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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Moreirense 2–1 Estrela

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 2.75 fair 2.78
Draw 3.30 fair 4.24
Away 2.45 fair 2.48
Under 2.5 1.85 fair 2.56
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 1.64

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Moreirense Estrela
11 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 1
0.44 Expected goals (xG) 0.68
3 Corners 3
10 Fouls 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (82 league matches this season so far).
Result Estrela to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.59
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.62
Home / Draw / Away
MoreirenseDrawEstrela
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6% 1–2 8.6% 2–1 8.1%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Moreirense before this match, all matches
1.22points / match
1.22scored / match
1.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 11:16
Estrela before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
1.56scored / match
1.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 14:17
Moreirense all matches all matches Estrela

Per match

1.22 Goals scored 1.56
1.78 Goals conceded 1.89
3.00 Total goals 3.44
0.79 xG created 1.31
1.74 xG allowed 1.44
8.44 Shots 13.44
2.89 Shots on target 4.44
16.56 Shots faced 10.89
2.44 Corners 4.56
5.00 Corners against 4.44
13.67 Fouls 11.00
2.44 Yellow cards 2.22
0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

33% Wins 22%
22% Draws 44%
44% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 89%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
56% Over 3.5 goals 56%
0% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
56% Both teams scored 67%
11% Clean sheets 0%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 0%
44% Draws 56%
22% Losses 44%
78% Over 0.5 goals 78%
56% Over 1.5 goals 44%
22% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Moreirense all matches
Estrela all matches
Moreirense before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.25scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:8
Estrela before this match, away
1.25points / match
2.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 8:8
Moreirense at home away Estrela

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 2.00
2.00 Goals conceded 2.00
3.25 Total goals 4.00
0.92 xG created 1.68
1.69 xG allowed 1.14
9.50 Shots 13.75
2.75 Shots on target 4.75
14.00 Shots faced 10.50
3.50 Corners 3.50
4.25 Corners against 3.75
14.50 Fouls 10.00
3.00 Yellow cards 2.50
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

25% Wins 25%
25% Draws 50%
50% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
75% Over 2.5 goals 75%
75% Over 3.5 goals 75%
0% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
50% Both teams scored 75%
0% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 0%
50% Draws 75%
25% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Moreirense at home
Estrela away

Last 10 matches before this match

Moreirense all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.26 Estoril – Moreirense 1–3 (0–3) 1.913.603.70 1.98 1.88
09.10.26 Moreirense – Gil Vicente 0–1 (0–0) 3.253.102.25 2.40 1.53
20.09.26 Guimaraes – Moreirense 1–1 (0–0) 1.493.757.00 1.98 1.88
14.09.26 Moreirense – Maritimo 3–1 (2–0) 2.403.202.85 2.25 1.62
09.09.26 Moreirense – Benfica 0–4 (0–1) 12.008.001.13 1.48 2.60
04.09.26 Porto – Moreirense 2–1 (1–1) 1.117.0021.00 1.60 2.30
30.08.26 Casa Pia – Moreirense 0–1 (0–1) 2.353.103.10 2.40 1.53
16.08.26 Arouca – Moreirense 4–0 (3–0) 2.013.303.70 2.10 1.70
09.08.26 Moreirense – Sp Braga 2–2 (1–1) 5.003.601.66 2.00 1.85
16.05.26 Moreirense – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 1.713.904.10 1.85 2.00

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.26 Estrela – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–1) 1.763.404.75 1.95 1.90
11.10.26 Arouca – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.50 1.90 1.95
20.09.26 Estrela – Academico Viseu 0–2 (0–2) 2.103.303.40 2.08 1.73
14.09.26 Rio Ave – Estrela 3–3 (1–1) 2.753.252.45 2.05 1.75
10.09.26 Estrela – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–1) 4.753.601.71 2.00 1.80
05.09.26 Estrela – Famalicao 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.202.35 2.15 1.67
30.08.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–3 (1–1) 2.303.303.10 2.00 1.85
15.08.26 Alverca – Estrela 2–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.40 2.15 1.67
08.08.26 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 2–2 (0–0) 12.005.751.22 1.53 2.40
16.05.26 Sp Braga – Estrela 2–2 (1–1) 1.574.005.00 1.75 2.05

