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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Moreirense 3–2 Estrela

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.50 fair 2.15
Draw 3.10 fair 3.96
Away 2.85 fair 3.54
Under 2.5 1.65 fair 2.02
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 1.98

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Moreirense Estrela
14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
1 Corners 4
18 Fouls 18
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (279 league matches this season so far).
Result Moreirense to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
MoreirenseDrawEstrela
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 10.5% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Moreirense before this match, all matches
1.26points / match
1.10scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 34:45
Estrela before this match, all matches
0.90points / match
1.10scored / match
1.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 34:51
Moreirense all matches all matches Estrela

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 1.10
1.45 Goals conceded 1.65
2.55 Total goals 2.74
8.58 Shots 11.32
3.19 Shots on target 3.65
13.45 Shots faced 13.39
3.55 Corners 3.39
4.97 Corners against 5.74
14.10 Fouls 14.45
2.52 Yellow cards 2.52
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.74

How often Full Time

35% Wins 19%
19% Draws 32%
45% Losses 48%
97% Over 0.5 goals 87%
74% Over 1.5 goals 74%
52% Over 2.5 goals 52%
19% Over 3.5 goals 35%
10% Over 4.5 goals 13%
3% Over 5.5 goals 6%
48% Both teams scored 45%
26% Clean sheets 23%
29% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 19%
55% Draws 35%
26% Losses 45%
65% Over 0.5 goals 71%
29% Over 1.5 goals 32%
3% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Moreirense all matches
Estrela all matches
Moreirense before this match, at home
1.53points / match
1.13scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 17:19
Estrela before this match, away
0.73points / match
0.87scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 13:27
Moreirense at home away Estrela

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 0.87
1.27 Goals conceded 1.80
2.40 Total goals 2.67
8.80 Shots 8.87
2.93 Shots on target 3.20
12.73 Shots faced 14.87
4.13 Corners 3.13
5.33 Corners against 6.33
13.67 Fouls 14.67
2.33 Yellow cards 2.47
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.87

How often Full Time

47% Wins 13%
13% Draws 33%
40% Losses 53%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
67% Over 1.5 goals 73%
53% Over 2.5 goals 47%
20% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
47% Both teams scored 47%
27% Clean sheets 20%
27% Failed to score 53%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 13%
60% Draws 40%
27% Losses 47%
60% Over 0.5 goals 67%
20% Over 1.5 goals 27%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Moreirense at home
Estrela away

Last 10 matches before this match

Moreirense all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.26 Benfica – Moreirense 4–1 (2–1) 1.119.0013.00 1.44 2.70
20.04.26 Moreirense – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.25 1.93 1.93
10.04.26 Famalicao – Moreirense 1–1 (0–1) 1.424.207.00 1.95 1.85
04.04.26 Moreirense – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–1) 6.253.901.51 1.95 1.85
21.03.26 Moreirense – Arouca 0–1 (0–0) 2.353.203.00 2.10 1.70
15.03.26 Porto – Moreirense 3–0 (2–0) 1.156.5017.00 1.73 2.08
07.03.26 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.253.00 2.15 1.67
01.03.26 Casa Pia – Moreirense 1–1 (1–0) 2.653.002.75 2.50 1.50
21.02.26 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 11.005.001.27 1.67 2.15
16.02.26 Rio Ave – Moreirense 1–2 (1–1) 2.823.202.45 2.20 1.65

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.26 Estrela – Porto 1–2 (0–2) 8.005.251.33 1.83 2.03
19.04.26 Arouca – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 2.013.403.50 1.93 1.93
11.04.26 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–0) 12.006.251.19 1.44 2.70
04.04.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.50 1.90 1.90
20.03.26 Estrela – Casa Pia 4–0 (3–0) 2.403.103.10 2.20 1.65
15.03.26 Rio Ave – Estrela 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.10 2.05 1.75
08.03.26 Estrela – Gil Vicente 2–2 (0–1) 4.753.201.79 2.25 1.62
28.02.26 AVS – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.202.65 2.20 1.65
20.02.26 Estrela – Tondela 0–2 (0–1) 2.503.202.70 2.25 1.62
14.02.26 Guimaraes – Estrela 2–1 (0–1) 1.623.505.50 2.15 1.67

