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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 2–2 Rio Ave

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.50 fair 2.43
Draw ✓ 3.25 fair 3.71
Away 2.90 fair 3.14
Under 2.5 1.57 fair 1.83
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.35 fair 2.21

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Rio Ave
15 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 4
10 Corners 1
12 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (255 league matches this season so far).
Result Estrela to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.99
Expected goals 1.34 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawRio Ave
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.8% 1–0 11.2% 0–1 9.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
0.96points / match
1.04scored / match
1.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 29:43
Rio Ave before this match, all matches
1.04points / match
1.04scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 29:35
Estrela all matches all matches Rio Ave

Per match

1.04 Goals scored 1.04
1.54 Goals conceded 1.25
2.57 Total goals 2.29
9.36 Shots 9.46
3.14 Shots on target 3.50
13.25 Shots faced 11.36
4.93 Corners 3.86
5.86 Corners against 5.71
12.50 Fouls 14.79
2.25 Yellow cards 2.93
0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.46

How often Full Time

21% Wins 18%
32% Draws 50%
46% Losses 32%
93% Over 0.5 goals 82%
71% Over 1.5 goals 75%
46% Over 2.5 goals 32%
29% Over 3.5 goals 18%
14% Over 4.5 goals 11%
4% Over 5.5 goals 7%
54% Both teams scored 50%
18% Clean sheets 36%
36% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 14%
50% Draws 68%
36% Losses 18%
57% Over 0.5 goals 46%
21% Over 1.5 goals 29%
11% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Rio Ave all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
1.21points / match
1.36scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 19:22
Rio Ave before this match, away
0.57points / match
0.57scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 8:18
Estrela at home away Rio Ave

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 0.57
1.57 Goals conceded 1.29
2.93 Total goals 1.86
9.79 Shots 8.93
3.50 Shots on target 3.29
12.57 Shots faced 13.57
5.14 Corners 3.07
5.71 Corners against 7.43
13.29 Fouls 14.57
2.07 Yellow cards 3.07
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

36% Wins 0%
14% Draws 57%
50% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 71%
71% Over 1.5 goals 64%
57% Over 2.5 goals 29%
36% Over 3.5 goals 14%
21% Over 4.5 goals 7%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
64% Both teams scored 50%
14% Clean sheets 29%
21% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 14%
43% Draws 64%
36% Losses 21%
64% Over 0.5 goals 50%
29% Over 1.5 goals 29%
21% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Rio Ave away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.04.24 Moreirense – Estrela 2–2 (2–0) 2.053.403.75 2.40 1.53
29.03.24 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–2) 13.007.001.20 1.53 2.40
16.03.24 Famalicao – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.404.00 2.25 1.62
08.03.24 Estrela – Casa Pia 3–1 (0–0) 2.203.003.60 2.40 1.53
02.03.24 Sp Braga – Estrela 3–0 (0–0) 1.365.008.50 1.57 2.35
24.02.24 Estrela – Chaves 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.75 2.15 1.67
17.02.24 Porto – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.53 2.40
09.02.24 Estrela – Portimonense 3–0 (3–0) 1.853.604.20 2.00 1.85
04.02.24 Estoril – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 1.98 1.88
29.01.24 Estrela – Benfica 1–4 (1–2) 9.505.501.29 1.60 2.30

Rio Ave all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Rio Ave – Gil Vicente 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.303.30 2.30 1.60
30.03.24 Boavista – Rio Ave 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.002.88 2.40 1.53
16.03.24 Farense – Rio Ave 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.102.80 2.25 1.62
09.03.24 Rio Ave – Sp Braga 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.801.80 1.83 2.03
02.03.24 Moreirense – Rio Ave 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.35 1.57
25.02.24 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 3–3 (2–2) 8.005.001.36 1.70 2.10
16.02.24 Famalicao – Rio Ave 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.103.80 2.40 1.53
11.02.24 Rio Ave – Casa Pia 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.35 1.57
03.02.24 Porto – Rio Ave 0–0 (0–0) 1.226.5011.00 1.60 2.30
31.01.24 Rio Ave – Estoril 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.603.10 1.95 1.90

