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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Nacional 1–2 Arouca

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.45 fair 2.33
Draw 3.10 fair 4.08
Away ✓ 2.85 fair 3.06
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 2.26
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 1.79

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nacional Arouca
15 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 5
10 Fouls 18
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (45 league matches this season so far).
Result Nacional to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.57 – 1.35
Home / Draw / Away
NacionalDrawArouca
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 2–1 9% 1–0 8.5%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Nacional before this match, all matches
0.80points / match
0.80scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 4:8
Arouca before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.40scored / match
2.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:13
Nacional all matches all matches Arouca

Per match

0.80 Goals scored 1.40
1.60 Goals conceded 2.60
2.40 Total goals 4.00
9.00 Shots 9.40
2.80 Shots on target 3.40
15.80 Shots faced 14.00
6.20 Corners 3.60
6.40 Corners against 4.20
18.60 Fouls 13.60
3.40 Yellow cards 2.20
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

20% Wins 20%
20% Draws 40%
60% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
20% Over 2.5 goals 60%
20% Over 3.5 goals 60%
20% Over 4.5 goals 40%
0% Over 5.5 goals 40%
40% Both teams scored 60%
20% Clean sheets 0%
40% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 40%
0% Draws 20%
60% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
40% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional all matches
Arouca all matches
Nacional before this match, at home
0.00points / match
0.50scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 1:6
Arouca before this match, away
0.50points / match
0.50scored / match
3.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 1:7
Nacional at home away Arouca

Per match

0.50 Goals scored 0.50
3.00 Goals conceded 3.50
3.50 Total goals 4.00
9.00 Shots 8.00
2.50 Shots on target 2.00
19.50 Shots faced 15.50
8.50 Corners 1.50
9.50 Corners against 4.00
19.50 Fouls 12.00
3.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 2.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
0% Draws 50%
100% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
50% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 50%
50% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
0% Draws 50%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional at home
Arouca away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25 Porto – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.156.5017.00 1.57 2.35
30.08.25 Casa Pia – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.203.40 2.25 1.62
23.08.25 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (1–0) 9.006.001.27 1.50 2.50
17.08.25 Rio Ave – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.203.20 2.05 1.75
09.08.25 Nacional – Gil Vicente 0–2 (0–2) 2.503.102.90 2.10 1.70
17.05.25 Porto – Nacional 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.259.50 1.57 2.35
10.05.25 Nacional – Rio Ave 3–3 (0–3) 1.953.503.75 1.93 1.93
03.05.25 Nacional – Guimaraes 1–2 (0–1) 4.203.501.85 1.98 1.88
27.04.25 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.60 2.20 1.65
19.04.25 Nacional – Gil Vicente 0–3 (0–1) 2.303.103.20 2.25 1.62

Arouca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.25 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–1) 1.913.304.00 2.15 1.67
30.08.25 Guimaraes – Arouca 1–1 (1–1) 1.763.604.33 2.03 1.83
23.08.25 Arouca – Rio Ave 3–3 (1–0) 2.003.253.90 2.05 1.80
17.08.25 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 6–0 (3–0) 1.296.008.50 1.57 2.35
09.08.25 Arouca – AVS 3–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.33 2.05 1.75
17.05.25 Arouca – Boavista 4–1 (3–1) 2.053.503.50 1.90 1.95
10.05.25 Gil Vicente – Arouca 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.253.00 2.10 1.70
04.05.25 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.60 2.10 1.70
26.04.25 Santa Clara – Arouca 2–0 (2–0) 1.903.104.50 2.30 1.60
19.04.25 Arouca – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.304.20 2.10 1.70

Nacional at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.08.25 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (1–0) 9.006.001.27 1.50 2.50
09.08.25 Nacional – Gil Vicente 0–2 (0–2) 2.503.102.90 2.10 1.70
10.05.25 Nacional – Rio Ave 3–3 (0–3) 1.953.503.75 1.93 1.93
03.05.25 Nacional – Guimaraes 1–2 (0–1) 4.203.501.85 1.98 1.88
19.04.25 Nacional – Gil Vicente 0–3 (0–1) 2.303.103.20 2.25 1.62
06.04.25 Nacional – Estrela 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.203.70 2.35 1.57
16.03.25 Nacional – Casa Pia 3–1 (1–0) 2.403.302.90 2.20 1.65
01.03.25 Nacional – Famalicao 2–1 (1–0) 2.603.002.90 2.20 1.65
15.02.25 Nacional – Estoril 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.203.30 2.15 1.67
01.02.25 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (1–2) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67

