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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Porto 1–0 Alverca

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.17 fair 1.44
Draw 6.50 fair 5.31
Away 15.00 fair 8.41
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.40 fair 2.23
Over 2.5 1.53 fair 1.82

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Porto Alverca
12 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 4
21 Fouls 19
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (283 league matches this season so far).
Result Porto to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.87
Expected goals 2.13 – 0.75
Home / Draw / Away
PortoDrawAlverca
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 12.7% 1–0 11.9% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Porto before this match, all matches
2.65points / match
2.03scored / match
0.48conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 63:15
Alverca before this match, all matches
1.23points / match
1.10scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 34:49
Porto all matches all matches Alverca

Per match

2.03 Goals scored 1.10
0.48 Goals conceded 1.58
2.52 Total goals 2.68
14.32 Shots 9.81
5.32 Shots on target 3.65
9.52 Shots faced 13.87
5.55 Corners 4.39
2.87 Corners against 4.48
13.94 Fouls 12.23
2.45 Yellow cards 2.10
0.90 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.10 1st-half goals conceded 0.74

How often Full Time

84% Wins 32%
13% Draws 26%
3% Losses 42%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
74% Over 1.5 goals 81%
58% Over 2.5 goals 55%
23% Over 3.5 goals 26%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
39% Both teams scored 58%
61% Clean sheets 19%
3% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

61% Wins 23%
35% Draws 45%
3% Losses 32%
68% Over 0.5 goals 68%
29% Over 1.5 goals 35%
3% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Porto all matches
Alverca all matches
Porto before this match, at home
2.60points / match
2.07scored / match
0.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 31:6
Alverca before this match, away
0.87points / match
1.13scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 17:27
Porto at home away Alverca

Per match

2.07 Goals scored 1.13
0.40 Goals conceded 1.80
2.47 Total goals 2.93
14.67 Shots 8.80
5.33 Shots on target 3.53
7.60 Shots faced 14.93
5.53 Corners 4.07
2.73 Corners against 5.87
13.27 Fouls 11.87
2.33 Yellow cards 2.53
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

80% Wins 20%
20% Draws 27%
0% Losses 53%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 87%
53% Over 2.5 goals 60%
27% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 67%
67% Clean sheets 7%
7% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

73% Wins 20%
27% Draws 60%
0% Losses 20%
73% Over 0.5 goals 67%
20% Over 1.5 goals 53%
7% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Porto at home
Alverca away

Last 10 matches before this match

Porto all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.26 Estrela – Porto 1–2 (0–2) 8.005.251.33 1.83 2.03
19.04.26 Porto – Tondela 2–0 (0–0) 1.156.2517.00 1.67 2.15
12.04.26 Estoril – Porto 1–3 (0–2) 6.504.501.42 1.67 2.15
04.04.26 Porto – Famalicao 2–2 (1–0) 1.354.508.50 1.95 1.85
22.03.26 Sp Braga – Porto 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.102.15 2.25 1.62
15.03.26 Porto – Moreirense 3–0 (2–0) 1.156.5017.00 1.73 2.08
08.03.26 Benfica – Porto 2–2 (0–2) 2.103.253.40 2.15 1.67
27.02.26 Porto – Arouca 3–1 (1–0) 1.196.2511.00 1.75 2.05
22.02.26 Porto – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 1.099.0017.00 1.48 2.60
15.02.26 Nacional – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 9.504.501.30 1.75 2.05

Alverca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.04.26 Alverca – Arouca 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.303.30 1.93 1.93
18.04.26 Nacional – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.20 1.85 1.95
12.04.26 Alverca – Casa Pia 3–1 (0–1) 1.963.303.90 2.15 1.67
04.04.26 Rio Ave – Alverca 1–2 (0–2) 2.453.302.75 2.00 1.80
22.03.26 Alverca – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (0–1) 10.005.001.27 1.62 2.25
14.03.26 Gil Vicente – Alverca 2–2 (1–0) 1.663.705.25 2.10 1.70
07.03.26 Alverca – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.605.00 2.00 1.85
28.02.26 Guimaraes – Alverca 1–1 (0–0) 1.713.604.75 2.05 1.75
21.02.26 Alverca – Santa Clara 1–1 (1–0) 2.822.752.70 2.70 1.44
13.02.26 Tondela – Alverca 1–1 (0–1) 2.353.103.10 2.35 1.57

Porto at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.26 Porto – Tondela 2–0 (0–0) 1.156.2517.00 1.67 2.15
04.04.26 Porto – Famalicao 2–2 (1–0) 1.354.508.50 1.95 1.85
15.03.26 Porto – Moreirense 3–0 (2–0) 1.156.5017.00 1.73 2.08
27.02.26 Porto – Arouca 3–1 (1–0) 1.196.2511.00 1.75 2.05
22.02.26 Porto – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 1.099.0017.00 1.48 2.60
09.02.26 Porto – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.003.40 2.25 1.62
26.01.26 Porto – Gil Vicente 3–0 (1–0) 1.354.508.50 2.03 1.83
29.12.25 Porto – AVS 2–0 (0–0) 1.107.0019.00 1.44 2.70
15.12.25 Porto – Estrela 3–1 (1–0) 1.155.7515.00 1.60 2.30
30.11.25 Porto – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.225.5012.00 1.57 2.35

