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Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Casa Pia 1–4 Porto

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2026/2027

Home 10.00 fair 4.20
Draw 6.00 fair 4.16
Away ✓ 1.22 fair 1.92
Under 2.5 2.05 fair 2.09
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 1.92

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Casa Pia Porto
15 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 4
1.59 Expected goals (xG) 2.60
5 Corners 10
13 Fouls 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (45 league matches this season so far).
Result Porto to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.87
Expected goals 1.06 – 1.70
Home / Draw / Away
Casa PiaDrawPorto
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 0–1 10.7% 1–2 9.7%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Casa Pia before this match, all matches
0.20points / match
0.00scored / match
2.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 0:11
Porto before this match, all matches
3.00points / match
2.20scored / match
0.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 11:1
Casa Pia all matches all matches Porto

Per match

0.00 Goals scored 2.20
2.20 Goals conceded 0.20
2.20 Total goals 2.40
0.50 xG created 2.39
1.76 xG allowed 0.88
9.20 Shots 15.00
2.20 Shots on target 6.60
15.80 Shots faced 9.60
4.00 Corners 7.00
5.20 Corners against 3.80
11.20 Fouls 13.80
1.80 Yellow cards 0.40
0.00 1st-half goals scored 1.40
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

0% Wins 100%
20% Draws 0%
80% Losses 0%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
40% Over 1.5 goals 100%
20% Over 2.5 goals 40%
20% Over 3.5 goals 0%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 20%
20% Clean sheets 80%
100% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 60%
40% Draws 40%
60% Losses 0%
60% Over 0.5 goals 80%
40% Over 1.5 goals 60%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Casa Pia all matches
Porto all matches
Casa Pia before this match, at home
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
4.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 0:8
Porto before this match, away
3.00points / match
2.50scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 5:0
Casa Pia at home away Porto

Per match

0.00 Goals scored 2.50
4.00 Goals conceded 0.00
4.00 Total goals 2.50
0.45 xG created 1.73
1.66 xG allowed 0.69
8.50 Shots 9.50
1.00 Shots on target 5.00
13.00 Shots faced 11.00
3.00 Corners 3.50
2.00 Corners against 3.50
12.50 Fouls 14.50
2.00 Yellow cards 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 2.00
1.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
100% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
50% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 100%
100% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
100% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Casa Pia at home
Porto away

Last 10 matches before this match

Casa Pia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.09.26 Guimaraes – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 1.463.806.50 2.00 1.80
30.08.26 Casa Pia – Moreirense 0–1 (0–1) 2.353.103.10 2.40 1.53
24.08.26 Gil Vicente – Casa Pia 2–0 (2–0) 1.663.505.25 2.30 1.60
17.08.26 Casa Pia – Benfica 0–7 (0–2) 13.006.001.19 1.57 2.35
08.08.26 Maritimo – Casa Pia 1–0 (0–0) 2.323.502.75 2.00 1.80
16.05.26 Casa Pia – Rio Ave 1–1 (1–0) 1.623.755.00 1.83 2.03
11.05.26 Guimaraes – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–0) 1.713.754.33 1.93 1.93
03.05.26 Casa Pia – Tondela 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.203.30 2.20 1.65
27.04.26 Gil Vicente – Casa Pia 2–1 (1–1) 1.513.905.75 2.05 1.80
23.04.26 Casa Pia – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–1) 5.504.201.53 1.95 1.85

Porto all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.09.26 Porto – Moreirense 2–1 (1–1) 1.117.0021.00 1.60 2.30
29.08.26 Academico Viseu – Porto 0–3 (0–3) 9.004.751.30 1.70 2.10
23.08.26 Porto – Arouca 2–0 (0–0) 1.225.5012.00 1.62 2.25
15.08.26 Rio Ave – Porto 0–2 (0–1) 7.504.501.39 1.83 2.03
09.08.26 Porto – Alverca 2–0 (2–0) 1.156.5015.00 1.57 2.35
16.05.26 Porto – Santa Clara 1–0 (0–0) 1.305.258.00 1.75 2.05
10.05.26 AVS – Porto 3–1 (1–0) 12.006.501.19 1.50 2.50
02.05.26 Porto – Alverca 1–0 (1–0) 1.176.5015.00 1.53 2.40
26.04.26 Estrela – Porto 1–2 (0–2) 8.005.251.33 1.83 2.03
19.04.26 Porto – Tondela 2–0 (0–0) 1.156.2517.00 1.67 2.15

