Arbroath 1–1 Ayr
Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026
Home
2.35
fair 2.26
Draw ✓
3.25
fair 3.92
Away
2.80
fair 3.31
Under 2.5 ✓
1.73
fair 2.02
Over 2.5
2.08
fair 1.98
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Arbroath
Ayr
5
Shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
4
Corners
2
8
Fouls
13
1
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✗ Result missed
✗ Goals missed
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (132 league matches this season so far).
Result
Arbroath to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.85
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.19
Home / Draw / Away
44%
26%
30%
ArbroathDrawAyr
Under / Over 2.5 goals
50%
50%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
46%
54%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
7%
0
18%
1
25%
2
22%
3
15%
4
14%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 9.1%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
Arbroath
before this match, all matches
1.58points / match
1.38scored / match
1.23conceded / match
11
8
7
WonDrawnLost
26 played · 36:32
Ayr
before this match, all matches
1.32points / match
1.24scored / match
1.20conceded / match
7
12
6
WonDrawnLost
25 played · 31:30
Arbroath all matches
all matches Ayr
Per match
1.38
Goals scored
1.24
1.23
Goals conceded
1.20
2.62
Total goals
2.44
9.04
Shots
9.32
3.54
Shots on target
3.92
9.27
Shots faced
8.36
4.88
Corners
5.28
4.50
Corners against
4.92
10.96
Fouls
12.24
1.81
Yellow cards
2.32
0.42
1st-half goals scored
0.88
0.46
1st-half goals conceded
0.52
How often Full Time
42%
Wins
28%
31%
Draws
48%
27%
Losses
24%
92%
Over 0.5 goals
84%
77%
Over 1.5 goals
68%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
23%
Over 3.5 goals
24%
15%
Over 4.5 goals
16%
4%
Over 5.5 goals
12%
58%
Both teams scored
64%
19%
Clean sheets
28%
31%
Failed to score
24%
How often Half Time
23%
Wins
48%
42%
Draws
20%
35%
Losses
32%
62%
Over 0.5 goals
84%
19%
Over 1.5 goals
32%
8%
Over 2.5 goals
16%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Arbroath all matches
2
1
W
2
1
W
2
W
1
1
D
1
L
3
2
W
1
1
D
1
2
L
4
2
W
D
Ayr all matches
1
W
D
2
4
L
3
2
W
1
1
D
1
1
D
1
2
L
2
1
W
D
1
3
L
Arbroath
before this match, at home
1.92points / match
1.75scored / match
1.17conceded / match
6
5
1
WonDrawnLost
12 played · 21:14
Ayr
before this match, away
1.38points / match
1.31scored / match
1.23conceded / match
4
6
3
WonDrawnLost
13 played · 17:16
Arbroath at home
away Ayr
Per match
1.75
Goals scored
1.31
1.17
Goals conceded
1.23
2.92
Total goals
2.54
10.17
Shots
9.15
3.42
Shots on target
3.69
8.00
Shots faced
8.54
5.42
Corners
5.38
3.67
Corners against
5.23
10.33
Fouls
12.15
1.75
Yellow cards
2.31
0.42
1st-half goals scored
0.92
0.42
1st-half goals conceded
0.54
How often Full Time
50%
Wins
31%
42%
Draws
46%
8%
Losses
23%
92%
Over 0.5 goals
85%
83%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
33%
Over 3.5 goals
31%
25%
Over 4.5 goals
15%
8%
Over 5.5 goals
8%
67%
Both teams scored
62%
25%
Clean sheets
38%
17%
Failed to score
15%
How often Half Time
17%
Wins
54%
58%
Draws
15%
25%
Losses
31%
50%
Over 0.5 goals
85%
25%
Over 1.5 goals
38%
8%
Over 2.5 goals
23%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Arbroath at home
5
L
1
1
D
4
1
W
3
1
W
3
W
D
2
1
W
1
1
D
1
1
D
4
2
W
Ayr away
D
2
W
1
2
L
D
3
3
D
1
W
3
2
W
1
1
D
1
2
L
1
3
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Arbroath all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.02.26 | Partick – Arbroath | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.30 | 3.80 | 1.93 | 1.88 |
| 21.02.26 | Arbroath – Dunfermline | 4–2 (1–1) | 2.20 | 3.20 | 2.90 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 31.01.26 | Queens Park – Arbroath | 2–1 (2–1) | 3.40 | 3.25 | 1.91 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 23.01.26 | Arbroath – Morton | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 10.01.26 | Raith Rvs – Arbroath | 2–3 (0–2) | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 03.01.26 | St Johnstone – Arbroath | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.36 | 4.10 | 7.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 27.12.25 | Arbroath – Airdrie Utd | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.73 | 3.30 | 4.33 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 20.12.25 | Ross County – Arbroath | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 13.12.25 | Arbroath – Partick | 2–1 (0–0) | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.05 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 06.12.25 | Dunfermline – Arbroath | 1–2 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
Ayr all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.02.26 | St Johnstone – Ayr | 3–1 (2–1) | 1.50 | 3.60 | 5.25 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 21.02.26 | Ayr – Ross County | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 31.01.26 | Ayr – Raith Rvs | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 24.01.26 | Partick – Ayr | 2–1 (2–0) | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.70 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 10.01.26 | Ayr – Airdrie Utd | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.57 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 27.12.25 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 20.12.25 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 2–3 (0–3) | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.63 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 12.12.25 | Ayr – St Johnstone | 2–4 (2–0) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 06.12.25 | Ayr – Partick | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.75 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 22.11.25 | Airdrie Utd – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 4.33 | 3.30 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
Arbroath at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.02.26 | Arbroath – Dunfermline | 4–2 (1–1) | 2.20 | 3.20 | 2.90 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 23.01.26 | Arbroath – Morton | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 27.12.25 | Arbroath – Airdrie Utd | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.73 | 3.30 | 4.33 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 13.12.25 | Arbroath – Partick | 2–1 (0–0) | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.05 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 22.11.25 | Arbroath – Raith Rvs | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.35 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 01.11.25 | Arbroath – Ross County | 3–0 (1–0) | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 18.10.25 | Arbroath – St Johnstone | 3–1 (0–1) | 4.50 | 4.10 | 1.57 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 11.10.25 | Arbroath – Queens Park | 4–1 (3–0) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 20.09.25 | Arbroath – Morton | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.75 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 13.09.25 | Arbroath – Dunfermline | 0–5 (0–2) | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
