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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Sp Braga 1–0 Porto

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 3.30 fair 2.55
Draw 3.25 fair 4.00
Away 2.20 fair 2.79
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 2.18
Over 2.5 2.00 fair 1.85

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sp Braga Porto
7 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 3
16 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (219 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Braga to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.74
Expected goals 1.46 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
Sp BragaDrawPorto
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 2–1 8.6% 1–0 8.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Sp Braga before this match, all matches
1.96points / match
1.67scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 40:22
Porto before this match, all matches
2.08points / match
2.04scored / match
0.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 49:19
Sp Braga all matches all matches Porto

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 2.04
0.92 Goals conceded 0.79
2.58 Total goals 2.83
13.75 Shots 14.71
5.00 Shots on target 5.46
10.13 Shots faced 7.63
6.29 Corners 5.75
3.71 Corners against 3.00
13.79 Fouls 13.75
2.00 Yellow cards 2.63
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.21 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

58% Wins 63%
21% Draws 21%
21% Losses 17%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 96%
54% Over 2.5 goals 50%
21% Over 3.5 goals 29%
8% Over 4.5 goals 8%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
46% Both teams scored 38%
50% Clean sheets 54%
13% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 42%
42% Draws 33%
13% Losses 25%
67% Over 0.5 goals 71%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Braga all matches
Porto all matches
Sp Braga before this match, at home
1.75points / match
2.00scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 24:15
Porto before this match, away
1.67points / match
1.75scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 21:14
Sp Braga at home away Porto

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.75
1.25 Goals conceded 1.17
3.25 Total goals 2.92
14.83 Shots 12.50
5.75 Shots on target 4.25
9.17 Shots faced 7.67
7.00 Corners 4.33
3.33 Corners against 2.67
14.42 Fouls 13.50
1.67 Yellow cards 3.75
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
25% Draws 17%
25% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
92% Over 1.5 goals 92%
58% Over 2.5 goals 50%
42% Over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 33%
42% Clean sheets 50%
8% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 33%
25% Draws 33%
8% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 75%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Braga at home
Porto away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sp Braga all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.25 Rio Ave – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–1) 4.203.601.83 1.85 2.00
21.02.25 Sp Braga – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.806.00 1.73 2.08
16.02.25 Guimaraes – Sp Braga 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.252.75 2.05 1.80
09.02.25 Sp Braga – Gil Vicente 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.88 1.98
03.02.25 Moreirense – Sp Braga 1–2 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 2.05 1.75
26.01.25 Sp Braga – Boavista 3–0 (2–0) 1.226.5011.00 1.53 2.40
19.01.25 Estrela – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 5.003.801.67 1.85 2.00
04.01.25 Benfica – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–2) 1.424.507.00 1.57 2.35
29.12.24 Sp Braga – Casa Pia 1–2 (1–1) 1.424.507.50 1.83 2.03
22.12.24 Santa Clara – Sp Braga 0–2 (0–0) 3.103.202.30 2.25 1.62

Porto all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.25 Arouca – Porto 0–2 (0–1) 5.003.751.67 2.00 1.85
24.02.25 Porto – Guimaraes 1–1 (0–0) 1.673.705.25 2.10 1.70
16.02.25 Farense – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 7.004.751.40 1.93 1.93
07.02.25 Porto – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.102.55 2.15 1.67
03.02.25 Rio Ave – Porto 2–2 (1–0) 7.004.501.42 1.75 2.05
26.01.25 Porto – Santa Clara 1–1 (0–1) 1.454.107.50 2.10 1.70
19.01.25 Gil Vicente – Porto 3–1 (1–0) 7.504.501.40 2.00 1.85
12.01.25 Nacional – Porto 2–0 (2–0) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08
28.12.24 Porto – Boavista 4–0 (1–0) 1.139.0015.00 1.40 2.88
21.12.24 Moreirense – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 7.004.101.48 2.05 1.75

