Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Rio Ave 2–1 Estrela

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.25 fair 2.49
Draw 3.25 fair 3.97
Away 3.10 fair 2.89
Under 2.5 1.75 fair 2.14
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 1.87

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Rio Ave Estrela
18 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
10 Corners 4
16 Fouls 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (230 league matches this season so far).
Result Rio Ave to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
Rio AveDrawEstrela
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 8.8% 2–1 8.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Rio Ave before this match, all matches
0.96points / match
0.96scored / match
1.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 24:44
Estrela before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.12scored / match
1.72conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 28:43
Rio Ave all matches all matches Estrela

Per match

0.96 Goals scored 1.12
1.76 Goals conceded 1.72
2.72 Total goals 2.84
9.68 Shots 10.84
3.56 Shots on target 3.64
16.00 Shots faced 13.64
3.76 Corners 3.28
6.68 Corners against 5.56
13.52 Fouls 14.80
2.64 Yellow cards 2.52
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.76

How often Full Time

20% Wins 20%
36% Draws 40%
44% Losses 40%
92% Over 0.5 goals 84%
80% Over 1.5 goals 76%
60% Over 2.5 goals 52%
32% Over 3.5 goals 40%
4% Over 4.5 goals 16%
4% Over 5.5 goals 8%
48% Both teams scored 48%
16% Clean sheets 24%
44% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 20%
36% Draws 36%
44% Losses 44%
76% Over 0.5 goals 72%
32% Over 1.5 goals 32%
4% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rio Ave all matches
Estrela all matches
Rio Ave before this match, at home
0.83points / match
0.92scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 11:20
Estrela before this match, away
0.92points / match
1.00scored / match
1.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 12:22
Rio Ave at home away Estrela

Per match

0.92 Goals scored 1.00
1.67 Goals conceded 1.83
2.58 Total goals 2.83
10.42 Shots 8.00
3.83 Shots on target 3.33
15.58 Shots faced 14.83
4.25 Corners 2.83
6.08 Corners against 6.33
13.25 Fouls 15.75
2.50 Yellow cards 2.58
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.92 1st-half goals conceded 0.92

How often Full Time

17% Wins 17%
33% Draws 42%
50% Losses 42%
92% Over 0.5 goals 75%
83% Over 1.5 goals 75%
58% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 42%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
42% Both teams scored 50%
17% Clean sheets 25%
50% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 17%
33% Draws 42%
42% Losses 42%
83% Over 0.5 goals 67%
58% Over 1.5 goals 33%
8% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rio Ave at home
Estrela away

Last 10 matches before this match

Rio Ave all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.26 Tondela – Rio Ave 0–1 (0–0) 1.963.253.90 2.05 1.75
01.03.26 Rio Ave – Famalicao 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.401.81 1.93 1.93
22.02.26 Porto – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 1.099.0017.00 1.48 2.60
16.02.26 Rio Ave – Moreirense 1–2 (1–1) 2.823.202.45 2.20 1.65
08.02.26 Sp Braga – Rio Ave 3–0 (1–0) 1.226.509.50 1.53 2.40
31.01.26 Rio Ave – Arouca 0–3 (0–1) 2.503.252.70 2.05 1.80
25.01.26 Nacional – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 1.95 1.85
17.01.26 Rio Ave – Benfica 0–2 (0–2) 10.005.001.27 1.67 2.15
04.01.26 Rio Ave – Casa Pia 3–1 (0–0) 2.323.053.05 2.40 1.53
28.12.25 Sp Lisbon – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 1.117.0017.00 1.40 2.88

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.26 Estrela – Gil Vicente 2–2 (0–1) 4.753.201.79 2.25 1.62
28.02.26 AVS – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.202.65 2.20 1.65
20.02.26 Estrela – Tondela 0–2 (0–1) 2.503.202.70 2.25 1.62
14.02.26 Guimaraes – Estrela 2–1 (0–1) 1.623.505.50 2.15 1.67
07.02.26 Estrela – Santa Clara 1–0 (0–0) 3.402.852.30 2.88 1.40
31.01.26 Alverca – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.103.70 2.40 1.53
25.01.26 Benfica – Estrela 4–0 (1–0) 1.109.0019.00 1.50 2.50
19.01.26 Estrela – Estoril 0–5 (0–1) 2.703.302.45 1.93 1.93
03.01.26 Estrela – Sp Braga 3–3 (1–1) 6.504.331.45 1.85 2.00
27.12.25 Famalicao – Estrela 2–3 (2–2) 1.533.706.00 1.95 1.85

