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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Nacional 2–2 Estoril

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.25 fair 2.40
Draw ✓ 3.20 fair 3.89
Away 3.30 fair 3.07
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 2.02
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.15 fair 1.98

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nacional Estoril
18 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 3
15 Fouls 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (191 league matches this season so far).
Result Nacional to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.45 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
NacionalDrawEstoril
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 9.8% 2–1 8.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Nacional before this match, all matches
1.05points / match
0.90scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 19:28
Estoril before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.24scored / match
1.52conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 26:32
Nacional all matches all matches Estoril

Per match

0.90 Goals scored 1.24
1.33 Goals conceded 1.52
2.24 Total goals 2.76
12.48 Shots 10.43
3.81 Shots on target 3.62
14.81 Shots faced 12.52
4.00 Corners 3.86
6.71 Corners against 5.52
13.67 Fouls 16.00
2.43 Yellow cards 2.67
0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

29% Wins 38%
19% Draws 29%
52% Losses 33%
90% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 67%
33% Over 2.5 goals 62%
14% Over 3.5 goals 38%
5% Over 4.5 goals 19%
5% Over 5.5 goals 5%
33% Both teams scored 48%
33% Clean sheets 24%
43% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 33%
43% Draws 38%
33% Losses 29%
67% Over 0.5 goals 71%
33% Over 1.5 goals 43%
14% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional all matches
Estoril all matches
Nacional before this match, at home
1.60points / match
1.20scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 12:14
Estoril before this match, away
1.20points / match
1.30scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 13:18
Nacional at home away Estoril

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 1.30
1.40 Goals conceded 1.80
2.60 Total goals 3.10
13.10 Shots 9.90
4.50 Shots on target 3.40
13.70 Shots faced 14.20
4.20 Corners 2.90
5.80 Corners against 5.80
13.00 Fouls 14.70
2.40 Yellow cards 2.30
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

50% Wins 30%
10% Draws 30%
40% Losses 40%
90% Over 0.5 goals 90%
80% Over 1.5 goals 70%
40% Over 2.5 goals 70%
20% Over 3.5 goals 50%
10% Over 4.5 goals 20%
10% Over 5.5 goals 10%
30% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 10%
30% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 20%
40% Draws 30%
20% Losses 50%
60% Over 0.5 goals 80%
50% Over 1.5 goals 40%
30% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional at home
Estoril away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.02.25 Farense – Nacional 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.203.10 2.20 1.65
01.02.25 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (1–2) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67
25.01.25 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 1.149.5012.00 1.37 2.87
19.01.25 Nacional – AVS 3–1 (3–1) 2.053.203.75 2.25 1.62
12.01.25 Nacional – Porto 2–0 (2–0) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08
29.12.24 Rio Ave – Nacional 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.103.50 2.08 1.73
23.12.24 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–2 (1–1) 1.533.906.25 1.98 1.88
19.12.24 Nacional – Benfica 0–2 (0–0) 8.507.001.25 1.40 2.88
14.12.24 Nacional – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.60 2.25 1.62
07.12.24 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.303.80 2.08 1.73

Estoril all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.02.25 Estoril – Boavista 2–1 (1–0) 1.553.906.50 2.08 1.73
01.02.25 Gil Vicente – Estoril 1–2 (1–1) 2.153.253.40 2.25 1.62
26.01.25 Estoril – Guimaraes 1–0 (0–0) 4.203.601.83 2.03 1.83
18.01.25 Santa Clara – Estoril 2–3 (1–2) 1.703.405.50 2.40 1.53
05.01.25 Estrela – Estoril 2–4 (0–3) 2.253.103.30 2.25 1.62
28.12.24 Estoril – Moreirense 2–2 (2–1) 3.253.002.40 2.50 1.50
23.12.24 Benfica – Estoril 3–0 (1–0) 1.089.5023.00 1.33 3.40
15.12.24 Estoril – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–0) 2.633.102.75 2.25 1.62
06.12.24 Sp Braga – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 1.227.0010.00 1.65 2.20
01.12.24 Estoril – Famalicao 2–1 (2–1) 3.203.402.20 2.35 1.57

