Estoril 1–2 Porto – Portugal Primeira Liga, 30 Mar 2025

Match facts

Estoril Porto

3 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 6

1 Corners 6

19 Fouls 13

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (239 league matches this season so far).

Result Porto to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.76

Expected goals 1.23 – 1.62

Home / Draw / Away

29% 25% 46%

EstorilDrawPorto

Under / Over 2.5 goals

46% 54%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

43% 57%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

16% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.5% 0–1 9.3% 1–2 9.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Estoril before this match, all matches

1.38points / match

1.31scored / match

1.58conceded / match

9 9 8

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 34:41

Porto before this match, all matches

2.04points / match

1.96scored / match

0.77conceded / match

16 5 5

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 51:20

Estoril all matches all matches Porto

Per match

1.31 Goals scored 1.96

1.58 Goals conceded 0.77

2.88 Total goals 2.73

10.38 Shots 14.62

3.58 Shots on target 5.54

12.31 Shots faced 7.62

3.77 Corners 5.58

5.50 Corners against 3.15

15.58 Fouls 13.96

2.50 Yellow cards 2.69

0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.69

0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.35

How often Full Time

35% Wins 62%

35% Draws 19%

31% Losses 19%

88% Over 0.5 goals 100%

73% Over 1.5 goals 92%

65% Over 2.5 goals 46%

42% Over 3.5 goals 27%

15% Over 4.5 goals 8%

4% Over 5.5 goals 0%

58% Both teams scored 35%

19% Clean sheets 54%

35% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 42%

42% Draws 31%

31% Losses 27%

69% Over 0.5 goals 73%

42% Over 1.5 goals 23%

19% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril all matches

4

2

W

3

2

W

1

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

2

D

2

1

W

1

3

L

2

D

1

D

Porto all matches

2

L

1

3

L

1

D

2

D

1

D

1

W

1

D

2

W

1

L

2

W

Estoril before this match, at home

1.69points / match

1.31scored / match

1.31conceded / match

6 4 3

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 17:17

Porto before this match, away

1.54points / match

1.62scored / match

1.15conceded / match

6 2 5

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 21:15

Estoril at home away Porto

Per match

1.31 Goals scored 1.62

1.31 Goals conceded 1.15

2.62 Total goals 2.77

11.08 Shots 12.08

3.85 Shots on target 4.15

11.08 Shots faced 7.62

4.31 Corners 4.23

5.31 Corners against 3.00

16.92 Fouls 13.54

2.85 Yellow cards 3.77

0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.69

0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

46% Wins 46%

31% Draws 15%

23% Losses 38%

85% Over 0.5 goals 100%

69% Over 1.5 goals 85%

62% Over 2.5 goals 46%

31% Over 3.5 goals 31%

15% Over 4.5 goals 15%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

54% Both teams scored 31%

31% Clean sheets 46%

31% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 31%

54% Draws 31%

8% Losses 38%

54% Over 0.5 goals 77%

38% Over 1.5 goals 31%

23% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril at home

3

L

4

1

W

D

2

1

W

2

L

2

D

1

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

2

D

Porto away

5

W

1

4

L

1

D

3

W

2

L

1

3

L

2

D

1

W

2

W

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Estoril all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.25	Arouca – Estoril	1–1 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	3.90	2.05	1.75
08.03.25	Estoril – Farense	2–2 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.80	2.25	1.62
03.03.25	Sp Lisbon – Estoril	3–1 (2–0)	1.20	7.00	11.00	1.44	2.70
22.02.25	Estoril – Rio Ave	2–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.05	1.80
15.02.25	Nacional – Estoril	2–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.20	3.30	2.15	1.67
09.02.25	Estoril – Boavista	2–1 (1–0)	1.55	3.90	6.50	2.08	1.73
01.02.25	Gil Vicente – Estoril	1–2 (1–1)	2.15	3.25	3.40	2.25	1.62
26.01.25	Estoril – Guimaraes	1–0 (0–0)	4.20	3.60	1.83	2.03	1.83
18.01.25	Santa Clara – Estoril	2–3 (1–2)	1.70	3.40	5.50	2.40	1.53
05.01.25	Estrela – Estoril	2–4 (0–3)	2.25	3.10	3.30	2.25	1.62

