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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Moreirense 1–1 Nacional

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.30 fair 2.25
Draw ✓ 3.25 fair 3.96
Away 3.00 fair 3.31
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 2.06
Over 2.5 2.15 fair 1.94

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Moreirense Nacional
7 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 7
4 Corners 7
13 Fouls 13
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (217 league matches this season so far).
Result Moreirense to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.82
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.21
Home / Draw / Away
MoreirenseDrawNacional
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 9.9% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Moreirense before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
1.25scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 30:34
Nacional before this match, all matches
0.88points / match
1.17scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 28:36
Moreirense all matches all matches Nacional

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.17
1.42 Goals conceded 1.50
2.67 Total goals 2.67
9.00 Shots 12.21
3.42 Shots on target 4.00
13.17 Shots faced 14.75
3.79 Corners 4.08
4.33 Corners against 6.21
14.42 Fouls 14.88
2.67 Yellow cards 2.88
0.42 1st-half goals scored 0.46
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

42% Wins 21%
17% Draws 25%
42% Losses 54%
96% Over 0.5 goals 96%
79% Over 1.5 goals 75%
58% Over 2.5 goals 54%
21% Over 3.5 goals 25%
8% Over 4.5 goals 13%
4% Over 5.5 goals 4%
50% Both teams scored 58%
29% Clean sheets 17%
25% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 25%
67% Draws 50%
21% Losses 25%
58% Over 0.5 goals 63%
29% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Moreirense all matches
Nacional all matches
Moreirense before this match, at home
1.73points / match
1.36scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 15:16
Nacional before this match, away
0.83points / match
0.92scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 11:16
Moreirense at home away Nacional

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 0.92
1.45 Goals conceded 1.33
2.82 Total goals 2.25
8.64 Shots 12.50
3.09 Shots on target 4.00
13.00 Shots faced 12.75
4.18 Corners 3.42
5.09 Corners against 5.17
14.36 Fouls 15.42
2.73 Yellow cards 2.67
0.27 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

55% Wins 17%
9% Draws 33%
36% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
82% Over 1.5 goals 75%
73% Over 2.5 goals 42%
27% Over 3.5 goals 8%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 58%
27% Clean sheets 17%
18% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 33%
73% Draws 42%
27% Losses 25%
55% Over 0.5 goals 67%
27% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Moreirense at home
Nacional away

Last 10 matches before this match

Moreirense all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.26 Casa Pia – Moreirense 1–1 (1–0) 2.653.002.75 2.50 1.50
21.02.26 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 11.005.001.27 1.67 2.15
16.02.26 Rio Ave – Moreirense 1–2 (1–1) 2.823.202.45 2.20 1.65
07.02.26 Moreirense – Gil Vicente 1–2 (0–1) 3.403.002.25 2.50 1.50
30.01.26 Guimaraes – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 1.793.304.75 2.25 1.62
24.01.26 Moreirense – Santa Clara 1–0 (0–0) 2.653.002.75 2.70 1.44
17.01.26 Alverca – Moreirense 2–1 (0–0) 2.702.822.75 2.60 1.48
11.01.26 Moreirense – Tondela 1–0 (0–0) 2.013.203.90 2.10 1.70
03.01.26 AVS – Moreirense 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.052.20 2.30 1.60
20.12.25 Estrela – Moreirense 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.252.85 2.15 1.67

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 Nacional – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–1) 5.504.201.51 1.75 2.05
21.02.26 Arouca – Nacional 3–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.95 1.90
15.02.26 Nacional – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 9.504.501.30 1.75 2.05
08.02.26 Nacional – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.103.75 2.10 1.70
01.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.108.0019.00 1.36 3.10
25.01.26 Nacional – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 1.95 1.85
17.01.26 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–1) 1.613.605.50 2.00 1.80
11.01.26 Nacional – Santa Clara 3–3 (2–2) 2.703.002.70 2.50 1.50
02.01.26 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.15 1.67
21.12.25 AVS – Nacional 2–2 (2–0) 3.203.302.20 2.15 1.67