Rio Ave at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.26 Rio Ave – Famalicao 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.401.81 1.93 1.93
16.02.26 Rio Ave – Moreirense 1–2 (1–1) 2.823.202.45 2.20 1.65
31.01.26 Rio Ave – Arouca 0–3 (0–1) 2.503.252.70 2.05 1.80
17.01.26 Rio Ave – Benfica 0–2 (0–2) 10.005.001.27 1.67 2.15
04.01.26 Rio Ave – Casa Pia 3–1 (0–0) 2.323.053.05 2.40 1.53
13.12.25 Rio Ave – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–1) 2.653.202.55 2.05 1.75
30.11.25 Rio Ave – Santa Clara 1–1 (1–1) 2.953.052.45 2.40 1.53
01.11.25 Rio Ave – Estoril 0–4 (0–2) 2.353.202.95 2.00 1.85
05.10.25 Rio Ave – Tondela 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.403.00 1.98 1.88
19.09.25 Rio Ave – Porto 0–3 (0–2) 8.005.001.30 1.67 2.15

Estrela away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 AVS – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.202.65 2.20 1.65
14.02.26 Guimaraes – Estrela 2–1 (0–1) 1.623.505.50 2.15 1.67
31.01.26 Alverca – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.103.70 2.40 1.53
25.01.26 Benfica – Estrela 4–0 (1–0) 1.109.0019.00 1.50 2.50
27.12.25 Famalicao – Estrela 2–3 (2–2) 1.533.706.00 1.95 1.85
15.12.25 Porto – Estrela 3–1 (1–0) 1.155.7515.00 1.60 2.30
30.11.25 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 4–0 (3–0) 1.109.0015.00 1.40 2.88
01.11.25 Casa Pia – Estrela 3–5 (1–2) 2.013.053.90 2.40 1.53
04.10.25 Gil Vicente – Estrela 2–0 (2–0) 1.613.755.25 2.20 1.65
21.09.25 Tondela – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.252.853.60 2.50 1.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Rio Ave winsDrawsEstrela wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
40%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25P1 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–2 (1–0) 2.573.202.70 2.15 1.67
05.05.25P1 Rio Ave – Estrela 2–0 (0–0) 2.353.303.00 2.08 1.73
23.12.24P1 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.303.00 2.10 1.70
14.04.24P1 Estrela – Rio Ave 2–2 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.35 1.57
02.12.23P1 Rio Ave – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.00 2.05 1.80

