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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Nacional 1–2 Arouca

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.50 fair 2.17
Draw 3.20 fair 3.85
Away ✓ 2.88 fair 3.58
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 1.90
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.15 fair 2.11

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nacional Arouca
19 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 3
15 Fouls 20
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (172 league matches this season so far).
Result Nacional to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.95
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.09
Home / Draw / Away
NacionalDrawArouca
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 11.3% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Nacional before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.84scored / match
1.37conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 16:26
Arouca before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.84scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 16:30
Nacional all matches all matches Arouca

Per match

0.84 Goals scored 0.84
1.37 Goals conceded 1.58
2.21 Total goals 2.42
12.21 Shots 11.26
3.79 Shots on target 3.21
14.68 Shots faced 12.84
4.11 Corners 6.21
6.63 Corners against 5.42
13.53 Fouls 14.37
2.21 Yellow cards 3.00
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.37
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

26% Wins 26%
21% Draws 21%
53% Losses 53%
89% Over 0.5 goals 95%
68% Over 1.5 goals 63%
32% Over 2.5 goals 47%
16% Over 3.5 goals 32%
5% Over 4.5 goals 5%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
32% Both teams scored 47%
32% Clean sheets 26%
47% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 26%
42% Draws 26%
32% Losses 47%
68% Over 0.5 goals 74%
32% Over 1.5 goals 21%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional all matches
Arouca all matches
Nacional before this match, at home
1.78points / match
1.22scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 11:12
Arouca before this match, away
0.80points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 10:20
Nacional at home away Arouca

Per match

1.22 Goals scored 1.00
1.33 Goals conceded 2.00
2.56 Total goals 3.00
12.44 Shots 11.70
4.56 Shots on target 3.20
14.00 Shots faced 13.60
4.33 Corners 5.70
6.11 Corners against 6.00
12.78 Fouls 13.90
2.11 Yellow cards 3.20
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.90

How often Full Time

56% Wins 20%
11% Draws 20%
33% Losses 60%
89% Over 0.5 goals 90%
78% Over 1.5 goals 70%
33% Over 2.5 goals 70%
22% Over 3.5 goals 60%
11% Over 4.5 goals 10%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
22% Both teams scored 60%
56% Clean sheets 20%
33% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 30%
44% Draws 20%
11% Losses 50%
56% Over 0.5 goals 80%
44% Over 1.5 goals 40%
22% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional at home
Arouca away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.25 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 1.149.5012.00 1.37 2.87
19.01.25 Nacional – AVS 3–1 (3–1) 2.053.203.75 2.25 1.62
12.01.25 Nacional – Porto 2–0 (2–0) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08
29.12.24 Rio Ave – Nacional 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.103.50 2.08 1.73
23.12.24 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–2 (1–1) 1.533.906.25 1.98 1.88
19.12.24 Nacional – Benfica 0–2 (0–0) 8.507.001.25 1.40 2.88
14.12.24 Nacional – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.60 2.25 1.62
07.12.24 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.303.80 2.08 1.73
30.11.24 Nacional – Boavista 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.15 1.67
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70

Arouca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.25 Arouca – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.103.25 2.50 1.50
18.01.25 Guimaraes – Arouca 2–2 (2–0) 1.553.906.25 1.98 1.88
04.01.25 Boavista – Arouca 1–3 (0–1) 2.753.102.63 2.25 1.62
27.12.24 Arouca – Gil Vicente 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.253.20 2.35 1.57
20.12.24 Casa Pia – Arouca 3–1 (2–0) 2.303.103.50 2.50 1.50
15.12.24 Arouca – Santa Clara 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.202.30 2.35 1.57
09.12.24 Estrela – Arouca 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.202.80 2.15 1.67
01.12.24 Arouca – Benfica 0–2 (0–1) 9.505.751.27 1.53 2.40
09.11.24 Famalicao – Arouca 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 2.30 1.60
03.11.24 Arouca – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–1) 4.333.901.73 1.73 2.08