Moreirense at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 11.005.001.27 1.67 2.15
07.02.26 Moreirense – Gil Vicente 1–2 (0–1) 3.403.002.25 2.50 1.50
24.01.26 Moreirense – Santa Clara 1–0 (0–0) 2.653.002.75 2.70 1.44
11.01.26 Moreirense – Tondela 1–0 (0–0) 2.013.203.90 2.10 1.70
14.12.25 Moreirense – Benfica 0–4 (0–1) 9.004.331.35 1.85 2.00
29.11.25 Moreirense – Famalicao 2–2 (0–1) 3.403.252.10 2.10 1.70
27.10.25 Moreirense – Porto 1–2 (1–1) 9.505.501.27 1.83 2.03
27.09.25 Moreirense – Casa Pia 2–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.60 2.50 1.50
13.09.25 Moreirense – Rio Ave 3–1 (0–0) 2.503.003.00 2.25 1.62
23.08.25 Moreirense – Guimaraes 2–0 (0–0) 3.303.252.20 2.25 1.62

Nacional away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26 Arouca – Nacional 3–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.95 1.90
01.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.108.0019.00 1.36 3.10
17.01.26 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–1) 1.613.605.50 2.00 1.80
02.01.26 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.15 1.67
21.12.25 AVS – Nacional 2–2 (2–0) 3.203.302.20 2.15 1.67
07.12.25 Alverca – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.60 2.20 1.65
09.11.25 Estrela – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.50 2.15 1.67
26.10.25 Estoril – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.253.30 2.05 1.75
28.09.25 Sp Braga – Nacional 0–1 (0–1) 1.394.337.50 1.83 2.03
13.09.25 Porto – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.156.5017.00 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Moreirense winsDrawsNacional wins
3matches
2.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25P1 Nacional – Moreirense 3–2 (1–1) 2.323.103.10 2.35 1.57
27.04.25P1 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.60 2.20 1.65
14.12.24P1 Nacional – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.60 2.25 1.62