Moreirense at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.26 Moreirense – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.25 1.93 1.93
04.04.26 Moreirense – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–1) 6.253.901.51 1.95 1.85
21.03.26 Moreirense – Arouca 0–1 (0–0) 2.353.203.00 2.10 1.70
07.03.26 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.253.00 2.15 1.67
21.02.26 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 11.005.001.27 1.67 2.15
07.02.26 Moreirense – Gil Vicente 1–2 (0–1) 3.403.002.25 2.50 1.50
24.01.26 Moreirense – Santa Clara 1–0 (0–0) 2.653.002.75 2.70 1.44
11.01.26 Moreirense – Tondela 1–0 (0–0) 2.013.203.90 2.10 1.70
14.12.25 Moreirense – Benfica 0–4 (0–1) 9.004.331.35 1.85 2.00
29.11.25 Moreirense – Famalicao 2–2 (0–1) 3.403.252.10 2.10 1.70

Estrela away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.26 Arouca – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 2.013.403.50 1.93 1.93
04.04.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.50 1.90 1.90
15.03.26 Rio Ave – Estrela 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.10 2.05 1.75
28.02.26 AVS – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.202.65 2.20 1.65
14.02.26 Guimaraes – Estrela 2–1 (0–1) 1.623.505.50 2.15 1.67
31.01.26 Alverca – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.103.70 2.40 1.53
25.01.26 Benfica – Estrela 4–0 (1–0) 1.109.0019.00 1.50 2.50
27.12.25 Famalicao – Estrela 2–3 (2–2) 1.533.706.00 1.95 1.85
15.12.25 Porto – Estrela 3–1 (1–0) 1.155.7515.00 1.60 2.30
30.11.25 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 4–0 (3–0) 1.109.0015.00 1.40 2.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Moreirense winsDrawsEstrela wins
5matches
2.00goals / match
40%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25P1 Estrela – Moreirense 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.252.85 2.15 1.67
02.03.25P1 Moreirense – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.004.75 2.50 1.50
28.09.24P1 Estrela – Moreirense 2–1 (2–0) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.60
07.04.24P1 Moreirense – Estrela 2–2 (2–0) 2.053.403.75 2.40 1.53
11.11.23P1 Estrela – Moreirense 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 2.05 1.80