Ayr away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.02.26 | St Johnstone – Ayr | 3–1 (2–1) | 1.50 | 3.60 | 5.25 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 24.01.26 | Partick – Ayr | 2–1 (2–0) | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.70 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 27.12.25 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 20.12.25 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 2–3 (0–3) | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.63 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 22.11.25 | Airdrie Utd – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 4.33 | 3.30 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 08.11.25 | Ross County – Ayr | 3–3 (2–1) | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 25.10.25 | Queens Park – Ayr | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.70 | 3.25 | 1.95 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 21.10.25 | Partick – Ayr | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 11.10.25 | Raith Rvs – Ayr | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 04.10.25 | St Johnstone – Ayr | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.93 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
3 7 4
Arbroath winsDrawsAyr wins
14matches
2.14goals / match
29%over 2.5
43%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.11.25SC1 | Ayr – Arbroath | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.65 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 01.08.25SC1 | Arbroath – Ayr | 1–1 (0–1) | 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.75 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 13.04.24SC1 | Ayr – Arbroath | 5–0 (3–0) | 1.40 | 4.00 | 6.50 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 23.01.24SC1 | Ayr – Arbroath | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.62 | 3.80 | 5.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 13.01.24SC1 | Arbroath – Ayr | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.75 | 4.00 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 02.09.23SC1 | Arbroath – Ayr | 2–1 (1–1) | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.63 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 31.03.23SC1 | Arbroath – Ayr | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 14.01.23SC1 | Ayr – Arbroath | 2–2 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.30 | 4.20 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 29.10.22SC1 | Arbroath – Ayr | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.87 | 3.20 | 2.25 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 30.07.22SC1 | Ayr – Arbroath | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.55 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 19.03.22SC1 | Arbroath – Ayr | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.66 | 3.50 | 4.33 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 08.01.22SC1 | Ayr – Arbroath | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.80 | 3.30 | 1.90 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 23.10.21SC1 | Arbroath – Ayr | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.72 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 07.08.21SC1 | Ayr – Arbroath | 2–2 (0–2) | 2.45 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
Scotland Championship table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50 | 22 | +28 | 54 |
| 2 | Partick | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 40 | 30 | +10 | 49 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | +4 | 41 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 33 |
| 5 | Ayr | 25 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 31 | 30 | +1 | 33 |
| 6 | Raith Rvs | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 30 |
| 7 | Morton | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
| 8 | Queens Park | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 28 |
| 9 | Airdrie Utd | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
| 10 | Ross County | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 26 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 34 |
| 2 | St Johnstone | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 29 | 10 | +19 | 29 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | Raith Rvs | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 15 | +7 | 18 |
| 5 | Morton | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | Dunfermline | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Ayr | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Queens Park | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 | Ross County | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 25 |
| 2 | Ayr | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 18 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 17 |
| 5 | Airdrie Utd | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
| 6 | Partick | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
| 7 | Queens Park | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
| 8 | Morton | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
| 9 | Raith Rvs | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 10 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 12 |
Arbroath Ayr
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 27 | 12 | 15 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50 | 22 | 54 |
| 2 | 2 | Partick | 27 | 14 | 13 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 40 | 30 | 49 |
| 3 | 3 | Arbroath | 26 | 13 | 13 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 41 |
| 4 | 8 | Queens Park | 26 | 13 | 13 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 39 | 28 |
| 5 | 10 | Ross County | 26 | 14 | 12 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 39 | 26 |
| 6 | 4 | Dunfermline | 26 | 15 | 11 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 33 |
| 7 | 7 | Morton | 27 | 16 | 11 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 28 | 36 | 30 |
| 8 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 27 | 16 | 11 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 35 | 26 |
| 9 | 5 | Ayr | 25 | 15 | 10 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 33 |
| 10 | 6 | Raith Rvs | 27 | 18 | 9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 28 | 30 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 14 | 6 | 8 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 29 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | 2 | Partick | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 34 |
| 3 | 10 | Ross County | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 14 |
| 4 | 3 | Arbroath | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | 6 | Raith Rvs | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 18 |
| 6 | 8 | Queens Park | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 15 |
| 7 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | Dunfermline | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
| 9 | 5 | Ayr | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 15 |
| 10 | 7 | Morton | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 18 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | 3 | Arbroath | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 18 |
| 3 | 7 | Morton | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 12 |
| 4 | 8 | Queens Park | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 13 |
| 5 | 2 | Partick | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 15 |
| 6 | 4 | Dunfermline | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 16 | 17 |
| 7 | 5 | Ayr | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 18 |
| 8 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 15 |
| 9 | 10 | Ross County | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | Raith Rvs | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 12 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