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 24 21 2 1 47 8 +39 65 WLDWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 24 19 4 1 62 12 +50 61 WWDWWW
3 Benfica 24 17 7 0 51 14 +37 58 WDWWWW
4 Sp Braga 24 13 6 5 50 23 +27 45 WWWLWW
5 Gil Vicente 24 11 7 6 35 23 +12 40 LWWWLL
6 Famalicao 25 11 6 8 30 21 +9 39 LWLWDW
7 Moreirense 24 10 4 10 30 34 -4 34 WLLWLD
8 Estoril 24 9 6 9 46 42 +4 33 WWDLWL
9 Guimaraes 24 9 5 10 28 35 -7 32 LWLWLD
10 Alverca 24 7 6 11 24 39 -15 27 LDLDDD
11 Arouca 25 7 5 13 32 53 -21 26 WWLWLL
12 Estrela 24 5 9 10 26 41 -15 24 LDWLLD
13 Casa Pia 24 5 8 11 26 44 -18 23 DWDWLD
14 Nacional 24 5 6 13 28 36 -8 21 WLDLLL
15 Rio Ave 24 4 9 11 23 44 -21 21 LLLLLD
16 Santa Clara 24 4 7 13 20 31 -11 19 LLLLDD
17 Tondela 24 4 7 13 19 38 -19 19 LDDDWD
18 AVS 24 1 6 17 18 57 -39 9 DLLWLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 12 10 2 0 24 4 +20 32 WWWDWW
2 Sp Lisbon 12 10 1 1 36 4 +32 31 WWWWWW
3 Benfica 12 8 4 0 28 8 +20 28 DWWWWW
4 Sp Braga 11 7 2 2 25 9 +16 23 WWDWWW
5 Famalicao 13 7 2 4 22 9 +13 23 WLWWWW
6 Gil Vicente 12 7 2 3 20 10 +10 23 DDWWWL
7 Estoril 12 6 4 2 26 17 +9 22 DWWWDW
8 Guimaraes 13 6 4 3 18 16 +2 22 LWLWWD
9 Moreirense 11 6 1 4 15 16 -1 19 DLWWLL
10 Alverca 12 5 3 4 11 16 -5 18 WLWWDD
11 Arouca 12 4 3 5 17 23 -6 15 LWDLWW
12 Estrela 12 3 4 5 14 19 -5 13 WDDLWL
13 Casa Pia 12 2 6 4 16 22 -6 12 DDDWWD
14 Nacional 12 3 2 7 17 20 -3 11 WDWDLL
15 Santa Clara 12 3 2 7 10 14 -4 11 WDLLLL
16 Rio Ave 12 2 4 6 11 20 -9 10 LWLLLD
17 Tondela 12 1 5 6 9 16 -7 8 LWLDDD
18 AVS 13 1 4 8 10 23 -13 7 DLLLWD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 12 11 0 1 23 4 +19 33 WWWWLW
2 Sp Lisbon 12 9 3 0 26 8 +18 30 DWDWDW
3 Benfica 12 9 3 0 23 6 +17 30 WDWDWW
4 Sp Braga 13 6 4 3 25 14 +11 22 LDWWLW
5 Gil Vicente 12 4 5 3 15 13 +2 17 DDDLWL
6 Famalicao 12 4 4 4 8 12 -4 16 LLWLLD
7 Moreirense 13 4 3 6 15 18 -3 15 DWLLWD
8 Estoril 12 3 2 7 20 25 -5 11 LLWWLL
9 Estrela 12 2 5 5 12 22 -10 11 LWLDLD
10 Rio Ave 12 2 5 5 12 24 -12 11 WDLLLL
11 Casa Pia 12 3 2 7 10 22 -12 11 LWLLDL
12 Tondela 12 3 2 7 10 22 -12 11 WLLLDW
13 Arouca 13 3 2 8 15 30 -15 11 LWWLLL
14 Nacional 12 2 4 6 11 16 -5 10 LDLLLL
15 Guimaraes 11 3 1 7 10 19 -9 10 WWDLLL
16 Alverca 12 2 3 7 13 23 -10 9 LLLLDD
17 Santa Clara 12 1 5 6 10 17 -7 8 LDLLDD
18 AVS 11 0 2 9 8 34 -26 2 LLLDLL

