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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Casa Pia 3–2 Arouca

Full time · half time 3–2 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.65 fair 2.25
Draw 3.20 fair 4.34
Away 2.55 fair 3.08
Under 2.5 1.65 fair 2.68
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 1.59

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Casa Pia Arouca
11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
2 Corners 3
21 Fouls 8
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (191 league matches this season so far).
Result Casa Pia to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.57
Expected goals 1.76 – 1.48
Home / Draw / Away
Casa PiaDrawArouca
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.2% 2–1 9% 1–2 7.5%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Casa Pia before this match, all matches
0.90points / match
1.05scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 22:39
Arouca before this match, all matches
1.10points / match
1.24scored / match
2.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 26:46
Casa Pia all matches all matches Arouca

Per match

1.05 Goals scored 1.24
1.86 Goals conceded 2.19
2.90 Total goals 3.43
8.48 Shots 10.38
2.90 Shots on target 3.38
14.29 Shots faced 13.52
3.62 Corners 3.86
6.14 Corners against 5.33
15.29 Fouls 14.00
3.05 Yellow cards 2.76
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.81 1st-half goals conceded 1.14

How often Full Time

19% Wins 29%
33% Draws 24%
48% Losses 48%
90% Over 0.5 goals 95%
86% Over 1.5 goals 86%
52% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 52%
10% Over 4.5 goals 24%
10% Over 5.5 goals 14%
48% Both teams scored 52%
19% Clean sheets 19%
43% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 24%
33% Draws 29%
43% Losses 48%
71% Over 0.5 goals 81%
38% Over 1.5 goals 48%
14% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Casa Pia all matches
Arouca all matches
Casa Pia before this match, at home
0.80points / match
1.20scored / match
1.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 12:19
Arouca before this match, away
1.10points / match
1.20scored / match
2.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 12:23
Casa Pia at home away Arouca

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 1.20
1.90 Goals conceded 2.30
3.10 Total goals 3.50
7.50 Shots 10.50
2.70 Shots on target 2.90
14.50 Shots faced 14.00
3.10 Corners 3.50
6.00 Corners against 4.60
15.90 Fouls 13.50
2.90 Yellow cards 2.40
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 1.30

How often Full Time

10% Wins 30%
50% Draws 20%
40% Losses 50%
90% Over 0.5 goals 90%
90% Over 1.5 goals 80%
40% Over 2.5 goals 70%
30% Over 3.5 goals 50%
20% Over 4.5 goals 30%
20% Over 5.5 goals 20%
60% Both teams scored 50%
10% Clean sheets 30%
40% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 20%
30% Draws 40%
40% Losses 40%
70% Over 0.5 goals 80%
40% Over 1.5 goals 60%
20% Over 2.5 goals 40%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Casa Pia at home
Arouca away

Last 10 matches before this match

Casa Pia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.26 Nacional – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.103.75 2.10 1.70
02.02.26 Casa Pia – Porto 2–1 (2–0) 12.005.001.25 1.80 2.00
23.01.26 Casa Pia – AVS 3–3 (1–0) 2.013.104.00 2.40 1.53
16.01.26 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 3–0 (2–0) 1.176.5013.00 1.57 2.35
04.01.26 Rio Ave – Casa Pia 3–1 (0–0) 2.323.053.05 2.40 1.53
28.12.25 Casa Pia – Guimaraes 0–0 (0–0) 3.302.952.25 2.40 1.53
21.12.25 Tondela – Casa Pia 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.253.40 2.25 1.62
13.12.25 Casa Pia – Gil Vicente 1–1 (0–1) 3.502.952.15 2.60 1.48
06.12.25 Santa Clara – Casa Pia 1–0 (1–0) 1.813.055.00 2.60 1.48
29.11.25 Casa Pia – Alverca 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.053.05 2.35 1.57

Arouca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.02.26 Arouca – Guimaraes 3–2 (1–2) 2.753.302.40 2.10 1.70
31.01.26 Rio Ave – Arouca 0–3 (0–1) 2.503.252.70 2.05 1.80
24.01.26 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (0–1) 12.005.501.22 1.57 2.35
17.01.26 AVS – Arouca 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.102.45 2.25 1.62
03.01.26 Tondela – Arouca 3–1 (2–1) 2.053.303.50 2.05 1.75
28.12.25 Arouca – Gil Vicente 2–2 (2–1) 3.903.201.96 2.20 1.65
21.12.25 Santa Clara – Arouca 0–0 (0–0) 1.793.254.75 2.40 1.53
14.12.25 Arouca – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.55 2.20 1.65
07.12.25 Estrela – Arouca 3–1 (2–0) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.70
01.12.25 Arouca – Sp Braga 0–4 (0–3) 6.503.901.49 1.80 2.00