Nacional at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (1–2) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67
19.01.25 Nacional – AVS 3–1 (3–1) 2.053.203.75 2.25 1.62
12.01.25 Nacional – Porto 2–0 (2–0) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08
19.12.24 Nacional – Benfica 0–2 (0–0) 8.507.001.25 1.40 2.88
14.12.24 Nacional – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.60 2.25 1.62
30.11.24 Nacional – Boavista 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.15 1.67
04.11.24 Nacional – Santa Clara 2–0 (2–0) 3.303.102.25 2.35 1.57
20.09.24 Nacional – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–0) 5.253.801.65 1.62 2.25
01.09.24 Nacional – Farense 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.403.20 1.90 1.95
17.08.24 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–6 (1–2) 10.006.001.25 1.57 2.35

Estoril away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Gil Vicente – Estoril 1–2 (1–1) 2.153.253.40 2.25 1.62
18.01.25 Santa Clara – Estoril 2–3 (1–2) 1.703.405.50 2.40 1.53
05.01.25 Estrela – Estoril 2–4 (0–3) 2.253.103.30 2.25 1.62
23.12.24 Benfica – Estoril 3–0 (1–0) 1.089.5023.00 1.33 3.40
06.12.24 Sp Braga – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 1.227.0010.00 1.65 2.20
03.11.24 Porto – Estoril 4–0 (2–0) 1.148.0015.00 1.44 2.70
06.10.24 Farense – Estoril 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.10 2.05 1.75
21.09.24 Rio Ave – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 1.913.404.10 2.40 1.53
31.08.24 Boavista – Estoril 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.103.30 2.35 1.57
18.08.24 Guimaraes – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.50 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nacional winsDrawsEstoril wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.09.24P1 Estoril – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.08 1.73