Alverca away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.26 Nacional – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.20 1.85 1.95
04.04.26 Rio Ave – Alverca 1–2 (0–2) 2.453.302.75 2.00 1.80
14.03.26 Gil Vicente – Alverca 2–2 (1–0) 1.663.705.25 2.10 1.70
28.02.26 Guimaraes – Alverca 1–1 (0–0) 1.713.604.75 2.05 1.75
13.02.26 Tondela – Alverca 1–1 (0–1) 2.353.103.10 2.35 1.57
08.02.26 Benfica – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 1.156.2517.00 1.65 2.20
25.01.26 Sp Braga – Alverca 5–0 (4–0) 1.374.508.00 1.85 1.95
27.12.25 Estoril – Alverca 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.253.25 2.08 1.73
14.12.25 Arouca – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.55 2.20 1.65
29.11.25 Casa Pia – Alverca 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.053.05 2.35 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Porto winsDrawsAlverca wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.25P1 Alverca – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 9.004.751.33 1.93 1.93

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 31 26 4 1 63 15 +48 82
2 Benfica 32 22 10 0 69 22 +47 76
3 Sp Lisbon 31 22 7 2 77 22 +55 73
4 Sp Braga 31 16 8 7 59 31 +28 56
5 Famalicao 32 14 10 8 41 29 +12 52
6 Gil Vicente 31 13 10 8 46 32 +14 49
7 Guimaraes 31 12 6 13 38 43 -5 42
8 Moreirense 32 12 6 14 37 47 -10 42
9 Alverca 31 10 8 13 34 49 -15 38
10 Estoril 31 10 7 14 51 52 -1 37
11 Arouca 32 10 6 16 41 62 -21 36
12 Rio Ave 31 8 10 13 33 52 -19 34
13 Santa Clara 32 8 9 15 30 40 -10 33
14 Nacional 32 8 7 17 35 43 -8 31
15 Estrela 32 6 10 16 36 54 -18 28
16 Casa Pia 31 5 11 15 29 55 -26 26
17 Tondela 31 4 10 17 23 52 -29 22
18 AVS 32 2 11 19 24 66 -42 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 15 12 3 0 31 6 +25 39
2 Benfica 16 11 5 0 39 11 +28 38
3 Sp Lisbon 15 11 2 2 43 10 +33 35
4 Gil Vicente 16 9 3 4 27 14 +13 30
5 Sp Braga 15 8 4 3 31 15 +16 28
6 Famalicao 16 8 4 4 26 12 +14 28
7 Guimaraes 16 8 4 4 26 18 +8 28
8 Moreirense 16 8 2 6 20 21 -1 26
9 Alverca 16 7 4 5 17 22 -5 25
10 Estoril 16 6 5 5 28 23 +5 23
11 Arouca 16 6 4 6 24 29 -5 22
12 Santa Clara 16 6 2 8 15 17 -2 20
13 Nacional 16 5 2 9 21 23 -2 17
14 Estrela 16 4 5 7 21 24 -3 17
15 Casa Pia 15 2 8 5 17 24 -7 14
16 Rio Ave 15 3 5 7 16 25 -9 14
17 Tondela 16 1 7 8 11 21 -10 10
18 AVS 16 1 6 9 12 26 -14 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 16 14 1 1 32 9 +23 43
2 Sp Lisbon 16 11 5 0 34 12 +22 38
3 Benfica 16 11 5 0 30 11 +19 38
4 Sp Braga 16 8 4 4 28 16 +12 28
5 Famalicao 16 6 6 4 15 17 -2 24
6 Rio Ave 16 5 5 6 17 27 -10 20
7 Gil Vicente 15 4 7 4 19 18 +1 19
8 Moreirense 16 4 4 8 17 26 -9 16
9 Estoril 15 4 2 9 23 29 -6 14
10 Nacional 16 3 5 8 14 20 -6 14
11 Guimaraes 15 4 2 9 12 25 -13 14
12 Arouca 16 4 2 10 17 33 -16 14
13 Santa Clara 16 2 7 7 15 23 -8 13
14 Alverca 15 3 4 8 17 27 -10 13
15 Casa Pia 16 3 3 10 12 31 -19 12
16 Tondela 15 3 3 9 12 31 -19 12
17 Estrela 16 2 5 9 15 30 -15 11
18 AVS 16 1 5 10 12 40 -28 8