Casa Pia at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.02.26 Casa Pia – Porto 2–1 (2–0) 12.005.001.25 1.80 2.00
23.01.26 Casa Pia – AVS 3–3 (1–0) 2.013.104.00 2.40 1.53
28.12.25 Casa Pia – Guimaraes 0–0 (0–0) 3.302.952.25 2.40 1.53
13.12.25 Casa Pia – Gil Vicente 1–1 (0–1) 3.502.952.15 2.60 1.48
29.11.25 Casa Pia – Alverca 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.053.05 2.35 1.57
01.11.25 Casa Pia – Estrela 3–5 (1–2) 2.013.053.90 2.40 1.53
03.10.25 Casa Pia – Estoril 2–2 (2–1) 2.503.302.65 2.05 1.80
21.09.25 Casa Pia – Famalicao 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.002.25 2.40 1.53
30.08.25 Casa Pia – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.203.40 2.25 1.62
08.08.25 Casa Pia – Sp Lisbon 0–2 (0–1) 9.005.001.33 1.70 2.10

Arouca away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26 Rio Ave – Arouca 0–3 (0–1) 2.503.252.70 2.05 1.80
17.01.26 AVS – Arouca 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.102.45 2.25 1.62
03.01.26 Tondela – Arouca 3–1 (2–1) 2.053.303.50 2.05 1.75
21.12.25 Santa Clara – Arouca 0–0 (0–0) 1.793.254.75 2.40 1.53
07.12.25 Estrela – Arouca 3–1 (2–0) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.70
07.11.25 Estoril – Arouca 4–3 (2–2) 1.913.603.70 1.95 1.90
25.10.25 Benfica – Arouca 5–0 (3–0) 1.157.0013.00 1.44 2.70
20.09.25 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (0–0) 2.453.102.85 2.08 1.73
30.08.25 Guimaraes – Arouca 1–1 (1–1) 1.763.604.33 2.03 1.83
17.08.25 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 6–0 (3–0) 1.296.008.50 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Casa Pia winsDrawsArouca wins
7matches
1.43goals / match
14%over 2.5
14%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.25P1 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–1) 1.913.304.00 2.15 1.67
04.05.25P1 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.60 2.10 1.70
20.12.24P1 Casa Pia – Arouca 3–1 (2–0) 2.303.103.50 2.50 1.50
18.02.24P1 Casa Pia – Arouca 1–0 (0–0) 3.403.002.30 2.20 1.65
17.09.23P1 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.10 2.15 1.67
25.02.23P1 Arouca – Casa Pia 2–0 (0–0) 2.253.103.20 2.35 1.57
04.09.22P1 Casa Pia – Arouca 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.103.80 2.30 1.60