Moreirense at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.10.26 Moreirense – Gil Vicente 0–1 (0–0) 3.253.102.25 2.40 1.53
14.09.26 Moreirense – Maritimo 3–1 (2–0) 2.403.202.85 2.25 1.62
09.09.26 Moreirense – Benfica 0–4 (0–1) 12.008.001.13 1.48 2.60
09.08.26 Moreirense – Sp Braga 2–2 (1–1) 5.003.601.66 2.00 1.85
16.05.26 Moreirense – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 1.713.904.10 1.85 2.00
02.05.26 Moreirense – Estrela 3–2 (1–2) 2.503.102.85 2.20 1.65
20.04.26 Moreirense – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.25 1.93 1.93
04.04.26 Moreirense – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–1) 6.253.901.51 1.95 1.85
21.03.26 Moreirense – Arouca 0–1 (0–0) 2.353.203.00 2.10 1.70
07.03.26 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.253.00 2.15 1.67

Estrela away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.10.26 Arouca – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.50 1.90 1.95
14.09.26 Rio Ave – Estrela 3–3 (1–1) 2.753.252.45 2.05 1.75
30.08.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–3 (1–1) 2.303.303.10 2.00 1.85
15.08.26 Alverca – Estrela 2–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.40 2.15 1.67
16.05.26 Sp Braga – Estrela 2–2 (1–1) 1.574.005.00 1.75 2.05
02.05.26 Moreirense – Estrela 3–2 (1–2) 2.503.102.85 2.20 1.65
19.04.26 Arouca – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 2.013.403.50 1.93 1.93
04.04.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.50 1.90 1.90
15.03.26 Rio Ave – Estrela 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.10 2.05 1.75
28.02.26 AVS – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.202.65 2.20 1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Moreirense winsDrawsEstrela wins
6matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.05.26P1 Moreirense – Estrela 3–2 (1–2) 2.503.102.85 2.20 1.65
20.12.25P1 Estrela – Moreirense 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.252.85 2.15 1.67
02.03.25P1 Moreirense – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.004.75 2.50 1.50
28.09.24P1 Estrela – Moreirense 2–1 (2–0) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.60
07.04.24P1 Moreirense – Estrela 2–2 (2–0) 2.053.403.75 2.40 1.53
11.11.23P1 Estrela – Moreirense 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 2.05 1.80

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 9 9 0 0 21 4 +17 27 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 9 7 1 1 26 8 +18 22 WWWLWW
3 Sp Lisbon 10 6 3 1 23 11 +12 21 WDDWLW
4 Santa Clara 9 5 3 1 13 6 +7 18 DWWDWL
5 Arouca 9 5 2 2 12 7 +5 17 WDLDWW
6 Academico Viseu 9 5 2 2 13 11 +2 17 LWWWWW
7 Gil Vicente 9 4 2 3 8 7 +1 14 LLDWWL
8 Alverca 9 3 2 4 13 13 0 11 DLWWWL
9 Sp Braga 9 3 2 4 9 11 -2 11 LWDLLL
10 Moreirense 9 3 2 4 11 16 -5 11 LLWDLW
11 Famalicao 9 2 4 3 14 11 +3 10 DDDWLW
12 Estrela 9 2 4 3 14 17 -3 10 DWDLLL
13 Guimaraes 9 2 2 5 10 10 0 8 LDLDLW
14 Maritimo 9 2 2 5 9 19 -10 8 LLLDLL
15 Nacional 9 2 1 6 10 18 -8 7 LLLLLW
16 Rio Ave 9 2 1 6 8 21 -13 7 LLDLWL
17 Casa Pia 10 2 1 7 5 19 -14 7 DLWLWL
18 Estoril 9 0 2 7 5 15 -10 2 LDLLLL
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Champions League – 3rd qualifying round
  • Europa League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Conference League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to Liga Portugal 2

