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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 1–2 Porto

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 8.00 fair 5.26
Draw 5.25 fair 4.38
Away ✓ 1.33 fair 1.72
Under 2.5 2.03 fair 2.07
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.94

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Porto
11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
0 Corners 6
15 Fouls 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (274 league matches this season so far).
Result Porto to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.98
Expected goals 0.93 – 1.81
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawPorto
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
0–1 11.7% 1–1 10.9% 0–2 10.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
0.93points / match
1.10scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 33:49
Porto before this match, all matches
2.63points / match
2.03scored / match
0.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 61:14
Estrela all matches all matches Porto

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 2.03
1.63 Goals conceded 0.47
2.73 Total goals 2.50
11.33 Shots 14.43
3.67 Shots on target 5.37
13.47 Shots faced 9.47
3.50 Corners 5.53
5.73 Corners against 2.97
14.43 Fouls 13.90
2.50 Yellow cards 2.43
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.87
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.10

How often Full Time

20% Wins 83%
33% Draws 13%
47% Losses 3%
87% Over 0.5 goals 97%
73% Over 1.5 goals 73%
50% Over 2.5 goals 57%
37% Over 3.5 goals 23%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 37%
23% Clean sheets 63%
47% Failed to score 3%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 60%
37% Draws 37%
43% Losses 3%
70% Over 0.5 goals 67%
30% Over 1.5 goals 27%
20% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Porto all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
1.13points / match
1.33scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 20:22
Porto before this match, away
2.67points / match
2.00scored / match
0.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 30:8
Estrela at home away Porto

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 2.00
1.47 Goals conceded 0.53
2.80 Total goals 2.53
13.80 Shots 14.20
4.13 Shots on target 5.40
12.07 Shots faced 11.33
3.87 Corners 5.53
5.13 Corners against 3.20
14.20 Fouls 14.53
2.53 Yellow cards 2.53
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

27% Wins 87%
33% Draws 7%
40% Losses 7%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 73%
53% Over 2.5 goals 60%
40% Over 3.5 goals 20%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 40%
27% Clean sheets 60%
40% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 47%
33% Draws 47%
40% Losses 7%
73% Over 0.5 goals 60%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Porto away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.26 Arouca – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 2.013.403.50 1.93 1.93
11.04.26 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–0) 12.006.251.19 1.44 2.70
04.04.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.50 1.90 1.90
20.03.26 Estrela – Casa Pia 4–0 (3–0) 2.403.103.10 2.20 1.65
15.03.26 Rio Ave – Estrela 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.10 2.05 1.75
08.03.26 Estrela – Gil Vicente 2–2 (0–1) 4.753.201.79 2.25 1.62
28.02.26 AVS – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.202.65 2.20 1.65
20.02.26 Estrela – Tondela 0–2 (0–1) 2.503.202.70 2.25 1.62
14.02.26 Guimaraes – Estrela 2–1 (0–1) 1.623.505.50 2.15 1.67
07.02.26 Estrela – Santa Clara 1–0 (0–0) 3.402.852.30 2.88 1.40

Porto all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.26 Porto – Tondela 2–0 (0–0) 1.156.2517.00 1.67 2.15
12.04.26 Estoril – Porto 1–3 (0–2) 6.504.501.42 1.67 2.15
04.04.26 Porto – Famalicao 2–2 (1–0) 1.354.508.50 1.95 1.85
22.03.26 Sp Braga – Porto 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.102.15 2.25 1.62
15.03.26 Porto – Moreirense 3–0 (2–0) 1.156.5017.00 1.73 2.08
08.03.26 Benfica – Porto 2–2 (0–2) 2.103.253.40 2.15 1.67
27.02.26 Porto – Arouca 3–1 (1–0) 1.196.2511.00 1.75 2.05
22.02.26 Porto – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 1.099.0017.00 1.48 2.60
15.02.26 Nacional – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 9.504.501.30 1.75 2.05
09.02.26 Porto – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.003.40 2.25 1.62