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 25 21 3 1 49 10 +39 66 LDWWWD
2 Sp Lisbon 25 19 5 1 64 14 +50 62 WDWWWD
3 Benfica 26 18 8 0 55 17 +38 62 WWWWDW
4 Sp Braga 25 13 7 5 52 25 +27 46 WWLWWD
5 Gil Vicente 26 11 9 6 39 27 +12 42 WWLLDD
6 Famalicao 26 12 6 8 32 22 +10 42 WLWDWW
7 Estoril 26 10 7 9 47 42 +5 37 DLWLDW
8 Moreirense 25 10 5 10 31 35 -4 35 LLWLDD
9 Guimaraes 26 9 5 12 29 39 -10 32 LWLDLL
10 Alverca 26 7 8 11 26 41 -15 29 LDDDDD
11 Arouca 26 7 5 14 33 55 -22 26 WLWLLL
12 Santa Clara 26 6 7 13 23 31 -8 25 LLDDWW
13 Estrela 25 5 10 10 28 43 -15 25 DWLLDD
14 Casa Pia 25 5 9 11 26 44 -18 24 WDWLDD
15 Rio Ave 25 5 9 11 24 44 -20 24 LLLLDW
16 Nacional 26 5 7 14 29 38 -9 22 DLLLDL
17 Tondela 25 4 7 14 19 39 -20 19 DDDWDL
18 AVS 26 1 7 18 18 58 -40 10 LWLDDL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 12 10 2 0 24 4 +20 32 WWWDWW
2 Sp Lisbon 12 10 1 1 36 4 +32 31 WWWWWW
3 Benfica 13 8 5 0 30 10 +20 29 WWWWWD
4 Sp Braga 12 7 3 2 27 11 +16 24 WDWWWD
5 Gil Vicente 13 7 3 3 22 12 +10 24 DWWWLD
6 Famalicao 13 7 2 4 22 9 +13 23 WLWWWW
7 Estoril 13 6 5 2 26 17 +9 23 WWWDWD
8 Guimaraes 14 6 4 4 19 18 +1 22 WLWWDL
9 Moreirense 12 6 2 4 16 17 -1 20 LWWLLD
10 Alverca 13 5 4 4 11 16 -5 19 LWWDDD
11 Arouca 13 4 3 6 18 25 -7 15 WDLWWL
12 Santa Clara 13 4 2 7 12 14 -2 14 DLLLLW
13 Estrela 13 3 5 5 16 21 -5 14 DDLWLD
14 Casa Pia 12 2 6 4 16 22 -6 12 DDDWWD
15 Nacional 13 3 2 8 17 21 -4 11 DWDLLL
16 Rio Ave 12 2 4 6 11 20 -9 10 LWLLLD
17 Tondela 13 1 5 7 9 17 -8 8 WLDDDL
18 AVS 14 1 4 9 10 24 -14 7 LLLWDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 13 11 1 1 25 6 +19 34 WWWLWD
2 Benfica 13 10 3 0 25 7 +18 33 DWDWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 13 9 4 0 28 10 +18 31 WDWDWD
4 Sp Braga 13 6 4 3 25 14 +11 22 LDWWLW
5 Famalicao 13 5 4 4 10 13 -3 19 LWLLDW
6 Gil Vicente 13 4 6 3 17 15 +2 18 DDLWLD
7 Moreirense 13 4 3 6 15 18 -3 15 DWLLWD
8 Estoril 13 4 2 7 21 25 -4 14 LWWLLW
9 Rio Ave 13 3 5 5 13 24 -11 14 DLLLLW
10 Casa Pia 13 3 3 7 10 22 -12 12 WLLDLD
11 Nacional 13 2 5 6 12 17 -5 11 DLLLLD
12 Santa Clara 13 2 5 6 11 17 -6 11 DLLDDW
13 Estrela 12 2 5 5 12 22 -10 11 LWLDLD
14 Tondela 12 3 2 7 10 22 -12 11 WLLLDW
15 Arouca 13 3 2 8 15 30 -15 11 LWWLLL
16 Alverca 13 2 4 7 15 25 -10 10 LLLDDD
17 Guimaraes 12 3 1 8 10 21 -11 10 WDLLLL
18 AVS 12 0 3 9 8 34 -26 3 LLDLLD