Casa Pia at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.26 Casa Pia – Moreirense 0–1 (0–1) 2.353.103.10 2.40 1.53
17.08.26 Casa Pia – Benfica 0–7 (0–2) 13.006.001.19 1.57 2.35
16.05.26 Casa Pia – Rio Ave 1–1 (1–0) 1.623.755.00 1.83 2.03
03.05.26 Casa Pia – Tondela 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.203.30 2.20 1.65
23.04.26 Casa Pia – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–1) 5.504.201.53 1.95 1.85
18.04.26 Casa Pia – Santa Clara 0–0 (0–0) 3.803.002.10 2.40 1.53
06.04.26 Casa Pia – Benfica 1–1 (0–0) 13.006.001.19 1.53 2.40
01.03.26 Casa Pia – Moreirense 1–1 (1–0) 2.653.002.75 2.50 1.50
14.02.26 Casa Pia – Arouca 3–2 (3–2) 2.653.202.55 2.20 1.65
02.02.26 Casa Pia – Porto 2–1 (2–0) 12.005.001.25 1.80 2.00

Porto away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.08.26 Academico Viseu – Porto 0–3 (0–3) 9.004.751.30 1.70 2.10
15.08.26 Rio Ave – Porto 0–2 (0–1) 7.504.501.39 1.83 2.03
10.05.26 AVS – Porto 3–1 (1–0) 12.006.501.19 1.50 2.50
26.04.26 Estrela – Porto 1–2 (0–2) 8.005.251.33 1.83 2.03
12.04.26 Estoril – Porto 1–3 (0–2) 6.504.501.42 1.67 2.15
22.03.26 Sp Braga – Porto 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.102.15 2.25 1.62
08.03.26 Benfica – Porto 2–2 (0–2) 2.103.253.40 2.15 1.67
15.02.26 Nacional – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 9.504.501.30 1.75 2.05
02.02.26 Casa Pia – Porto 2–1 (2–0) 12.005.001.25 1.80 2.00
18.01.26 Guimaraes – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 7.004.101.45 2.05 1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Casa Pia winsDrawsPorto wins
8matches
2.50goals / match
63%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.02.26P1 Casa Pia – Porto 2–1 (2–0) 12.005.001.25 1.80 2.00
24.08.25P1 Porto – Casa Pia 4–0 (3–0) 1.206.0015.00 1.65 2.20
12.04.25P1 Casa Pia – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 5.503.601.67 2.15 1.67
02.12.24P1 Porto – Casa Pia 2–0 (0–0) 1.206.2513.00 1.53 2.40
21.04.24P1 Casa Pia – Porto 1–2 (1–1) 8.005.001.36 1.95 1.90
09.12.23P1 Porto – Casa Pia 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.73 2.08
14.05.23P1 Porto – Casa Pia 2–1 (0–1) 1.176.0013.00 1.53 2.40
07.01.23P1 Casa Pia – Porto 0–0 (0–0) 9.004.501.36 1.88 1.98

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 5 5 0 0 11 1 +10 15
2 Benfica 5 4 1 0 18 3 +15 13
3 Sp Lisbon 5 4 1 0 14 5 +9 13
4 Santa Clara 5 3 2 0 9 3 +6 11
5 Arouca 5 3 1 1 7 3 +4 10
6 Estrela 5 2 3 0 11 9 +2 9
7 Gil Vicente 4 2 1 1 3 1 +2 7
8 Sp Braga 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7
9 Maritimo 5 2 1 2 6 8 -2 7
10 Alverca 6 1 2 3 8 11 -3 5
11 Academico Viseu 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
12 Guimaraes 5 1 1 3 3 5 -2 4
13 Nacional 6 1 1 4 7 11 -4 4
14 Moreirense 5 1 1 3 4 12 -8 4
15 Famalicao 5 0 3 2 4 6 -2 3
16 Rio Ave 5 1 0 4 2 11 -9 3
17 Estoril 5 0 2 3 2 7 -5 2
18 Casa Pia 5 0 1 4 0 11 -11 1
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Champions League – 3rd qualifying round
  • Europa League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Conference League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to Liga Portugal 2