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–0) 12.006.251.19 1.44 2.70
20.03.26 Estrela – Casa Pia 4–0 (3–0) 2.403.103.10 2.20 1.65
08.03.26 Estrela – Gil Vicente 2–2 (0–1) 4.753.201.79 2.25 1.62
20.02.26 Estrela – Tondela 0–2 (0–1) 2.503.202.70 2.25 1.62
07.02.26 Estrela – Santa Clara 1–0 (0–0) 3.402.852.30 2.88 1.40
19.01.26 Estrela – Estoril 0–5 (0–1) 2.703.302.45 1.93 1.93
03.01.26 Estrela – Sp Braga 3–3 (1–1) 6.504.331.45 1.85 2.00
20.12.25 Estrela – Moreirense 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.252.85 2.15 1.67
07.12.25 Estrela – Arouca 3–1 (2–0) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.70
09.11.25 Estrela – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.50 2.15 1.67

Porto away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.26 Estoril – Porto 1–3 (0–2) 6.504.501.42 1.67 2.15
22.03.26 Sp Braga – Porto 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.102.15 2.25 1.62
08.03.26 Benfica – Porto 2–2 (0–2) 2.103.253.40 2.15 1.67
15.02.26 Nacional – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 9.504.501.30 1.75 2.05
02.02.26 Casa Pia – Porto 2–1 (2–0) 12.005.001.25 1.80 2.00
18.01.26 Guimaraes – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 7.004.101.45 2.05 1.75
04.01.26 Santa Clara – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 8.004.001.42 2.25 1.62
22.12.25 Alverca – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 9.004.751.33 1.93 1.93
07.12.25 Tondela – Porto 0–2 (0–0) 11.005.751.22 1.73 2.08
09.11.25 Famalicao – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 5.503.901.56 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estrela winsDrawsPorto wins
5matches
2.20goals / match
20%over 2.5
20%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.12.25P1 Porto – Estrela 3–1 (1–0) 1.155.7515.00 1.60 2.30
26.04.25P1 Estrela – Porto 2–0 (1–0) 6.253.901.53 2.05 1.80
16.12.24P1 Porto – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 1.147.5019.00 1.48 2.60
17.02.24P1 Porto – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.53 2.40
15.09.23P1 Estrela – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 8.505.001.33 1.65 2.20

