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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 2–1 Moreirense

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.90 fair 2.70
Draw 3.20 fair 3.88
Away 2.45 fair 2.69
Under 2.5 1.60 fair 2.04
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.30 fair 1.96

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Moreirense
4 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 7
27 Fouls 18
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (55 league matches this season so far).
Result Moreirense to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.36 – 1.36
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawMoreirense
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 0–1 9% 1–0 9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
0.33points / match
0.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 3:9
Moreirense before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.33scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:9
Estrela all matches all matches Moreirense

Per match

0.50 Goals scored 1.33
1.50 Goals conceded 1.50
2.00 Total goals 2.83
10.67 Shots 10.67
2.83 Shots on target 4.67
12.50 Shots faced 13.00
4.50 Corners 3.50
6.83 Corners against 5.17
11.00 Fouls 13.83
3.00 Yellow cards 2.83
0.17 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

0% Wins 33%
33% Draws 33%
67% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
50% Over 1.5 goals 83%
33% Over 2.5 goals 67%
17% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 83%
0% Clean sheets 17%
67% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 50%
50% Draws 33%
50% Losses 17%
50% Over 0.5 goals 67%
17% Over 1.5 goals 17%
17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Moreirense all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
0.33points / match
0.67scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 2:6
Moreirense before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.33scored / match
2.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:7
Estrela at home away Moreirense

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 1.33
2.00 Goals conceded 2.33
2.67 Total goals 3.67
14.00 Shots 11.33
3.00 Shots on target 4.33
12.67 Shots faced 15.00
4.33 Corners 3.33
4.33 Corners against 5.00
9.00 Fouls 9.33
2.33 Yellow cards 2.67
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.67
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

0% Wins 33%
33% Draws 0%
67% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 100%
33% Over 3.5 goals 67%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
67% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 67%
33% Draws 0%
67% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 0%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Moreirense away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.24 Santa Clara – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.505.00 2.10 1.70
16.09.24 Estrela – Boavista 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.304.20 2.35 1.57
31.08.24 Estrela – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.35 1.57
24.08.24 Benfica – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.50 2.50
19.08.24 Estrela – Famalicao 0–3 (0–1) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67
11.08.24 Sp Braga – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 1.384.757.50 1.53 2.40
18.05.24 Estrela – Gil Vicente 1–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 1.70 2.10
11.05.24 Vizela – Estrela 4–0 (1–0) 3.503.402.05 1.93 1.93
05.05.24 Arouca – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.603.50 1.88 1.98
29.04.24 Estrela – Farense 0–3 (0–1) 2.203.253.50 1.98 1.88

Moreirense all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.24 Moreirense – Famalicao 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.003.00 2.35 1.57
14.09.24 Casa Pia – Moreirense 3–1 (0–1) 2.703.002.80 2.50 1.50
30.08.24 Moreirense – Benfica 1–1 (0–0) 7.004.331.44 1.85 2.00
25.08.24 Sp Braga – Moreirense 3–1 (1–0) 1.574.335.25 1.85 2.00
18.08.24 Moreirense – Arouca 3–1 (2–1) 2.303.253.10 2.05 1.75
11.08.24 Farense – Moreirense 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.252.40 2.15 1.67
18.05.24 Moreirense – Estoril 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 1.98 1.88
12.05.24 Casa Pia – Moreirense 0–1 (0–1) 2.603.002.90 2.30 1.60
03.05.24 Moreirense – Vizela 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.60 2.05 1.75
28.04.24 Portimonense – Moreirense 0–2 (0–0) 3.003.202.45 2.10 1.70

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.09.24 Estrela – Boavista 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.304.20 2.35 1.57
31.08.24 Estrela – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.35 1.57
19.08.24 Estrela – Famalicao 0–3 (0–1) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67
18.05.24 Estrela – Gil Vicente 1–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 1.70 2.10
29.04.24 Estrela – Farense 0–3 (0–1) 2.203.253.50 1.98 1.88
14.04.24 Estrela – Rio Ave 2–2 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.35 1.57
29.03.24 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–2) 13.007.001.20 1.53 2.40
08.03.24 Estrela – Casa Pia 3–1 (0–0) 2.203.003.60 2.40 1.53
24.02.24 Estrela – Chaves 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.75 2.15 1.67
09.02.24 Estrela – Portimonense 3–0 (3–0) 1.853.604.20 2.00 1.85