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 31 26 4 1 63 15 +48 82 WWDWWW
2 Benfica 31 22 9 0 67 20 +47 75 WWDWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 31 22 7 2 77 22 +55 73 WWWLDD
4 Sp Braga 31 16 8 7 59 31 +28 56 LWWDWL
5 Famalicao 31 14 9 8 39 27 +12 51 WWDDDW
6 Gil Vicente 31 13 10 8 46 32 +14 49 DLWDLW
7 Guimaraes 31 12 6 13 38 43 -5 42 LLWDWW
8 Moreirense 31 11 6 14 34 45 -11 39 LLLDWL
9 Alverca 31 10 8 13 34 49 -15 38 DLWWLW
10 Estoril 31 10 7 14 51 52 -1 37 WLLLLL
11 Arouca 31 10 5 16 39 60 -21 35 LWWLWL
12 Rio Ave 31 8 10 13 33 52 -19 34 WWLWDL
13 Santa Clara 31 8 8 15 28 38 -10 32 WWLLDW
14 Nacional 31 8 7 16 34 41 -7 31 LLWLWW
15 Estrela 31 6 10 15 34 51 -17 28 LWLLLL
16 Casa Pia 31 5 11 15 29 55 -26 26 LDLDLL
17 Tondela 31 4 10 17 23 52 -29 22 DLDLLD
18 AVS 31 1 11 19 22 65 -43 14 LDLDDD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 15 12 3 0 31 6 +25 39 DWWWDW
2 Benfica 16 11 5 0 39 11 +28 38 WWDWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 15 11 2 2 43 10 +33 35 WWWWLD
4 Gil Vicente 16 9 3 4 27 14 +13 30 WLDWLW
5 Sp Braga 15 8 4 3 31 15 +16 28 WWDLWD
6 Guimaraes 16 8 4 4 26 18 +8 28 WWDLWW
7 Famalicao 15 8 3 4 24 10 +14 27 WWWWWD
8 Alverca 16 7 4 5 17 22 -5 25 DDDLWW
9 Estoril 16 6 5 5 28 23 +5 23 DWDLLL
10 Moreirense 15 7 2 6 17 19 -2 23 LLDLLW
11 Arouca 15 6 3 6 22 27 -5 21 LWWLWW
12 Santa Clara 16 6 2 8 15 17 -2 20 LLWWLW
13 Nacional 15 5 2 8 20 21 -1 17 DLLLWW
14 Estrela 16 4 5 7 21 24 -3 17 WLDWLL
15 Casa Pia 15 2 8 5 17 24 -7 14 WWDDDL
16 Rio Ave 15 3 5 7 16 25 -9 14 LLDWLD
17 Tondela 16 1 7 8 11 21 -10 10 DDLDDL
18 AVS 16 1 6 9 12 26 -14 9 LWDLDD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 16 14 1 1 32 9 +23 43 LWDWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 16 11 5 0 34 12 +22 38 DWDWWD
3 Benfica 15 11 4 0 28 9 +19 37 DWWWDW
4 Sp Braga 16 8 4 4 28 16 +12 28 WLWWWL
5 Famalicao 16 6 6 4 15 17 -2 24 LDWDDW
6 Rio Ave 16 5 5 6 17 27 -10 20 LLWWWL
7 Gil Vicente 15 4 7 4 19 18 +1 19 LWLDLD
8 Moreirense 16 4 4 8 17 26 -9 16 LWDLDL
9 Estoril 15 4 2 9 23 29 -6 14 WLLWLL
10 Nacional 16 3 5 8 14 20 -6 14 LLDLLW
11 Guimaraes 15 4 2 9 12 25 -13 14 LLLLDW
12 Arouca 16 4 2 10 17 33 -16 14 LLLWLL
13 Alverca 15 3 4 8 17 27 -10 13 LDDDWL
14 Santa Clara 15 2 6 7 13 21 -8 12 LDDWLD
15 Casa Pia 16 3 3 10 12 31 -19 12 DLDLLL
16 Tondela 15 3 3 9 12 31 -19 12 LDWLLD
17 Estrela 15 2 5 8 13 27 -14 11 DLDLLL
18 AVS 15 0 5 10 10 39 -29 5 LLDDLD