Sp Braga at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.25 Sp Braga – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.806.00 1.73 2.08
09.02.25 Sp Braga – Gil Vicente 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.88 1.98
26.01.25 Sp Braga – Boavista 3–0 (2–0) 1.226.5011.00 1.53 2.40
29.12.24 Sp Braga – Casa Pia 1–2 (1–1) 1.424.507.50 1.83 2.03
16.12.24 Sp Braga – Famalicao 3–3 (0–1) 1.484.206.50 1.88 1.98
06.12.24 Sp Braga – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 1.227.0010.00 1.65 2.20
10.11.24 Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon 2–4 (2–0) 5.254.201.57 1.57 2.35
27.10.24 Sp Braga – Farense 2–0 (1–0) 1.336.007.00 1.54 2.35
29.09.24 Sp Braga – Rio Ave 4–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.00 1.70 2.10
15.09.24 Sp Braga – Guimaraes 0–2 (0–0) 2.003.603.50 2.08 1.73

Porto away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.25 Arouca – Porto 0–2 (0–1) 5.003.751.67 2.00 1.85
16.02.25 Farense – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 7.004.751.40 1.93 1.93
03.02.25 Rio Ave – Porto 2–2 (1–0) 7.004.501.42 1.75 2.05
19.01.25 Gil Vicente – Porto 3–1 (1–0) 7.504.501.40 2.00 1.85
12.01.25 Nacional – Porto 2–0 (2–0) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08
21.12.24 Moreirense – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 7.004.101.48 2.05 1.75
07.12.24 Famalicao – Porto 1–1 (1–0) 6.004.331.50 1.95 1.90
10.11.24 Benfica – Porto 4–1 (1–1) 2.103.303.50 1.98 1.88
28.10.24 AVS – Porto 0–5 (0–4) 9.005.501.30 1.75 2.05
21.09.24 Guimaraes – Porto 0–3 (0–0) 3.503.102.20 2.20 1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sp Braga winsDrawsPorto wins
7matches
1.86goals / match
29%over 2.5
29%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.10.24P1 Porto – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–0) 1.603.756.00 1.67 2.15
18.05.24P1 Sp Braga – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.10 1.57 2.35
14.01.24P1 Porto – Sp Braga 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.754.50 1.67 2.15
19.03.23P1 Sp Braga – Porto 0–0 (0–0) 3.253.252.20 1.93 1.93
30.09.22P1 Porto – Sp Braga 4–1 (2–0) 1.753.804.00 1.75 2.05
25.04.22P1 Sp Braga – Porto 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.601.80 1.75 2.05
12.12.21P1 Porto – Sp Braga 1–0 (1–0) 1.504.336.50 1.72 2.07