Nacional at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.01.25 Nacional – AVS 3–1 (3–1) 2.053.203.75 2.25 1.62
12.01.25 Nacional – Porto 2–0 (2–0) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08
19.12.24 Nacional – Benfica 0–2 (0–0) 8.507.001.25 1.40 2.88
14.12.24 Nacional – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.60 2.25 1.62
30.11.24 Nacional – Boavista 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.15 1.67
04.11.24 Nacional – Santa Clara 2–0 (2–0) 3.303.102.25 2.35 1.57
20.09.24 Nacional – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–0) 5.253.801.65 1.62 2.25
01.09.24 Nacional – Farense 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.403.20 1.90 1.95
17.08.24 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–6 (1–2) 10.006.001.25 1.57 2.35

Arouca away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.25 Guimaraes – Arouca 2–2 (2–0) 1.553.906.25 1.98 1.88
04.01.25 Boavista – Arouca 1–3 (0–1) 2.753.102.63 2.25 1.62
20.12.24 Casa Pia – Arouca 3–1 (2–0) 2.303.103.50 2.50 1.50
09.12.24 Estrela – Arouca 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.202.80 2.15 1.67
09.11.24 Famalicao – Arouca 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 2.30 1.60
26.10.24 Estoril – Arouca 4–1 (2–1) 3.003.202.40 2.25 1.62
29.09.24 Porto – Arouca 4–0 (0–0) 1.206.2515.00 1.53 2.40
22.09.24 Farense – Arouca 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.102.70 1.95 1.90
01.09.24 Rio Ave – Arouca 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.10 2.05 1.75
18.08.24 Moreirense – Arouca 3–1 (2–1) 2.303.253.10 2.05 1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nacional winsDrawsArouca wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.08.24P1 Arouca – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 1.93 1.93