Arouca away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25 Guimaraes – Arouca 1–1 (1–1) 1.763.604.33 2.03 1.83
17.08.25 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 6–0 (3–0) 1.296.008.50 1.57 2.35
10.05.25 Gil Vicente – Arouca 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.253.00 2.10 1.70
26.04.25 Santa Clara – Arouca 2–0 (2–0) 1.903.104.50 2.30 1.60
13.04.25 Benfica – Arouca 2–2 (0–0) 1.177.0017.00 1.44 2.70
29.03.25 Sp Braga – Arouca 2–1 (2–0) 1.703.754.75 1.90 1.95
08.03.25 AVS – Arouca 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.102.38 2.25 1.62
15.02.25 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 2–2 (1–2) 1.255.5012.00 1.57 2.35
01.02.25 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (1–2) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67
18.01.25 Guimaraes – Arouca 2–2 (2–0) 1.553.906.25 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nacional winsDrawsArouca wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25P1 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (1–2) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67
25.08.24P1 Arouca – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 1.93 1.93

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 6 6 0 0 15 1 +14 18
2 Sp Lisbon 5 4 0 1 15 4 +11 12
3 Moreirense 5 4 0 1 8 4 +4 12
4 Benfica 4 3 1 0 7 2 +5 10
5 Famalicao 5 3 1 1 6 2 +4 10
6 Gil Vicente 5 3 1 1 5 2 +3 10
7 Sp Braga 5 2 2 1 10 5 +5 8
8 Guimaraes 5 2 1 2 6 8 -2 7
9 Casa Pia 5 2 0 3 4 8 -4 6
10 Estoril 5 1 2 2 8 8 0 5
11 Santa Clara 5 1 2 2 2 5 -3 5
12 Arouca 5 1 2 2 7 13 -6 5
13 Alverca 5 1 1 3 5 9 -4 4
14 Nacional 5 1 1 3 4 8 -4 4
15 Estrela 5 0 3 2 3 6 -3 3
16 Rio Ave 5 0 3 2 7 12 -5 3
17 AVS 5 0 1 4 4 11 -7 1
18 Tondela 5 0 1 4 2 10 -8 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 3 3 0 0 8 0 +8 9
2 Moreirense 3 3 0 0 7 2 +5 9
3 Benfica 2 1 1 0 4 1 +3 4
4 Sp Braga 3 1 1 1 5 3 +2 4
5 Famalicao 3 1 1 1 4 2 +2 4
6 Estoril 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4
7 Guimaraes 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
8 Arouca 3 1 1 1 6 6 0 4
9 Sp Lisbon 2 1 0 1 7 2 +5 3
10 Gil Vicente 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
11 Alverca 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3
12 Rio Ave 3 0 2 1 3 6 -3 2
13 Tondela 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
14 Santa Clara 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
15 Estrela 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1
16 AVS 2 0 0 2 0 3 -3 0
17 Casa Pia 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0
18 Nacional 2 0 0 2 1 6 -5 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sp Lisbon 3 3 0 0 8 2 +6 9
2 Porto 3 3 0 0 7 1 +6 9
3 Gil Vicente 3 2 1 0 3 0 +3 7
4 Benfica 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
5 Famalicao 2 2 0 0 2 0 +2 6
6 Casa Pia 3 2 0 1 4 4 0 6
7 Sp Braga 2 1 1 0 5 2 +3 4
8 Nacional 3 1 1 1 3 2 +1 4
9 Santa Clara 3 1 1 1 2 4 -2 4
10 Moreirense 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
11 Guimaraes 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3
12 Estrela 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
13 Estoril 2 0 1 1 4 5 -1 1
14 Alverca 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
15 Rio Ave 2 0 1 1 4 6 -2 1
16 AVS 3 0 1 2 4 8 -4 1
17 Arouca 2 0 1 1 1 7 -6 1
18 Tondela 3 0 0 3 0 7 -7 0