Taça de Portugal winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sp Lisbon 3 3 0 0 8 3 +5 9
2 Porto 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
3 Santa Clara 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7
4 Arouca 2 2 0 0 6 1 +5 6
5 Gil Vicente 3 2 0 1 3 1 +2 6
6 Estrela 3 1 2 0 6 5 +1 5
7 Benfica 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
8 Guimaraes 3 1 1 1 1 1 0 4
9 Maritimo 3 1 1 1 3 5 -2 4
10 Sp Braga 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
11 Nacional 3 1 0 2 5 6 -1 3
12 Alverca 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
13 Estoril 3 0 2 1 1 3 -2 2
14 Famalicao 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
15 Moreirense 2 0 1 1 2 6 -4 1
16 Academico Viseu 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0
17 Rio Ave 2 0 0 2 0 6 -6 0
18 Casa Pia 2 0 0 2 0 8 -8 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Benfica 3 3 0 0 14 0 +14 9
2 Porto 2 2 0 0 5 0 +5 6
3 Academico Viseu 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5
4 Sp Lisbon 2 1 1 0 6 2 +4 4
5 Estrela 2 1 1 0 5 4 +1 4
6 Santa Clara 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
7 Sp Braga 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
8 Arouca 3 1 1 1 1 2 -1 4
9 Maritimo 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
10 Alverca 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3
11 Rio Ave 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3
12 Moreirense 3 1 0 2 2 6 -4 3
13 Famalicao 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
14 Gil Vicente 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
15 Nacional 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1
16 Casa Pia 3 0 1 2 0 3 -3 1
17 Guimaraes 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
18 Estoril 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0

Casa Pia   Porto

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Benfica 5 0 5 3.6 0.6 4 1 0 18 3 13
2 6 Estrela 5 0 5 2.2 1.8 2 3 0 11 9 9
3 3 Sp Lisbon 5 1 4 2.8 1.0 4 1 0 14 5 13
4 9 Maritimo 5 1 4 1.2 1.6 2 1 2 6 8 7
5 10 Alverca 6 2 4 1.3 1.8 1 2 3 8 11 5
6 14 Moreirense 5 1 4 0.8 2.4 1 1 3 4 12 4
7 8 Sp Braga 4 1 3 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7
8 11 Academico Viseu 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
9 13 Nacional 6 3 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 4 7 11 4
10 1 Porto 5 3 2 2.2 0.2 5 0 0 11 1 15
11 4 Santa Clara 5 3 2 1.8 0.6 3 2 0 9 3 11
12 5 Arouca 5 3 2 1.4 0.6 3 1 1 7 3 10
13 15 Famalicao 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 0 3 2 4 6 3
14 16 Rio Ave 5 3 2 0.4 2.2 1 0 4 2 11 3
15 12 Guimaraes 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 1 3 3 5 4
16 17 Estoril 5 4 1 0.4 1.4 0 2 3 2 7 2
17 18 Casa Pia 5 4 1 0.0 2.2 0 1 4 0 11 1
18 7 Gil Vicente 4 4 0 0.8 0.2 2 1 1 3 1 7
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Estrela 3 0 3 2.0 1.7 1 2 0 6 5 5
2 2 Benfica 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
3 3 Sp Lisbon 3 1 2 2.7 1.0 3 0 0 8 3 9
4 4 Santa Clara 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7
5 5 Arouca 2 0 2 3.0 0.5 2 0 0 6 1 6
6 9 Maritimo 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 1 1 3 5 4
7 10 Alverca 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
8 13 Nacional 3 1 2 1.7 2.0 1 0 2 5 6 3
9 14 Moreirense 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 0 1 1 2 6 1
10 1 Porto 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
11 11 Academico Viseu 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
12 15 Famalicao 2 1 1 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
13 16 Rio Ave 2 1 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 2 0 6 0
14 18 Casa Pia 2 1 1 0.0 4.0 0 0 2 0 8 0
15 7 Gil Vicente 3 3 0 1.0 0.3 2 0 1 3 1 6
16 8 Sp Braga 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
17 12 Guimaraes 3 3 0 0.3 0.3 1 1 1 1 1 4
18 17 Estoril 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 0 2 1 1 3 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Benfica 3 0 3 4.7 0.0 3 0 0 14 0 9
2 8 Sp Braga 3 0 3 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
3 3 Sp Lisbon 2 0 2 3.0 1.0 1 1 0 6 2 4
4 6 Estrela 2 0 2 2.5 2.0 1 1 0 5 4 4
5 9 Maritimo 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
6 10 Alverca 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3
7 11 Academico Viseu 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5
8 14 Moreirense 3 1 2 0.7 2.0 1 0 2 2 6 3
9 1 Porto 2 1 1 2.5 0.0 2 0 0 5 0 6
10 12 Guimaraes 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
11 13 Nacional 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1
12 15 Famalicao 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
13 16 Rio Ave 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3
14 17 Estoril 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
15 4 Santa Clara 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
16 5 Arouca 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 1 1 1 1 2 4
17 7 Gil Vicente 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
18 18 Casa Pia 3 3 0 0.0 1.0 0 1 2 0 3 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 20:42