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–2) 13.007.001.20 1.53 2.40
08.03.24 Estrela – Casa Pia 3–1 (0–0) 2.203.003.60 2.40 1.53
24.02.24 Estrela – Chaves 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.75 2.15 1.67
09.02.24 Estrela – Portimonense 3–0 (3–0) 1.853.604.20 2.00 1.85
29.01.24 Estrela – Benfica 1–4 (1–2) 9.505.501.29 1.60 2.30
06.01.24 Estrela – Vizela 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.302.70 2.10 1.70
28.12.23 Estrela – Arouca 1–4 (1–0) 2.553.302.70 2.08 1.73
10.12.23 Estrela – Boavista 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.00 1.98 1.88
11.11.23 Estrela – Moreirense 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 2.05 1.80
29.10.23 Estrela – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.252.80 2.20 1.65

Rio Ave away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.24 Boavista – Rio Ave 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.002.88 2.40 1.53
16.03.24 Farense – Rio Ave 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.102.80 2.25 1.62
02.03.24 Moreirense – Rio Ave 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.35 1.57
16.02.24 Famalicao – Rio Ave 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.103.80 2.40 1.53
03.02.24 Porto – Rio Ave 0–0 (0–0) 1.226.5011.00 1.60 2.30
21.01.24 Chaves – Rio Ave 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.252.45 2.15 1.67
14.01.24 Benfica – Rio Ave 4–1 (1–1) 1.207.0012.00 1.50 2.50
23.12.23 Guimaraes – Rio Ave 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.754.75 1.93 1.93
10.12.23 Arouca – Rio Ave 2–2 (0–2) 2.153.203.50 2.15 1.67
12.11.23 Gil Vicente – Rio Ave 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estrela winsDrawsRio Ave wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.23P1 Rio Ave – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.00 2.05 1.80