Nacional   Arouca

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Porto 6 2 4 2.5 0.2 6 0 0 15 1 18
2 2 Sp Lisbon 5 1 4 3.0 0.8 4 0 1 15 4 12
3 7 Sp Braga 5 1 4 2.0 1.0 2 2 1 10 5 8
4 13 Alverca 5 1 4 1.0 1.8 1 1 3 5 9 4
5 16 Rio Ave 5 1 4 1.4 2.4 0 3 2 7 12 3
6 10 Estoril 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 1 2 2 8 8 5
7 12 Arouca 5 2 3 1.4 2.6 1 2 2 7 13 5
8 17 AVS 5 2 3 0.8 2.2 0 1 4 4 11 1
9 18 Tondela 5 2 3 0.4 2.0 0 1 4 2 10 1
10 3 Moreirense 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 4 0 1 8 4 12
11 4 Benfica 4 2 2 1.8 0.5 3 1 0 7 2 10
12 5 Famalicao 5 3 2 1.2 0.4 3 1 1 6 2 10
13 8 Guimaraes 5 3 2 1.2 1.6 2 1 2 6 8 7
14 9 Casa Pia 5 4 1 0.8 1.6 2 0 3 4 8 6
15 11 Santa Clara 5 4 1 0.4 1.0 1 2 2 2 5 5
16 14 Nacional 5 4 1 0.8 1.6 1 1 3 4 8 4
17 15 Estrela 5 4 1 0.6 1.2 0 3 2 3 6 3
18 6 Gil Vicente 5 5 0 1.0 0.4 3 1 1 5 2 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Porto 3 1 2 2.7 0.0 3 0 0 8 0 9
2 2 Sp Lisbon 2 0 2 3.5 1.0 1 0 1 7 2 3
3 3 Moreirense 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 3 0 0 7 2 9
4 5 Famalicao 3 1 2 1.3 0.7 1 1 1 4 2 4
5 7 Sp Braga 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 1 1 1 5 3 4
6 12 Arouca 3 1 2 2.0 2.0 1 1 1 6 6 4
7 13 Alverca 3 1 2 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3
8 16 Rio Ave 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 0 2 1 3 6 2
9 4 Benfica 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 1 1 0 4 1 4
10 8 Guimaraes 2 1 1 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
11 10 Estoril 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4
12 14 Nacional 2 1 1 0.5 3.0 0 0 2 1 6 0
13 15 Estrela 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1
14 18 Tondela 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
15 6 Gil Vicente 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
16 9 Casa Pia 2 2 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
17 11 Santa Clara 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1
18 17 AVS 2 2 0 0.0 1.5 0 0 2 0 3 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 AVS 3 0 3 1.3 2.7 0 1 2 4 8 1
2 1 Porto 3 1 2 2.3 0.3 3 0 0 7 1 9
3 2 Sp Lisbon 3 1 2 2.7 0.7 3 0 0 8 2 9
4 7 Sp Braga 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 1 1 0 5 2 4
5 10 Estoril 2 0 2 2.0 2.5 0 1 1 4 5 1
6 13 Alverca 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
7 16 Rio Ave 2 0 2 2.0 3.0 0 1 1 4 6 1
8 18 Tondela 3 1 2 0.0 2.3 0 0 3 0 7 0
9 4 Benfica 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
10 8 Guimaraes 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3
11 9 Casa Pia 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 2 0 1 4 4 6
12 11 Santa Clara 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 1 1 1 2 4 4
13 12 Arouca 2 1 1 0.5 3.5 0 1 1 1 7 1
14 3 Moreirense 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
15 5 Famalicao 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 2 0 0 2 0 6
16 6 Gil Vicente 3 3 0 1.0 0.0 2 1 0 3 0 7
17 14 Nacional 3 3 0 1.0 0.7 1 1 1 3 2 4
18 15 Estrela 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40