Taça de Portugal winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 4 4 0 0 9 2 +7 12 WWWW
2 Benfica 4 3 1 0 9 4 +5 10 DWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 5 3 1 1 11 7 +4 10 WWWDL
4 Arouca 4 3 0 1 8 3 +5 9 WWLW
5 Guimaraes 5 2 2 1 7 2 +5 8 LWDDW
6 Santa Clara 5 2 2 1 8 4 +4 8 DWWDL
7 Gil Vicente 5 2 1 2 4 3 +1 7 WWLDL
8 Sp Braga 4 2 0 2 4 5 -1 6 WWLL
9 Academico Viseu 4 2 0 2 4 6 -2 6 LLWW
10 Nacional 5 2 0 3 6 10 -4 6 WLLLW
11 Alverca 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5 DDLWL
12 Estrela 5 1 2 2 6 9 -3 5 DDWLL
13 Moreirense 4 1 1 2 5 8 -3 4 DLWL
14 Maritimo 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4 WDLL
15 Rio Ave 5 1 1 3 6 15 -9 4 LLDWL
16 Famalicao 4 0 2 2 3 7 -4 2 LDDL
17 Estoril 5 0 2 3 3 8 -5 2 DLDLL
18 Casa Pia 5 0 0 5 1 15 -14 0 LLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 5 5 0 0 12 2 +10 15 WWWWW
2 Benfica 5 4 0 1 17 4 +13 12 WWWLW
3 Sp Lisbon 5 3 2 0 12 4 +8 11 DWDWW
4 Academico Viseu 5 3 2 0 9 5 +4 11 DDWWW
5 Santa Clara 4 3 1 0 5 2 +3 10 WDWW
6 Famalicao 5 2 2 1 11 4 +7 8 DLDWW
7 Arouca 5 2 2 1 4 4 0 8 WLDDW
8 Casa Pia 5 2 1 2 4 4 0 7 LLDWW
9 Gil Vicente 4 2 1 1 4 4 0 7 DLWW
10 Moreirense 5 2 1 2 6 8 -2 7 LWLDW
11 Alverca 4 2 0 2 8 7 +1 6 LLWW
12 Estrela 4 1 2 1 8 8 0 5 DWDL
13 Sp Braga 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5 DWLDL
14 Maritimo 5 1 1 3 5 12 -7 4 WLLDL
15 Rio Ave 4 1 0 3 2 6 -4 3 LWLL
16 Nacional 4 0 1 3 4 8 -4 1 DLLL
17 Guimaraes 4 0 0 4 3 8 -5 0 LLLL
18 Estoril 4 0 0 4 2 7 -5 0 LLLL