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 28 24 2 2 83 27 +56 74 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 28 21 4 3 62 23 +39 67 WLWWWL
3 Porto 29 18 5 6 53 23 +30 59 WWWLLD
4 Sp Braga 29 18 5 6 61 40 +21 59 WDWWLW
5 Guimaraes 29 17 6 6 45 29 +16 57 WWWWWD
6 Moreirense 28 12 7 9 30 30 0 43 WDLWLD
7 Arouca 28 12 4 12 48 38 +10 40 WWLLWW
8 Famalicao 28 8 11 9 31 35 -4 35 DLDWWD
9 Farense 29 8 7 14 38 41 -3 31 LLDLWD
10 Casa Pia 28 8 7 13 27 39 -12 31 WDLLWD
11 Rio Ave 28 5 14 9 29 35 -6 29 DDDDDW
12 Estoril 29 8 5 16 43 50 -7 29 LLWWDL
13 Boavista 28 7 8 13 33 53 -20 29 LDWLDL
14 Gil Vicente 29 7 7 15 36 48 -12 28 DDLLLL
15 Estrela 28 6 9 13 29 43 -14 27 DLWDLD
16 Portimonense 28 7 5 16 30 60 -30 26 LDLLLW
17 Vizela 28 4 9 15 28 59 -31 21 DDWLLL
18 Chaves 28 4 7 17 27 60 -33 19 DLDLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 14 14 0 0 48 11 +37 42 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 14 12 2 0 37 6 +31 38 WWWWWW
3 Porto 15 10 3 2 31 10 +21 33 DWWWLD
4 Guimaraes 15 10 2 3 28 15 +13 32 WDLWWD
5 Sp Braga 14 8 3 3 27 15 +12 27 DWWWWL
6 Estoril 15 7 1 7 24 17 +7 22 WLLWWL
7 Moreirense 14 6 4 4 17 16 +1 22 WWLDWD
8 Gil Vicente 15 5 6 4 24 20 +4 21 WLDDLL
9 Rio Ave 14 5 6 3 21 17 +4 21 WDWDDW
10 Arouca 14 6 2 6 23 22 +1 20 LWWWLW
11 Famalicao 13 5 5 3 16 16 0 20 DLWDDW
12 Farense 14 5 4 5 19 15 +4 19 WLDLDW
13 Estrela 14 5 2 7 19 22 -3 17 DLWDWL
14 Boavista 14 4 5 5 17 26 -9 17 DLWLWD
15 Portimonense 14 3 4 7 14 25 -11 13 LLDDLL
16 Chaves 14 3 3 8 19 31 -12 12 DDWLLL
17 Casa Pia 14 2 5 7 6 14 -8 11 LDWDLD
18 Vizela 14 2 4 8 15 30 -15 10 LLLDWL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 14 10 2 2 35 16 +19 32 WWDWWW
2 Sp Braga 15 10 2 3 34 25 +9 32 WLWDWW
3 Benfica 14 9 2 3 25 17 +8 29 WWDLWL
4 Porto 14 8 2 4 22 13 +9 26 DWLDWL
5 Guimaraes 14 7 4 3 17 14 +3 25 LWDWWW
6 Moreirense 14 6 3 5 13 14 -1 21 WLLWLL
7 Arouca 14 6 2 6 25 16 +9 20 WWLWLW
8 Casa Pia 14 6 2 6 21 25 -4 20 WLLWLW
9 Famalicao 15 3 6 6 15 19 -4 15 LDLLWD
10 Portimonense 14 4 1 9 16 35 -19 13 LWLLLW
11 Farense 15 3 3 9 19 26 -7 12 DLLLLD
12 Boavista 14 3 3 8 16 27 -11 12 LDLDLL
13 Vizela 14 2 5 7 13 29 -16 11 LWLDLL
14 Estrela 14 1 7 6 10 21 -11 10 LLLLDD
15 Rio Ave 14 0 8 6 8 18 -10 8 DDLDDD
16 Estoril 14 1 4 9 19 33 -14 7 LDLDLD
17 Gil Vicente 14 2 1 11 12 28 -16 7 WLWDLL
18 Chaves 14 1 4 9 8 29 -21 7 DDLDDL

