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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Nacional 1–4 Sp Lisbon

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 9.00 fair 2.85
Draw 6.00 fair 3.87
Away ✓ 1.27 fair 2.56
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.01
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.99

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nacional Sp Lisbon
3 Shots 27
1 Shots on target 7
3 Corners 13
18 Fouls 7
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (18 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Lisbon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.30 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
NacionalDrawSp Lisbon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 0–1 9.4% 1–0 8.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Nacional before this match, all matches
0.50points / match
0.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 1:3
Sp Lisbon before this match, all matches
3.00points / match
4.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 8:0
Nacional all matches all matches Sp Lisbon

Per match

0.50 Goals scored 4.00
1.50 Goals conceded 0.00
2.00 Total goals 4.00
14.00 Shots 23.00
5.00 Shots on target 11.00
16.00 Shots faced 7.00
10.00 Corners 7.50
6.00 Corners against 1.50
19.50 Fouls 9.00
3.50 Yellow cards 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 2.00
1.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 100%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 50%
0% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 50%
50% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 100%
50% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
100% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional all matches
Sp Lisbon all matches
Nacional before this match, at home
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 0:2
Sp Lisbon before this match, away
3.00points / match
2.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 2:0
Nacional at home away Sp Lisbon

Per match

0.00 Goals scored 2.00
2.00 Goals conceded 0.00
2.00 Total goals 2.00
15.00 Shots 27.00
4.00 Shots on target 12.00
12.00 Shots faced 7.00
14.00 Corners 9.00
6.00 Corners against 2.00
21.00 Fouls 11.00
3.00 Yellow cards 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
2.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
100% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 100%
100% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
100% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional at home
Sp Lisbon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.08.25 Rio Ave – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.203.20 2.05 1.75
09.08.25 Nacional – Gil Vicente 0–2 (0–2) 2.503.102.90 2.10 1.70
17.05.25 Porto – Nacional 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.259.50 1.57 2.35
10.05.25 Nacional – Rio Ave 3–3 (0–3) 1.953.503.75 1.93 1.93
03.05.25 Nacional – Guimaraes 1–2 (0–1) 4.203.501.85 1.98 1.88
27.04.25 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.60 2.20 1.65
19.04.25 Nacional – Gil Vicente 0–3 (0–1) 2.303.103.20 2.25 1.62
12.04.25 Boavista – Nacional 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.102.63 2.15 1.67
06.04.25 Nacional – Estrela 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.203.70 2.35 1.57
30.03.25 Santa Clara – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.204.33 2.50 1.50

Sp Lisbon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.08.25 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 6–0 (3–0) 1.296.008.50 1.57 2.35
08.08.25 Casa Pia – Sp Lisbon 0–2 (0–1) 9.005.001.33 1.70 2.10
17.05.25 Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes 2–0 (0–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.53 2.40
10.05.25 Benfica – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.30 1.67 2.15
04.05.25 Sp Lisbon – Gil Vicente 2–1 (0–1) 1.137.5021.00 1.50 2.50
27.04.25 Boavista – Sp Lisbon 0–5 (0–2) 12.006.251.22 1.57 2.35
18.04.25 Sp Lisbon – Moreirense 3–1 (2–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.65 2.20
12.04.25 Santa Clara – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–0) 6.253.601.60 2.15 1.67
07.04.25 Sp Lisbon – Sp Braga 1–1 (1–0) 1.534.006.25 1.73 2.08
29.03.25 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 9.005.001.33 1.73 2.08

Nacional at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.08.25 Nacional – Gil Vicente 0–2 (0–2) 2.503.102.90 2.10 1.70
10.05.25 Nacional – Rio Ave 3–3 (0–3) 1.953.503.75 1.93 1.93
03.05.25 Nacional – Guimaraes 1–2 (0–1) 4.203.501.85 1.98 1.88
19.04.25 Nacional – Gil Vicente 0–3 (0–1) 2.303.103.20 2.25 1.62
06.04.25 Nacional – Estrela 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.203.70 2.35 1.57
16.03.25 Nacional – Casa Pia 3–1 (1–0) 2.403.302.90 2.20 1.65
01.03.25 Nacional – Famalicao 2–1 (1–0) 2.603.002.90 2.20 1.65
15.02.25 Nacional – Estoril 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.203.30 2.15 1.67
01.02.25 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (1–2) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67
19.01.25 Nacional – AVS 3–1 (3–1) 2.053.203.75 2.25 1.62

Sp Lisbon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.08.25 Casa Pia – Sp Lisbon 0–2 (0–1) 9.005.001.33 1.70 2.10
10.05.25 Benfica – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.30 1.67 2.15
27.04.25 Boavista – Sp Lisbon 0–5 (0–2) 12.006.251.22 1.57 2.35
12.04.25 Santa Clara – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–0) 6.253.601.60 2.15 1.67
29.03.25 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 9.005.001.33 1.73 2.08
09.03.25 Casa Pia – Sp Lisbon 1–3 (1–2) 6.503.901.53 1.85 2.00
23.02.25 AVS – Sp Lisbon 2–2 (0–2) 8.005.251.33 1.70 2.10
07.02.25 Porto – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.102.55 2.15 1.67
18.01.25 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–2) 9.505.501.30 1.53 2.40
03.01.25 Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon 4–4 (1–2) 3.803.501.95 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nacional winsDrawsSp Lisbon wins
2matches
4.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.25P1 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 1.149.5012.00 1.37 2.87
17.08.24P1 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–6 (1–2) 10.006.001.25 1.57 2.35