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 24 17 5 2 64 21 +43 56 WWDDDW
2 Benfica 24 18 2 4 56 18 +38 56 LWWWWW
3 Porto 24 15 5 4 49 19 +30 50 DDDWDW
4 Sp Braga 24 14 5 5 40 22 +18 47 WWWDWL
5 Santa Clara 24 12 3 9 25 24 +1 39 DWWLDL
6 Casa Pia 24 10 6 8 30 29 +1 36 WLWLWL
7 Guimaraes 24 8 11 5 32 26 +6 35 LWDDDW
8 Estoril 25 9 8 8 33 40 -7 35 WWDWLD
9 Famalicao 24 7 10 7 27 26 +1 31 DWDWWL
10 Rio Ave 24 7 8 9 27 39 -12 29 WDDDLW
11 Arouca 25 7 7 11 24 38 -14 28 WDDDLW
12 Moreirense 24 7 6 11 29 36 -7 27 LLLWLD
13 Nacional 25 7 5 13 23 35 -12 26 LWDLWL
14 Gil Vicente 24 5 8 11 24 36 -12 23 LLLLLD
15 Estrela 25 5 8 12 21 36 -15 23 LLWDDD
16 AVS 25 4 11 10 20 35 -15 23 LLDDWL
17 Farense 25 3 8 14 17 36 -19 17 LLLDLD
18 Boavista 24 3 6 15 15 40 -25 15 LLLLLW
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 13 12 0 1 40 7 +33 36 WLWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 12 10 1 1 29 9 +20 31 WWWWDW
3 Porto 12 9 3 0 28 5 +23 30 WWWDDD
4 Guimaraes 12 6 5 1 21 14 +7 23 DDDWDW
5 Casa Pia 12 6 4 2 16 10 +6 22 DWDWWW
6 Santa Clara 12 7 1 4 12 11 +1 22 WLDLWL
7 Estoril 13 6 4 3 17 17 0 22 LDWWWD
8 Sp Braga 12 6 3 3 24 15 +9 21 DDLWWW
9 Rio Ave 12 5 6 1 19 17 +2 21 DWLDDW
10 Moreirense 12 5 5 2 16 14 +2 20 LDDLWD
11 Nacional 12 6 2 4 16 17 -1 20 LWWLDW
12 Gil Vicente 11 4 4 3 16 12 +4 16 WDDWLL
13 Estrela 13 4 4 5 16 19 -3 16 WLLLDD
14 Famalicao 12 3 6 3 9 9 0 15 DLLDDW
15 AVS 13 3 5 5 11 17 -6 14 DDWLDL
16 Arouca 12 3 4 5 9 15 -6 13 WDWDDL
17 Farense 12 2 1 9 7 19 -12 7 LDLLLL
18 Boavista 12 1 3 8 5 18 -13 6 DLLLLW
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Braga 12 8 2 2 16 7 +9 26 WWWWDL
2 Sp Lisbon 12 7 4 1 35 12 +23 25 LDDWDD
3 Porto 12 6 2 4 21 14 +7 20 WLLDWW
4 Benfica 11 6 2 3 16 11 +5 20 DWLLWW
5 Santa Clara 12 5 2 5 13 13 0 17 LWDWDL
6 Famalicao 12 4 4 4 18 17 +1 16 DDLWWL
7 Arouca 13 4 3 6 15 23 -8 15 LWDWDW
8 Casa Pia 12 4 2 6 14 19 -5 14 WWWLLL
9 Estoril 12 3 4 5 16 23 -7 13 LWWWDL
10 Guimaraes 12 2 6 4 11 12 -1 12 LDDLDD
11 Farense 13 1 7 5 10 17 -7 10 WDDLDD
12 AVS 12 1 6 5 9 18 -9 9 DDLLDW
13 Boavista 12 2 3 7 10 22 -12 9 DLLLLL
14 Rio Ave 12 2 2 8 8 22 -14 8 LLDWDL
15 Moreirense 12 2 1 9 13 22 -9 7 LLDLLL
16 Estrela 12 1 4 7 5 17 -12 7 LDDLWD
17 Gil Vicente 13 1 4 8 8 24 -16 7 WDLLLD
18 Nacional 13 1 3 9 7 18 -11 6 DLLWLL