Moreirense   Nacional

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Sp Braga 24 7 17 2.1 1.0 13 6 5 50 23 45 OOOOOO
2 8 Estoril 24 7 17 1.9 1.8 9 6 9 46 42 33 OOOOOO
3 11 Arouca 25 8 17 1.3 2.1 7 5 13 32 53 26 OOOOOU
4 2 Sp Lisbon 24 8 16 2.6 0.5 19 4 1 62 12 61 OOUUOO
5 3 Benfica 24 8 16 2.1 0.6 17 7 0 51 14 58 OUOOOO
6 18 AVS 24 8 16 0.8 2.4 1 6 17 18 57 9 OOOOOU
7 15 Rio Ave 24 9 15 1.0 1.8 4 9 11 23 44 21 OOOOUU
8 7 Moreirense 24 10 14 1.2 1.4 10 4 10 30 34 34 UUOOOU
9 14 Nacional 24 11 13 1.2 1.5 5 6 13 28 36 21 OOUUOO
10 17 Tondela 24 11 13 0.8 1.6 4 7 13 19 38 19 OUOUUO
11 1 Porto 24 12 12 2.0 0.3 21 2 1 47 8 65 OOUUUO
12 10 Alverca 24 12 12 1.0 1.6 7 6 11 24 39 27 OUOUUU
13 12 Estrela 24 12 12 1.1 1.7 5 9 10 26 41 24 OUUOUU
14 13 Casa Pia 24 12 12 1.1 1.8 5 8 11 26 44 23 OOUOUU
15 5 Gil Vicente 24 13 11 1.5 1.0 11 7 6 35 23 40 OOOOOO
16 9 Guimaraes 24 13 11 1.2 1.5 9 5 10 28 35 32 OUOOOU
17 6 Famalicao 25 16 9 1.2 0.8 11 6 8 30 21 39 OOUUUU
18 16 Santa Clara 24 15 9 0.8 1.3 4 7 13 20 31 19 UOUOUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 12 3 9 3.0 0.3 10 1 1 36 4 31 OOOOUO
2 3 Benfica 12 4 8 2.3 0.7 8 4 0 28 8 28 UUOOOO
3 4 Sp Braga 11 3 8 2.3 0.8 7 2 2 25 9 23 OUOOOO
4 7 Moreirense 11 3 8 1.4 1.5 6 1 4 15 16 19 OOUUOO
5 11 Arouca 12 4 8 1.4 1.9 4 3 5 17 23 15 OUOOOO
6 14 Nacional 12 4 8 1.4 1.7 3 2 7 17 20 11 OOOUUO
7 6 Famalicao 13 6 7 1.7 0.7 7 2 4 22 9 23 OOOOUU
8 8 Estoril 12 5 7 2.2 1.4 6 4 2 26 17 22 OUOOOO
9 9 Guimaraes 13 6 7 1.4 1.2 6 4 3 18 16 22 OOUUOU
10 15 Rio Ave 12 5 7 0.9 1.7 2 4 6 11 20 10 UOUOOU
11 18 AVS 13 6 7 0.8 1.8 1 4 8 10 23 7 OUUOOU
12 1 Porto 12 6 6 2.0 0.3 10 2 0 24 4 32 OUOUUO
13 12 Estrela 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 3 4 5 14 19 13 OUOOUU
14 5 Gil Vicente 12 7 5 1.7 0.8 7 2 3 20 10 23 OUOOOO
15 10 Alverca 12 7 5 0.9 1.3 5 3 4 11 16 18 UOUOUU
16 13 Casa Pia 12 7 5 1.3 1.8 2 6 4 16 22 12 UUOOOU
17 16 Santa Clara 12 7 5 0.8 1.2 3 2 7 10 14 11 UUUUOO
18 17 Tondela 12 7 5 0.8 1.3 1 5 6 9 16 8 OOUUUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 Estoril 12 2 10 1.7 2.1 3 2 7 20 25 11 OOOOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 13 4 9 1.9 1.1 6 4 3 25 14 22 UOUOOO
3 11 Arouca 13 4 9 1.2 2.3 3 2 8 15 30 11 OUOOOU
4 18 AVS 11 2 9 0.7 3.1 0 2 9 8 34 2 OOUOOO
5 3 Benfica 12 4 8 1.9 0.5 9 3 0 23 6 30 OOUUOO
6 15 Rio Ave 12 4 8 1.0 2.0 2 5 5 12 24 11 OOOOOU
7 17 Tondela 12 4 8 0.8 1.8 3 2 7 10 22 11 UOUOOU
8 2 Sp Lisbon 12 5 7 2.2 0.7 9 3 0 26 8 30 UOUOUO
9 10 Alverca 12 5 7 1.1 1.9 2 3 7 13 23 9 UOOOUU
10 13 Casa Pia 12 5 7 0.8 1.8 3 2 7 10 22 11 UOOOUU
11 1 Porto 12 6 6 1.9 0.3 11 0 1 23 4 33 UOUUOU
12 5 Gil Vicente 12 6 6 1.2 1.1 4 5 3 15 13 17 UUOOOO
13 7 Moreirense 13 7 6 1.2 1.4 4 3 6 15 18 15 UUOUOU
14 12 Estrela 12 6 6 1.0 1.8 2 5 5 12 22 11 OOOUOU
15 14 Nacional 12 7 5 0.9 1.3 2 4 6 11 16 10 UOOOOO
16 9 Guimaraes 11 7 4 0.9 1.7 3 1 7 10 19 10 UUUOOO
17 16 Santa Clara 12 8 4 0.8 1.4 1 5 6 10 17 8 UOUUUO
18 6 Famalicao 12 10 2 0.7 1.0 4 4 4 8 12 16 UUUOUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47