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 21 18 2 1 42 7 +35 56 WWWWLD
2 Sp Lisbon 21 16 4 1 55 12 +43 52 WDWWWD
3 Benfica 22 15 7 0 46 13 +33 52 WWWDWW
4 Sp Braga 21 11 6 4 44 18 +26 39 DDWWWW
5 Gil Vicente 21 10 7 4 31 17 +14 37 DDWLWW
6 Famalicao 21 9 5 7 27 20 +7 32 LLWWLW
7 Estoril 21 8 6 7 43 35 +8 30 WLWWWD
8 Moreirense 21 9 3 9 27 29 -2 30 WWLWLL
9 Guimaraes 21 8 4 9 23 30 -7 28 DWLLWL
10 Alverca 22 7 4 11 22 37 -15 25 WWLDLD
11 Estrela 21 5 8 8 25 37 -12 23 WDLLDW
12 Arouca 21 6 5 10 26 46 -20 23 DLWLWW
13 Nacional 21 5 6 10 27 30 -3 21 LDLWLD
14 Rio Ave 21 4 8 9 22 41 -19 20 LWLLLL
15 Casa Pia 21 4 7 10 22 39 -17 19 DLLDWD
16 Santa Clara 22 4 5 13 17 28 -11 17 DLLLLL
17 Tondela 22 3 6 13 15 36 -21 15 LLLDDD
18 AVS 21 0 5 16 15 54 -39 5 LLLDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 10 8 2 0 20 3 +17 26 WWWWWD
2 Sp Lisbon 10 8 1 1 32 4 +28 25 WWWWWW
3 Benfica 11 7 4 0 25 8 +17 25 DDWWWW
4 Sp Braga 10 6 2 2 22 7 +15 20 WWWDWW
5 Gil Vicente 10 6 2 2 17 7 +10 20 WLDDWW
6 Estoril 11 5 4 2 23 16 +7 19 WDWWWD
7 Moreirense 10 6 1 3 15 13 +2 19 LDLWWL
8 Guimaraes 11 5 3 3 15 14 +1 18 WDLWLW
9 Famalicao 11 5 2 4 19 9 +10 17 LLWLWW
10 Alverca 11 5 2 4 10 15 -5 17 DWLWWD
11 Estrela 11 3 4 4 14 17 -3 13 DWDDLW
12 Arouca 11 3 3 5 14 23 -9 12 LLWDLW
13 Nacional 10 3 2 5 16 17 -1 11 LLWDWD
14 Santa Clara 12 3 2 7 10 14 -4 11 WDLLLL
15 Rio Ave 10 2 3 5 10 18 -8 9 LDLWLL
16 Casa Pia 10 1 5 4 12 19 -7 8 LLDDDW
17 Tondela 11 1 4 6 7 14 -7 7 LLWLDD
18 AVS 11 0 3 8 7 23 -16 3 DLDLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 11 10 0 1 22 4 +18 30 WWWWWL
2 Benfica 11 8 3 0 21 5 +16 27 WWDWDW
3 Sp Lisbon 11 8 3 0 23 8 +15 27 WDWDWD
4 Sp Braga 11 5 4 2 22 11 +11 19 WWLDWW
5 Gil Vicente 11 4 5 2 14 10 +4 17 DDDDLW
6 Famalicao 10 4 3 3 8 11 -3 15 WDLLWL
7 Estoril 10 3 2 5 20 19 +1 11 WLLLWW
8 Moreirense 11 3 2 6 12 16 -4 11 LDDWLL
9 Casa Pia 11 3 2 6 10 20 -10 11 DLWLLD
10 Arouca 10 3 2 5 12 23 -11 11 LLDLWW
11 Rio Ave 11 2 5 4 12 23 -11 11 DWDLLL
12 Nacional 11 2 4 5 11 13 -2 10 DLDLLL
13 Guimaraes 10 3 1 6 8 16 -8 10 LWWDLL
14 Estrela 10 2 4 4 11 20 -9 10 WLLWLD
15 Alverca 11 2 2 7 12 22 -10 8 WLLLLD
16 Tondela 11 2 2 7 8 22 -14 8 DWLLLD
17 Santa Clara 10 1 3 6 7 14 -7 6 LDLDLL
18 AVS 10 0 2 8 8 31 -23 2 LLLLDL