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 30 25 4 1 61 14 +47 79 DWWDWW
2 Benfica 31 22 9 0 67 20 +47 75 WWDWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 29 22 5 2 74 19 +55 71 WDWWWL
4 Sp Braga 30 16 8 6 58 29 +29 56 DLWWDW
5 Famalicao 31 14 9 8 39 27 +12 51 WWDDDW
6 Gil Vicente 30 12 10 8 44 31 +13 46 DDLWDL
7 Guimaraes 31 12 6 13 38 43 -5 42 LLWDWW
8 Moreirense 31 11 6 14 34 45 -11 39 LLLDWL
9 Alverca 31 10 8 13 34 49 -15 38 DLWWLW
10 Estoril 31 10 7 14 51 52 -1 37 WLLLLL
11 Arouca 31 10 5 16 39 60 -21 35 LWWLWL
12 Rio Ave 31 8 10 13 33 52 -19 34 WWLWDL
13 Nacional 31 8 7 16 34 41 -7 31 LLWLWW
14 Santa Clara 30 7 8 15 26 37 -11 29 WWWLLD
15 Estrela 30 6 10 14 33 49 -16 28 DLWLLL
16 Casa Pia 30 5 11 14 28 53 -25 26 DLDLDL
17 Tondela 30 4 9 17 21 50 -29 21 LDLDLL
18 AVS 30 1 10 19 21 64 -43 13 DLDLDD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 15 12 3 0 31 6 +25 39 DWWWDW
2 Benfica 16 11 5 0 39 11 +28 38 WWDWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 14 11 1 2 41 8 +33 34 WWWWWL
4 Sp Braga 15 8 4 3 31 15 +16 28 WWDLWD
5 Guimaraes 16 8 4 4 26 18 +8 28 WWDLWW
6 Famalicao 15 8 3 4 24 10 +14 27 WWWWWD
7 Gil Vicente 15 8 3 4 25 13 +12 27 WWLDWL
8 Alverca 16 7 4 5 17 22 -5 25 DDDLWW
9 Estoril 16 6 5 5 28 23 +5 23 DWDLLL
10 Moreirense 15 7 2 6 17 19 -2 23 LLDLLW
11 Arouca 15 6 3 6 22 27 -5 21 LWWLWW
12 Nacional 15 5 2 8 20 21 -1 17 DLLLWW
13 Estrela 15 4 5 6 20 22 -2 17 LWLDWL
14 Santa Clara 15 5 2 8 13 16 -3 17 LLLWWL
15 Casa Pia 15 2 8 5 17 24 -7 14 WWDDDL
16 Rio Ave 15 3 5 7 16 25 -9 14 LLDWLD
17 Tondela 16 1 7 8 11 21 -10 10 DDLDDL
18 AVS 15 1 5 9 11 25 -14 8 LLWDLD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 15 13 1 1 30 8 +22 40 WLWDWW
2 Sp Lisbon 15 11 4 0 33 11 +22 37 WDWDWW
3 Benfica 15 11 4 0 28 9 +19 37 DWWWDW
4 Sp Braga 15 8 4 3 27 14 +13 28 WWLWWW
5 Famalicao 16 6 6 4 15 17 -2 24 LDWDDW
6 Rio Ave 16 5 5 6 17 27 -10 20 LLWWWL
7 Gil Vicente 15 4 7 4 19 18 +1 19 LWLDLD
8 Moreirense 16 4 4 8 17 26 -9 16 LWDLDL
9 Estoril 15 4 2 9 23 29 -6 14 WLLWLL
10 Nacional 16 3 5 8 14 20 -6 14 LLDLLW
11 Guimaraes 15 4 2 9 12 25 -13 14 LLLLDW
12 Arouca 16 4 2 10 17 33 -16 14 LLLWLL
13 Alverca 15 3 4 8 17 27 -10 13 LDDDWL
14 Santa Clara 15 2 6 7 13 21 -8 12 LDDWLD
15 Casa Pia 15 3 3 9 11 29 -18 12 LDLDLL
16 Estrela 15 2 5 8 13 27 -14 11 DLDLLL
17 Tondela 14 3 2 9 10 29 -19 11 LLDWLL
18 AVS 15 0 5 10 10 39 -29 5 LLDDLD

