vizela 13 5 8 1.2 2.0 2 4 7 15 26 10 UOOUOO
10 13 Estrela 13 6 7 1.4 1.5 5 2 6 18 20 17 OUOOUO
11 3 Porto 13 7 6 2.2 0.5 10 2 1 28 6 32 UOUUOO
12 8 Famalicao 12 6 6 1.1 1.2 4 5 3 13 14 17 UOOOUU
13 11 Farense 13 7 6 1.3 1.2 4 4 5 17 15 16 UUOUUU
14 16 Portimonense 13 7 6 0.8 1.5 3 4 6 11 20 13 UUOUUO
15 9 Gil Vicente 14 9 5 1.7 1.1 5 6 3 24 16 21 UUUUUO
16 6 Moreirense 13 9 4 1.2 1.1 6 3 4 15 14 21 OUUUUU
17 15 Rio Ave 13 9 4 1.4 1.3 4 6 3 18 17 18 UUUUOU
18 12 Casa Pia 13 10 3 0.5 1.1 2 4 7 6 14 10 UOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Sp Braga 13 3 10 2.2 1.7 8 2 3 28 22 26 OUOOOU
2 2 Sp Lisbon 12 3 9 2.4 1.2 8 2 2 29 15 26 OOOUOO
3 9 Gil Vicente 13 4 9 0.9 1.9 2 1 10 12 25 7 UUOOUO
4 14 Estoril 13 4 9 1.5 2.5 1 3 9 19 33 6 UOUOOO
5 1 Benfica 13 5 8 1.8 1.2 9 2 2 24 15 29 UOOOOU
6 7 Arouca 13 5 8 1.7 1.2 5 2 6 22 16 17 OOOUOU
7 11 Farense 13 5 8 1.3 1.8 3 2 8 17 23 11 UOUOOO
8 16 Portimonense 13 5 8 1.0 2.5 3 1 9 13 33 10 OUOOOU
9 3 Porto 13 6 7 1.7 0.9 8 2 3 22 12 26 UUOOUO
10 10 Boavista 13 6 7 1.2 1.9 3 3 7 16 25 12 OUUOUO
11 12 Casa Pia 13 6 7 1.3 1.9 5 2 6 17 25 17 OOOUUO
12 17 Vizela 13 7 6 0.8 2.0 2 5 6 11 26 11 UOUOUO
13 18 Chaves 14 8 6 0.6 2.1 1 4 9 8 29 7 OUUUUU
14 5 Guimaraes 13 8 5 1.2 1.0 6 4 3 15 13 22 UUUUOO
15 6 Moreirense 13 8 5 1.0 1.0 6 3 4 13 13 21 UOOUUU
16 8 Famalicao 14 9 5 0.9 1.2 3 5 6 13 17 14 UUUOUO
17 13 Estrela 13 9 4 0.6 1.5 1 6 6 8 19 9 UOUUOU
18 15 Rio Ave 13 9 4 0.6 1.4 0 7 6 8 18 7 OUUOUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47