Porto all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.25	Porto – AVS	2–0 (1–0)	1.25	5.75	11.00	1.67	2.15
08.03.25	Sp Braga – Porto	1–0 (1–0)	3.30	3.25	2.20	2.00	1.85
01.03.25	Arouca – Porto	0–2 (0–1)	5.00	3.75	1.67	2.00	1.85
24.02.25	Porto – Guimaraes	1–1 (0–0)	1.67	3.70	5.25	2.10	1.70
16.02.25	Farense – Porto	0–1 (0–0)	7.00	4.75	1.40	1.93	1.93
07.02.25	Porto – Sp Lisbon	1–1 (0–1)	2.80	3.10	2.55	2.15	1.67
03.02.25	Rio Ave – Porto	2–2 (1–0)	7.00	4.50	1.42	1.75	2.05
26.01.25	Porto – Santa Clara	1–1 (0–1)	1.45	4.10	7.50	2.10	1.70
19.01.25	Gil Vicente – Porto	3–1 (1–0)	7.50	4.50	1.40	2.00	1.85
12.01.25	Nacional – Porto	2–0 (2–0)	8.50	4.75	1.36	1.73	2.08

Estoril at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Estoril – Farense	2–2 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.80	2.25	1.62
22.02.25	Estoril – Rio Ave	2–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.05	1.80
09.02.25	Estoril – Boavista	2–1 (1–0)	1.55	3.90	6.50	2.08	1.73
26.01.25	Estoril – Guimaraes	1–0 (0–0)	4.20	3.60	1.83	2.03	1.83
28.12.24	Estoril – Moreirense	2–2 (2–1)	3.25	3.00	2.40	2.50	1.50
15.12.24	Estoril – Casa Pia	0–2 (0–0)	2.63	3.10	2.75	2.25	1.62
01.12.24	Estoril – Famalicao	2–1 (2–1)	3.20	3.40	2.20	2.35	1.57
09.11.24	Estoril – AVS	0–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.00	3.50	2.25	1.62
26.10.24	Estoril – Arouca	4–1 (2–1)	3.00	3.20	2.40	2.25	1.62
27.09.24	Estoril – Sp Lisbon	0–3 (0–2)	13.00	7.50	1.17	1.40	2.88

Porto away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Sp Braga – Porto	1–0 (1–0)	3.30	3.25	2.20	2.00	1.85
01.03.25	Arouca – Porto	0–2 (0–1)	5.00	3.75	1.67	2.00	1.85
16.02.25	Farense – Porto	0–1 (0–0)	7.00	4.75	1.40	1.93	1.93
03.02.25	Rio Ave – Porto	2–2 (1–0)	7.00	4.50	1.42	1.75	2.05
19.01.25	Gil Vicente – Porto	3–1 (1–0)	7.50	4.50	1.40	2.00	1.85
12.01.25	Nacional – Porto	2–0 (2–0)	8.50	4.75	1.36	1.73	2.08
21.12.24	Moreirense – Porto	0–3 (0–1)	7.00	4.10	1.48	2.05	1.75
07.12.24	Famalicao – Porto	1–1 (1–0)	6.00	4.33	1.50	1.95	1.90
10.11.24	Benfica – Porto	4–1 (1–1)	2.10	3.30	3.50	1.98	1.88
28.10.24	AVS – Porto	0–5 (0–4)	9.00	5.50	1.30	1.75	2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1 4

Estoril winsDrawsPorto wins

7matches

2.86goals / match

43%over 2.5

43%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.11.24P1	Porto – Estoril	4–0 (2–0)	1.14	8.00	15.00	1.44	2.70
30.03.24P1	Estoril – Porto	1–0 (0–0)	9.00	5.00	1.36	1.57	2.35
03.11.23P1	Porto – Estoril	0–1 (0–0)	1.18	7.50	12.00	1.40	2.88
10.03.23P1	Porto – Estoril	3–2 (2–1)	1.18	6.50	13.00	1.57	2.35
17.09.22P1	Estoril – Porto	1–1 (1–0)	9.50	5.00	1.30	1.70	2.10
14.05.22P1	Porto – Estoril	2–0 (0–0)	1.18	8.00	11.00	1.44	2.70
08.01.22P1	Estoril – Porto	2–3 (2–0)	26.00	8.50	1.09	1.50	2.50