Moreirense   Estrela

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 31 10 21 2.2 0.6 22 9 0 67 20 75 OOUUOO
2 3 Sp Lisbon 31 10 21 2.5 0.7 22 7 2 77 22 73 OOUOUO
3 4 Sp Braga 31 10 21 1.9 1.0 16 8 7 59 31 56 OUUOUO
4 10 Estoril 31 11 20 1.6 1.7 10 7 14 51 52 37 UOOOUU
5 11 Arouca 31 11 20 1.3 1.9 10 5 16 39 60 35 OUOUUO
6 12 Rio Ave 31 12 19 1.1 1.7 8 10 13 33 52 34 OOOUOU
7 1 Porto 31 13 18 2.0 0.5 26 4 1 63 15 82 OOOOUO
8 18 AVS 31 13 18 0.7 2.1 1 11 19 22 65 14 UUOUOU
9 9 Alverca 31 14 17 1.1 1.6 10 8 13 34 49 38 OOOOUO
10 6 Gil Vicente 31 15 16 1.5 1.0 13 10 8 46 32 49 OUOOUO
11 8 Moreirense 31 15 16 1.1 1.5 11 6 14 34 45 39 OUUUUO
12 15 Estrela 31 15 16 1.1 1.6 6 10 15 34 51 28 OOUUUO
13 17 Tondela 31 15 16 0.7 1.7 4 10 17 23 52 22 UOOUUO
14 16 Casa Pia 31 16 15 0.9 1.8 5 11 15 29 55 26 OUOUUO
15 7 Guimaraes 31 17 14 1.2 1.4 12 6 13 38 43 42 OOOUUU
16 14 Nacional 31 18 13 1.1 1.3 8 7 16 34 41 31 UUUUUU
17 5 Famalicao 31 19 12 1.3 0.9 14 9 8 39 27 51 OUOUOU
18 13 Santa Clara 31 20 11 0.9 1.2 8 8 15 28 38 32 UUOUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Sp Lisbon 15 3 12 2.9 0.7 11 2 2 43 10 35 OUOOOO
2 2 Benfica 16 5 11 2.4 0.7 11 5 0 39 11 38 OOOOUO
3 4 Sp Braga 15 4 11 2.1 1.0 8 4 3 31 15 28 OOOOUO
4 11 Arouca 15 5 10 1.5 1.8 6 3 6 22 27 21 OOOOOU
5 12 Rio Ave 15 5 10 1.1 1.7 3 5 7 16 25 14 OOUOOO
6 7 Guimaraes 16 7 9 1.6 1.1 8 4 4 26 18 28 UOUOOU
7 10 Estoril 16 7 9 1.8 1.4 6 5 5 28 23 23 OOUOOU
8 15 Estrela 16 7 9 1.3 1.5 4 5 7 21 24 17 UUOOUO
9 1 Porto 15 7 8 2.1 0.4 12 3 0 31 6 39 UUOOOU
10 6 Gil Vicente 16 8 8 1.7 0.9 9 3 4 27 14 30 OOOOUO
11 8 Moreirense 15 7 8 1.1 1.3 7 2 6 17 19 23 OOUUUU
12 9 Alverca 16 8 8 1.1 1.4 7 4 5 17 22 25 UUUOOO
13 14 Nacional 15 7 8 1.3 1.4 5 2 8 20 21 17 UUOUUU
14 5 Famalicao 15 8 7 1.6 0.7 8 3 4 24 10 27 OOUUUU
15 18 AVS 16 9 7 0.8 1.6 1 6 9 12 26 9 OOUUUU
16 13 Santa Clara 16 10 6 0.9 1.1 6 2 8 15 17 20 OOUUUO
17 17 Tondela 16 10 6 0.7 1.3 1 7 8 11 21 10 UOUUOU
18 16 Casa Pia 15 10 5 1.1 1.6 2 8 5 17 24 14 OOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 10 Estoril 15 4 11 1.5 1.9 4 2 9 23 29 14 OOOUOU
2 18 AVS 15 4 11 0.7 2.6 0 5 10 10 39 5 OOUUOO
3 1 Porto 16 6 10 2.0 0.6 14 1 1 32 9 43 OUOOOO
4 2 Benfica 15 5 10 1.9 0.6 11 4 0 28 9 37 UOOOUO
5 4 Sp Braga 16 6 10 1.8 1.0 8 4 4 28 16 28 OOOUUO
6 11 Arouca 16 6 10 1.1 2.1 4 2 10 17 33 14 OOUUUO
7 16 Casa Pia 16 6 10 0.8 1.9 3 3 10 12 31 12 UUUOOO
8 17 Tondela 15 5 10 0.8 2.1 3 3 9 12 31 12 OOUOUO
9 3 Sp Lisbon 16 7 9 2.1 0.8 11 5 0 34 12 38 UOOOUU
10 9 Alverca 15 6 9 1.1 1.8 3 4 8 17 27 13 OUUOOU
11 12 Rio Ave 16 7 9 1.1 1.7 5 5 6 17 27 20 OUUOUU
12 6 Gil Vicente 15 7 8 1.3 1.2 4 7 4 19 18 19 OOOOUO
13 8 Moreirense 16 8 8 1.1 1.6 4 4 8 17 26 16 UOUOUO
14 15 Estrela 15 8 7 0.9 1.8 2 5 8 13 27 11 UOUOUU
15 5 Famalicao 16 11 5 0.9 1.1 6 6 4 15 17 24 UUOOOU
16 7 Guimaraes 15 10 5 0.8 1.7 4 2 9 12 25 14 OOUOUU
17 13 Santa Clara 15 10 5 0.9 1.4 2 6 7 13 21 12 UUOUOU
18 14 Nacional 16 11 5 0.9 1.2 3 5 8 14 20 14 OOUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47