Estrela   Rio Ave

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 28 6 22 3.0 1.0 24 2 2 83 27 74 OOOOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 29 9 20 2.1 1.4 18 5 6 61 40 59 OUOOOU
3 7 Arouca 28 10 18 1.7 1.4 12 4 12 48 38 40 OOOUOO
4 12 Estoril 29 11 18 1.5 1.7 8 5 16 43 50 29 OOUUUU
5 2 Benfica 28 11 17 2.2 0.8 21 4 3 62 23 67 OOOUUO
6 18 Chaves 28 11 17 1.0 2.1 4 7 17 27 60 19 UOUOUO
7 14 Gil Vicente 29 13 16 1.2 1.7 7 7 15 36 48 28 UUOOOO
8 16 Portimonense 28 12 16 1.1 2.1 7 5 16 30 60 26 OUOUOO
9 17 Vizela 28 12 16 1.0 2.1 4 9 15 28 59 21 OUOOOO
10 3 Porto 29 14 15 1.8 0.8 18 5 6 53 23 59 OOOUOO
11 5 Guimaraes 29 14 15 1.6 1.0 17 6 6 45 29 57 OUOUOU
12 9 Farense 29 14 15 1.3 1.4 8 7 14 38 41 31 OOUOUU
13 13 Boavista 28 13 15 1.2 1.9 7 8 13 33 53 29 OUUOUU
14 8 Famalicao 28 15 13 1.1 1.2 8 11 9 31 35 35 UUUOOO
15 15 Estrela 28 15 13 1.0 1.5 6 9 13 29 43 27 UOOUOO
16 10 Casa Pia 28 17 11 1.0 1.4 8 7 13 27 39 31 UUOUOU
17 6 Moreirense 28 18 10 1.1 1.1 12 7 9 30 30 43 UUUUUO
18 11 Rio Ave 28 19 9 1.0 1.2 5 14 9 29 35 29 OUUUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 14 3 11 3.4 0.8 14 0 0 48 11 42 OOOOOO
2 18 Chaves 14 3 11 1.4 2.2 3 3 8 19 31 12 UUOOOO
3 4 Sp Braga 14 5 9 1.9 1.1 8 3 3 27 15 27 UUOOOO
4 5 Guimaraes 15 6 9 1.9 1.0 10 2 3 28 15 32 OOUUUU
5 7 Arouca 14 5 9 1.6 1.6 6 2 6 23 22 20 OOOOOO
6 12 Estoril 15 6 9 1.6 1.1 7 1 7 24 17 22 UOOUUU
7 17 Vizela 14 5 9 1.1 2.1 2 4 8 15 30 10 OOUOOO
8 2 Benfica 14 6 8 2.6 0.4 12 2 0 37 6 38 UOOOOU
9 3 Porto 15 7 8 2.1 0.7 10 3 2 31 10 33 UUOOOO
10 13 Boavista 14 6 8 1.2 1.9 4 5 5 17 26 17 UOOOUU
11 15 Estrela 14 6 8 1.4 1.6 5 2 7 19 22 17 UOOUOO
12 8 Famalicao 13 6 7 1.2 1.2 5 5 3 16 16 20 OOOUUO
13 16 Portimonense 14 7 7 1.0 1.8 3 4 7 14 25 13 UOUUOO
14 9 Farense 14 8 6 1.4 1.1 5 4 5 19 15 19 UOUUUU
15 14 Gil Vicente 15 9 6 1.6 1.3 5 6 4 24 20 21 UUUUOO
16 6 Moreirense 14 9 5 1.2 1.1 6 4 4 17 16 22 UUUUUO
17 11 Rio Ave 14 9 5 1.5 1.2 5 6 3 21 17 21 UUUOUO
18 10 Casa Pia 14 11 3 0.4 1.0 2 5 7 6 14 11 OUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 14 3 11 2.5 1.1 10 2 2 35 16 32 OUOOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 15 4 11 2.3 1.7 10 2 3 34 25 32 OOOUOU
3 14 Gil Vicente 14 4 10 0.9 2.0 2 1 11 12 28 7 UOOUOO
4 2 Benfica 14 5 9 1.8 1.2 9 2 3 25 17 29 OOOOUO
5 7 Arouca 14 5 9 1.8 1.1 6 2 6 25 16 20 OOUOUO
6 9 Farense 15 6 9 1.3 1.7 3 3 9 19 26 12 UOOOOU
7 12 Estoril 14 5 9 1.4 2.4 1 4 9 19 33 7 OUOOOU
8 16 Portimonense 14 5 9 1.1 2.5 4 1 9 16 35 13 UOOOUO
9 10 Casa Pia 14 6 8 1.5 1.8 6 2 6 21 25 20 OOUUOO
10 3 Porto 14 7 7 1.6 0.9 8 2 4 22 13 26 UOOUOU
11 13 Boavista 14 7 7 1.1 1.9 3 3 8 16 27 12 UUOUOU
12 17 Vizela 14 7 7 0.9 2.1 2 5 7 13 29 11 OUOUOO
13 5 Guimaraes 14 8 6 1.2 1.0 7 4 3 17 14 25 UUUOOO
14 8 Famalicao 15 9 6 1.0 1.3 3 6 6 15 19 15 UUOUOO
15 18 Chaves 14 8 6 0.6 2.1 1 4 9 8 29 7 OUUUUU
16 6 Moreirense 14 9 5 0.9 1.0 6 3 5 13 14 21 OOUUUU
17 15 Estrela 14 9 5 0.7 1.5 1 7 6 10 21 10 OUUOUO
18 11 Rio Ave 14 10 4 0.6 1.3 0 8 6 8 18 8 UUOUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11