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Moreirense 3 3 0 0 5 1 +4 9 WWW
2 Sp Lisbon 2 2 0 0 8 0 +8 6 WW
3 Sp Braga 2 2 0 0 6 0 +6 6 WW
4 Porto 2 2 0 0 5 0 +5 6 WW
5 Famalicao 2 2 0 0 4 0 +4 6 WW
6 Benfica 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3 W
7 Casa Pia 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3 LW
8 Gil Vicente 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3 WL
9 Arouca 2 1 0 1 3 7 -4 3 WL
10 Guimaraes 3 1 0 2 3 7 -4 3 LWL
11 Rio Ave 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 D
12 Estoril 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1 DL
13 Estrela 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1 DL
14 Nacional 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1 LD
15 AVS 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0 LL
16 Alverca 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0 LL
17 Santa Clara 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0 LL
18 Tondela 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0 LL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Moreirense 2 2 0 0 4 1 +3 6 WW
2 Sp Lisbon 1 1 0 0 6 0 +6 3 W
3 Famalicao 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3 W
4 Porto 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3 W
5 Sp Braga 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3 W
6 Arouca 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3 W
7 Guimaraes 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3 W
8 Estoril 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 D
9 Rio Ave 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 D
10 Benfica 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 –
11 Estrela 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0 L
12 Santa Clara 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0 L
13 Tondela 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0 L
14 AVS 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0 L
15 Casa Pia 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0 L
16 Gil Vicente 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0 L
17 Nacional 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0 L
18 Alverca 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0 L
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Braga 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3 W
2 Casa Pia 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3 W
3 Gil Vicente 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3 W
4 Porto 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3 W
5 Sp Lisbon 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3 W
6 Benfica 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3 W
7 Famalicao 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3 W
8 Moreirense 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3 W
9 Estrela 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 D
10 Nacional 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 D
11 Rio Ave 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 –
12 Estoril 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0 L
13 Alverca 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0 L
14 AVS 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0 L
15 Santa Clara 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0 L
16 Tondela 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0 L
17 Guimaraes 2 0 0 2 0 5 -5 0 LL
18 Arouca 1 0 0 1 0 6 -6 0 L

Nacional   Sp Lisbon

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Sp Braga 2 0 2 3.0 0.0 2 0 0 6 0 6 OO
2 9 Arouca 2 0 2 1.5 3.5 1 0 1 3 7 3 OO
3 10 Guimaraes 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 1 0 2 3 7 3 OOU
4 16 Alverca 2 0 2 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0 OO
5 1 Moreirense 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 3 0 0 5 1 9 OUU
6 2 Sp Lisbon 2 1 1 4.0 0.0 2 0 0 8 0 6 UO
7 4 Porto 2 1 1 2.5 0.0 2 0 0 5 0 6 OU
8 5 Famalicao 2 1 1 2.0 0.0 2 0 0 4 0 6 OU
9 12 Estoril 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1 UO
10 15 AVS 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0 OU
11 17 Santa Clara 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0 OU
12 18 Tondela 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0 OU
13 6 Benfica 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3 U
14 7 Casa Pia 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3 UU
15 8 Gil Vicente 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3 UU
16 11 Rio Ave 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1 U
17 13 Estrela 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1 UU
18 14 Nacional 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1 UU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Moreirense 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 2 0 0 4 1 6 OU
2 2 Sp Lisbon 1 0 1 6.0 0.0 1 0 0 6 0 3 O
3 3 Sp Braga 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3 O
4 4 Porto 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3 O
5 5 Famalicao 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3 O
6 9 Arouca 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3 O
7 10 Guimaraes 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3 O
8 16 Alverca 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0 O
9 6 Benfica 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0 –
10 7 Casa Pia 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0 U
11 8 Gil Vicente 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0 U
12 11 Rio Ave 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1 U
13 12 Estoril 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1 U
14 13 Estrela 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0 U
15 14 Nacional 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0 U
16 15 AVS 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0 U
17 17 Santa Clara 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0 U
18 18 Tondela 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0 U
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Sp Braga 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3 O
2 9 Arouca 1 0 1 0.0 6.0 0 0 1 0 6 0 O
3 10 Guimaraes 2 1 1 0.0 2.5 0 0 2 0 5 0 OU
4 12 Estoril 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0 O
5 15 AVS 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0 O
6 16 Alverca 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0 O
7 17 Santa Clara 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0 O
8 18 Tondela 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0 O
9 1 Moreirense 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3 U
10 2 Sp Lisbon 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3 U
11 4 Porto 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3 U
12 5 Famalicao 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3 U
13 6 Benfica 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3 U
14 7 Casa Pia 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3 U
15 8 Gil Vicente 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3 U
16 11 Rio Ave 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0 –
17 13 Estrela 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1 U
18 14 Nacional 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1 U

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11