Rio Ave   Estrela

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Benfica 26 8 18 2.1 0.7 18 8 0 55 17 62 OOOOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 25 7 18 2.1 1.0 13 7 5 52 25 46 OOOOOO
3 11 Arouca 26 8 18 1.3 2.1 7 5 14 33 55 26 OOOOUO
4 2 Sp Lisbon 25 8 17 2.6 0.6 19 5 1 64 14 62 OUUOOO
5 7 Estoril 26 9 17 1.8 1.6 10 7 9 47 42 37 OOOOUU
6 18 AVS 26 10 16 0.7 2.2 1 7 18 18 58 10 OOOUUU
7 15 Rio Ave 25 10 15 1.0 1.8 5 9 11 24 44 24 OOOUUU
8 8 Moreirense 25 11 14 1.2 1.4 10 5 10 31 35 35 UOOOUU
9 1 Porto 25 12 13 2.0 0.4 21 3 1 49 10 66 OUUUOO
10 5 Gil Vicente 26 13 13 1.5 1.0 11 9 6 39 27 42 OOOOOO
11 10 Alverca 26 13 13 1.0 1.6 7 8 11 26 41 29 OUUUUO
12 13 Estrela 25 12 13 1.1 1.7 5 10 10 28 43 25 UUOUUO
13 16 Nacional 26 13 13 1.1 1.5 5 7 14 29 38 22 UUOOUU
14 17 Tondela 25 12 13 0.8 1.6 4 7 14 19 39 19 UOUUOU
15 9 Guimaraes 26 14 12 1.1 1.5 9 5 12 29 39 32 OOOUUO
16 14 Casa Pia 25 13 12 1.0 1.8 5 9 11 26 44 24 OUOUUU
17 6 Famalicao 26 16 10 1.2 0.8 12 6 8 32 22 42 OUUUUO
18 12 Santa Clara 26 17 9 0.9 1.2 6 7 13 23 31 25 UOUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 12 3 9 3.0 0.3 10 1 1 36 4 31 OOOOUO
2 3 Benfica 13 4 9 2.3 0.8 8 5 0 30 10 29 UOOOOO
3 4 Sp Braga 12 3 9 2.2 0.9 7 3 2 27 11 24 UOOOOO
4 11 Arouca 13 4 9 1.4 1.9 4 3 6 18 25 15 UOOOOO
5 8 Moreirense 12 4 8 1.3 1.4 6 2 4 16 17 20 OUUOOU
6 9 Guimaraes 14 6 8 1.4 1.3 6 4 4 19 18 22 OUUOUO
7 16 Nacional 13 5 8 1.3 1.6 3 2 8 17 21 11 OOUUOU
8 6 Famalicao 13 6 7 1.7 0.7 7 2 4 22 9 23 OOOOUU
9 7 Estoril 13 6 7 2.0 1.3 6 5 2 26 17 23 UOOOOU
10 13 Estrela 13 6 7 1.2 1.6 3 5 5 16 21 14 UOOUUO
11 15 Rio Ave 12 5 7 0.9 1.7 2 4 6 11 20 10 UOUOOU
12 18 AVS 14 7 7 0.7 1.7 1 4 9 10 24 7 UUOOUU
13 1 Porto 12 6 6 2.0 0.3 10 2 0 24 4 32 OUOUUO
14 5 Gil Vicente 13 7 6 1.7 0.9 7 3 3 22 12 24 UOOOOO
15 10 Alverca 13 8 5 0.8 1.2 5 4 4 11 16 19 OUOUUU
16 12 Santa Clara 13 8 5 0.9 1.1 4 2 7 12 14 14 UUUOOU
17 14 Casa Pia 12 7 5 1.3 1.8 2 6 4 16 22 12 UUOOOU
18 17 Tondela 13 8 5 0.7 1.3 1 5 7 9 17 8 OUUUOU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Estoril 13 3 10 1.6 1.9 4 2 7 21 25 14 OOOOOU
2 3 Benfica 13 4 9 1.9 0.5 10 3 0 25 7 33 OUUOOO
3 4 Sp Braga 13 4 9 1.9 1.1 6 4 3 25 14 22 UOUOOO
4 11 Arouca 13 4 9 1.2 2.3 3 2 8 15 30 11 OUOOOU
5 18 AVS 12 3 9 0.7 2.8 0 3 9 8 34 3 OUOOOU
6 2 Sp Lisbon 13 5 8 2.2 0.8 9 4 0 28 10 31 OUOUOO
7 10 Alverca 13 5 8 1.2 1.9 2 4 7 15 25 10 OOOUUO
8 15 Rio Ave 13 5 8 1.0 1.8 3 5 5 13 24 14 OOOOUU
9 17 Tondela 12 4 8 0.8 1.8 3 2 7 10 22 11 UOUOOU
10 1 Porto 13 6 7 1.9 0.5 11 1 1 25 6 34 OUUOUO
11 5 Gil Vicente 13 6 7 1.3 1.2 4 6 3 17 15 18 UOOOOO
12 14 Casa Pia 13 6 7 0.8 1.7 3 3 7 10 22 12 OOOUUU
13 8 Moreirense 13 7 6 1.2 1.4 4 3 6 15 18 15 UUOUOU
14 13 Estrela 12 6 6 1.0 1.8 2 5 5 12 22 11 OOOUOU
15 16 Nacional 13 8 5 0.9 1.3 2 5 6 12 17 11 OOOOOU
16 9 Guimaraes 12 8 4 0.8 1.8 3 1 8 10 21 10 UUOOOU
17 12 Santa Clara 13 9 4 0.8 1.3 2 5 6 11 17 11 OUUUOU
18 6 Famalicao 13 10 3 0.8 1.0 5 4 4 10 13 19 UUOUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11