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sp Lisbon	27	20	5	2	73	23	+50	65
2	Benfica	26	20	2	4	62	20	+42	62
3	Sp Braga	27	17	5	5	44	23	+21	56
4	Porto	26	16	5	5	51	20	+31	53
5	Santa Clara	27	14	4	9	28	25	+3	46
6	Guimaraes	26	10	11	5	36	27	+9	41
7	Casa Pia	27	11	6	10	34	36	-2	39
8	Famalicao	27	9	10	8	33	30	+3	37
9	Estoril	26	9	9	8	34	41	-7	36
10	Moreirense	26	8	7	11	31	37	-6	31
11	Nacional	27	8	5	14	26	37	-11	29
12	Rio Ave	27	7	8	12	30	45	-15	29
13	Arouca	27	7	8	12	26	41	-15	29
14	Gil Vicente	26	5	8	13	24	40	-16	23
15	AVS	27	4	11	12	21	41	-20	23
16	Estrela	27	5	8	14	21	41	-20	23
17	Farense	26	3	8	15	17	37	-20	17
18	Boavista	26	3	6	17	16	43	-27	15

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Benfica	13	12	0	1	40	7	+33	36
2	Sp Lisbon	13	11	1	1	32	10	+22	34
3	Porto	13	10	3	0	30	5	+25	33
4	Sp Braga	14	8	3	3	27	16	+11	27
5	Guimaraes	13	7	5	1	23	14	+9	26
6	Santa Clara	14	8	2	4	14	12	+2	26
7	Casa Pia	14	7	4	3	19	14	+5	25
8	Moreirense	13	6	5	2	17	14	+3	23
9	Nacional	13	7	2	4	19	18	+1	23
10	Estoril	13	6	4	3	17	17	0	22
11	Famalicao	14	5	6	3	14	10	+4	21
12	Rio Ave	13	5	6	2	21	20	+1	21
13	Gil Vicente	13	4	4	5	16	16	0	16
14	Estrela	14	4	4	6	16	22	-6	16
15	AVS	13	3	5	5	11	17	-6	14
16	Arouca	13	3	5	5	10	16	-6	14
17	Farense	13	2	1	10	7	20	-13	7
18	Boavista	13	1	3	9	6	20	-14	6

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sp Lisbon	14	9	4	1	41	13	+28	31
2	Sp Braga	13	9	2	2	17	7	+10	29
3	Benfica	13	8	2	3	22	13	+9	26
4	Porto	13	6	2	5	21	15	+6	20
5	Santa Clara	13	6	2	5	14	13	+1	20
6	Famalicao	13	4	4	5	19	20	-1	16
7	Guimaraes	13	3	6	4	13	13	0	15
8	Arouca	14	4	3	7	16	25	-9	15
9	Estoril	13	3	5	5	17	24	-7	14
10	Casa Pia	13	4	2	7	15	22	-7	14
11	Farense	13	1	7	5	10	17	-7	10
12	Boavista	13	2	3	8	10	23	-13	9
13	AVS	14	1	6	7	10	24	-14	9
14	Moreirense	13	2	2	9	14	23	-9	8
15	Rio Ave	14	2	2	10	9	25	-16	8
16	Estrela	13	1	4	8	5	19	-14	7
17	Gil Vicente	13	1	4	8	8	24	-16	7
18	Nacional	14	1	3	10	7	19	-12	6