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 19 15 2 2 53 14 +39 47 WDWDWW
2 Benfica 19 13 2 4 43 14 +29 41 WWLLWL
3 Porto 19 13 2 4 42 15 +27 41 WWWLLD
4 Sp Braga 19 11 4 4 34 19 +15 37 DWLWWW
5 Santa Clara 19 10 2 7 21 20 +1 32 LLWDLD
6 Casa Pia 19 8 6 5 25 23 +2 30 WWWDWW
7 Guimaraes 19 6 8 5 28 25 +3 26 DDDDDL
8 Famalicao 20 5 9 6 22 24 -2 24 LLDLDW
9 Estoril 19 6 6 7 22 30 -8 24 LLDWWW
10 Moreirense 19 6 5 8 22 26 -4 23 LLDDDL
11 Rio Ave 19 6 5 8 20 32 -12 23 DLWDLW
12 Gil Vicente 19 5 7 7 22 28 -6 22 WDDDWL
13 Nacional 19 5 4 10 16 26 -10 19 LDLWWL
14 Arouca 19 5 4 10 16 30 -14 19 WLDWDW
15 AVS 19 3 9 7 15 27 -12 18 DDDDLW
16 Estrela 19 4 5 10 16 30 -14 17 LWDLLD
17 Farense 19 3 6 10 12 25 -13 15 LWDDDL
18 Boavista 20 2 6 12 13 34 -21 12 DLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 10 9 1 0 26 3 +23 28 WWWWWD
2 Benfica 10 9 0 1 31 5 +26 27 WWWWLW
3 Sp Lisbon 9 8 0 1 21 5 +16 24 WWLWWW
4 Santa Clara 10 6 1 3 10 9 +1 19 WWWLDL
5 Gil Vicente 9 4 4 1 15 8 +7 16 WLWDDW
6 Guimaraes 9 4 4 1 18 14 +4 16 DWWDDD
7 Casa Pia 10 4 4 2 14 10 +4 16 WDDWDW
8 Moreirense 9 4 4 1 11 9 +2 16 WWWLDD
9 Rio Ave 9 4 4 1 14 13 +1 16 DDWDWL
10 Nacional 9 5 1 3 11 12 -1 16 WDWLWW
11 Sp Braga 10 4 3 3 21 15 +6 15 WLDDLW
12 Estoril 10 4 3 3 11 13 -2 15 WDWLDW
13 Estrela 10 4 2 4 13 15 -2 14 DWWWLL
14 AVS 10 3 4 3 8 12 -4 13 LLLDDW
15 Famalicao 10 2 5 3 7 9 -2 11 LDDLLD
16 Arouca 9 3 2 4 6 10 -4 11 DLLWDW
17 Farense 9 2 1 6 7 15 -8 7 WLWLDL
18 Boavista 10 0 3 7 4 17 -13 3 LDDLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 10 7 2 1 32 9 +23 23 WWLDDW
2 Sp Braga 9 7 1 1 13 4 +9 22 LWWWWW
3 Benfica 9 4 2 3 12 9 +3 14 WWDWLL
4 Casa Pia 9 4 2 3 11 13 -2 14 LDLWWW
5 Porto 9 4 1 4 16 12 +4 13 WLDWLL
6 Famalicao 10 3 4 3 15 15 0 13 WLDDLW
7 Santa Clara 9 4 1 4 11 11 0 13 LLWLWD
8 Guimaraes 10 2 4 4 10 11 -1 10 DLLDDL
9 Estoril 9 2 3 4 11 17 -6 9 LLDLWW
10 Boavista 10 2 3 5 9 17 -8 9 DWDLLL
11 Farense 10 1 5 4 5 10 -5 8 LDDWDD
12 Arouca 10 2 2 6 10 20 -10 8 LDLLWD
13 Moreirense 10 2 1 7 11 17 -6 7 WLLLDL
14 Rio Ave 10 2 1 7 6 19 -13 7 LWLLDW
15 Gil Vicente 10 1 3 6 7 20 -13 6 LLLWDL
16 AVS 9 0 5 4 7 15 -8 5 DDDDDL
17 Nacional 10 0 3 7 5 14 -9 3 LLLDLL
18 Estrela 9 0 3 6 3 15 -12 3 LLLLDD