Porto   Alverca

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Benfica 32 10 22 2.2 0.7 22 10 0 69 22 76
2 3 Sp Lisbon 31 10 21 2.5 0.7 22 7 2 77 22 73
3 4 Sp Braga 31 10 21 1.9 1.0 16 8 7 59 31 56
4 11 Arouca 32 11 21 1.3 1.9 10 6 16 41 62 36
5 10 Estoril 31 11 20 1.6 1.7 10 7 14 51 52 37
6 12 Rio Ave 31 12 19 1.1 1.7 8 10 13 33 52 34
7 18 AVS 32 13 19 0.8 2.1 2 11 19 24 66 17
8 1 Porto 31 13 18 2.0 0.5 26 4 1 63 15 82
9 8 Moreirense 32 15 17 1.2 1.5 12 6 14 37 47 42
10 9 Alverca 31 14 17 1.1 1.6 10 8 13 34 49 38
11 15 Estrela 32 15 17 1.1 1.7 6 10 16 36 54 28
12 6 Gil Vicente 31 15 16 1.5 1.0 13 10 8 46 32 49
13 17 Tondela 31 15 16 0.7 1.7 4 10 17 23 52 22
14 16 Casa Pia 31 16 15 0.9 1.8 5 11 15 29 55 26
15 7 Guimaraes 31 17 14 1.2 1.4 12 6 13 38 43 42
16 14 Nacional 32 18 14 1.1 1.3 8 7 17 35 43 31
17 5 Famalicao 32 19 13 1.3 0.9 14 10 8 41 29 52
18 13 Santa Clara 32 20 12 0.9 1.2 8 9 15 30 40 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Sp Lisbon 15 3 12 2.9 0.7 11 2 2 43 10 35
2 2 Benfica 16 5 11 2.4 0.7 11 5 0 39 11 38
3 4 Sp Braga 15 4 11 2.1 1.0 8 4 3 31 15 28
4 11 Arouca 16 5 11 1.5 1.8 6 4 6 24 29 22
5 12 Rio Ave 15 5 10 1.1 1.7 3 5 7 16 25 14
6 7 Guimaraes 16 7 9 1.6 1.1 8 4 4 26 18 28
7 8 Moreirense 16 7 9 1.2 1.3 8 2 6 20 21 26
8 10 Estoril 16 7 9 1.8 1.4 6 5 5 28 23 23
9 14 Nacional 16 7 9 1.3 1.4 5 2 9 21 23 17
10 15 Estrela 16 7 9 1.3 1.5 4 5 7 21 24 17
11 1 Porto 15 7 8 2.1 0.4 12 3 0 31 6 39
12 5 Famalicao 16 8 8 1.6 0.8 8 4 4 26 12 28
13 6 Gil Vicente 16 8 8 1.7 0.9 9 3 4 27 14 30
14 9 Alverca 16 8 8 1.1 1.4 7 4 5 17 22 25
15 18 AVS 16 9 7 0.8 1.6 1 6 9 12 26 9
16 13 Santa Clara 16 10 6 0.9 1.1 6 2 8 15 17 20
17 17 Tondela 16 10 6 0.7 1.3 1 7 8 11 21 10
18 16 Casa Pia 15 10 5 1.1 1.6 2 8 5 17 24 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 AVS 16 4 12 0.8 2.5 1 5 10 12 40 8
2 2 Benfica 16 5 11 1.9 0.7 11 5 0 30 11 38
3 10 Estoril 15 4 11 1.5 1.9 4 2 9 23 29 14
4 1 Porto 16 6 10 2.0 0.6 14 1 1 32 9 43
5 4 Sp Braga 16 6 10 1.8 1.0 8 4 4 28 16 28
6 11 Arouca 16 6 10 1.1 2.1 4 2 10 17 33 14
7 16 Casa Pia 16 6 10 0.8 1.9 3 3 10 12 31 12
8 17 Tondela 15 5 10 0.8 2.1 3 3 9 12 31 12
9 3 Sp Lisbon 16 7 9 2.1 0.8 11 5 0 34 12 38
10 9 Alverca 15 6 9 1.1 1.8 3 4 8 17 27 13
11 12 Rio Ave 16 7 9 1.1 1.7 5 5 6 17 27 20
12 6 Gil Vicente 15 7 8 1.3 1.2 4 7 4 19 18 19
13 8 Moreirense 16 8 8 1.1 1.6 4 4 8 17 26 16
14 15 Estrela 16 8 8 0.9 1.9 2 5 9 15 30 11
15 13 Santa Clara 16 10 6 0.9 1.4 2 7 7 15 23 13
16 5 Famalicao 16 11 5 0.9 1.1 6 6 4 15 17 24
17 7 Guimaraes 15 10 5 0.8 1.7 4 2 9 12 25 14
18 14 Nacional 16 11 5 0.9 1.2 3 5 8 14 20 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40