Casa Pia   Arouca

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 21 7 14 2.6 0.6 16 4 1 55 12 52 OUOOOU
2 3 Benfica 22 8 14 2.1 0.6 15 7 0 46 13 52 OUOUOO
3 4 Sp Braga 21 7 14 2.1 0.9 11 6 4 44 18 39 OOUOOO
4 7 Estoril 21 7 14 2.0 1.7 8 6 7 43 35 30 OOOOOO
5 12 Arouca 21 7 14 1.2 2.2 6 5 10 26 46 23 OOUOOO
6 14 Rio Ave 21 7 14 1.0 2.0 4 8 9 22 41 20 OOUOOO
7 18 AVS 21 7 14 0.7 2.6 0 5 16 15 54 5 UUUOOO
8 8 Moreirense 21 9 12 1.3 1.4 9 3 9 27 29 30 UUOUUO
9 10 Alverca 22 10 12 1.0 1.7 7 4 11 22 37 25 UOOUOU
10 17 Tondela 22 10 12 0.7 1.6 3 6 13 15 36 15 UUOUOU
11 1 Porto 21 10 11 2.0 0.3 18 2 1 42 7 56 UUUOOU
12 11 Estrela 21 10 11 1.2 1.8 5 8 8 25 37 23 OOOOUU
13 13 Nacional 21 10 11 1.3 1.4 5 6 10 27 30 21 OOOOOU
14 15 Casa Pia 21 10 11 1.0 1.9 4 7 10 22 39 19 UOOOOU
15 6 Famalicao 21 12 9 1.3 1.0 9 5 7 27 20 32 OUUOOO
16 9 Guimaraes 21 12 9 1.1 1.4 8 4 9 23 30 28 UOUOUO
17 5 Gil Vicente 21 13 8 1.5 0.8 10 7 4 31 17 37 OUOOOO
18 16 Santa Clara 22 14 8 0.8 1.3 4 5 13 17 28 17 OUUOUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 10 2 8 3.2 0.4 8 1 1 32 4 25 UOOOOO
2 3 Benfica 11 4 7 2.3 0.7 7 4 0 25 8 25 OUUOOO
3 4 Sp Braga 10 3 7 2.2 0.7 6 2 2 22 7 20 OOUOOO
4 6 Famalicao 11 4 7 1.7 0.8 5 2 4 19 9 17 UOOOOO
5 8 Moreirense 10 3 7 1.5 1.3 6 1 3 15 13 19 OOOUUO
6 12 Arouca 11 4 7 1.3 2.1 3 3 5 14 23 12 UOUOOO
7 13 Nacional 10 3 7 1.6 1.7 3 2 5 16 17 11 UOOOOU
8 7 Estoril 11 5 6 2.1 1.5 5 4 2 23 16 19 OOUOOO
9 9 Guimaraes 11 5 6 1.4 1.3 5 3 3 15 14 18 OUOOUU
10 11 Estrela 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 3 4 4 14 17 13 UOUOOU
11 14 Rio Ave 10 4 6 1.0 1.8 2 3 5 10 18 9 OUUOUO
12 18 AVS 11 5 6 0.6 2.1 0 3 8 7 23 3 UOOUUO
13 1 Porto 10 5 5 2.0 0.3 8 2 0 20 3 26 OUOUOU
14 10 Alverca 11 6 5 0.9 1.4 5 2 4 10 15 17 UUOUOU
15 16 Santa Clara 12 7 5 0.8 1.2 3 2 7 10 14 11 UUUUOO
16 15 Casa Pia 10 6 4 1.2 1.9 1 5 4 12 19 8 OUUUOO
17 17 Tondela 11 7 4 0.6 1.3 1 4 6 7 14 7 UOOUUU
18 5 Gil Vicente 10 7 3 1.7 0.7 6 2 2 17 7 20 UUOUOO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Estoril 10 2 8 2.0 1.9 3 2 5 20 19 11 OUOOOO
2 14 Rio Ave 11 3 8 1.1 2.1 2 5 4 12 23 11 UOOOOO
3 17 Tondela 11 3 8 0.7 2.0 2 2 7 8 22 8 OUOUOO
4 18 AVS 10 2 8 0.8 3.1 0 2 8 8 31 2 UOOUOO
5 3 Benfica 11 4 7 1.9 0.5 8 3 0 21 5 27 OOOUUO
6 4 Sp Braga 11 4 7 2.0 1.0 5 4 2 22 11 19 OOUOUO
7 10 Alverca 11 4 7 1.1 2.0 2 2 7 12 22 8 UUOOOU
8 12 Arouca 10 3 7 1.2 2.3 3 2 5 12 23 11 OOUOUO
9 15 Casa Pia 11 4 7 0.9 1.8 3 2 6 10 20 11 OUOOOU
10 1 Porto 11 5 6 2.0 0.4 10 0 1 22 4 30 UUOUUO
11 2 Sp Lisbon 11 5 6 2.1 0.7 8 3 0 23 8 27 OUOUOU
12 5 Gil Vicente 11 6 5 1.3 0.9 4 5 2 14 10 17 UUUOOO
13 8 Moreirense 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 16 11 OOUUOU
14 11 Estrela 10 5 5 1.1 2.0 2 4 4 11 20 10 OOOOOU
15 13 Nacional 11 7 4 1.0 1.2 2 4 5 11 13 10 UUOOOO
16 9 Guimaraes 10 7 3 0.8 1.6 3 1 6 8 16 10 UUUUOO
17 16 Santa Clara 10 7 3 0.7 1.4 1 3 6 7 14 6 UUUOUU
18 6 Famalicao 10 8 2 0.8 1.1 4 3 3 8 11 15 UOUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10