Moreirense   Estrela

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 9 1 8 2.9 0.9 7 1 1 26 8 22 OOOOUO
2 3 Sp Lisbon 10 3 7 2.3 1.1 6 3 1 23 11 21 UUOOOU
3 14 Maritimo 9 2 7 1.0 2.1 2 2 5 9 19 8 OOOUOO
4 6 Academico Viseu 9 3 6 1.4 1.2 5 2 2 13 11 17 OUOUOO
5 10 Moreirense 9 3 6 1.2 1.8 3 2 4 11 16 11 OOOUUO
6 12 Estrela 9 3 6 1.6 1.9 2 4 3 14 17 10 OOOUUU
7 1 Porto 9 4 5 2.3 0.4 9 0 0 21 4 27 OOOOOU
8 8 Alverca 9 4 5 1.4 1.4 3 2 4 13 13 11 UOOUOU
9 9 Sp Braga 9 4 5 1.0 1.2 3 2 4 9 11 11 OUUOOU
10 11 Famalicao 9 4 5 1.6 1.2 2 4 3 14 11 10 UOUOOO
11 15 Nacional 9 4 5 1.1 2.0 2 1 6 10 18 7 OUOOOU
12 16 Rio Ave 9 4 5 0.9 2.3 2 1 6 8 21 7 OOOUOO
13 4 Santa Clara 9 5 4 1.4 0.7 5 3 1 13 6 18 UOOUUO
14 5 Arouca 9 5 4 1.3 0.8 5 2 2 12 7 17 OUOOUU
15 18 Estoril 9 5 4 0.6 1.7 0 2 7 5 15 2 OUUOOO
16 13 Guimaraes 9 6 3 1.1 1.1 2 2 5 10 10 8 UUOUUO
17 17 Casa Pia 10 7 3 0.5 1.9 2 1 7 5 19 7 UOOUUU
18 7 Gil Vicente 9 7 2 0.9 0.8 4 2 3 8 7 14 UOUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Sp Lisbon 5 1 4 2.2 1.4 3 1 1 11 7 10 OOUOO
2 16 Rio Ave 5 1 4 1.2 3.0 1 1 3 6 15 4 UOOOO
3 2 Benfica 4 1 3 2.2 1.0 3 1 0 9 4 10 OOOU
4 4 Santa Clara 5 2 3 1.6 0.8 2 2 1 8 4 8 OUOUO
5 5 Arouca 4 1 3 2.0 0.8 3 0 1 8 3 9 OOOU
6 6 Academico Viseu 4 1 3 1.0 1.5 2 0 2 4 6 6 UOOO
7 10 Moreirense 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 1 1 2 5 8 4 OOOU
8 12 Estrela 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 1 2 2 6 9 5 OOOUU
9 14 Maritimo 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4 UOOO
10 15 Nacional 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 2 0 3 6 10 6 UOOOU
11 1 Porto 4 2 2 2.2 0.5 4 0 0 9 2 12 UUOO
12 8 Alverca 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5 OUOUU
13 9 Sp Braga 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 2 0 2 4 5 6 UUOO
14 11 Famalicao 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 2 2 3 7 2 OUUO
15 17 Casa Pia 5 3 2 0.2 3.0 0 0 5 1 15 0 OUOUU
16 18 Estoril 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 0 2 3 3 8 2 UUUOO
17 13 Guimaraes 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 2 2 1 7 2 8 UUUUO
18 7 Gil Vicente 5 5 0 0.8 0.6 2 1 2 4 3 7 UUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 5 0 5 3.4 0.8 4 0 1 17 4 12 OOOOO
2 14 Maritimo 5 1 4 1.0 2.4 1 1 3 5 12 4 OOOUO
3 1 Porto 5 2 3 2.4 0.4 5 0 0 12 2 15 UOOOU
4 3 Sp Lisbon 5 2 3 2.4 0.8 3 2 0 12 4 11 OOUOU
5 6 Academico Viseu 5 2 3 1.8 1.0 3 2 0 9 5 11 OOUUO
6 8 Alverca 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 2 0 2 8 7 6 UOOO
7 9 Sp Braga 5 2 3 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5 OOOUU
8 10 Moreirense 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 2 1 2 6 8 7 OUOUO
9 11 Famalicao 5 2 3 2.2 0.8 2 2 1 11 4 8 UUOOO
10 12 Estrela 4 1 3 2.0 2.0 1 2 1 8 8 5 OOOU
11 7 Gil Vicente 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 2 1 1 4 4 7 UOUO
12 13 Guimaraes 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 0 0 4 3 8 0 OUOU
13 15 Nacional 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 0 1 3 4 8 1 OUUO
14 18 Estoril 4 2 2 0.5 1.8 0 0 4 2 7 0 UOUO
15 4 Santa Clara 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 3 1 0 5 2 10 UUOU
16 5 Arouca 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 2 1 4 4 8 UUUOU
17 16 Rio Ave 4 3 1 0.5 1.5 1 0 3 2 6 3 UUOU
18 17 Casa Pia 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 1 2 4 4 7 UUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10