Estoril Porto

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Sp Lisbon	27	7	20	2.7	0.9	20	5	2	73	23	65
2	2	Benfica	26	9	17	2.4	0.8	20	2	4	62	20	62
3	9	Estoril	26	9	17	1.3	1.6	9	9	8	34	41	36
4	12	Rio Ave	27	12	15	1.1	1.7	7	8	12	30	45	29
5	3	Sp Braga	27	13	14	1.6	0.9	17	5	5	44	23	56
6	10	Moreirense	26	13	13	1.2	1.4	8	7	11	31	37	31
7	13	Arouca	27	14	13	1.0	1.5	7	8	12	26	41	29
8	4	Porto	26	14	12	2.0	0.8	16	5	5	51	20	53
9	7	Casa Pia	27	15	12	1.3	1.3	11	6	10	34	36	39
10	8	Famalicao	27	15	12	1.2	1.1	9	10	8	33	30	37
11	14	Gil Vicente	26	14	12	0.9	1.5	5	8	13	24	40	23
12	18	Boavista	26	14	12	0.6	1.7	3	6	17	16	43	15
13	6	Guimaraes	26	15	11	1.4	1.0	10	11	5	36	27	41
14	11	Nacional	27	16	11	1.0	1.4	8	5	14	26	37	29
15	16	Estrela	27	17	10	0.8	1.5	5	8	14	21	41	23
16	17	Farense	26	16	10	0.7	1.4	3	8	15	17	37	17
17	15	AVS	27	18	9	0.8	1.5	4	11	12	21	41	23
18	5	Santa Clara	27	19	8	1.0	0.9	14	4	9	28	25	46

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Benfica	13	2	11	3.1	0.5	12	0	1	40	7	36
2	12	Rio Ave	13	4	9	1.6	1.5	5	6	2	21	20	21
3	1	Sp Lisbon	13	5	8	2.5	0.8	11	1	1	32	10	34
4	3	Sp Braga	14	6	8	1.9	1.1	8	3	3	27	16	27
5	9	Estoril	13	5	8	1.3	1.3	6	4	3	17	17	22
6	16	Estrela	14	6	8	1.1	1.6	4	4	6	16	22	16
7	6	Guimaraes	13	6	7	1.8	1.1	7	5	1	23	14	26
8	11	Nacional	13	6	7	1.5	1.4	7	2	4	19	18	23
9	14	Gil Vicente	13	6	7	1.2	1.2	4	4	5	16	16	16
10	4	Porto	13	7	6	2.3	0.4	10	3	0	30	5	33
11	10	Moreirense	13	7	6	1.3	1.1	6	5	2	17	14	23
12	7	Casa Pia	14	9	5	1.4	1.0	7	4	3	19	14	25
13	17	Farense	13	8	5	0.5	1.5	2	1	10	7	20	7
14	5	Santa Clara	14	10	4	1.0	0.9	8	2	4	14	12	26
15	8	Famalicao	14	10	4	1.0	0.7	5	6	3	14	10	21
16	15	AVS	13	9	4	0.8	1.3	3	5	5	11	17	14
17	18	Boavista	13	9	4	0.5	1.5	1	3	9	6	20	6
18	13	Arouca	13	10	3	0.8	1.2	3	5	5	10	16	14

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Sp Lisbon	14	2	12	2.9	0.9	9	4	1	41	13	31
2	13	Arouca	14	4	10	1.1	1.8	4	3	7	16	25	15
3	9	Estoril	13	4	9	1.3	1.8	3	5	5	17	24	14
4	8	Famalicao	13	5	8	1.5	1.5	4	4	5	19	20	16
5	18	Boavista	13	5	8	0.8	1.8	2	3	8	10	23	9
6	7	Casa Pia	13	6	7	1.2	1.7	4	2	7	15	22	14
7	10	Moreirense	13	6	7	1.1	1.8	2	2	9	14	23	8
8	2	Benfica	13	7	6	1.7	1.0	8	2	3	22	13	26
9	3	Sp Braga	13	7	6	1.3	0.5	9	2	2	17	7	29
10	4	Porto	13	7	6	1.6	1.2	6	2	5	21	15	20
11	12	Rio Ave	14	8	6	0.6	1.8	2	2	10	9	25	8
12	14	Gil Vicente	13	8	5	0.6	1.8	1	4	8	8	24	7
13	15	AVS	14	9	5	0.7	1.7	1	6	7	10	24	9
14	17	Farense	13	8	5	0.8	1.3	1	7	5	10	17	10
15	5	Santa Clara	13	9	4	1.1	1.0	6	2	5	14	13	20
16	6	Guimaraes	13	9	4	1.0	1.0	3	6	4	13	13	15
17	11	Nacional	14	10	4	0.5	1.4	1	3	10	7	19	6
18	16	Estrela	13	11	2	0.4	1.5	1	4	8	5	19	7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.