Moreirense away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24 Casa Pia – Moreirense 3–1 (0–1) 2.703.002.80 2.50 1.50
25.08.24 Sp Braga – Moreirense 3–1 (1–0) 1.574.335.25 1.85 2.00
11.08.24 Farense – Moreirense 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.252.40 2.15 1.67
12.05.24 Casa Pia – Moreirense 0–1 (0–1) 2.603.002.90 2.30 1.60
28.04.24 Portimonense – Moreirense 0–2 (0–0) 3.003.202.45 2.10 1.70
14.04.24 Benfica – Moreirense 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.67 2.15
30.03.24 Guimaraes – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.20 1.65
09.03.24 Boavista – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.633.102.88 2.30 1.60
24.02.24 Farense – Moreirense 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.302.90 2.25 1.62
04.02.24 Sp Braga – Moreirense 1–0 (1–0) 1.504.206.50 1.67 2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estrela winsDrawsMoreirense wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.04.24P1 Moreirense – Estrela 2–2 (2–0) 2.053.403.75 2.40 1.53
11.11.23P1 Estrela – Moreirense 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 2.05 1.80

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 7 7 0 0 25 2 +23 21 WWWWWW
2 Porto 6 5 0 1 12 3 +9 15 WWWLWW
3 Benfica 6 4 1 1 12 4 +8 13 LWWDWW
4 Santa Clara 6 4 0 2 10 8 +2 12 WLWWLW
5 Guimaraes 6 4 0 2 6 5 +1 12 WWLWWL
6 Famalicao 6 3 2 1 8 3 +5 11 WWWLDD
7 Sp Braga 6 3 2 1 8 4 +4 11 DWWDLW
8 Moreirense 6 2 2 2 8 9 -1 8 WWLDLD
9 Gil Vicente 6 1 4 1 6 7 -1 7 LWDDDD
10 Casa Pia 6 2 1 3 5 8 -3 7 LLLWWD
11 Rio Ave 6 2 1 3 5 8 -3 7 LWLWLD
12 AVS 6 2 1 3 6 10 -4 7 DLWLWL
13 Arouca 6 2 0 4 3 8 -5 6 LLWLLW
14 Estoril 7 1 3 3 4 10 -6 6 LDDWDL
15 Boavista 6 1 2 3 3 7 -4 5 WLLDDL
16 Nacional 6 1 1 4 4 12 -8 4 DLLWLL
17 Estrela 6 0 2 4 3 9 -6 2 DLLLDL
18 Farense 6 0 0 6 2 13 -11 0 LLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 3 3 0 0 8 1 +7 9 WWW
2 Sp Lisbon 3 3 0 0 8 1 +7 9 WWW
3 Porto 3 3 0 0 7 1 +6 9 WWW
4 Famalicao 3 2 1 0 4 1 +3 7 WWD
5 Rio Ave 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7 WWD
6 AVS 3 2 1 0 3 1 +2 7 DWW
7 Santa Clara 3 2 0 1 3 3 0 6 LWW
8 Guimaraes 3 2 0 1 3 4 -1 6 WWL
9 Gil Vicente 3 1 2 0 5 3 +2 5 WDD
10 Moreirense 3 1 2 0 4 2 +2 5 WDD
11 Sp Braga 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4 DWL
12 Estoril 4 1 1 2 2 7 -5 4 LDWL
13 Casa Pia 3 1 0 2 3 4 -1 3 LLW
14 Arouca 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3 3 LWL
15 Nacional 3 1 0 2 3 9 -6 3 LWL
16 Estrela 3 0 1 2 2 6 -4 1 LLD
17 Boavista 3 0 1 2 0 4 -4 1 LDL
18 Farense 3 0 0 3 1 8 -7 0 LLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 4 4 0 0 17 1 +16 12 WWWW
2 Sp Braga 3 2 1 0 4 0 +4 7 WDW
3 Porto 3 2 0 1 5 2 +3 6 WLW
4 Santa Clara 3 2 0 1 7 5 +2 6 WWL
5 Guimaraes 3 2 0 1 3 1 +2 6 WLW
6 Famalicao 3 1 1 1 4 2 +2 4 WLD
7 Benfica 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4 LDW
8 Boavista 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4 WLD
9 Casa Pia 3 1 1 1 2 4 -2 4 LWD
10 Arouca 3 1 0 2 2 4 -2 3 LLW
11 Moreirense 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3 WLL
12 Estoril 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2 LDD
13 Gil Vicente 3 0 2 1 1 4 -3 2 LDD
14 Estrela 3 0 1 2 1 3 -2 1 DLL
15 Nacional 3 0 1 2 1 3 -2 1 DLL
16 Farense 3 0 0 3 1 5 -4 0 LLL
17 Rio Ave 3 0 0 3 1 6 -5 0 LLL
18 AVS 3 0 0 3 3 9 -6 0 LLL