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 21 16 3 2 57 16 +41 51 WDWWWD
2 Benfica 21 15 2 4 49 18 +31 47 LLWLWW
3 Porto 21 13 4 4 45 18 +27 43 WLLDDD
4 Sp Braga 21 13 4 4 38 20 +18 43 LWWWWW
5 Santa Clara 21 12 2 7 25 22 +3 38 WDLDWW
6 Casa Pia 22 9 6 7 29 28 +1 33 DWWLWL
7 Guimaraes 21 7 9 5 30 25 +5 30 DDDLWD
8 Estoril 21 8 6 7 26 32 -6 30 DWWWWW
9 Moreirense 22 7 5 10 28 33 -5 26 DDLLLW
10 Famalicao 21 5 10 6 22 24 -2 25 LDLDWD
11 Rio Ave 21 6 7 8 23 35 -12 25 WDLWDD
12 Arouca 21 6 5 10 19 32 -13 23 DWDWWD
13 Gil Vicente 21 5 7 9 23 32 -9 22 DDWLLL
14 Nacional 21 6 4 11 19 28 -9 22 LWWLLW
15 Estrela 22 5 5 12 19 34 -15 20 LLDLLW
16 AVS 21 3 9 9 16 31 -15 18 DDLWLL
17 Farense 21 3 6 12 13 30 -17 15 DDDLLL
18 Boavista 22 2 6 14 14 37 -23 12 LLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 11 10 0 1 34 7 +27 30 WWWLWW
2 Porto 11 9 2 0 27 4 +23 29 WWWWDD
3 Sp Lisbon 10 9 0 1 24 6 +18 27 WLWWWW
4 Santa Clara 11 7 1 3 12 10 +2 22 WWLDLW
5 Guimaraes 10 5 4 1 20 14 +6 19 WWDDDW
6 Casa Pia 11 5 4 2 15 10 +5 19 DDWDWW
7 Moreirense 11 5 4 2 15 13 +2 19 WLDDLW
8 Sp Braga 11 5 3 3 23 15 +8 18 LDDLWW
9 Estoril 11 5 3 3 13 14 -1 18 DWLDWW
10 Rio Ave 10 4 5 1 16 15 +1 17 DWDWLD
11 Gil Vicente 10 4 4 2 16 10 +6 16 LWDDWL
12 Nacional 10 5 1 4 12 14 -2 16 DWLWWL
13 Estrela 11 4 2 5 15 18 -3 14 WWWLLL
14 AVS 11 3 4 4 9 14 -5 13 LLDDWL
15 Famalicao 11 2 6 3 7 9 -2 12 DDLLDD
16 Arouca 10 3 3 4 7 11 -4 12 LLWDWD
17 Farense 10 2 1 7 7 17 -10 7 LWLDLL
18 Boavista 11 0 3 8 4 18 -14 3 DDLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Braga 10 8 1 1 15 5 +10 25 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 11 7 3 1 33 10 +23 24 WLDDWD
3 Benfica 10 5 2 3 15 11 +4 17 WDWLLW
4 Santa Clara 10 5 1 4 13 12 +1 16 LWLWDW
5 Porto 10 4 2 4 18 14 +4 14 LDWLLD
6 Casa Pia 11 4 2 5 14 18 -4 14 LWWWLL
7 Famalicao 10 3 4 3 15 15 0 13 WLDDLW
8 Estoril 10 3 3 4 13 18 -5 12 LDLWWW
9 Guimaraes 11 2 5 4 10 11 -1 11 LLDDLD
10 Arouca 11 3 2 6 12 21 -9 11 DLLWDW
11 Boavista 11 2 3 6 10 19 -9 9 WDLLLL
12 Farense 11 1 5 5 6 13 -7 8 DDWDDL
13 Rio Ave 11 2 2 7 7 20 -13 8 WLLDWD
14 Moreirense 11 2 1 8 13 20 -7 7 LLLDLL
15 Nacional 11 1 3 7 7 14 -7 6 LLDLLW
16 Estrela 11 1 3 7 4 16 -12 6 LLDDLW
17 Gil Vicente 11 1 3 7 7 22 -15 6 LLWDLL
18 AVS 10 0 5 5 7 17 -10 5 DDDDLL