Nacional   Arouca

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 19 6 13 2.8 0.7 15 2 2 53 14 47 OUUOOU
2 2 Benfica 19 8 11 2.3 0.7 13 2 4 43 14 41 UOUOOO
3 3 Porto 19 8 11 2.2 0.8 13 2 4 42 15 41 UOOUOU
4 4 Sp Braga 19 8 11 1.8 1.0 11 4 4 34 19 37 OUOOUO
5 9 Estoril 19 8 11 1.2 1.6 6 6 7 22 30 24 UOOOOU
6 7 Guimaraes 19 9 10 1.5 1.3 6 8 5 28 25 26 OOOOOU
7 10 Moreirense 19 9 10 1.2 1.4 6 5 8 22 26 23 UOOUUU
8 11 Rio Ave 19 9 10 1.1 1.7 6 5 8 20 32 23 OUOUOO
9 12 Gil Vicente 19 9 10 1.2 1.5 5 7 7 22 28 22 UUUUOU
10 8 Famalicao 20 11 9 1.1 1.2 5 9 6 22 24 24 OOUOUU
11 14 Arouca 19 10 9 0.8 1.6 5 4 10 16 30 19 UOUOOU
12 18 Boavista 20 11 9 0.7 1.7 2 6 12 13 34 12 UOOOOU
13 16 Estrela 19 11 8 0.8 1.6 4 5 10 16 30 17 UUUOUU
14 6 Casa Pia 19 12 7 1.3 1.2 8 6 5 25 23 30 UOOUOO
15 17 Farense 19 12 7 0.6 1.3 3 6 10 12 25 15 UOOUUO
16 5 Santa Clara 19 13 6 1.1 1.1 10 2 7 21 20 32 UUOUOU
17 13 Nacional 19 13 6 0.8 1.4 5 4 10 16 26 19 UOOUOU
18 15 AVS 19 13 6 0.8 1.4 3 9 7 15 27 18 UUUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 10 2 8 3.1 0.5 9 0 1 31 5 27 OOUOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 10 3 7 2.1 1.5 4 3 3 21 15 15 UOOOOO
3 7 Guimaraes 9 2 7 2.0 1.6 4 4 1 18 14 16 OUOOOO
4 3 Porto 10 4 6 2.6 0.3 9 1 0 26 3 28 OOUUOU
5 11 Rio Ave 9 3 6 1.6 1.4 4 4 1 14 13 16 UOOOOO
6 16 Estrela 10 4 6 1.3 1.5 4 2 4 13 15 14 OUOUOU
7 9 Estoril 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 4 3 3 11 13 15 OUOUOU
8 12 Gil Vicente 9 4 5 1.7 0.9 4 4 1 15 8 16 OOOUUO
9 17 Farense 9 4 5 0.8 1.7 2 1 6 7 15 7 UOUUOO
10 1 Sp Lisbon 9 5 4 2.3 0.6 8 0 1 21 5 24 UOUOUU
11 10 Moreirense 9 5 4 1.2 1.0 4 4 1 11 9 16 UOOOUU
12 5 Santa Clara 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 6 1 3 10 9 19 OUUUUO
13 6 Casa Pia 10 7 3 1.4 1.0 4 4 2 14 10 16 UUUOUO
14 8 Famalicao 10 7 3 0.7 0.9 2 5 3 7 9 11 OUUOOU
15 13 Nacional 9 6 3 1.2 1.3 5 1 3 11 12 16 UUUUUO
16 18 Boavista 10 7 3 0.4 1.7 0 3 7 4 17 3 UUUOOU
17 14 Arouca 9 7 2 0.7 1.1 3 2 4 6 10 11 UOUUUU
18 15 AVS 10 8 2 0.8 1.2 3 4 3 8 12 13 OOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 10 1 9 3.2 0.9 7 2 1 32 9 23 OOOUOO
2 14 Arouca 10 3 7 1.0 2.0 2 2 6 10 20 8 OUOOOO
3 8 Famalicao 10 4 6 1.5 1.5 3 4 3 15 15 13 OOOUOU
4 9 Estoril 9 3 6 1.2 1.9 2 3 4 11 17 9 UOOOOO
5 10 Moreirense 10 4 6 1.1 1.7 2 1 7 11 17 7 UUOUOU
6 18 Boavista 10 4 6 0.9 1.7 2 3 5 9 17 9 OOUOOO
7 3 Porto 9 4 5 1.8 1.3 4 1 4 16 12 13 OOUOUO
8 12 Gil Vicente 10 5 5 0.7 2.0 1 3 6 7 20 6 OOOUUU
9 4 Sp Braga 9 5 4 1.4 0.4 7 1 1 13 4 22 OOUUOU
10 6 Casa Pia 9 5 4 1.2 1.4 4 2 3 11 13 14 UOUUOO
11 11 Rio Ave 10 6 4 0.6 1.9 2 1 7 6 19 7 OUUUUO
12 15 AVS 9 5 4 0.8 1.7 0 5 4 7 15 5 UUUUUO
13 2 Benfica 9 6 3 1.3 1.0 4 2 3 12 9 14 OUUUUO
14 5 Santa Clara 9 6 3 1.2 1.2 4 1 4 11 11 13 UUUUOU
15 7 Guimaraes 10 7 3 1.0 1.1 2 4 4 10 11 10 OUUOOU
16 13 Nacional 10 7 3 0.5 1.4 0 3 7 5 14 3 UUOOOU
17 16 Estrela 9 7 2 0.3 1.7 0 3 6 3 15 3 OOUUUU
18 17 Farense 10 8 2 0.5 1.0 1 5 4 5 10 8 UUUOUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47