Estrela   Porto

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 31 10 21 2.2 0.6 22 9 0 67 20 75 OOUUOO
2 3 Sp Lisbon 29 9 20 2.6 0.7 22 5 2 74 19 71 OOOOUO
3 4 Sp Braga 30 10 20 1.9 1.0 16 8 6 58 29 56 OOUUOU
4 10 Estoril 31 11 20 1.6 1.7 10 7 14 51 52 37 UOOOUU
5 11 Arouca 31 11 20 1.3 1.9 10 5 16 39 60 35 OUOUUO
6 12 Rio Ave 31 12 19 1.1 1.7 8 10 13 33 52 34 OOOUOU
7 18 AVS 30 12 18 0.7 2.1 1 10 19 21 64 13 UUUOUO
8 1 Porto 30 13 17 2.0 0.5 25 4 1 61 14 79 OOOOOU
9 9 Alverca 31 14 17 1.1 1.6 10 8 13 34 49 38 OOOOUO
10 8 Moreirense 31 15 16 1.1 1.5 11 6 14 34 45 39 OUUUUO
11 6 Gil Vicente 30 15 15 1.5 1.0 12 10 8 44 31 46 OOUOOU
12 15 Estrela 30 15 15 1.1 1.6 6 10 14 33 49 28 OOOUUU
13 17 Tondela 30 15 15 0.7 1.7 4 9 17 21 50 21 UUOOUU
14 7 Guimaraes 31 17 14 1.2 1.4 12 6 13 38 43 42 OOOUUU
15 16 Casa Pia 30 16 14 0.9 1.8 5 11 14 28 53 26 UOUOUU
16 13 Nacional 31 18 13 1.1 1.3 8 7 16 34 41 31 UUUUUU
17 5 Famalicao 31 19 12 1.3 0.9 14 9 8 39 27 51 OUOUOU
18 14 Santa Clara 30 20 10 0.9 1.2 7 8 15 26 37 29 UUUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 16 5 11 2.4 0.7 11 5 0 39 11 38 OOOOUO
2 3 Sp Lisbon 14 3 11 2.9 0.6 11 1 2 41 8 34 OOUOOO
3 4 Sp Braga 15 4 11 2.1 1.0 8 4 3 31 15 28 OOOOUO
4 11 Arouca 15 5 10 1.5 1.8 6 3 6 22 27 21 OOOOOU
5 12 Rio Ave 15 5 10 1.1 1.7 3 5 7 16 25 14 OOUOOO
6 7 Guimaraes 16 7 9 1.6 1.1 8 4 4 26 18 28 UOUOOU
7 10 Estoril 16 7 9 1.8 1.4 6 5 5 28 23 23 OOUOOU
8 1 Porto 15 7 8 2.1 0.4 12 3 0 31 6 39 UUOOOU
9 8 Moreirense 15 7 8 1.1 1.3 7 2 6 17 19 23 OOUUUU
10 9 Alverca 16 8 8 1.1 1.4 7 4 5 17 22 25 UUUOOO
11 13 Nacional 15 7 8 1.3 1.4 5 2 8 20 21 17 UUOUUU
12 15 Estrela 15 7 8 1.3 1.5 4 5 6 20 22 17 OUUOOU
13 5 Famalicao 15 8 7 1.6 0.7 8 3 4 24 10 27 OOUUUU
14 6 Gil Vicente 15 8 7 1.7 0.9 8 3 4 25 13 27 OOOOOU
15 18 AVS 15 8 7 0.7 1.7 1 5 9 11 25 8 UOOUUU
16 17 Tondela 16 10 6 0.7 1.3 1 7 8 11 21 10 UOUUOU
17 14 Santa Clara 15 10 5 0.9 1.1 5 2 8 13 16 17 UOOUUU
18 16 Casa Pia 15 10 5 1.1 1.6 2 8 5 17 24 14 OOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 10 Estoril 15 4 11 1.5 1.9 4 2 9 23 29 14 OOOUOU
2 18 AVS 15 4 11 0.7 2.6 0 5 10 10 39 5 OOUUOO
3 2 Benfica 15 5 10 1.9 0.6 11 4 0 28 9 37 UOOOUO
4 11 Arouca 16 6 10 1.1 2.1 4 2 10 17 33 14 OOUUUO
5 1 Porto 15 6 9 2.0 0.5 13 1 1 30 8 40 UOUOOO
6 3 Sp Lisbon 15 6 9 2.2 0.7 11 4 0 33 11 37 OUOOOU
7 4 Sp Braga 15 6 9 1.8 0.9 8 4 3 27 14 28 UOOOUU
8 9 Alverca 15 6 9 1.1 1.8 3 4 8 17 27 13 OUUOOU
9 12 Rio Ave 16 7 9 1.1 1.7 5 5 6 17 27 20 OUUOUU
10 16 Casa Pia 15 6 9 0.7 1.9 3 3 9 11 29 12 OUUUOO
11 17 Tondela 14 5 9 0.7 2.1 3 2 9 10 29 11 UOOUOU
12 6 Gil Vicente 15 7 8 1.3 1.2 4 7 4 19 18 19 OOOOUO
13 8 Moreirense 16 8 8 1.1 1.6 4 4 8 17 26 16 UOUOUO
14 15 Estrela 15 8 7 0.9 1.8 2 5 8 13 27 11 UOUOUU
15 5 Famalicao 16 11 5 0.9 1.1 6 6 4 15 17 24 UUOOOU
16 7 Guimaraes 15 10 5 0.8 1.7 4 2 9 12 25 14 OOUOUU
17 13 Nacional 16 11 5 0.9 1.2 3 5 8 14 20 14 OOUUUU
18 14 Santa Clara 15 10 5 0.9 1.4 2 6 7 13 21 12 UUOUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10