Nacional   Estoril

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 21 7 14 2.7 0.8 16 3 2 57 16 51 UOOUOU
2 2 Benfica 21 8 13 2.3 0.9 15 2 4 49 18 47 UOOOOO
3 8 Estoril 21 8 13 1.2 1.5 8 6 7 26 32 30 OOOUOO
4 9 Moreirense 22 9 13 1.3 1.5 7 5 10 28 33 26 UUUOOO
5 3 Porto 21 9 12 2.1 0.9 13 4 4 45 18 43 OUOUOU
6 4 Sp Braga 21 9 12 1.8 1.0 13 4 4 38 20 43 OOUOOU
7 11 Rio Ave 21 10 11 1.1 1.7 6 7 8 23 35 25 OUOOOU
8 13 Gil Vicente 21 10 11 1.1 1.5 5 7 9 23 32 22 UUOUOU
9 7 Guimaraes 21 11 10 1.4 1.2 7 9 5 30 25 30 OOOUUU
10 12 Arouca 21 11 10 0.9 1.5 6 5 10 19 32 23 UOOUOU
11 18 Boavista 22 12 10 0.6 1.7 2 6 14 14 37 12 OOOUOU
12 6 Casa Pia 22 13 9 1.3 1.3 9 6 7 29 28 33 UOOOUO
13 10 Famalicao 21 12 9 1.0 1.1 5 10 6 22 24 25 OUOUUU
14 15 Estrela 22 13 9 0.9 1.5 5 5 12 19 34 20 OUUOUU
15 5 Santa Clara 21 13 8 1.2 1.0 12 2 7 25 22 38 OUOUOO
16 17 Farense 21 13 8 0.6 1.4 3 6 12 13 30 15 OUUOOU
17 14 Nacional 21 14 7 0.9 1.3 6 4 11 19 28 22 OUOUOU
18 16 AVS 21 14 7 0.8 1.5 3 9 9 16 31 18 UUOUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 11 2 9 3.1 0.6 10 0 1 34 7 30 OUOOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 11 4 7 2.1 1.4 5 3 3 23 15 18 OOOOOU
3 7 Guimaraes 10 3 7 2.0 1.4 5 4 1 20 14 19 UOOOOU
4 11 Rio Ave 10 3 7 1.6 1.5 4 5 1 16 15 17 OOOOOO
5 15 Estrela 11 4 7 1.4 1.6 4 2 5 15 18 14 UOUOUO
6 3 Porto 11 5 6 2.5 0.4 9 2 0 27 4 29 OUUOUU
7 8 Estoril 11 5 6 1.2 1.3 5 3 3 13 14 18 UOUOUO
8 9 Moreirense 11 5 6 1.4 1.2 5 4 2 15 13 19 OOUUOO
9 13 Gil Vicente 10 4 6 1.6 1.0 4 4 2 16 10 16 OOUUOO
10 1 Sp Lisbon 10 5 5 2.4 0.6 9 0 1 24 6 27 OUOUUO
11 17 Farense 10 5 5 0.7 1.7 2 1 7 7 17 7 OUUOOU
12 5 Santa Clara 11 7 4 1.1 0.9 7 1 3 12 10 22 UUUUOO
13 14 Nacional 10 6 4 1.2 1.4 5 1 4 12 14 16 UUUUOO
14 6 Casa Pia 11 8 3 1.4 0.9 5 4 2 15 10 19 UUOUOU
15 10 Famalicao 11 8 3 0.6 0.8 2 6 3 7 9 12 UUOOUU
16 16 AVS 11 8 3 0.8 1.3 3 4 4 9 14 13 OUUUUO
17 18 Boavista 11 8 3 0.4 1.6 0 3 8 4 18 3 UUOOUU
18 12 Arouca 10 8 2 0.7 1.1 3 3 4 7 11 12 OUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 11 2 9 3.0 0.9 7 3 1 33 10 24 OOUOOU
2 12 Arouca 11 3 8 1.1 1.9 3 2 6 12 21 11 UOOOOO
3 8 Estoril 10 3 7 1.3 1.8 3 3 4 13 18 12 OOOOOO
4 9 Moreirense 11 4 7 1.2 1.8 2 1 8 13 20 7 UOUOUO
5 18 Boavista 11 4 7 0.9 1.7 2 3 6 10 19 9 OUOOOO
6 3 Porto 10 4 6 1.8 1.4 4 2 4 18 14 14 OUOUOO
7 6 Casa Pia 11 5 6 1.3 1.6 4 2 5 14 18 14 UUOOOO
8 10 Famalicao 10 4 6 1.5 1.5 3 4 3 15 15 13 OOOUOU
9 4 Sp Braga 10 5 5 1.5 0.5 8 1 1 15 5 25 OUUOUO
10 13 Gil Vicente 11 6 5 0.6 2.0 1 3 7 7 22 6 OOUUUU
11 2 Benfica 10 6 4 1.5 1.1 5 2 3 15 11 17 UUUUOO
12 5 Santa Clara 10 6 4 1.3 1.2 5 1 4 13 12 16 UUUOUO
13 11 Rio Ave 11 7 4 0.6 1.8 2 2 7 7 20 8 UUUUOU
14 16 AVS 10 6 4 0.7 1.7 0 5 5 7 17 5 UUUUOU
15 7 Guimaraes 11 8 3 0.9 1.0 2 5 4 10 11 11 UUOOUU
16 14 Nacional 11 8 3 0.6 1.3 1 3 7 7 14 6 UOOOUU
17 17 Farense 11 8 3 0.5 1.2 1 5 5 6 13 8 UUOUUO
18 15 Estrela 11 9 2 0.4 1.5 1 3 7 4 16 6 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11