Estrela   Moreirense

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 7 1 6 3.6 0.3 7 0 0 25 2 21 OOUOOO
2 8 Moreirense 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 2 2 2 8 9 8 OOOUOU
3 2 Porto 6 3 3 2.0 0.5 5 0 1 12 3 15 OUUUOO
4 3 Benfica 6 3 3 2.0 0.7 4 1 1 12 4 13 UOUUOO
5 4 Santa Clara 6 3 3 1.7 1.3 4 0 2 10 8 12 OUUOOU
6 12 AVS 6 3 3 1.0 1.7 2 1 3 6 10 7 UOUOUO
7 14 Estoril 7 4 3 0.6 1.4 1 3 3 4 10 6 UUUUOO
8 18 Farense 6 3 3 0.3 2.2 0 0 6 2 13 0 OUOUOU
9 5 Guimaraes 6 4 2 1.0 0.8 4 0 2 6 5 12 UUUOUO
10 6 Famalicao 6 4 2 1.3 0.5 3 2 1 8 3 11 UOUOUU
11 7 Sp Braga 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 3 2 1 8 4 11 UUOUUO
12 9 Gil Vicente 6 4 2 1.0 1.2 1 4 1 6 7 7 OOUUUU
13 10 Casa Pia 6 4 2 0.8 1.3 2 1 3 5 8 7 UOUUOU
14 11 Rio Ave 6 4 2 0.8 1.3 2 1 3 5 8 7 OUUUUO
15 13 Arouca 6 4 2 0.5 1.3 2 0 4 3 8 6 UOUUOU
16 15 Boavista 6 4 2 0.5 1.2 1 2 3 3 7 5 UUUUOO
17 16 Nacional 6 4 2 0.7 2.0 1 1 4 4 12 4 UOUUUO
18 17 Estrela 6 4 2 0.5 1.5 0 2 4 3 9 2 UOUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 3 1 2 2.7 0.3 3 0 0 8 1 9 OUO
2 2 Porto 3 1 2 2.3 0.3 3 0 0 7 1 9 OUO
3 3 Benfica 3 1 2 2.7 0.3 3 0 0 8 1 9 OUO
4 5 Guimaraes 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 2 0 1 3 4 6 UOO
5 14 Estoril 4 2 2 0.5 1.8 1 1 2 2 7 4 OUUO
6 16 Nacional 3 1 2 1.0 3.0 1 0 2 3 9 3 OUO
7 17 Estrela 3 1 2 0.7 2.0 0 1 2 2 6 1 OUO
8 18 Farense 3 1 2 0.3 2.7 0 0 3 1 8 0 OOU
9 4 Santa Clara 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 2 0 1 3 3 6 UOU
10 7 Sp Braga 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4 UOU
11 8 Moreirense 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 1 2 0 4 2 5 OUU
12 9 Gil Vicente 3 2 1 1.7 1.0 1 2 0 5 3 5 OUU
13 10 Casa Pia 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 0 2 3 4 3 UUO
14 11 Rio Ave 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7 UUO
15 13 Arouca 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 1 0 2 1 4 3 UUO
16 15 Boavista 3 2 1 0.0 1.3 0 1 2 0 4 1 UUO
17 6 Famalicao 3 3 0 1.3 0.3 2 1 0 4 1 7 UUU
18 12 AVS 3 3 0 1.0 0.3 2 1 0 3 1 7 UUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 4 0 4 4.2 0.2 4 0 0 17 1 12 OOOO
2 8 Moreirense 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3 OOO
3 12 AVS 3 0 3 1.0 3.0 0 0 3 3 9 0 OOO
4 4 Santa Clara 3 1 2 2.3 1.7 2 0 1 7 5 6 OUO
5 6 Famalicao 3 1 2 1.3 0.7 1 1 1 4 2 4 OOU
6 2 Porto 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 0 1 5 2 6 UUO
7 3 Benfica 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4 UUO
8 7 Sp Braga 3 2 1 1.3 0.0 2 1 0 4 0 7 UUO
9 9 Gil Vicente 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 0 2 1 1 4 2 OUU
10 10 Casa Pia 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 1 1 1 2 4 4 OUU
11 11 Rio Ave 3 2 1 0.3 2.0 0 0 3 1 6 0 OUU
12 13 Arouca 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 1 0 2 2 4 3 OUU
13 14 Estoril 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2 UUO
14 15 Boavista 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4 UUO
15 18 Farense 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 0 0 3 1 5 0 UUO
16 5 Guimaraes 3 3 0 1.0 0.3 2 0 1 3 1 6 UUU
17 16 Nacional 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 0 1 2 1 3 1 UUU
18 17 Estrela 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 0 1 2 1 3 1 UUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47