Sp Braga   Porto

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 24 7 17 2.7 0.9 17 5 2 64 21 56 UOUOOO
2 8 Estoril 25 8 17 1.3 1.6 9 8 8 33 40 35 OOOOOO
3 2 Benfica 24 9 15 2.3 0.8 18 2 4 56 18 56 OOOUOO
4 4 Sp Braga 24 11 13 1.7 0.9 14 5 5 40 22 47 OOUUUO
5 10 Rio Ave 24 11 13 1.1 1.6 7 8 9 27 39 29 OOUUOO
6 12 Moreirense 24 11 13 1.2 1.5 7 6 11 29 36 27 UOOOUU
7 3 Porto 24 12 12 2.0 0.8 15 5 4 49 19 50 UOUUUU
8 11 Arouca 25 13 12 1.0 1.5 7 7 11 24 38 28 OUOOUU
9 14 Gil Vicente 24 13 11 1.0 1.5 5 8 11 24 36 23 UOUUUU
10 18 Boavista 24 13 11 0.6 1.7 3 6 15 15 40 15 OUOUOU
11 7 Guimaraes 24 14 10 1.3 1.1 8 11 5 32 26 35 UUUUUU
12 9 Famalicao 24 14 10 1.1 1.1 7 10 7 27 26 31 UUUUUO
13 13 Nacional 25 15 10 0.9 1.4 7 5 13 23 35 26 OUOUOO
14 17 Farense 25 15 10 0.7 1.4 3 8 14 17 36 17 OUUOUO
15 6 Casa Pia 24 15 9 1.2 1.2 10 6 8 30 29 36 OOUOUU
16 15 Estrela 25 16 9 0.8 1.4 5 8 12 21 36 23 OUUUUU
17 5 Santa Clara 24 16 8 1.0 1.0 12 3 9 25 24 39 UOOUUU
18 16 AVS 25 17 8 0.8 1.4 4 11 10 20 35 23 UOUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 13 2 11 3.1 0.5 12 0 1 40 7 36 OOOOOO
2 8 Estoril 13 5 8 1.3 1.3 6 4 3 17 17 22 UOUOOO
3 10 Rio Ave 12 4 8 1.6 1.4 5 6 1 19 17 21 OOOOUO
4 1 Sp Lisbon 12 5 7 2.4 0.8 10 1 1 29 9 31 OUUOOO
5 4 Sp Braga 12 5 7 2.0 1.2 6 3 3 24 15 21 OOOOUU
6 7 Guimaraes 12 5 7 1.8 1.2 6 5 1 21 14 23 OOOUUU
7 15 Estrela 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 4 4 5 16 19 16 UOUOUU
8 3 Porto 12 6 6 2.3 0.4 9 3 0 28 5 30 UUOUUU
9 12 Moreirense 12 6 6 1.3 1.2 5 5 2 16 14 20 OUUOOU
10 13 Nacional 12 6 6 1.3 1.4 6 2 4 16 17 20 UUOOOO
11 14 Gil Vicente 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 4 4 3 16 12 16 OUUOOU
12 17 Farense 12 7 5 0.6 1.6 2 1 9 7 19 7 UOOUUU
13 5 Santa Clara 12 8 4 1.0 0.9 7 1 4 12 11 22 UUUOOU
14 16 AVS 13 9 4 0.8 1.3 3 5 5 11 17 14 UUUOOU
15 6 Casa Pia 12 9 3 1.3 0.8 6 4 2 16 10 22 UOUOUU
16 9 Famalicao 12 9 3 0.8 0.8 3 6 3 9 9 15 UOOUUU
17 11 Arouca 12 9 3 0.8 1.2 3 4 5 9 15 13 UUUUOU
18 18 Boavista 12 9 3 0.4 1.5 1 3 8 5 18 6 UOOUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 12 2 10 2.9 1.0 7 4 1 35 12 25 OUOOUO
2 8 Estoril 12 3 9 1.3 1.9 3 4 5 16 23 13 OOOOOO
3 11 Arouca 13 4 9 1.2 1.8 4 3 6 15 23 15 OOOOOU
4 18 Boavista 12 4 8 0.8 1.8 2 3 7 10 22 9 UOOOOO
5 9 Famalicao 12 5 7 1.5 1.4 4 4 4 18 17 16 OUOUUO
6 12 Moreirense 12 5 7 1.1 1.8 2 1 9 13 22 7 OUOUOU
7 3 Porto 12 6 6 1.8 1.2 6 2 4 21 14 20 OUOOUU
8 4 Sp Braga 12 6 6 1.3 0.6 8 2 2 16 7 26 UOUOUO
9 6 Casa Pia 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 4 2 6 14 19 14 UOOOOU
10 10 Rio Ave 12 7 5 0.7 1.8 2 2 8 8 22 8 UUUOUO
11 14 Gil Vicente 13 8 5 0.6 1.8 1 4 8 8 24 7 UUUUUU
12 17 Farense 13 8 5 0.8 1.3 1 7 5 10 17 10 OUUOOO
13 2 Benfica 11 7 4 1.5 1.0 6 2 3 16 11 20 UUUOOU
14 5 Santa Clara 12 8 4 1.1 1.1 5 2 5 13 13 17 UOUOUU
15 13 Nacional 13 9 4 0.5 1.4 1 3 9 7 18 6 OOUUUO
16 16 AVS 12 8 4 0.8 1.5 1 6 5 9 18 9 UUOUUU
17 7 Guimaraes 12 9 3 0.9 1.0 2 6 4 11 12 12 UOOUUU
18 15 Estrela 12 10 2 0.4 1.4 1 4 7 5 17 7 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10